| Literature DB >> 35721420 |
Nicholaus P Mnyambwa1,2, Clara Lubinza1, Esther Ngadaya1,2, Mbazi Senkoro1, Godfather Kimaro1, Gibson B Kagaruki1, Stanley Binagi3, Amani Malima3, Paul Kazyoba4, Ndekya Oriyo4, Janneth M Mghamba5, Aman Fredrick1, Kaushik Ramaiya6, Alimuddin Zumla7, Shabbar Jaffar8, Sayoki G Mfinanga1,8,9,10.
Abstract
Background: A prospective cohort study of the clinical presentations and management outcomes of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients in the early months of the pandemic was performed at two hospitals in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-Cov-2; clinical outcome
Year: 2022 PMID: 35721420 PMCID: PMC8734168 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijregi.2021.12.010
Source DB: PubMed Journal: IJID Reg ISSN: 2772-7076
Socio-demographic and clinical characteristics of cases (n = 121)
| Characteristics | Patients, |
|---|---|
| Median (IQR) | 41 (30–54) |
| Minimum | 2 |
| Maximum | 97 |
| < 29 | 28 (23.2) |
| 30–59 | 73 (60.3) |
| 60+ | 20 (16.5) |
| Female | 49 (40.5) |
| Male | 72 (59.5) |
| Hindu Mandal Hospital | 8 (6.6) |
| Amana Regional Referral Hospital | 113 (93.4) |
| Median (IQR) | 14 (9–-22) |
| Median (IQR) | 10.5 (8–13) |
| Median (IQR) | 3.0 (1–6) |
| Median (IQR) | 10 (6–18) |
| Median (IQR) | 5.5 (3–9) |
| Yes | 4 (8.2) |
| No | 43 (91.8) |
| Employed | 36 (29.8) |
| Self-employed | 62 (51.2) |
| Unemployed | 18 (14.9) |
| Farmer/peasant/fishermen | 5 (4.1) |
| Travel domestically | 3 (2.5) |
| Contact with case | 5 (4.1) |
| Attended mass gathering* | 20 (16.5) |
| Contact with person with similar illness | 10 (8.3) |
| Attended inpatient care | 32 (26.5) |
| Attended outpatient care | 43 (35.5) |
| COVID-19 only, i.e. no comorbidity | 77 (63.7) |
| One comorbidity condition (COVID-19 + one NCD condition) | 24 (19.8) |
| Two comorbidities (COVID-19 + two NCD conditions) | 13 (10.7) |
| Three or more comorbidities | 7 (5.8) |
| Asymptomatic | 7 (5.8) |
| 1 symptom | 6 (5.0) |
| 2 symptoms | 4 (3.3) |
| 3 symptoms | 17 (14.1) |
| 4 symptoms | 13 (10.7) |
| ≥ 5 symptoms | 74 (61.1) |
| No complications | 113 (93.4) |
| One complication | 5 (4.1) |
| Two complications | 2 (1.7) |
| Three or more complications | 1 (0.8) |
| Mechanical ventilation | 7 (5.8) |
| Acute renal failure | 2 (1.7) |
| Cardiac failure | 2 (1.7) |
| Consumptive coagulopathy | 1 (0.8) |
*Funerals, weddings, concerts, and worship gatherings
Prevalence of mortality among cases with and without symptoms, pre-existing conditions, and complications (n = 121); adjusted for comorbidities
| Symptom | Responses | Mortality, | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever | No | 54 (44.6) | 8 (14.8) | 0.986 |
| Yes | 67 (55.4) | 10 (14.9) | ||
| Sore throat | No | 89 (73.6) | 10 (11.2) | 0.061 |
