Monil Majmundar1, Gabriel Ibarra2, Ashish Kumar3, Rajkumar Doshi4, Palak Shah5, Roxana Mehran6, Grant W Reed7, Rishi Puri7, Samir R Kapadia7, Sripal Bangalore8, Ankur Kalra9. 1. Department of Cardiology Maimonides Medical Center, Brooklyn New York NY. 2. Department of Internal Medicine Brown University Providence RI. 3. Department of Internal Medicine Cleveland Clinic Akron General Akron OH. 4. Division of Cardiology St. Joseph's University Medical Center Paterson NJ. 5. Department of Internal Medicine New York Medical College/Metropolitan Hospital New York NY. 6. The Zena and Michael A. Wiener Cardiovascular InstituteIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai New York NY. 7. Department of Cardiovascular Medicine Heart, Vascular, and Thoracic Institute, Cleveland Clinic Cleveland OH. 8. New York University Grossman School of Medicine New York NY. 9. Division of Cardiovascular Medicine Krannert Cardiovascular Research CenterIndiana University School of Medicine Indianapolis IN.
Abstract
Background The role of invasive management compared with medical management in patients with non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) is uncertain, given the increased risk of procedural complications in patients with CKD. We aimed to compare clinical outcomes of invasive management with medical management in patients with NSTEMI-CKD. Methods and Results We identified NSTEMI and CKD stages 3, 4, 5, and end-stage renal disease admissions using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) codes from the Nationwide Readmission Database 2016 to 2018. Patients were stratified into invasive and medical management. Primary outcome was mortality (in-hospital and 6 months after discharge). Secondary outcomes were in-hospital postprocedural complications (acute kidney injury requiring dialysis, major bleeding) and postdischarge 6-month safety and major adverse cardiovascular events. Out of 141 052 patients with NSTEMI-CKD, 85 875 (60.9%) were treated with invasive management, whereas 55 177 (39.1%) patients were managed medically. In propensity-score matched cohorts, invasive strategy was associated with lower in-hospital (CKD 3: odds ratio [OR], 0.47 [95% CI, 0.43-0.51]; P<0.001; CKD 4: OR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.69-0.89]; P<0.001; CKD 5: OR, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.49-1.06]; P=0.096; end-stage renal disease: OR, 0.51 [95% CI, 0.46-0.56]; P<0.001) and 6-month mortality. Invasive management was associated with higher in-hospital postprocedural complications but no difference in postdischarge safety outcomes. Invasive management was associated with a lower hazard of major adverse cardiovascular events at 6 months in all CKD groups compared with medical management. Conclusions Invasive management was associated with lower mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events but minimal increased in-hospital complications in patients with NSTEMI-CKD compared with medical management, suggesting patients with NSTEMI-CKD should be offered invasive management.
Background The role of invasive management compared with medical management in patients with non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) is uncertain, given the increased risk of procedural complications in patients with CKD. We aimed to compare clinical outcomes of invasive management with medical management in patients with NSTEMI-CKD. Methods and Results We identified NSTEMI and CKD stages 3, 4, 5, and end-stage renal disease admissions using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) codes from the Nationwide Readmission Database 2016 to 2018. Patients were stratified into invasive and medical management. Primary outcome was mortality (in-hospital and 6 months after discharge). Secondary outcomes were in-hospital postprocedural complications (acute kidney injury requiring dialysis, major bleeding) and postdischarge 6-month safety and major adverse cardiovascular events. Out of 141 052 patients with NSTEMI-CKD, 85 875 (60.9%) were treated with invasive management, whereas 55 177 (39.1%) patients were managed medically. In propensity-score matched cohorts, invasive strategy was associated with lower in-hospital (CKD 3: odds ratio [OR], 0.47 [95% CI, 0.43-0.51]; P<0.001; CKD 4: OR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.69-0.89]; P<0.001; CKD 5: OR, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.49-1.06]; P=0.096; end-stage renal disease: OR, 0.51 [95% CI, 0.46-0.56]; P<0.001) and 6-month mortality. Invasive management was associated with higher in-hospital postprocedural complications but no difference in postdischarge safety outcomes. Invasive management was associated with a lower hazard of major adverse cardiovascular events at 6 months in all CKD groups compared with medical management. Conclusions Invasive management was associated with lower mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events but minimal increased in-hospital complications in patients with NSTEMI-CKD compared with medical management, suggesting patients with NSTEMI-CKD should be offered invasive management.
acute kidney injurycoronary angiographycoronary angiography with revascularizationcoronary angiography without revascularizationmajor adverse cardiovascular eventsNationwide Readmission Database
Clinical Perspective
What Is New?
