| Literature DB >> 35742591 |
Issam Khelfaoui1, Yuantao Xie1, Muhammad Hafeez2, Danish Ahmed3,4,5,6,7, Houssem Eddine Degha8, Hicham Meskher9.
Abstract
According to the World Health Organization, lower-income countries suffer from adverse health issues more than higher-income countries. Information and communication technologies (ICT) have the potential to resolve these issues. Previous research has analyzed the theoretical and empirical causal effects of ICT on infant mortality at country-specific and global levels for a short period of time. However, the causes and results could be different in low-income countries. The objective of this paper was to examine the deficiencies through the use of panel data from 27 low-income countries from 2000-2017. We applied the predictive mean matching technique to supplement the missing data and then used panel data techniques (i.e., fixed effects (FE) and pooled common correlated effects (PCCE)), and system-GMM to estimate the causal effects. We compared the consistency and the possible heterogeneity of previous results using a set of robust techniques and empirical tests. We found that internet access and, to a lesser extent, cellular mobile subscriptions, two of the three ICT variables used in our research, had a significant positive effect on reducing infant mortality in low-income countries. In conclusion, governments and policymakers of low-income countries should consider the availability of internet-related ICT innovations and make them nationally accessible to reduce health crises such as the infant mortality rate.Entities:
Keywords: Driscol–Kraay; ICT; PMM; health; infant mortality; instrumental variables IV; low-income countries; panel regression; pooled common correlated effects PCCE
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35742591 PMCID: PMC9224393 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19127338
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 4.614
Data source according to previous literature.
| Variable | Description | Source | Related Works | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health outcome dependent variables | ||||
| INFM | Mortality rate, infant (per 1000 live births) | World Bank Database | [ | Included |
| CMU5 | Mortality rate, under 5 (per 1000 live births) | World Bank Database | [ | Included |
| LEB | life expectancy at birth, total (years) | World Bank Database | [ | Excluded |
| HIV | Prevalence of HIV. The percentage of people ages 15–49 who are infected with HIV | World Bank Database | [ | Excluded |
| TBS | Incidences of tuberculosis, per 10,000 people. | World Bank Database | [ | Excluded |
| ICT independent variables | ||||
| IU | Individuals using the Internet (% of the population) | International Telecommunications Union (ITU) | [ | Included |
| FTS | Fixed telephone subscriptions (per 100 people) | ITU | [ | Included |
| MCS | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) | ITU | [ | Included |
| FBS | fixed-broadband subscriptions per 100 inhabitants | ITU | [ | Excluded |
| SIS | Secure servers are servers used per 1 million populations | ITU | [ | Excluded |
| Economic Factors | ||||
| GDP | GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2017 inter ratio in USD) | World Bank Database | [ | Included |
| PHY | physicians (per 1000people) | World Bank Database | [ | Excluded |
| ADR | Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population) | World Bank Database | [ | Excluded |
| IM | Immunization, measles (% of children ages 12–23 months) | World Bank Database | [ | Included |
| IDPT | Immunization, DPT (% of children ages 12–23 months) | World Bank Database | [ | Included |
| HE | Domestic general government health expenditure per capita, PPP (current inter ratio in USD) | World Bank Database | [ | Included |
| Social Factors | ||||
| SR | Sex ratio at birth (male births per female births) | World Bank Database | [ | Excluded |
| SCH | School enrollment, secondary (% gross) | World Bank Database | [ | Included |
| SCHF | Female pupils as a percentage of total pupils at primary level includeenrollments in public and private schools | World Bank Database | [ | Included |
| NETP | The net primary school enrolment rate (%). | World Bank Database | [ | Excluded |
| Environmental Factors | ||||
| UP | Urban population (% of the total population) | World Bank Database | [ | Included |
| SNT | People using at least basic drinking water services; taken as the percentage of total population | World Bank Database | [ | Excluded |
| WATR | The percentage of the population with access to an improved water source. | World Bank Database | [ | Excluded |
| CO2E | CO2 emissions (metric tons per capita) | World Bank Database | [ | Included |
| Instrumental Variables | ||||
| CCSEB | Communications, computer, etc. (% of service exports, BoP) | World Bank Database | Included | |
| ICTSEBCUS | ICT service exports (BoP, current USD) | World Bank Database | Excluded | |
| ICTSESEB | ICT service exports (% of service exports, BoP) | World Bank Database | Excluded | |
| ICTGETGI | ICT goods imports (% total goods imports) | World Bank Database | Excluded | |
| ICTGETGE | ICT goods exports (% of total goods exports) | World Bank Database | Excluded | |
| CCSIB | Communications, computer, etc. (% of service imports, BoP) | World Bank Database | Excluded | |
| CCOSCSI | Computer, communications, and other services (% of commercial service imports) | World Bank Database | Excluded | |
| CCOSCSE | Computer, communications, and other services (% of commercial service exports) | World Bank Database | Excluded | |
| ICC | Dummy variable of the first year a country issued an internet country code | Author’ own calculation | Included | |
Descriptive statistics.