| Yes | 32 (26.4) | 8 (25.0) | ||
| Runny nose | No | 93 (76.9) | 14 (15.1) | 0.920 |
| Yes | 28 (23.1) | 4 (14.3) | ||
| Cough | No | 56 (46.3) | 6 (10.7) | 0.232 |
| Yes | 65 (53.7) | 12 (18.5) | ||
| Shortness of breath | No | 56 (46.3) | 1 (1.8) | < 0.001 |
| Yes | 65 (53.7) | 17 (26.2) | ||
| Chills | No | 96 (79.3) | 13 (13.5) | 0.419 |
| Yes | 25 (20.7) | 5 (20.0) | ||
| Vomiting | No | 111 (91.7) | 17 (15.3) | 0.651 |
| Yes | 10 (8.3) | 1 (10.0) | ||
| Nausea | No | 111 (91.7) | 17 (15.3) | 0.651 |
| Yes | 10 (8.3) | 1 (10.0) | ||
| Diarrhea | No | 113 (93.4) | 17 (15.0) | 0.845 |
| Yes | 8 (6.6) | 1 (12.5) | ||
| Headache | No | 48 (39.7) | 7 (14.5) | 0.942 |
| Yes | 73 (60.3) | 11 (15.1) | ||
| Rash | No | 119 (98.4) | 18 (15.1) | 0.551 |
| Yes | 2 (1.6) | 0 (0.0) | ||
| Conjunctivitis | No | 120 (99.2) | 18 (15.0) | 0.675 |
| Yes | 1 (0.8) | 0 (0.0) | ||
| Muscle aches | No | 69 (57.0) | 4 (5.8) | 0.001 |
| Yes | 52 (43.0) | 14 (26.9) | ||
| Joint aches | No | 76 (62.8) | 10 (13.2) | 0.490 |
| Yes | 45 (37.2) | 8 (17.8) | ||
| Loss of appetite | No | 75 (62.0) | 8 (10.7) | 0.097 |
| Yes | 46 (38.0) | 10 (21.7) | ||
| Nosebleed | No | 119 (98.4) | 17 (14.3) | 0.159 |
| Yes | 2 (1.6) | 1 (50.0) | ||
| Fatigue | No | 64 (52.9) | 4 (6.3) | 0.005 |
| Yes | 57 (47.1) | 14 (24.5) | ||
| Seizures | No | 117 (96.7) | 18 (15.4) | 0.395 |
| Yes | 4 (3.3) | 0 (0.0) | ||
| Altered consciousness | No | 113 (93.4) | 13 (11.5) | <0.001 |
| Yes | 8 (6.6) | 5 (62.5) | ||
| Neurological signs | No | 118 (97.5) | 16 (13.6) | 0.011 |
| Yes | 3 (2.5) | 2 (66.7) | ||
| Chest pain | No | 65 (53.7) | 9 (13.9) | 0.732 |
| Yes | 56 (46.3) | 9 (16.1) | ||
| Loss of taste | No | 96 (79.3) | 14 (14.6) | 0.859 |
| Yes | 25 (20.7) | 4 (16.0) | ||
| Loss of sense of smell | No | 97 (80.2) | 15 (15.5) | 0.715 |
| Yes | 24 (19.8) | 3 (12.5) | ||
| Palpitations | No | 96 (79.3) | 13 (13.5) | 0.419 |
| Yes | 25 (20.7) | 5 (20.0) |
Figure 1Patient admission and outcomes at 21-day follow-up
Pre-existing conditions and their effect on mortality
| Variable | Response | Mortality (%) | Unadjusted risk ratio (95% CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obesity | Yes | 10 | 30 | 0.161 | 2.1 (0.6–7.2) |
| No | 111 | 13.5 | Ref | ||
| Cancer | Yes | 5 | 0 | 0.34 | Empty |
| No | 116 | 15.5 | Ref | ||
| Diabetes | Yes | 10 | 30 | 0.161 | 2.1 (0.6–7.1) |
| No | 111 | 13.5 | Ref | ||
| HIV | Yes | 4 | 50 | 0.045 | 3.0 (0.7–13.2) |
| No | 117 | 13.7 | Ref | ||
| Heart disease | Yes | 16 | 37.5 | 0.006 | 3.7 (1.4–10.0) |
| No | 105 | 11.4 | Ref | ||
| Chronic liver disease | Yes | 1 | 100 | 0.016 | 4.6 (0.6–36.1) |
| No | 120 | 14.2 | Ref | ||
| Hematology cal disorder | Yes | 2 | 0 | 0.551 | Empty |
| No | 119 | 15.1 | Ref | ||
| Kidney disease | Yes | 4 | 25 | 0.563 | 1.5 (0.2–11.6) |