In propensity‐score matched analysis of the national database in patients with non–ST‐segment–elevation myocardial infarction and chronic kidney disease (CKD), invasive management was associated with lower mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events, myocardial infarction, and revascularization at 6 months in CKD stages 3 to 5 and end‐stage renal disease.Invasive management was associated with minimal increased risk of in‐hospital acute kidney injury requiring dialysis and major bleeding, but no difference in safety outcomes at 6 months after discharge.Diagnostic angiography was not associated with a higher risk of postprocedure acute kidney injury requiring dialysis compared with medical management.
What Are the Clinical Implications?
CKD is an independent predictor of morbidity and mortality. Current guidelines acknowledged the lack of evidence on invasive management’s beneficial role and safety in patients with non–ST‐segment–elevation myocardial infarction and CKD compared with medical management.Benefits versus risk balance favored invasive management and should be offered to all patients presenting with non–ST‐segment–elevation myocardial infarction and CKD, and the risk of dialysis and major bleeding discussed before revascularization.Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an independent predictor of cardiovascular morbidity,
cardiovascular mortality,
and all‐cause mortality.
Advanced CKD in patients with non–ST‐segment–elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is associated with worse morbidity and mortality. This can be attributed to accelerated atherosclerosis/calcification and more severe comorbidities like hypertension and diabetes, other than CKD itself.
Patients with CKD are not routinely included in randomized clinical trials of invasive treatment of acute coronary syndrome, given the theoretical risk of accelerating the need for renal replacement therapy because of concern for contrast‐induced nephropathy in patients undergoing coronary angiography (CA).
However, these patients have significantly higher rates of major bleeding and poorer outcomes regardless of CA.There is a reluctance to offer early invasive management to patients with NSTEMI‐CKD in clinical practice, because there is an increased risk of contrast‐induced nephropathy,
,
bleeding,
,
and mortality
compared with patients without CKD. Patients with CKD may benefit from an invasive approach despite the risk of adverse outcomes.
,
The American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology 2021 and European Society of Cardiology 2020 guidelines acknowledged the limited evidence on the beneficial role and safety of invasive management in patients with NSTEMI‐CKD compared with medical management.
,Here, we performed a propensity‐score matched analysis using the Nationwide Readmission Database (NRD) and examined the safety and efficacy of invasive approach in patients with NSTEMI and CKD stages 3, 4, 5, and end‐stage renal disease (ESRD).
Methods
Data Source
We extracted data from the NRD 2016 to 2018. The NRD is part of the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project, sponsored by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. The NRD contains data from ≈18 million discharges each year across 28 geographically dispersed states. This data set accounts for 60% of the total US resident population, 59% of all US hospitalizations, and includes all‐payer data.
The present study was deemed exempt by the institutional review board because the database contained deidentified data sets with prior ethical committee approval. NRD is publicly available and can be procured from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project website.
Patient Selection
We identified 688 147 patients with NSTEMI, aged ≥18 years, using previously validated International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD‐10‐CM) codes (I21.4 and I22.2) in the primary diagnosis field only.
Out of all patients with NSTEMI, 141 052 patients with CKD stages 3, 4, 5, and ESRD were identified using ICD‐10‐CM codes (N18.3, N18.4, N18.5, and N18.6) in the secondary diagnosis fields. We excluded patients who died during index hospitalization (n=7410) for postdischarge outcomes to avoid immortal bias. These codes and strategies were validated and used in the previous study.
,
,
,
Baseline Variables
We used the variables provided in the NRD by the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project to identify patients’ baseline characteristics, including age, sex, primary expected payer, median household income category by patient zip code, admission day, and hospital information such as bed size, teaching status, and location.
We used ICD‐10‐CM codes given by the Elixhauser comorbidity index calculator provided by the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project to report hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, peripheral vascular disease, chronic heart failure, chronic pulmonary disease, anemia, obesity, smoking, and coagulopathy. Other comorbidities, such as a history of stroke or transient ischemic attack, ischemic cardiomyopathy, carotid artery disease, prior percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), prior coronary artery bypass graft (CABG), atrial fibrillation, and history of nonadherence to medications were identified using appropriate ICD‐10‐CM codes (Table S1).