| Symbol | Descriptive Statistic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mean | SD | min | max | Median | |
| Dependent Variables | |||||
| INFM | 67.14 | 24.502 | 13.80 | 142.40 | 66.25 |
| CMU5 | 104.12 | 44.740 | 16.10 | 234.00 | 101.05 |
| Independent Variables | |||||
| IU | 4.561 | 6.519 | 0.004 | 34.253 | 1.549 |
| FTS | 1.528 | 3.307 | 0.005 | 22.620 | 0.504 |
| MCS | 28.685 | 29.752 | 0.018 | 138.80 | 20.008 |
| Control Variables | |||||
| GDP | 546.1 | 330.13 | 111.9 | 2032.6 | 467.7 |
| SCH | 93.17 | 29.436 | 16.63 | 156.03 | 92.38 |
| IM | 69.38 | 18.056 | 16.00 | 99.00 | 70.00 |
| IDPT | 70.31 | 19.570 | 19.00 | 99.00 | 74.00 |
| HE | 30.242 | 19.067 | 4.691 | 139.75 | 24.814 |
| ADR | 90.09 | 11.710 | 56.61 | 111.94 | 91.06 |
| SR | 1.038 | 0.014 | 1.010 | 1.071 | 1.030 |
| UP | 29.744 | 11.374 | 8.246 | 55.60 | 29.909 |
| CO2E | 0.246 | 0.497 | 0.017 | 3.343 | 0.0947 |
| Instrumental Variables | |||||
| ICC | 0.277 | 0.448 | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.000 |
| CCSEB | 6.988 | 6.408 | 0.144 | 42.219 | 5.631 |
Own source: Author calculation.
Figure 1The time and year heterogeneity for the independent variables: CMU5 heterogeneity (a) across countries and (b) across years; INFM heterogeneity (c) across countries and (d) across years.
Figure 2The time and year heterogeneity for the independent variables: IU heterogeneity (a) across countries and (b) across years; FTS heterogeneity (c) across countries and (d) across years; MCS heterogeneity (e) across countries and (f) across years.
Figure A1Spearman correlation matrix of the dependent (INFM in the top, CMU5 in the bottom) health variables, independent ICT Variables, and socio−economic and environmental control variables.
Panel unit-root tests.
