| Literature DB >> 35747228 |
Paula Appenzeller1,2, Fiorenza Gautschi1,2, Julian Müller1,2, Mona Lichtblau1,2, Stéphanie Saxer1,2, Simon R Schneider1,2, Esther I Schwarz1,2, Silvia Ulrich1,2.
Abstract
Maximal oxygen uptake (V'O2 max), assessed by cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET), is an important parameter for risk assessment in patients with pulmonary hypertension (PH). However, CPET may not be available for all PH patients. Thus, we aimed to test previously published predictive models of V'O2 max from the 6-min walk distance (6MWD) for their accuracy and to create a new model. We tested four models (two by Ross et al. (2010), one by Miyamoto et al. (2000) and one by Zapico et al. (2019)). To derive a new model, data were split into a training and testing dataset (70:30) and step-wise linear regression was performed. To compare the different models, the standard error of the estimate (SEE) was calculated and the models graphically compared by Bland-Altman plots. Sensitivity and specificity for correct prediction into low-risk classification (V'O2 max >15 mL/min/kg) was calculated for all models. A total of 276 observations were included in the analysis (194/82 training/testing dataset); 6MWD and V'O2 max were significantly correlated (r=0.65, p<0.001). Linear regression showed significant correlation of 6MWD, weight and heart rate response (HRR) with V'O2 max and the best fitting prediction equation was: V'O2 max = 1.83 + 0.031 × 6MWD (m) - 0.023 × weight (kg) - 0.015 × HRR (bpm). SEEs for the different models were 3.03, 3.22, 4.36 and 3.08 mL/min/kg for the Ross et al., Miyamoto et al., Zapico et al. models and the new model, respectively. Predicted mean V'O2 max was 16.5 mL/min/kg (versus observed 16.1 mL/min/kg). 6MWD and V'O2 max reveal good correlation in all models. However, the accuracy of all models is inadequate for clinical use. Thus, CPET and 6MWD both remain valuable risk assessment tools in the management of PH.Entities:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35747228 PMCID: PMC9209853 DOI: 10.1183/23120541.00664-2021
Source DB: PubMed Journal: ERJ Open Res ISSN: 2312-0541
FIGURE 1Patient flow chart. 6MWD: 6-min walk distance; PH: pulmonary hypertension; V′O: maximal oxygen uptake.
Characteristics of the training and testing datasets
|
|
| |
| Observations n | 194 | 82 |
| Female | 118 (61) | 58 (71) |
| Diagnosis | ||
| PAH | 117 (60) | 50 (61) |
| PH due to left heart disease | 1 (1) | |
| PH due to lung disease | 4 (2) | 1 (1) |
| CTEPH | 64 (33) | 28 (34) |
| Miscellaneous | 8 (4) | 3 (4) |
| Haemodynamics at baseline | ||
| mPAP, mmHg | 42±4.1 | 39±13.0 |
| PVR, mmHg | 12±63 | 6±4 |
| PAWP, mmHg | 11±4 | 11±4 |
| CI, mL/min/kg | 2.8±0.8 | 2.9±0.7 |
| Characteristics | ||
| Age, years | 59±14 | 58±15 |
| Height, cm | 169±11 | 169±10 |
| Weight, cm | 76±19 | 73±17 |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 27±5 | 25±5 |
| NYHA functional class | 2.2±0.7 | 2.2±0.6 |
| 6-min walk test | ||
| 6-min walk distance, m | 504±85 | 503±90 |
| At rest | ||
| Systolic BP, mmHg | 125±18 | 120±14 |
| Diastolic BP, mmHg | 79±12 | 78±12 |
| Heart rate, bpm | 84±14 | 84±12 |
| Peripheral oxygen saturation, % | 96±3 | 96±3 |
| At peak exercise | ||
| Systolic BP, mmHg | 145±25 | 142±26 |
| Diastolic BP, mmHg | 83±14 | 82±13 |
| Heart rate, bpm | 121±21 | 121±22 |
| Heart rate response, bpm | 37±19 | 37±20 |
| Peripheral oxygen saturation, % | 89±9.0 | 90±7.8 |
| BORG CR10, score | 4.7±2 | 4.6±2 |
| Cardiopulmonary exercise test | ||
| | 15.3±3.8 | 16.1±3.7 |
| Maximal workload, Watts | 93±33 | 96±36 |
Data are presented as n (%) or mean±sd, unless otherwise stated. BMI: body mass index; BP: blood pressure; CI: cardiac index; CTEPH: chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension; mPAP: mean pulmonary arterial pressure; NYHA: New York Heart Association; PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension; PAWP: pulmonary arterial wedge pressure; PH: pulmonary hypertension; PVR: pulmonary vascular resistance; V′Omax: maximal oxygen uptake.
FIGURE 2Correlation between 6-min walk distance (6MWD) and maximal oxygen uptake (VOmax). The three panels show the correlation for all observations, the training dataset and the testing dataset. Correlation coefficients (r) and p-values are given for all three datasets separately.
Coefficients of different linear regression models and application to testing data
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
| 1038 | 1083 | 27 | 82 | 194 | |||||
|
| 4.948 | 4.682 | 4.213 | −21.626 | 1.83 | 0.248 | ||||
|
| 0.023 | 0.025 | 0.026 | 0.026 | <0.001 | 0.031 | <0.001 | |||
|
| 4.103 | 0.002 | ||||||||
|
| 0.174 | 0.043 | ||||||||
|
| −0.071 | 0.02 | −0.023 | 0.22 | ||||||
|
| −0.015 | 0.047 | ||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
| SEE, mL/min/kg | 3.03 | 3.22 | 4.36 | 3.08 | ||||||
| SEE% mean | 19% | 20% | 27% | 19% | ||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ||||
| Sensitivity | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.91 | 0.69 | ||||||
| Specificity | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.78 | ||||||
| PPV | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.82 | ||||||
| NPV | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
r from correlation between maxima oxygen uptake (V′Omax) and 6-min walk distance (6MWD); R2 from linear regression of V′Omax against 6MWD. HRR: heart rate response in 6-min walk test (heart rate at maximal exercise – heart rate at rest); NPV: negative predictive value; PPV: positive predictive value; SEE: standard error of the estimate; SEE% mean: SEE as percentage of mean peak oxygen uptake. All coefficients, p-values and R2 for Ross et al. [14], Miyamoto et al. [16] and Zapico et al. [17] are copied from the original publications.
FIGURE 3Comparison of predictive models. The panels show the predicted values for maximal oxygen uptake (VOmax) against 6-min walk distance (6MWD) for each model separately. In each panel, the original data from the testing dataset is depicted for comparison; standard error of the estimate (SEE) for each model is shown below the panel headers. Mean oxygen uptake (V′O) as determined by the generalised equation by Ross et al. [14] is shown in the corresponding panel.
FIGURE 4Bland–Altman graphs for the comparison of maximal oxygen uptake (V′Omax) determined by cardiopulmonary exercise testing versus using a predictive model based on 6-min walk test. The x-axis shows the calculated mean between the observed and the predicted values for V′Omax while the y-axis shows the difference between the two methods. The line corresponds to the mean difference in V′Omax and the two dashed lines show the 95% confidence interval. Each panel shows a different model as indicated by the panel's headers.