| Literature DB >> 35722223 |
Sunbin Yoo1, Alexander Ryota Keeley1, Shunsuke Managi1.
Abstract
As a market for sustainability investing is growing rapidly, understanding the impact of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) activities on firms' financial performance is becoming increasingly important. In this study, we examine the effect of ESG performance on stock returns and volatility during the financial crisis resulting from the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. To quantify the impact, we use company-level daily ESG score data and United Nations Global Compact (GC) score data. In our dataset, ESG scores indicate ESG performance that is deemed important to financial materiality, and the GC score indicates the firm reputation for following UN rules. Our results indicate that during the pandemic, an increase in the ESG score, especially the E score component, is related to higher returns and lower volatility. Conversely, increasing GC scores is correlated with lower stock returns and higher volatility. In addition, we find that firms in lower return groups benefit more than other firms. Focusing on energy sector impacts, we show that although the non-energy sector benefits more than the energy sector from increasing E scores, energy sector firms can still reduce their stock price volatility by increasing these scores. Our study offers significant implications for ESG investment strategies during financial crises.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Environmental; Governance; Reputation; Social; Stock return
Year: 2021 PMID: 35722223 PMCID: PMC9188489 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112330
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Energy Policy ISSN: 0301-4215 Impact factor: 7.576
GC scores and descriptions.
| GC Scores | Descriptions |
|---|---|
| Human Rights (GC_HR Score) | Human Rights, Labor Rights, Occupational Health and Safety, |
| Employment Quality, Diversity, Community Relations | |
| Product Quality and Safety, Product Access | |
| Labor Rights (GC_LR Score) | Labor Rights, Occupational Health and Safety, |
| Diversity, Compensation | |
| Training and Development, Employment Quality | |
| Environment (GC_E Score) | Emissions, Waste, Environmental Stewardships & Management |
| Resource Use, Water, Environmental Solutions | |
| Anti-Corruption (GC_AC Score) | Anti-Corruption Business Ethics |
| Corporate Governance, Transparency |
Descriptive statistics.
| Before COVID-19 | Obs. | Mean | Std. Dev. | 25% Percentile | Median | 75% Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price (Million USD) | 8568 | 60.326 | 206.190 | 8.470 | 25.440 | 57.400 |
| Return | 8556 | 0.074 | 3.534 | -0.045 | 0.001 | 0.035 |
| Abnormal Return | 8556 | 0.484 | 4.701 | -3.796 | 2.416 | 2.897 |
| Volatility | 8558 | 1.149 | 12.279 | 0.106 | 0.251 | 0.560 |
| E score | 8495 | 50.678 | 13.866 | 36.910 | 49.527 | 62.505 |
| S score | 8495 | 52.920 | 8.716 | 45.970 | 52.785 | 59.720 |
| G score | 8495 | 50.133 | 13.208 | 40.597 | 50.850 | 59.648 |
| GC HR score | 8587 | 51.318 | 9.825 | 43.595 | 51.396 | 59.088 |
| GC LR score | 8589 | 53.234 | 9.362 | 46.023 | 53.515 | 60.587 |
| GC E score | 8589 | 50.324 | 13.542 | 37.050 | 48.970 | 61.936 |
| GC AC score | 8589 | 54.666 | 5.435 | 51.869 | 54.763 | 58.155 |
| Obs. | Mean | Std. Dev. | 25% Percentile | Median | 75% Percentile | |
| Stock Price (Million USD) | 19,951 | 59.332 | 214.950 | 7.270 | 22.590 | 55.150 |
| Return | 19,925 | -0.014 | 1.389 | -0.037 | 0.004 | 0.038 |
| Abnormal Return | 11,396 | 2.296 | 1.672 | 1.770 | 2.505 | 3.006 |
| Volatility | 19,967 | 0.294 | 1.361 | 0.036 | 0.062 | 0.123 |
| E score | 19,722 | 50.750 | 13.846 | 36.931 | 49.678 | 62.520 |
| S score | 19,722 | 52.936 | 8.694 | 46.025 | 52.773 | 59.649 |
| G score | 19,722 | 50.135 | 13.332 | 40.499 | 50.767 | 59.794 |
| GC HR score | 19,998 | 51.330 | 9.784 | 43.643 | 51.428 | 59.022 |
| GC LR score | 19,999 | 53.206 | 9.326 | 46.037 | 53.460 | 60.516 |
| GC E score | 19,999 | 50.362 | 13.513 | 37.074 | 49.133 | 61.888 |
| GC AC score | 19,999 | 54.680 | 5.410 | 51.854 | 54.783 | 58.131 |
Note: Returns, abnormal returns, and volatility are measured in monthly terms.