Intervention
The invasive approach included CA with or without PCI and/or CABG. Medical management was defined as patients who did not undergo CA, PCI, or CABG. We stratified the invasive management into CA with revascularization (CAR) and CA without revascularization (CAWR)/diagnostic angiography. We compared invasive and CAR strategies with medical management for all outcomes, whereas patients in the CAWR group were compared with medical management for in‐hospital postprocedural acute kidney injury (AKI) requiring dialysis. CA, PCI, and CABG were identified using administrative ICD‐10‐CM procedure codes in the primary or secondary procedural fields (Table S1).
Study Outcomes
The primary outcome was in‐hospital and postdischarge 6‐month mortality during readmission. Secondary outcomes were divided into in‐hospital and 6‐month postdischarge outcomes. In‐hospital outcomes included AKI requiring dialysis, major bleeding, and stroke. Postdischarge outcomes included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), efficacy, safety, renal safety, myocardial infarction (MI), need for revascularization during readmission, and AKI within 6 months.MACE are a composite of all‐cause mortality, MI readmission, stroke readmission, or heart failure readmission. The safety outcome was a composite of AKI readmission, major bleeding readmission, vascular complication during readmission, and stroke readmission. Major bleeding was defined as bleeding requiring blood transfusion. NRD provides a procedure day variable that gives information on the day a procedure occurred during admission. We used procedure day for dialysis and blood transfusion to determine if dialysis and blood transfusion occurred after the invasive procedure. The efficacy outcome was the composite of all‐cause mortality, MI readmission, and the need for revascularization during the readmission. The renal safety outcome was the composite of all‐cause mortality or need for dialysis during readmissions. Postdischarge outcomes were identified by applying ICD‐10‐CM codes to the primary diagnosis field of readmission. We described the ICD‐10‐CM coding of each outcome in Table S2.
Statistical Analysis
Continuous and categorical variables were compared using descriptive statistics. We generated propensity‐score matched cohorts for patients who underwent invasive versus medical management, CAR versus medical management, and CAWR versus medical management in CKD 3, 4, 5, and ESRD groups. Propensity scores were generated using 26 variables (patients’ demographics, comorbidities, hospital characteristics, admission day, type of admission, primary payer, household income) through multivariable logistic regression. Patients with similar propensity scores in 2 groups were matched using a 1‐to‐1 scheme without replacement using a greedy method. Maximum propensity‐score differences (caliper width) of 0.1 to 0.01 were permitted between matched pair observations in various models to keep standardized differences <10%.
Patients without matched observations were excluded. The appropriateness of all models was assessed by C statistic, which was above 0.75 for all the included models. The standardized difference was used to assess the balance of variables between 2 matched cohorts (Table 1) and depicted graphically (Figures S1 through S3). Kaplan‐Meier curves were constructed for postdischarge mortality and MACE. Follow‐up of events other than mortality was calculated by time of readmission subtracted by time of index admission plus length of stay. Follow‐up event of mortality was calculated by time of readmission plus length of stay of readmission subtracted by time of index admission plus length of stay of index admission. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard regression were used to calculate odds ratio and hazard ratio for in‐hospital and postdischarge outcomes, respectively. Missing values were not imputed. Two‐sided P values <0.05 were taken to indicate statistical significance. We adhered to all methodological standards.
Table 1