| Symbol | Second-Generation Panel Unit-Root Test | First-Generation Panel Unit-Root Test | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIPS d | CAFD d | CIPS t | CAFD t | LLC | IPS | |
| INFM | −2.5506 * | −5.46 * | −2.159 * | −2.195 * | −27.47 * | −54.70 * |
| CMU5 | −2.55 * | −4.899 * | −2.747 * | −2.388 * | −34.31 * | −74.71 * |
| IU | −2.478 * | 0.225 | −3.475 * | −2.649 * | −6.103 * | −0.749 |
| FTS | −1.6 * | 0.48 | −1.886 * | 2.172 * | −5.01 * | −0.627 |
| MCS | −3.732 * | −8.144 * | −4.002 * | 3.614 * | −23.233 * | −17.663 * |
| GDP | −2.487 * | −1.587 * | −2.731 * | 2.29 * | −4.717 * | −1.097 |
| SCH | −2.592 * | −3.943 * | −2.744 * | −2.98 * | −6.797 * | −4.754 * |
| IM | −2.571 * | −3.902 * | −2.608 * | −1.873 * | −6.758 * | −5.357 * |
| IDPT | −2.268 * | −5.042 * | −2.702 * | −3.116 * | −13.213 * | −9.030 * |
| HE | −2.138 * | −3.262 * | −2.406 * | 2.278 * | −5.633 * | −2.265 * |
| ADR | −0.497 | 4.937 | −0.677 | 5.694 * | 3.023 | 15.379 |
| SR | −2.895 * | −8.99 * | −3.213 * | −8.27 * | −3.9749 * | −10.594 * |
| UP | −1.017 | 5.255 | −2.343 * | −1.728 * | −24.437 * | −5.148 * |
| CO2E | −1.911 * | −1.293 | −2.05 * | 1.455 | 0.777 | −1.748 * |
Note: d: stands for drift; t: stands for trend; significance level * p < 0.1.
Panel Granger causality test results.
| lnCMU5 | lnINFM | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ztilde | Zbar | Wbar | Ztilde | Zbar | Wbar | |
| lnIU | 8.703 *** | 12.19 *** | 4.317 *** | 8.273 *** | 11.618 *** | 4.162 *** |
| lnFTS | 12.489 *** | 17.225 *** | 5.688 *** | 13.606 *** | 18.711 *** | 6.092 *** |
| lnMCS | 39.138 *** | 52.674 *** | 15.336 *** | 35.051 *** | 47.237 *** | 13.856 *** |
Significance level *** p < 0.01.
FE using Driscoll–Kraay robust error estimation results for infant mortality and child mortality under 5.
| INFM | CMU5 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| lnIU | −0.070 *** | −0.040 *** | −0.059 *** | −0.051 *** | ||||
| 0.016 | (0.012) | 0.011 | (0.018) | |||||
| lnFTS | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.001 | 0.008 | ||||
| 0.013 | (0.009) | 0.010 | (0.013) | |||||
| lnMCS | −0.059 *** | −0.030 *** | −0.052 *** | −0.031 *** | ||||
| 0.011 | (0.005) | 0.009 | (0.007) | |||||
| lnGDP | −0.152 *** | −0.286 *** | −0.124 *** | −0.073 *** | −0.114 *** | −0.226 *** | −0.084 *** | −0.110 *** |
| 0.027 | 0.059 | 0.036 | (0.024) | 0.024 | 0.050 | 0.031 | (0.026) | |
| lnSCH | −0.084 | −0.139 | −0.069 | −0.003 | −0.025 | −0.071** | −0.008 | −0.062 |