Fig. 1Time Trends of the stock Return and ESG scores and GC scores.
Relationship between ESG metrics and returns.
| Model (1) | Model (2) | Model (3) | Model (4) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | Abnormal | Return | Abnormal | |
| COVID * E score | 0.150** | 0.127 | 0.157** | 0.128 |
| (0.0706) | (0.0960) | (0.0705) | (0.0959) | |
| COVID* GC-E score | -0.145** | -0.123 | -0.149** | -0.123 |
| (0.0732) | (0.0994) | (0.0731) | (0.0994) | |
| E Score | -0.0426 | 0.228 | -0.0446 | 0.228 |
| (0.123) | (0.171) | (0.123) | (0.171) | |
| GC-E Score | 0.0230 | -0.248 | 0.0227 | -0.249 |
| (0.128) | (0.179) | (0.128) | (0.179) | |
| COVID* S score | -0.0260 | -0.0572 | -0.0436 | -0.0598 |
| (0.0521) | (0.0707) | (0.0515) | (0.0698) | |
| COVID* GC HR score | -0.0312 | -0.000978 | -0.0255 | -0.000118 |
| (0.0452) | (0.0613) | (0.0451) | (0.0612) | |
| COVID* GC HR score | 0.0135 | 0.00995 | 0.0202 | 0.0109 |
| (0.0315) | (0.0427) | (0.0313) | (0.0425) | |
| S score | 0.0520 | 0.328** | 0.0648 | 0.330** |
| (0.0930) | (0.130) | (0.0928) | (0.130) | |
| GC HR score | -0.0131 | -0.355*** | -0.0183 | -0.355*** |
| (0.0905) | (0.127) | (0.0905) | (0.127) | |
| GC LR score | 0.00610 | 0.0834 | 0.00142 | 0.0828 |
| (0.0615) | (0.0861) | (0.0615) | (0.0860) | |
| COVID* G score | 0.0110 | 0.0107 | 0.00665 | 0.0100 |
| (0.00824) | (0.0112) | (0.00798) | (0.0108) | |
| COVID* GC AC score | 0.0735*** | 0.0759** | 0.0351** | 0.0702*** |
| (0.0251) | (0.0341) | (0.0174) | (0.0236) | |
| G score | -0.0125 | -0.0126 | -0.00972 | -0.0123 |
| (0.0151) | (0.0207) | (0.0151) | (0.0207) | |
| GC AC score | -0.0623 | -0.0211 | -0.0372 | -0.0180 |
| (0.0460) | (0.0647) | (0.0445) | (0.0633) | |
| COVID | -2.494*** | -0.370 | ||
| (1.167) | (1.592) | |||
| Constant | 3.315 | -1.524 | 1.609 | -1.716 |
| (13.99) | (9.930) | (13.97) | (9.896) | |
| N | 28,125 | 19,714 | 28,125 | 19,714 |
| R-sq | 0.101 | 0.145 | 0.101 | 0.145 |
Note: Standard errors are shown in parentheses. ∗ p < 0.1; *p < 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***.