Baseline Characteristics of Invasive Versus Medical Management Across Different Stages of CKD After Propensity‐Score Matching
CKD 3
CKD 4
CKD 5
ESRD
Invasive
Medical management
SMD
Invasive
Medical management
SMD
Invasive
Medical management
SMD
Invasive
Medical management
SMD
n=21 719
n=21 719
n=7326
n=7326
n=815
n=815
n=9004
n=9004
Age, y
77.1±9.3
77.1±11.6
0.1
75.2±9.8
75.0±11.7
2.1
71.2±10.7
71.0±12.6
1.5
68.7±11.1
68.4±12.7
2.9
Sex
1.1
0
5
0.3
Men
12 533 (58%)
12 468 (57%)
4159 (57%)
4158 (57%)
486 (60%)
506 (62%)
5121 (57%)
5136 (57%)
Women
9037 (42%)
8922 (41%)
3154 (43%)
3155 (43%)
329 (40%)
309 (38%)
3860 (43%)
3845 (43%)
Comorbidities
History of nonadherence to medications
1394 (6%)
1341 (6%)
1
408 (6%)
412 (6%)
0.2
60 (7%)
67 (8%)
3.2
709 (8%)
656 (7%)
2.3
Hypertension
20 454 (94%)
20 466 (94%)
0.3
7038 (96%)
7053 (96%)
1.1
793 (97%)
795 (98%)
1.5
8703 (97%)
8700 (97%)
0.2
Diabetes
12 282 (57%)
12 273 (57%)
0.1
4984 (68%)
5013 (68%)
0.8
594 (73%)
607 (75%)
3.5
6353 (71%)
6442 (72%)
2.2
Hyperlipidemia
15 272 (70%)
15 448 (71%)
1.8
5250 (72%)
5273 (72%)
0.7
571 (70%)
582 (71%)
2.9
5417 (60%)
5490 (61%)
1.7
History of stroke/TIA
2860 (13%)
2758 (13%)
1.4
885 (12%)
863 (12%)
0.9
98 (12%)
98 (12%)
0
1321 (15%)
1253 (14%)
2.2
Ischemic cardiomyopathy
18 282 (84%)
18 339 (84%)
0.7
6511 (89%)
6475 (88%)
1.3
713 (88%)
715 (88%)
0.6
7205 (80%)
7189 (80%)
0.5
Carotid artery disease
819 (4%)
850 (4%)
0.7
289 (4%)
310 (4%)
1.4
19 (2%)
21 (3%)
1.5
169 (2%)
180 (2%)
0.8
Peripheral vascular disease
5356 (25%)
5255 (24%)
1.1
1724 (24%)
1768 (24%)
1.4
167 (21%)
165 (20%)
0.6
2009 (22%)
1980 (22%)
0.8
Prior PCI
4433 (20%)
4376 (20%)
0.7
1559 (21%)
1571 (21%)
0.4
152 (19%)
158 (19%)
2
1832 (20%)
1754 (20%)
2.2
Prior CABG
5168 (24%)
4962 (23%)
2.4
1519 (21%)
1502 (21%)
0.6
137 (17%)
140 (17%)
1
1959 (22%)
1813 (20%)
4.3
Chronic heart failure
15 469 (71%)
15 182 (70%)
2.8
5619 (77%)
5607 (77%)
0.4
618 (76%)
622 (76%)
1.1
6483 (72%)
6459 (72%)
0.6
Atrial fibrillation
5033 (23%)
4968 (23%)
0.7
1520 (21%)
1500 (21%)
0.7
127 (16%)
120 (15%)
2.4
1733 (19%)
1739 (19%)
0.2
Chronic pulmonary disease
6609 (30%)
6552 (30%)
0.6
2126 (29%)
2132 (29%)
0.2
201 (25%)
204 (25%)
0.9
2331 (26%)
2268 (25%)
1.6
Anemia
1868 (9%)
1774 (8%)
1.6
764 (10%)
776 (11%)
0.5
103 (13%)
96 (12%)
2.6
536 (6%)
535 (6%)
0
Smoker
7109 (33%)
7140 (33%)
0.3
2292 (31%)
2302 (31%)
0.3
247 (30%)
265 (33%)
4.9
2317 (26%)
2372 (26%)
1.4
Obesity
3904 (18%)
3926 (18%)
0.3
1541 (21%)
1560 (21%)
0.6
176 (22%)
177 (22%)
0.3
1255 (14%)
1417 (16%)
4.7
Coagulopathy
1901 (9%)
1944 (9%)
0.7
708 (10%)
735 (10%)
1.2
80 (10%)
84 (10%)
1.6
1185 (13%)
1193 (13%)
0.3
Hospital characteristics
Bed size
1.3
1.1
0.7
3.5
Small
3298 (15%)
3454 (16%)
899 (12%)
916 (13%)
83 (10%)
100 (12%)
1241 (14%)
1155 (13%)
Medium
7176 (33%)
6652 (31%)
2334 (32%)
2242 (31%)
228 (28%)
198 (24%)
2831 (31%)
2784 (31%)
Large
11 096 (51%)
11 464 (53%)
4080 (56%)
4155 (57%)
504 (62%)
517 (63%)
4909 (55%)
5042 (56%)
Hospital teaching status
0.6
2.8
2.8
0.7
Nonteaching
7468 (34%)
7403 (34%)
2258 (31%)
2162 (30%)
214 (26%)
224 (28%)
2737 (31%)
2710 (30%)
Teaching
14 102 (65%)
14 167 (65%)
5055 (69%)
5151 (70%)
601 (74%)
591 (73%)
6244 (69%)
6271 (70%)
Hospital location
0.1
0.3
3.8
0.3
Nonurban
10 197 (47%)
10 212 (47%)
3293 (45%)
3281 (45%)
316 (39%)
301 (37%)
3338 (37%)
3325 (37%)
Urban
11 373 (52%)
11 358 (52%)
4020 (55%)
4032 (55%)
499 (61%)
514 (63%)
5643 (63%)
5656 (63%)
Admission day
0.2
1.1
1.9
0.2
Weekdays
15 760 (73%)
15 745 (73%)
5379 (73%)
5344 (73%)
603 (74%)
596 (73%)
6713 (75%)
6719 (75%)
Weekend
5810 (27%)
5825 (27%)
1934 (27%)
1969 (27%)
212 (26%)
219 (27%)
2268 (25%)
2262 (25%)
Primary payer
0.7
0.5
2.9
0
Medicare
18 966 (87%)
18 633 (86%)
6250 (85%)
6170 (84%)
631 (77%)
623 (76%)
7648 (85%)
7592 (84%)
Medicaid
669 (3%)
1251 (6%)
326 (4%)
462 (6%)
63 (8%)
95 (12%)
574 (6%)
696 (8%)
Private insurance
1738 (8%)
1470 (7%)
653 (9%)
597 (8%)
106 (13%)
84 (10%)
709 (8%)
632 (7%)
Median household income category by patient zip code