| No | 117 | 14.5 | Ref |
Factors associated with mortality among COVID-19 cases (Cox proportional-hazards model)
| Variable | UHR (95% CI) | AHR (95% CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | ||||
| < 60 years | Ref | Ref | ||
| 60+ years | 3.6 (1.4–9.2) | 0.009 | 2.7 (1.02–7.2) | 0.045 |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 2.0 (0.7–5.5) | 0.200 | 2.0 (0.7–5.6) | 0.191 |
| Female | Ref | Ref | ||
| Shortness of breath | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 15.6 (2.1–117.5) | 0.008 | 13.2 (1.8–99.9) | 0.012 |
| Muscle aches | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 4.2 (1.4–1.9) | 0.011 | 3.5 (1.1–10.8) | 0.030 |
| Fatigue | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 3.9 (1.3–11.9) | 0.016 | 4.4 (1.4–13.3) | 0.010 |
| Altered consciousness | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 6.4 (2.3–18.3) | <0.001 | 5.4 (1.9–15.5) | 0.002 |
| Neurological signs | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 5.0 (1.1–22.1) | 0.032 | 3.8 (0.8–17.1) | 0.083 |
| Comorbidity | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 3.6 (1.4–9.8) | 0.012 | 3.1 (1.1–8.5) | 0.028 |
UHR: unadjusted hazard ratio; AHR: adjusted hazard ratio. Comorbidity was adjusted for age and sex; all symptoms were adjusted for comorbidity; comorbidity was adjusted for age and sex; age and sex were adjusted for comorbidity.
Factors associated with mortality among COVID-19 cases (Cox proportional-hazards model)
| Variable | UHR (95% CI) | AHR (95% CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | ||||
| ≤ 50 years | Ref | Ref | ||
| > 50 years | 8.4 (2.8–25.6) | <0.001 | 6.7 (2.1–21.2) | 0.001 |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 2.0 (0.7–5.5) | 0.200 | 2.0 (0.7–5.6) | 0.191 |
| Female | Ref | Ref | ||
| Shortness of breath | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 15.6 (2.1–117.5) | 0.008 | 13.2 (1.8–99.9) | 0.012 |
| Muscle aches | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 4.2 (1.4–1.9) | 0.011 | 3.5 (1.1–10.8) | 0.030 |
| Fatigue | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 3.9 (1.3–11.9) | 0.016 | 4.4 (1.4–13.3) | 0.010 |
| Altered consciousness | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 6.4 (2.3–18.3) | <0.001 | 5.4 (1.9–15.5) | 0.002 |
| Neurological signs | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 5.0 (1.1–22.1) | 0.032 | 3.8 (0.8–17.1) | 0.083 |
| Comorbidity | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 3.6 (1.4–9.8) | 0.012 | 3.1 (1.2–8.2) | 0.025 |
Un-Adjusted Hazard Ratio (UHR) and Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR), Comorbidity was adjusted for age and sex, all symptoms were adjusted for comorbidity, comorbidity was adjusted for age and sex, age and sex were adjusted for comorbidity