Relationship between ESG metrics and volatility.
| Model (1) | Model (2) | |
|---|---|---|
| COVID * E score | -0.413*** | -0.418*** |
| (0.0615) | (0.0615) | |
| COVID* GC-E score | 0.408*** | 0.412*** |
| (0.0638) | (0.064) | |
| E Score | 0.456*** | 0.457*** |
| (0.107) | (0.107) | |
| GC-E Score | -0.445*** | -0.445*** |
| (0.112) | (0.112) | |
| COVID* S score | 0.040 | 0.053 |
| (0.0455) | (0.045) | |
| COVID* GC HR score | 0.035 | 0.031 |
| (0.0394) | (0.039) | |
| COVID* GC LR score | -0.050* | -0.055** |
| (0.0275) | (0.027) | |
| S score | -0.043 | -0.0531 |
| (0.0813) | (0.081) | |
| GC HR score | -0.016 | -0.012 |
| (0.0793) | (0.079) | |
| GC LR score | 0.0322 | 0.036 |
| (0.0537) | (0.054) | |
| COVID* G score | -0.0285*** | -0.025*** |
| (0.00719) | (0.007) | |
| COVID* GC AC score | -0.0436** | -0.015 |
| (0.0219) | (0.015) | |
| G score | 0.0202 | 0.0181 |
| (0.0132) | (0.013) | |
| GC AC score | 0.0140 | -0.005 |
| (0.0401) | (0.04) | |
| COVID | 1.866* | |
| (1.030) | ||
| Constant | -0.206 | 1.077 |
| (159438.5) | (160069.9) | |
| N | 28164 | 28164 |
| R-sq | 0.311 | 0.311 |
Note: Standard errors are shown in parentheses. ∗ p < 0.1; *p < 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***.
Estimation results according to return levels.
| Model (1) | Model (2) | Model (3) | Model (4) | Model (5) | Model (6) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Return | Low Return | High Abnormal Return | Low Abnormal Return | High Volatility | Low | |
| COVID * E score | -0.0173 | 0.167** | -0.0283* | 0.166** | -0.409*** | -0.000426*** |
| (0.0153) | (0.0685) | (0.0158) | (0.0684) | (0.0616) | (0.000122) | |
| COVID* GC-E score | 0.0196 | -0.164** | 0.0319* | -0.164** | 0.405*** | 0.000602*** |
| (0.0159) | (0.0710) | (0.0164) | (0.0709) | (0.0639) | (0.000126) | |
| E Score | -0.00871 | -0.0351 | -0.000186 | -0.0263 | 0.454*** | 0.000249 |
| (0.0266) | (0.118) | (0.0275) | (0.118) | (0.107) | (0.000210) | |
| GC-E Score | -0.00676 | 0.0309 | -0.0161 | 0.0218 | -0.442*** | -0.000295 |
| (0.0279) | (0.124) | (0.0287) | (0.124) | (0.112) | (0.000220) | |
| COVID* S score | -0.00243 | -0.0227 | -0.00939 | -0.0202 | 0.0380 | -0.000621*** |
| (0.0113) | (0.0506) | (0.0117) | (0.0505) | (0.0455) | (0.0000898) | |
| COVID* GC HR score | -0.00897 | -0.0226 | -0.00134 | -0.0247 | 0.0373 | 0.000544*** |
| (0.00981) | (0.0439) | (0.0101) | (0.0438) | (0.0394) | (0.0000778) | |
| COVID* GC LR score | -0.00347 | 0.0166 | -0.00273 | 0.0164 | -0.0499* | 0.000228*** |
| (0.00684) | (0.0306) | (0.00705) | (0.0305) | (0.0275) | (0.0000543) | |
| S score | 0.0172 | 0.0349 | 0.0272 | 0.0355 | -0.0423 | 0.000426*** |
| (0.0202) | (0.0905) | (0.0208) | (0.0903) | (0.0812) | (0.000161) | |
| GC HR score | 0.00997 | -0.0235 | -0.00231 | -0.0229 | -0.0173 | -0.000256 |