Baseline Characteristics of Invasive Versus Medical Management Across Different Stages of CKD After Propensity‐Score MatchingCABG indicates coronary artery bypass graft; CKD, chronic kidney disease; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention; SMD, standardized mean difference; and TIA, transient ischemic attack.
Unmeasured Bias Analysis and Sensitivity Analysis
To evaluate the robustness of our findings, we conducted a falsification end point and E‐value analysis to determine the validity of the study.
,
The E‐value identifies the minimum strength of association that unmeasured confounders may need to have with both treatment and outcome, conditional on measured covariates, to fully explain the observed association. This estimates what the relative risk may have to be for any unmeasured confounder to overcome the observed association of study intervention with study outcomes. In the falsification method, we selected an alternative outcome that may not be expected to be causally affected by the treatment being studied.
Then, we assessed if study intervention affects alternative outcomes by a similar method we used to assess other study outcomes. If no treatment effect is seen for the alternative outcome, it supports but does not prove that there may be a causal treatment effect for the study outcomes. Thus, a successful falsification analysis can strengthen the causal claims between study intervention and outcome in the observational study. We chose a composite of gastrointestinal and urinary tract infection readmission as an alternative outcome and studied the effect of interventions. These methods were used in cardiovascular medicine previously.
,
We performed sensitivity analysis by performing inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) to evaluate postdischarge mortality.All statistical analyses were performed on an unweighted sample using Stata version 16.1 (StataCorp, College Station, TX).
Results
A total of 141 052 patients with NSTEMI with CKD 3, 4, 5, or ESRD were identified and included in the present analysis (Figure 1A). Of 141 052 patients, 85 875 (60.9%) were treated with invasive management, whereas 55 177 (39.1%) patients were managed medically. Out of 141 052 patients, 7410 (5.25%) patients died in the hospital and were excluded from postdischarge outcomes analysis to avoid immortal bias. Of 133 642 patients who were discharged alive, 83 254 (62.3%) patients were in invasive management, and 50 388 (37.7%) were in medical management groups during the index admission. Out of 141 052 patients with NSTEMI, 81 281 (57.9%) had CKD Stage 3, 23 831 (16.9%) had CKD Stage 4, 2991 (2.1%) had CKD Stage 5, and 32 949 (23.4%) had ESRD. In CKD 3, 4, 5, and ESRD, 64%, 45%, 42%, and 68% underwent invasive management, respectively. Figure 1B and 1C represent inclusion of patients with NSTEMI based on the CKD stage before and after propensity‐score matching for in‐hospital and postdischarge outcomes, respectively.
Figure 1
Patient selection and study design.
A, Patient selection flow diagram. B, Study design by chronic kidney disease groups for in‐hospital outcomes. C, Study design by chronic kidney disease groups for postdischarge outcomes. CAR indicates coronary angiography with revascularization; CAWR, coronary angiography without revascularization; CKD, chronic kidney disease; ESKD, end‐stage kidney disease; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; ICD‐10, International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision; and ICD‐10‐CM, International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification.
Patient selection and study design.
A, Patient selection flow diagram. B, Study design by chronic kidney disease groups for in‐hospital outcomes. C, Study design by chronic kidney disease groups for postdischarge outcomes. CAR indicates coronary angiography with revascularization; CAWR, coronary angiography without revascularization; CKD, chronic kidney disease; ESKD, end‐stage kidney disease; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; ICD‐10, International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision; and ICD‐10‐CM, International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification.
