| Literature DB >> 35722289 |
Alan Douglas de Lima Rocha1, Rafaela Gomes Ferrari1, Walter Esfrain Pereira2, Laiorayne Araújo de Lima1, Patrícia Emília Naves Givisiez1, Andrea Isabel Moreno-Switt3, Magaly Toro4, Enrique Jesús Delgado-Suárez5, Jianghong Meng6, Celso José Bruno de Oliveira1.
Abstract
The increasing number of studies reporting the presence of Salmonella in environmental water sources suggests that it is beyond incidental findings originated from sparse fecal contamination events. However, there is no consensus on the occurrence of Salmonella as its relative serovar representation across non-recycled water sources. We conducted a meta-analysis of proportions by fitting a random-effects model using the restricted maximum-likelihood estimator to obtain the weighted average proportion and between-study variance associated with the occurrence of Salmonella in water sources. Moreover, meta-regression and non-parametric supervised machine learning method were performed to predict the effect of moderators on the frequency of Salmonella in non-recycled water sources. Three sequential steps (identification of information sources, screening and eligibility) were performed to obtain a preliminary selection from identified abstracts and article titles. Questions related to the frequency of Salmonella in aquatic environments, as well as putative differences in the relative frequencies of the reported Salmonella serovars and the role of potential variable moderators (sample source, country, and sample volume) were formulated according to the population, intervention, comparison, and outcome method (PICO). The results were reported according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyzes statement (PRISMA). A total of 26 eligible papers reporting 148 different Salmonella serovars were retrieved. According to our model, the Salmonella frequency in non-recycled water sources was 0.19 [CI: 0.14; 0.25]. The source of water was identified as the most import variable affecting the frequency of Salmonella, estimated as 0.31 and 0.17% for surface and groundwater, respectively. There was a higher frequency of Salmonella in countries with lower human development index (HDI). Small volume samples of surface water resulted in lower detectable Salmonella frequencies both in high and low HDI regions. Relative frequencies of the 148 serovars were significantly affected only by HDI and volume. Considering that serovars representation can also be affected by water sample volume, efforts toward the standardization of water samplings for monitoring purposes should be considered. Further approaches such as metagenomics could provide more comprehensive insights about the microbial ecology of fresh water and its importance for the quality and safety of agricultural products.Entities:
Keywords: agriculture; epidemiology; foodborne pathogens; meta-analysis; one health; salmonellosis; systematic review
Year: 2022 PMID: 35722289 PMCID: PMC9201643 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2022.802625
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Microbiol ISSN: 1664-302X Impact factor: 6.064
FIGURE 1PRISMA flow diagram showing the sequential steps for articles selection and inclusion in the meta-analysis.
Relative representation of Salmonella enterica serovars associated with surface and groundwater sources that have been reported in peer-reviewed scientific publications addressing the occurrence of Salmonella in aquatic environments between the years 2015 and 2020 (Only serovars reported in at least five different studies are considered).
| Serovar | Source | Relative representation, % | References |
| Surface water | 1.14–58% | ||
| Groundwater | 5.55 and 43.18% | ||
| Surface water | 0.29–37.31% | ||
| Groundwater | 9.09–90.91% | ||
| Surface water | 0.75–50% | ||
| Groundwater | 100% | ||
| Surface water | 1.69–16.21% | ||
| Groundwater | 0% | ||
| Surface water | 1.17–18.3% | ||
| Groundwater | 36.36% |
| |
| Surface water | 0.29–76% | ||
| Groundwater | 0% | ||
| Surface water | 0.89–19.54% | ||
| Groundwater | 0% | ||
| Surface water | 1.83–86.67% | ||
| Groundwater | 0% | ||
| Surface water | 1.15–12.31% | ||
| Groundwater | 3.85% |
| |
| Surface water | 0.44–24.89% | ||
| Groundwater | 9.1% |
| |
| Surface water | 0.85–9.52% | ||
| Groundwater | 0% | ||
| Surface water | 0.75–10.85% | ||
| Groundwater | 0% | ||
| Surface water | 0.19–21.21% | ||
| Groundwater | 16.67% |
| |
| Surface water | 0.89–14.84% | ||
| Groundwater | 0% | ||
| Surface water | 4.72–20.52% | ||
| Groundwater | 15.38% |
| |
| Surface water | 0.85–11.11% | ||
| Groundwater | 0% | ||
| Surface water | 1.49–8.1% | ||
| Groundwater | 0% |
FIGURE 2Frequency of Salmonella enterica serovars detected in non-recycled surface water (A) and groundwater samples (B) as per reported in 26 peer reviewed scientific publications between the years 2015 and 2020.
FIGURE 3Forest plot showing the summary effect size of proportions of Salmonella frequencies in non-recycled water sources using 26 selected articles and 29 observations. This summary effect size was obtained in R 4.11 (package metafor) by fitting a random-effects model using the restricted maximum-likelihood estimator (RMLE). Heterogeneity parameters and statistics are indicated in the model.
FIGURE 4Decision tree predicting the frequency of Salmonella in non-recycled water sources in function of the moderator variables source (surface or groundwater), human development index (HDI) of the country from which the samples originated (high or low) and water sample volume (< 1 L or ≥ 1 L). The predictive algorithm has been built in R (package rpart) using meta-analysis data of 26 peer reviewed scientific publications between the years 2015 and 2020.
FIGURE 5Heatmap of the relative frequencies of Salmonella enterica serovars isolated from surface and groundwater sources as per reported in 26 peer-reviewed scientific publications between the years 2015 and 2020. The heatmap was built in R (package ComplexHeatmap).
FIGURE 6Heatmap of the relative frequencies of Salmonella enterica serovars isolated from non-recycled water sources according to the human development index (HDI) of countries associated with 26 peer-reviewed scientific publications between the years 2015 and 2020. The heatmap was built in R (package ComplexHeatmap).
FIGURE 7Heatmap of the relative frequencies of Salmonella enterica serovars isolated from non-recycled water sources according to the water sample volume used in 26 peer-reviewed scientific publications between the years 2015 and 2020. The heatmap was built in R (package ComplexHeatmap).