Figure 2Kaplan–Meier survival curves showing cumulative mortality rates among patients with underlying conditions against those with no underlying conditions from the date of onset of symptoms
Laboratory results for 121 patients infected with SARS-CoV-2
| Parameters | Reference | Normal, | Decreased, | Increased, | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WBC (K/µL) | 64 | 4–10 | 43 (67.2) | 15 (23.4) | 6 (9.4) |
| Neutrophils abs (K/µL) | 63 | 2–6.9 | 35 (55.6) | 16 (25.4) | 12 (19.0) |
| Neutrophils (%) | 55 | 40–80 | 36 (65.5) | 12 (21.8) | 7 (12.7) |
| Lymphocytes abs (K/µL) | 63 | 0.6–3.4 | 55 (87.2) | 4 (6.4) | 4 (6.4) |
| Lymphocytes (%) | 55 | 20–40 | 21 (38.2) | 15 (27.3) | 19 (34.5) |
| Monocytes abs (K/µL) | 55 | 0–0.9 | 50 (90.0) | 0 (0.0) | 5 (9.1) |
| Monocytes (%) | 55 | 2–10 | 35 (63.6 | 4 (7.3) | 16 (29.1) |
| Eosinophils abs (K/µL) | 63 | 0–0.7 | 58 (92.1) | 0 (0.0) | 5 (7.9) |
| Eosinophils (%) | 55 | 1–6 | 23 (41.8) | 32 (55.2) | 0 (0.0) |
| Basophils abs (K/µL) | 63 | 0–2 | 63 (100) | 0 (0.0) | 0 (0.0) |
| Basophils (%) | 55 | 0.02–0.1 | 0 (0.0) | 0 (0.0) | 55 (100) |
| RBC (M/µL) | 56 | 3.8–4.8 | 27 (48.2) | 6 (10.7) | 23 (41.1) |
| HB (g/dl) | 64 | 12–15 | 32 (50.0) | 26 (40.6) | 6 (9.4) |
| Platelet count (K/µL) | 64 | 150–410 | 59 (92.2) | 2 (3.1) | 3 (4.7) |
| BUN M (mol/L) | 62 | 2.5–6.7 | 34 (54.8) | 22 (35.5) | 6 (9.7) |
| Creatinine (µmol/L) | 63 | 50.4–98.1 | 50 (79.4) | 2 (3.2) | 11 (17.5) |
| Potassium (mmol/L) | 63 | 3.5–5.1 | 33 (52.4) | 2 (3.2) | 28 (44.4) |
| Sodium (mmol/L) | 63 | 136–145 | 41 (65.1) | 16 (25.4) | 6 (9.5) |
| Chloride (mmol/L) | 64 | 98–107 | 49 (76.6) | 10 (15.6) | 5 (7.8) |
| Uric acid (mmol/L) | 56 | 0.15–0.35 | 45 (80.4) | 3 (5.4) | 8 (14.3) |
| Calcium-ionized (mmol/L) | 61 | 2.1–2.55 | 39 (63.9) | 11 (18.0) | 11 (18.0) |
| Magnesium (mmol/L) | 63 | 0.66–1.07 | 45 (71.4) | 6 (9.5) | 12 (19.1) |
| ALT (SGPT) (U/L) | 62 | 0–55 | 52 (83.9) | 0 (0.0) | 10 (16.1) |
| AST (SGOT) (U/L) | 61 | 5–34 | 38 (62.3) | 0 (0.0) | 23 (37.7) |
| Alkaline phosphatase (U/L) | 42 | 40–150 | 37 (88.1) | 3 (7.1) | 2 (7.8) |
| Total bilirubin (µmol/L) | 54 | 3.4–20.5 | 50 (92.6) | 2 (3.7) | 2 (3.7) |
| Direct bilirubin (µmol/L) | 47 | 0–8.6 | 45 (95.7) | 0 (0.0) | 2 (4.3) |
| Albumin (g/dl) | 60 | 35–50 | 52 (86.7) | 8 (13.3) | 0 (0.0) |
| ESR (Westergren) (Mm/hr) | 54 | 0–20 | 25 (46.3) | 0 (0.0) | 29 (53.7) |
| Ferritin (ng/mL) | 59 | 10–250 | 31 (52.5) | 4 (6.8) | 24 (40.7) |
| C-reactive protein (mg/L) | 59 | 0–5 | 19 (32.2) | 40 (67.8) | 0 (0.0) |
| PT (s) | 18 | 9.4–12 | 12 (66.7) | 5 (27.8) | 1 (5.6) |
| PTT (s) | 18 | 25.4–36.9 | 7 (38.9) | 11 (61.1) | 0 (0.0) |
| INR (s) | 18 | 0.8–1.2 | 12 (66.7) | 5 (27.8) | 1 (5.6) |
| D-dimer (ng/mL) | 49 | 0–198 | 18 (36.7) | 0 (0.0) | 31 (63.3) |