Baseline Characteristics of CKD 3, 4, 5. or ESRD (Invasive Management Versus Medical Management)
Table S3 showed baseline characteristics in the unmatched cohort by CKD stages. In the unmatched cohort of patients with NSTEMI‐CKD, patients treated with medical management were older and had a higher percentage of women than invasive management in all advanced CKD groups. Medical management had a lower percentage of hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, ischemic cardiomyopathy, carotid artery disease, previous PCI, smoking history, obesity, and coagulopathy than patients treated with invasive management. However, medical management had a higher percentage of CABG history than patients treated with invasive management. Medical management had a lower percentage of patients in large‐bed and teaching hospitals than invasive management. Medical management had a lower percentage of private insurance than invasive management. Table 1 reports the baseline characteristics of patients with NSTEMI‐CKD undergoing invasive versus medical management, subgrouped based on the CKD stage in a propensity‐score matched cohort. Both groups were well balanced based on the standardized mean difference between the 2 groups and presented graphically in Figure S1. Figure S2 depicts a balance of variables between CAR and medical management. Figure S3 depicts the balance of variables between CAWR and medical management. The matching of variables between all 3 strategies and medical management was well balanced. Figure S4 shows predictors of invasive management over medical management in all patients with CKD.
Invasive Versus Medical Management: In‐Hospital Outcomes in the Propensity‐Score Matched Cohort
In patients with NSTEMI‐CKD, invasive management was associated with lower in‐hospital mortality across all CKD stages compared with medical management. However, lower mortality in the invasive group compared with medical management in CKD 5 was not statistically significant. Invasive management was associated with a higher risk of postprocedure AKI requiring dialysis in CKD stages 3 and 4, and major bleeding in CKD stages 4 and 5. However, there was a similar risk of stroke between the 2 strategies. The number needed to harm (NNH) for AKI requiring dialysis was 588 in CKD 3 and 125 in CKD 4. The NNH for major bleeding was 333 in CKD 3, 91 in CKD 4, and 40 in CKD 5. The number needed to treat for in‐hospital mortality was 26 in CKD 3, 56 in CKD 4, 48 in CKD 5, and 18 in ESRD (Table 2).
Table 2
In‐Hospital Outcomes Between Invasive Strategy and Medical Management in Propensity Score‐Matched Cohorts Across CKD Stages
Invasive vs medical management
CKD 3
Invasive (21 719)
Medical management (21 719)
OR
95% CI
P value
NNH
NNT
Mortality
821 (3.8%)
1677 (7.7%)
0.47
0.43
0.51
<0.001
26
AKI requiring dialysis
130 (0.6%)
94 (0.43%)
1.39
1.06
1.81
0.016
588
Major bleeding, bleeding requiring blood transfusion
603 (2.8%)
544 (2.5%)
1.11
0.99
1.25
0.078
333
Stroke
485 (2.2%)
474 (2.2%)
1.02
0.9
1.16
0.719
E‐value for mortality, point estimate, lower limit CI
2.75, 2.6
AKI indicates acute kidney injury; CAWR, coronary angiography without revascularization; CKD, chronic kidney disease; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; NNT, number needed to treat; NNH, number needed to harm; and OR, odds ratio.
In‐Hospital Outcomes Between Invasive Strategy and Medical Management in Propensity Score‐Matched Cohorts Across CKD StagesCAWR(14 605)CAWR(3559)CAWR(380)AKI indicates acute kidney injury; CAWR, coronary angiography without revascularization; CKD, chronic kidney disease; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; NNT, number needed to treat; NNH, number needed to harm; and OR, odds ratio.
Invasive Versus Medical Management: Postdischarge 6‐Month Outcomes in the Propensity‐Score Matched Cohort
In patients with NSTEMI‐CKD, invasive management was associated with lower all‐cause readmission mortality rates than medical management (Figure 2). Invasive management was associated with reduced hazard of MACE (Figure 3), similar safety outcomes, and better efficacy outcomes compared with medical management at 6‐month follow‐up. Invasive management was also associated with a reduced hazard of MI readmission and revascularization during readmission at a 6‐month follow‐up. Invasive management compared with medical management was also associated with lower rates of renal safety outcomes in CKD 3 and CKD 4 at 6‐month follow‐up, which is driven by lower mortality rates. Invasive management was associated with similar rates of AKI readmission compared with medical management (Table 3).