| (0.0197) | (0.0880) | (0.0203) | (0.0879) | (0.0790) | (0.000156) | |
| GC LR score | -0.00750 | 0.0136 | -0.00637 | 0.0138 | 0.0328 | -0.000195* |
| (0.0134) | (0.0598) | (0.0138) | (0.0597) | (0.0537) | (0.000106) | |
| COVID* G score | -0.00294 | 0.0139* | -0.000791 | 0.0133* | -0.0291*** | 0.0000978*** |
| (0.00179) | (0.00801) | (0.00184) | (0.00800) | (0.00719) | (0.0000142) | |
| COVID* GC AC score | 0.0214*** | 0.0518** | 0.0174*** | 0.0529** | -0.0417* | -0.000111** |
| (0.00545) | (0.0244) | (0.00562) | (0.0244) | (0.0219) | (0.0000433) | |
| G score | 0.000820 | -0.0132 | -0.000562 | -0.0127 | 0.0207 | -0.0000895*** |
| (0.00329) | (0.0147) | (0.00339) | (0.0147) | (0.0132) | (0.0000261) | |
| GC AC score | -0.0131 | -0.0489 | -0.00998 | -0.0511 | 0.0124 | 0.0000768 |
| (0.01000) | (0.0447) | (0.0103) | (0.0446) | (0.0401) | (0.0000794) | |
| COVID | -0.607** | -1.886* | -0.574** | -1.861 | 1.922* | -0.0227*** |
| (0.255) | (1.141) | (0.263) | (1.139) | (1.024) | (0.00202) | |
| Constant | 0.431 | 1.616 | 1.703 | 2.871 | 2.996 | -0.0107 |
| (3.039) | (9.926) | (3.132) | (9.909) | (11.64) | (0.0176) | |
| N | 28125 | 28216 | 28125 | 28216 | 28164 | 28216 |
| R-sq | 0.105 | 0.101 | 0.103 | 0.101 | 0.310 | 0.465 |
Note: Standard errors are shown in parentheses. ∗ p < 0.1; *p < 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***.
Estimation results for the energy sector.
| Model (1) | Model (2) | Model (3) | Model (4) | Model (5) | Model (6) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | Return | Abnormal | Abnormal | Volatility | Volatility | |
| Energy | Non-Energy | Energy | Non-Energy | Energy | Non-Energy | |
| COVID * E score | 0.0858 | 0.148** | 0.161 | 0.123 | -0.395*** | -0.409*** |
| (0.181) | (0.0743) | (0.257) | (0.101) | (0.139) | (0.0649) | |
| COVID* GC-E score | -0.0962 | -0.140* | -0.176 | -0.116 | 0.340** | 0.404*** |
| (0.180) | (0.0773) | (0.256) | (0.105) | (0.138) | (0.0675) | |
| E Score | -0.334 | -0.0171 | -0.472 | 0.273 | 0.524*** | 0.446*** |
| (0.241) | (0.130) | (0.345) | (0.181) | (0.185) | (0.114) | |
| GC-E Score | 0.282 | -0.000597 | 0.458 | -0.294 | -0.421** | -0.438*** |
| (0.246) | (0.136) | (0.353) | (0.190) | (0.188) | (0.119) | |
| COVID* S score | -0.0892 | -0.0219 | -0.0645 | -0.0581 | -0.0856 | 0.0563 |
| (0.0737) | (0.0567) | (0.105) | (0.0768) | (0.0566) | (0.0495) | |
| COVID* GC HR score | 0.0844 | -0.0439 | 0.0753 | -0.0107 | 0.181*** | 0.0264 |
| (0.0781) | (0.0484) | (0.111) | (0.0656) | (0.0600) | (0.0422) | |
| COVID* GC LR score | -0.0533 | 0.0209 | -0.0797 | 0.0193 | -0.157*** | -0.0479 |
| (0.0486) | (0.0341) | (0.0691) | (0.0463) | (0.0374) | (0.0298) | |
| S score | 0.211 | 0.0449 | 0.364* | 0.330** | -0.111 | -0.0471 |
| (0.149) | (0.0999) | (0.217) | (0.139) | (0.114) | (0.0872) | |