| 0.071 | 0.065 | 0.070 | (0.038) | 0.038 | 0.031 | 0.037 | (0.073) | |
| lnIM | 0.142 *** | 0.197 *** | 0.191 *** | 0.120 *** | 0.110 ** | 0.157 *** | 0.151 *** | 0.151 *** |
| 0.047 | 0.041 | 0.040 | (0.036) | 0.046 | 0.031 | 0.028 | (0.037) | |
| lnIDPT | −0.167 *** | −0.237 *** | −0.197 *** | −0.120 *** | −0.121 *** | −0.180 *** | −0.144 *** | −0.165 *** |
| 0.047 | 0.064 | 0.058 | (0.027) | 0.037 | 0.047 | 0.039 | (0.040) | |
| lnHE | −0.076 | −0.142 *** | −0.089 ** | −0.071 | −0.083 ** | −0.138 *** | −0.091 ** | −0.064 |
| 0.052 | 0.044 | 0.044 | (0.044) | 0.041 | 0.036 | 0.037 | (0.055) | |
| lnADR | −0.080 | 0.075 | 0.034 | 0.127 | 0.105 | 0.235 * | 0.198 * | −0.057 |
| 0.125 | 0.154 | 0.139 | (0.106) | 0.096 | 0.125 | 0.111 | (0.136) | |
| lnSR | −23.289 *** | −25.727 *** | −26.321 *** | −19.500 *** | −18.768 *** | −20.850 *** | −21.333 *** | −23.955 *** |
| 5.412 | 6.082 | 5.044 | (3.190) | 4.057 | 4.589 | 3.659 | (4.291) | |
| lnUP | −0.079 * | −0.148 ** | −0.100 ** | −0.033 | −0.042 | −0.100 * | −0.057 | −0.069 |
| 0.048 | 0.068 | 0.050 | (0.038) | 0.040 | 0.058 | 0.040 | (0.045) | |
| lnCO2E | 0.039 ** | 0.064 *** | 0.050 *** | 0.025** | 0.026** | 0.048 *** | 0.035 *** | 0.037 ** |
| 0.015 | 0.010 | 0.013 | (0.010) | 0.011 | 0.007 | 0.009 | (0.015) | |
| R2 | 0.850 | 0.805 | 0.846 | 0.859 | 0.825 | 0.781 | 0.817 | 0.832 |
| Adj. R2 | 0.838 | 0.789 | 0.834 | 0.847 | 0.811 | 0.764 | 0.803 | 0.818 |
| F-Stat | 254.624 *** | 184.781 *** | 246.956 *** | 227.488 *** | 211.733 *** | 211.733 *** | 211.733 *** | 184.226 *** |
| Lagrange Multiplier Test (Breusch–Pagan) for balanced panels, X2 | ||||||||
| 1984.1 *** | 1846.2 *** | 1984.1 *** | 1930.7 *** | 1670.5 *** | 1603.2 *** | 1670.5 *** | 1665.3 *** | |
| F test for individual effects | ||||||||
| 124.83 *** | 95.708 *** | 131.94 *** | 126.42 *** | 88.073 *** | 71.707 *** | 91.224 *** | 88.682 *** | |
| Breusch–Pagan LM test for cross-sectional dependence in panels | ||||||||
| 1485.8 *** | 1333.9 *** | 1595.3 *** | 1609 *** | 1381.9 *** | 1287.7 *** | 1549.1 *** | 1565 *** | |
| Pesaran CD test for cross-sectional dependence in panels | ||||||||
| 1572.8 *** | 1380.5 *** | 1661.4 *** | 7.690 *** | 1573.6 *** | 1363.9 *** | 1646.9 *** | 9.518 *** | |
| Hausman Test | ||||||||
| 111.79 *** | 69.428 *** | 553.31 *** | 242.09 *** | 117.69 *** | 80.781 *** | 222.17 *** | 145 *** | |
Note: Significance level * p < 0.1; ** p < 0.05; *** p < 0.01.
FE using Driscoll–Kraay robust errors with IV estimation results for INFM and child mortality under 5.