Figure 2
Kaplan‐Meier graphs plotting readmission mortality in invasive vs medical management.
Kaplan‐Meier graph plotting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in invasive vs medical management.
A, Chronic kidney disease Stage 3. B, Chronic kidney disease Stage 4. C, Chronic kidney disease Stage 5. D, End‐stage renal disease. MACE are a composite of all‐cause mortality, myocardial infarction readmission, stroke readmission, or heart failure readmission.Postdischarge Outcomes Between Invasive Strategy and Medical Management in Propensity‐Score Matched Cohorts Across CKD StagesAKI indicates acute kidney injury; CKD, chronic kidney disease; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; HF, heart failure; HR, hazard ratio; IPTW, inverse probability of treatment weighting; MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; and MI, myocardial infarction.Falsified end point is the composite of gastrointestinal or urinary tract infection.
Subgroup Analysis (CAWR Versus Medical Management, CAR Versus Medical Management)
Table 4 shows a comparison of CAR versus medical management for in‐hospital outcomes. Similar to invasive versus medical management, CAR was associated with lower mortality (statistically significant in CKD 5), higher AKI requiring dialysis in CKD 3 and 4, and major bleeding across all CKD stages with higher NNH and lower number needed to treat for mortality. CAR was associated with lower readmission mortality, MACE, MI, need for revascularization, better efficacy outcome, similar safety outcome, and AKI compared with medical management at 6‐month follow‐up (Table 5). CAWR/diagnostic angiography was not associated with a higher risk of AKI requiring dialysis than medical management. Kaplan‐Meier curves showing event rates for readmission mortality and MACE for all CKD groups are extrapolated in Figure 4 and Figure 5.
Table 4
In‐Hospital Outcomes Between CAR and Medical Management in Propensity‐Score Matched Cohorts Across CKD Stages
CKD 3
CAR (17 507)
Medical management (17 507)
OR
95% CI
P value
NNH/NNT
Mortality
711 (4.1%)
1293 (7.4%)
0.52
0.48
0.58
<0.001
30
AKI requiring dialysis
145 (0.8%)
78 (0.5%)
1.85
1.41
2.44
<0.001
333
Major bleeding, bleeding requiring blood transfusion
662 (3.8%)
441 (2.5%)
1.54
1.34
1.74
<0.001
77
Stroke
390 (2.2%)
383 (2.2%)
1.02
0.89
1.18
0.746
AKI indicates acute kidney injury; CAR, coronary angiography with revascularization; CKD, chronic kidney disease; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; NNH, number needed to harm; NNT, number needed to treat; and OR, odds ratio.
Table 5
Postdischarge Outcomes Between CAR and Medical Management in Propensity‐Score Matched Cohorts Across CKD Stages
CKD 3
CKD 4
CKD 5
ESRD
CAR
Medical management
CAR
Medical management
CAR
Medical management
CAR
Medical management
16 508
16 508
5145
5145
583
583
6902
6902
All‐cause mortality during readmission
No. of patients with events
255
513
91
173
8
18
201
314
Cumulative event rate, %
At 30 d
1
2
1.1
2.1
0.9
1.4
1.7
2.8
At 3 mo
1.4
2.7
1.6
2.9
1.2
2.6
2.5
4
At 6 mo
1.5
3.1
1.8
3.4
1.4
3.1
2.9
4.6
HR (95% CI; P value)
0.47 (0.41–0.55; <0.001)
0.51 (0.39–0.66; <0.001)
0.40 (0.17–0.92; 0.032)
0.61 (0.51–0.73; <0.001)
MACE: MI, stroke, HF, all‐cause mortality
No. of patients with events
2229
3263
874
1229
91
141
1089
1416
Cumulative event rate, %
At 30 d
7.4
11.6
9.6
14.1
7.9
13.6
8.4
13.1
At 3 mo
11.4
17.1
14.4
20.9
12.2
20.9
13.2
18.1
At 6 mo
13.5
19.8
17
23.9
15.6
24.2
15.8
20.5
HR (95% CI; P value)
0.65 (0.62–0.69; <0.001)
0.68 (0.63–0.75; <0.001)
0.58 (0.45–0.76; <0.001)
0.74 (0.68–0.80; <0.001)
Safety outcome: AKI, stroke, major bleeding, vascular complication
Kaplan‐Meier graph plotting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in revascularization vs medical management.
A, Chronic kidney disease Stage 3. B, Chronic kidney disease Stage 4. C, Chronic kidney disease Stage 5. D, End‐stage renal disease. MACE are a composite of all‐cause mortality, myocardial infarction readmission, stroke readmission, or heart failure readmission.