| GC HR score | -0.267* | 0.00464 | -0.534** | -0.342** | -0.0653 | -0.0119 |
| (0.154) | (0.0964) | (0.229) | (0.136) | (0.119) | (0.0841) | |
| GC LR score | 0.130 | -0.00512 | 0.301** | 0.0639 | 0.161** | 0.0271 |
| (0.0867) | (0.0667) | (0.130) | (0.0930) | (0.0665) | (0.0582) | |
| COVID* G score | 0.0132 | 0.0113 | 0.00936 | 0.0110 | 0.00167 | -0.0298*** |
| (0.0154) | (0.00873) | (0.0220) | (0.0118) | (0.0119) | (0.00762) | |
| COVID* GC AC score | 0.0929* | 0.0746*** | 0.116* | 0.0759** | 0.129*** | -0.0575** |
| (0.0485) | (0.0269) | (0.0690) | (0.0365) | (0.0373) | (0.0235) | |
| G score | -0.0372 | -0.0118 | -0.0307 | -0.0122 | 0.00851 | 0.0208 |
| (0.0295) | (0.0160) | (0.0425) | (0.0219) | (0.0227) | (0.0140) | |
| GC AC score | -0.0725 | -0.0637 | -0.0610 | -0.0212 | -0.107* | 0.0229 |
| (0.0822) | (0.0490) | (0.121) | (0.0687) | (0.0634) | (0.0427) | |
| COVID | -2.087 | -2.638** | -0.344 | -0.454 | -1.268 | 2.170** |
| (2.395) | (1.256) | (3.417) | (1.703) | (1.845) | (1.097) | |
| Constant | 7.757 | 4.543 | -0.615 | -0.462 | 1.428 | -1.940 |
| (6.638) | (13.96) | (5.397) | (16.30) | (5.288) | (13.03) | |
| N | 2009 | 26116 | 1407 | 18307 | 2016 | 26148 |
| R-sq | 0.109 | 0.101 | 0.162 | 0.145 | 0.428 | 0.310 |
Note: Standard errors are shown in parentheses. ∗ p < 0.1; *p < 0.05; **p < 0.01; ***.
Correlation Matrix between ESG-GC score.
| E score | GC_E score | S score | GC_HR score | GC_LR score | G score | GC_AC score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E score | 1 | ||||||
| GC_E score | 0.994 | 1 | |||||
| S score | 0.763 | 0.769 | 1 | ||||
| GC_HR score | 0.782 | 0.788 | 0.964 | 1 | |||
| GC_LR score | 0.698 | 0.703 | 0.921 | 0.909 | 1 | ||
| G score | -0.006 | -0.002 | 0.03 | 0.011 | 0.019 | 1 | |
| GC_AC score | 0.413 | 0.416 | 0.548 | 0.506 | 0.571 | 0.092 | 1 |
Correlation Matrix between Lagged ESG score and GC score.
| (lagged) E Score | (lagged) S score | (lagged) G score | GC-HR score | GC-LR | GC-E | GC-AC score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (lagged) E score | 1 | ||||||
| (lagged) S score | 0.7631 | 1 | |||||
| (lagged) G score | -0.0055 | 0.0305 | 1 | ||||
| GC-E score | 0.006 | 0.0037 | 0.0058 | 1 | |||
| GC-HR score | 0.0041 | 0.0034 | 0.0073 | 0.7882 | 1 | ||
| GC-LR score | 0.0025 | 0.0028 | 0.0074 | 0.7032 | 0.9087 | 1 | |
| GC-AC score | -0.0021 | -0.0024 | 0.0025 | 0.4158 | 0.5062 | 0.5706 | 1 |
The list of sectors and their mean scores
| Sectors | N | Portion (%) | E score | S score | G score | GC_HR score | GC_LR score | GC_E score | GC_AC score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial Services | 954 | 3.34 | 48.04 | 53.78 | 49.58 | 52.04 | 54.96 | 47.90 | 55.41 |
| Communications | 360 | 1.26 | 55.55 | 53.63 | 46.47 | 53.37 | 54.53 | 54.63 | 55.51 |