| CMU5 | INFM | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| lnIU | −0.185 *** | −0.142 *** | ||||
| 0.019 | 0.015 | |||||
| lnFTS | 0.003 | 0.001 | ||||
| 0.013 | 0.010 | |||||
| lnMCS | −0.059 *** | −0.052 *** | ||||
| 0.011 | 0.009 | |||||
| lnGDP | 0.064 ** | −0.286 *** | −0.124 *** | 0.042 ** | −0.226 *** | −0.084 *** |
| 0.029 | 0.059 | 0.036 | 0.020 | 0.050 | 0.031 | |
| lnSCH | 0.005 | −0.139 ** | −0.069 | 0.040 | −0.071 ** | −0.008 |
| 0.081 | 0.065 | 0.070 | 0.047 | 0.031 | 0.037 | |
| lnIM | 0.051 | 0.197 *** | 0.191 *** | 0.044 | 0.157 *** | 0.151 *** |
| 0.092 | 0.041 | 0.040 | 0.081 | 0.031 | 0.028 | |
| lnIDPT | −0.053 | −0.237 *** | −0.197 *** | −0.039 | −0.180 *** | −0.144 *** |
| 0.062 | 0.064 | 0.058 | 0.050 | 0.047 | 0.039 | |
| lnHE | 0.031 | −0.142 *** | −0.089 ** | −0.005 | −0.138 *** | −0.091 ** |
| 0.064 | 0.044 | 0.044 | 0.050 | 0.036 | 0.037 | |
| lnADR | −0.330 | 0.075 | 0.034 | −0.076 | 0.235 * | 0.198 * |
| 0.111 | 0.154 | 0.139 | 0.087 | 0.125 | 0.111 | |
| lnSR | −19.152 *** | −25.727 *** | −26.321 *** | −15.777 *** | −20.850 *** | −21.333 *** |
| 4.916 | 6.082 | 5.044 | 3.742 | 4.589 | 3.659 | |
| lnUP | 0.034 | −0.148 ** | −0.100 ** | 0.040 | −0.100 * | −0.057 |
| 0.065 | 0.068 | 0.050 | 0.047 | 0.058 | 0.040 | |
| lnCO2E | −0.003 | 0.064 *** | 0.050 *** | −0.004 | 0.048 *** | 0.035 *** |
| 0.027 | 0.010 | 0.013 | 0.020 | 0.007 | 0.009 | |
| Total Sum of Squares: | 30.251 | 30.251 | 30.251 | 20.507 | 20.507 | 20.507 |
| Residual Sum of Squares: | 8.796 | 6.619 | 5.526 | 4.905 | 4.008 | 3.154 |
| R-Squared: | 0.741 | 0.781 | 0.817 | 0.782 | 0.804 | 0.846 |
| Adj. R-Squared: | 0.720 | 0.763 | 0.802 | 0.765 | 0.788 | 0.833 |
| Chi-Squared on 10 DF: | 1277.240 | 1602.840 | 2008.710 | 1585.210 | 1847.810 | 2469.560 |
Significance level * p < 0.1; ** p < 0.05; *** p < 0.01.
Two-way FE using Driscoll–Kraay robust error estimation results for infant mortality and child mortality under 5.
| CMU5 | INFM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| lnIU | −0.053 | −0.012 | −0.049 | −0.010 | ||||
| 0.047 | (0.010) | 0.042 | (0.006) | |||||
| lnFTS | −0.007 | −0.005 | −0.006 | −0.004 | ||||
| 0.010 | (0.011) | 0.007 | (0.008) | |||||
| lnMCS | −0.028 *** | −0.023 *** | −0.023 *** | −0.020 *** | ||||
| 0.006 | (0.007) | 0.006 | (0.006) | |||||
| lnGDP | −0.083 * | −0.115 ** | −0.092 ** | −0.083 ** | −0.048 | −0.078 * | −0.058 * | −0.051 |
| 0.045 | 0.046 | 0.040 | (0.039) | 0.036 | 0.040 | 0.034 | (0.034) | |
| lnSCH | −0.042 | −0.050 | −0.037 | −0.038 | 0.013 | 0.006 | 0.017 | 0.016 |
| 0.075 | 0.071 | 0.071 | (0.072) | 0.041 | 0.037 | 0.037 | (0.037) | |
| lnIM | 0.157 *** | 0.221 *** | 0.193 *** | 0.185 *** | 0.126 *** | 0.185 *** | 0.162 *** | 0.155 *** |
| 0.056 | 0.039 | 0.029 | (0.035) | 0.062 | 0.040 | 0.031 | (0.038) | |
| lnIDPT | −0.185 *** | −0.234 *** | −0.213 *** | −0.205 *** | −0.135 *** | −0.180 *** | −0.162 *** | −0.156 *** |
| 0.034 | 0.044 | 0.042 | (0.038) | 0.028 | 0.026 | 0.024 | (0.023) | |
| lnHE | −0.059 | −0.083 | −0.075 | −0.073 | −0.065 | −0.087 ** | −0.080 ** | −0.079 * |
| 0.051 | 0.051 | 0.049 | (0.055) | 0.044 | 0.041 | 0.039 | (0.044) | |
| lnADR | −0.091 | −0.009 | −0.013 | −0.031 | 0.090 | 0.166 | 0.163 | 0.148 |
| 0.108 | 0.128 | 0.135 | (0.138) | 0.091 | 0.101 | 0.107 | (0.107) | |
| lnSR | −19.318 *** | −19.364 *** | −20.299 *** | −20.315 *** | −15.645 *** | −15.671 *** | −16.456 *** | −16.478 *** |
| 4.973 | 4.864 | 4.570 | (4.343) | 3.768 | 3.683 | 3.462 | (3.341) | |
| lnUP | −0.022 | −0.027 | −0.034 | −0.035 | 0.009 | 0.005 | −0.001 | −0.001 |
| 0.024 | 0.034 | 0.030 | (0.024) | 0.017 | 0.027 | 0.023 | (0.019) | |
| lnCO2E | 0.000 | −0.003 | −0.004 | −0.002 | −0.002 | −0.005 | −0.005 | −0.004 |
| 0.015 | 0.008 | 0.006 | (0.008) | 0.012 | 0.005 | 0.004 | (0.006) | |
| R-Squared: | 0.261 | 0.276 | 0.290 | 0.296 | 0.290 | 0.316 | 0.333 | 0.339 |
| Adj. R-Squared: | 0.170 | 0.187 | 0.203 | 0.206 | 0.203 | 0.232 | 0.252 | 0.255 |
| F-statistic on 10 and 432 DF | 160.452 | 164.994 | 177.230 | 15.039 | 190.025 | 200.290 | 216.549 | 18.387 |
Significance level * p < 0.1; ** p < 0.05; *** p < 0.01.
Two-way FE using Driscoll–Kraay robust estimation with IV results for INFM and child mortality under 5.
| CMU5 | INFM | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| lnIU | −0.019 ** | −0.016 *** | ||||
| 0.008 | 0.005 | |||||
| lnFTS | −0.007 | −0.006 | ||||
| 0.010 | 0.007 | |||||
| lnMCS | −0.028 *** | −0.023 *** | ||||
| 0.006 | 0.006 | |||||
| lnGDP | −0.107 *** | −0.115 ** | −0.092 ** | −0.071 ** | −0.078 * | −0.058 * |
| 0.032 | 0.046 | 0.040 | 0.029 | 0.040 | 0.034 | |
| lnSCH | −0.047 | −0.050 | −0.037 | 0.009 | 0.006 | 0.017 |
| 0.071 | 0.071 | 0.071 | 0.038 | 0.037 | 0.037 | |
| lnIM | 0.196 *** | 0.221 *** | 0.193 *** | 0.165 *** | 0.185 *** | 0.162 *** |
| 0.045 | 0.039 | 0.029 | 0.045 | 0.040 | 0.031 | |
| lnIDPT | −0.216 *** | −0.234 *** | −0.213 *** | −0.165 *** | −0.180 *** | −0.162 *** |
| 0.042 | 0.044 | 0.042 | 0.027 | 0.026 | 0.024 | |
| lnHE | −0.073 | −0.083 | −0.075 | −0.078 * | −0.087 ** | −0.08 ** |
| 0.052 | 0.051 | 0.049 | 0.041 | 0.041 | 0.039 | |
| lnADR | −0.040 | −0.009 | −0.013 | 0.141 | 0.166 | 0.163 |
| 0.127 | 0.128 | 0.135 | 0.098 | 0.101 | 0.107 | |
| lnSR | −19.205 *** | −19.364 *** | −20.299 *** | −15.534 *** | −15.671 *** | −16.456 *** |
| 5.023 | 4.864 | 4.570 | 3.776 | 3.683 | 3.462 | |
| lnUP | −0.023 | −0.027 | −0.034 | 0.008 | 0.005 | −0.001 |
| 0.030 | 0.034 | 0.030 | 0.023 | 0.027 | 0.023 | |
| lnCO2E | −0.002 | −0.003 | −0.004 | −0.004 | −0.005 | −0.005 |
| 0.009 | 0.008 | 0.006 | 0.007 | 0.005 | 0.004 | |
| Total Sum of Squares: | 5.733 | 5.733 | 5.733 | 3.438 | 3.438 | 3.438 |