| Consumer Durables | 1004 | 3.51 | 55.84 | 53.55 | 50.81 | 52.27 | 54.07 | 55.13 | 54.24 |
| Consumer Non-Durables | 1232 | 4.31 | 55.23 | 56.82 | 51.28 | 56.51 | 56.78 | 55.08 | 54.57 |
| Consumer Services | 1449 | 5.07 | 47.70 | 51.92 | 49.21 | 50.47 | 52.14 | 46.83 | 54.17 |
| Distribution Services | 715 | 2.5 | 53.87 | 54.93 | 48.50 | 53.91 | 55.81 | 53.61 | 54.75 |
| Electronic Technology | 1893 | 6.62 | 55.50 | 55.28 | 51.76 | 54.03 | 54.90 | 54.46 | 55.17 |
| Energy Minerals | 1113 | 3.89 | 52.73 | 54.08 | 50.39 | 51.13 | 55.72 | 52.38 | 57.62 |
| Finance | 4745 | 16.6 | 44.80 | 50.05 | 50.00 | 47.42 | 50.17 | 44.55 | 53.95 |
| Health Services | 443 | 1.55 | 44.75 | 53.06 | 45.61 | 51.83 | 55.25 | 44.17 | 53.87 |
| Health Technology | 3065 | 10.72 | 42.24 | 47.35 | 48.72 | 45.41 | 47.82 | 42.07 | 52.58 |
| Industrial Services | 1250 | 4.37 | 51.49 | 52.05 | 52.22 | 50.52 | 52.70 | 50.86 | 55.05 |
| Miscellaneous | 30 | 0.1 | 56.14 | 49.61 | 39.55 | 48.03 | 53.74 | 54.14 | 56.39 |
| Non-Energy Minerals | 1539 | 5.38 | 55.32 | 55.26 | 50.96 | 53.30 | 55.64 | 54.66 | 56.53 |
| Process Industries | 1459 | 5.1 | 60.27 | 57.48 | 49.81 | 56.72 | 56.81 | 59.98 | 56.09 |
| Producer Manufacturing | 2369 | 8.29 | 56.68 | 55.57 | 49.99 | 55.16 | 55.28 | 56.23 | 55.06 |
| Retail Trade | 1257 | 4.4 | 50.37 | 54.92 | 52.15 | 53.39 | 54.84 | 50.51 | 54.22 |
| Technology Services | 1763 | 6.17 | 45.12 | 52.08 | 49.64 | 50.07 | 52.06 | 45.65 | 53.29 |
| Transportation | 1010 | 3.53 | 53.98 | 53.26 | 50.15 | 51.73 | 53.64 | 53.00 | 54.47 |
| Utilities | 940 | 3.29 | 59.29 | 54.72 | 51.68 | 54.03 | 56.08 | 59.48 | 58.08 |
Welch's T test result
| Variable | T-test value | [95.% Conf. Interval of differences between pre-post COVID-19] | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return | -0.6624 | -0.42 | 0.21 |
| Volatility | 6.018 | 0.65 | 1.28 |
| E score | -0.390 | -0.42 | 0.28 |
| S score | -0.1411 | -0.24 | 0.21 |
| G score | 0.007 | -0.34 | 0.34 |
| GC_EN score | -0.2174 | -0.38 | 0.30 |
| GC_HR score | -0.0942 | -0.26 | 0.24 |
| GC_AC score | -0.1850 | -0.15 | 0.12 |
| GC_LR score | 0.2372 | -0.21 | 0.26 |
Correlation Analysis of Lagged Stock Return and ESG/GC Scores
| Lagged Stock Return | E score | S score | G score | GC_E score | GC_HR score | GC_LR score | GC_AC score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lagged Stock Return | 1 | |||||||
| E score | -0.001 | 1 | ||||||
| S score | -0.004 | 0.763 | 1 | |||||
| G score | -0.001 | -0.006 | 0.03 | 1 | ||||
| GC_E score | -0.002 | 0.994 | 0.769 | -0.002 | 1 | |||
| GC_HR score | -0.004 | 0.782 | 0.964 | 0.011 | 0.788 | 1 | ||
| GC_LR score | -0.006 | 0.698 | 0.921 | 0.019 | 0.703 | 0.909 | 1 | |
| GC_AC score | -0.001 | 0.413 | 0.548 | 0.092 | 0.416 | 0.506 | 0.571 | 1 |