| Residual Sum of Squares: | 4.100 | 4.148 | 4.065 | 2.316 | 2.349 | 2.290 |
| R-Squared: | 0.284 | 0.276 | 0.290 | 0.326 | 0.316 | 0.333 |
| Adj. R-Squared: | 0.197 | 0.187 | 0.203 | 0.243 | 0.232 | 0.252 |
| F-statistic on 10 and 432 DF: | 17.209 | 16.499 | 17.723 | 20.913 | 20.029 | 21.654 |
Significance level * p < 0.1; ** p < 0.05; *** p < 0.01.
PCCE using Driscoll–Kraay robust error estimation results for infant mortality and child mortality under 5.
| CMU5 | INFM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| lnIU | −0.003 *** | −0.001 | −0.002 *** | −0.001 | ||||
| (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | |||||
| lnFTS | 0.000 | −0.011 ** | −0.002 | −0.006 ** | ||||
| (0.002) | (0.004) | (0.003) | (0.002) | |||||
| lnMCS | 0.000 | 0.002 *** | −0.001 | 0.000 | ||||
| (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | |||||
| lnGDP | −0.001 | −0.009 | −0.004 | 0.005 | −0.006 ** | −0.012 * | −0.005 * | −0.005 |
| (0.005) | (0.007) | (0.003) | (0.007) | (0.003) | (0.007) | (0.003) | (0.003) | |
| lnSCH | 0.002 | −0.009 | −0.005 | −0.023 ** | −0.006 * | −0.031 ** | −0.009 ** | −0.012 * |
| (0.004) | (0.006) | (0.004) | (0.009) | (0.003) | (0.012) | (0.004) | (0.006) | |
| lnIM | 0.012 *** | 0.029 *** | −0.004 | −0.026 ** | 0.005 | 0.014 ** | −0.01 ** | −0.016 ** |
| (0.004) | (0.01) | (0.008) | (0.013) | (0.003) | −0.006 | (0.004) | (0.008) | |
| lnIDPT | −0.021 *** | −0.017 ** | 0.000 | 0.016 * | −0.013 *** | −0.010 | 0.006 * | 0.013 ** |
| (0.005) | (0.009) | (0.007) | (0.01) | (0.003) | (0.009) | (0.003) | (0.006) | |
| lnHE | −0.001 | −0.015 *** | 0.008 *** | 0.015 ** | 0.001 | −0.006 ** | 0.009 *** | 0.012 *** |
| (0.004) | (0.004) | (0.003) | (0.006) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.001) | (0.004) | |
| lnADR | 0.115 *** | 0.129 *** | −0.105 | −0.159 * | 0.033 | 0.071 ** | −0.159 *** | −0.169 *** |
| (0.026) | (0.025) | (0.074) | (0.087) | (0.023) | (0.03) | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
| lnSR | −0.141 | −0.120 | −0.007 | −2.665 ** | 0.051 | 0.068 | 0.227 | −0.888 |
| (0.794) | (0.933) | (0.736) | (1.076) | (0.618) | (1.154) | (0.58) | (0.928) | |
| lnUP | −0.069 | 0.125 | 0.075 ** | 0.118 ** | 0.025 | 0.203 *** | 0.136 *** | 0.185 *** |
| (0.051) | (0.079) | (0.037) | (0.046) | (0.055) | (0.059) | (0.02) | (0.036) | |
| lnCO2E | −0.009 *** | −0.007 *** | −0.009 *** | −0.009 *** | −0.004 *** | −0.006 *** | −0.005 *** | −0.005 *** |
| (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.001) | |
| Total Sum of Squares: | 131,245 | 131,245 | 131,245 | 131,245 | 90,734 | 90,734 | 90,734 | 90,734 |
| Residual Sum of Squares: | 0.017 | 0.038 | 0.013 | 0.008 | 0.009 | 0.023 | 0.006 | 0.003 |
| HPY R2: | 0.998 | 0.996 | 0.999 | 0.999 | 0.999 | 0.997 | 0.999 | 0.999 |
Significance level * p < 0.1; ** p < 0.05; *** p < 0.01.
System-GMM estimation results for infant mortality and child mortality under 5.
| INFM | CMU5 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| IU | −0.093 *** | −0.105 *** | ||||
| (0.026) | (0.030) | |||||
| FTS | −0.051 | −0.046 | ||||
| (0.033) | (0.037) | |||||
| MCS | −0.036 | −0.040 | ||||
| (0.024) | (0.027) | |||||
| GDP | −0.170 * | −0.281 ** | −0.270 ** | −0.136 | −0.271 ** | −0.249 ** |
| (0.091) | (0.124) | (0.109) | (0.102) | (0.134) | (0.117) | |
| SCH | −0.132 | −0.167 | −0.181 * | −0.276 *** | −0.317 *** | −0.331 *** |
| (0.097) | (0.102) | (0.095) | (0.102) | (0.104) | (0.100) | |
| IM | −0.292 | −0.122 | −0.176 | −0.370 | −0.181 | −0.238 |
| (0.319) | (0.314) | (0.321) | (0.342) | (0.342) | (0.347) | |
| IDPT | 0.252 | 0.118 | 0.165 | 0.313 | 0.159 | 0.213 |
| (0.316) | (0.327) | (0.330) | (0.332) | (0.352) | (0.349) | |
| HE | 0.115 | −0.001 | 0.070 | 0.127 | 0.003 | 0.076 |
| (0.084) | (0.105) | (0.101) | (0.091) | (0.112) | (0.111) | |
| ADR | 1.176 *** | 1.104 *** | 1.176 *** | 1.172 *** | 1.468 *** | 1.382 *** |
| (0.096) | (0.110) | (0.096) | (0.102) | (0.106) | (0.108) | |
| SR | −2.547 | −3.824 * | −2.547 | −6.324 *** | −5.040 * | −6.285 *** |
| (2.576) | (2.221) | (2.576) | (2.030) | (2.718) | (2.214) | |
| UP | 0.395 *** | 0.388 *** | 0.431 *** | 0.333 *** | 0.334 *** | 0.374 *** |
| (0.075) | (0.101) | (0.088) | (0.088) | (0.110) | (0.098) | |
| CO2E | −0.136 ** | −0.054 | −0.114 ** | −0.155 ** | −0.070 | −0.130 ** |
| (0.064) | (0.044) | (0.056) | (0.068) | (0.049) | (0.060) | |
| Sargan test: chisq (162) = | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Autocorrelation test (1): normal = | −1.230 | −0.615 | −0.957 | −1.595 | −1.168 | −1.405 |
| 0.219 | 0.538 | 0.338 | 0.111 | 0.243 | 0.160 | |
| Autocorrelation test (2): normal = | −0.432 | −0.187 | −0.410 | −0.693 | −0.361 | −0.529 |
| 0.665 | 0.852 | 0.682 | 0.489 | 0.718 | 0.597 | |
| Wald test for coefficients: chisq (10) = | 37,675.47 | 25,405.61 | 27,954.66 | 63,688.66 | 27,759.88 | 32,799.97 |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
Note: Significance level * p < 0.1; ** p < 0.05; *** p < 0.01.