In‐Hospital Outcomes Between CAR and Medical Management in Propensity‐Score Matched Cohorts Across CKD StagesAKI indicates acute kidney injury; CAR, coronary angiography with revascularization; CKD, chronic kidney disease; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; NNH, number needed to harm; NNT, number needed to treat; and OR, odds ratio.Postdischarge Outcomes Between CAR and Medical Management in Propensity‐Score Matched Cohorts Across CKD StagesAKI, acute kidney injury; CAR, coronary angiography with revascularization; CKD, chronic kidney disease; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; HR, hazard ratio; HF, heart failure; MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; and MI, myocardial infarction.
Kaplan‐Meier graph plotting readmission mortality in revascularization vs medical management.
Kaplan‐Meier graph plotting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in revascularization vs medical management.
A, Chronic kidney disease Stage 3. B, Chronic kidney disease Stage 4. C, Chronic kidney disease Stage 5. D, End‐stage renal disease. MACE are a composite of all‐cause mortality, myocardial infarction readmission, stroke readmission, or heart failure readmission.
Unmeasured Confounders Analysis
The falsification end point remained similar between invasive and medical management, implying a balance of unmeasured confounder between the 2 groups if it exists. In the E‐value analysis, the point estimate was higher for the mortality for invasive versus medical management, implying that if an unmeasured confounder exists, it requires higher relative risk with treatment and outcome, conditioned on 26 variables used in propensity‐score matching, to explain the measured effect. This implies a low likelihood that current results will be altered because of unmeasured confounders. Moreover, postdischarge mortality was lower in invasive strategy across all CKD stages using the inverse probability of treatment weighting method. With the inverse probability of treatment weighting method, the invasive strategy showed statistical significance for lowering mortality in CKD stage 5, likely overcoming type 2 error imposed by 1:1 matching (Tables 2, 3).
Discussion
In this real‐world analysis of patients with NSTEMI‐CKD, we derived 3 important results: (1) invasive management was associated with lower in‐hospital mortality, higher postprocedural AKI requiring dialysis, and major bleeding in advanced CKD stages, but with higher NNH for complications compared with lower number needed to treat for mortality; (2) invasive management was associated lower readmission‐related mortality, MACE, MI, and need for revascularization compared with medical management after discharge at 6 months; (3) invasive management was associated with similar safety outcomes after discharge at 6 months (Figure 6).
Figure 6
Invasive vs medical management in patients with NSTEMI and CKD.
The ‐ indicates null effect of invasive management compared with medical management, = indicates equivocal effect, ↓ indicates a lower strength of association and ↑ indicates a higher strength of association for invasive management. MACE are a composite of all‐cause mortality, myocardial infarction readmission, stroke readmission, or heart failure readmission. CKD indicates chronic kidney disease; dialysis, in‐hospital acute kidney injury requiring dialysis; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; NSTEMI, non–ST‐segment–elevation myocardial infarction; and Revasc, need for revascularization.
Invasive vs medical management in patients with NSTEMI and CKD.
The ‐ indicates null effect of invasive management compared with medical management, = indicates equivocal effect, ↓ indicates a lower strength of association and ↑ indicates a higher strength of association for invasive management. MACE are a composite of all‐cause mortality, myocardial infarction readmission, stroke readmission, or heart failure readmission. CKD indicates chronic kidney disease; dialysis, in‐hospital acute kidney injury requiring dialysis; ESRD, end‐stage renal disease; MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; NSTEMI, non–ST‐segment–elevation myocardial infarction; and Revasc, need for revascularization.American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology 2021 and European Society of Cardiology 2020 guidelines provided IIa (B‐NR) and I (C) recommendations for invasive management in NSTEMI with CKD, respectively. However, recommendations were supported by a lower level of evidence because of insufficient data on the beneficial role of the invasive approach over medical management, causing ambiguity on management strategy in patients with CKD.
,
Moreover, it is observed that patients with NSTEMI with CKD less frequently receive evidence‐based treatments such as antithrombotic agents and early invasive management.
One of the reasons is the underrepresentation of CKD in randomized clinical trials undergoing CA because of the fear of the increased risk of contrast‐induced nephropathy, AKI, renal replacement therapy, bleeding, and mortality compared with patients without CKD. Similarly, physicians’ minds have a common perception on an early invasive approach associated with poorer renal safety outcomes and more vascular and bleeding complications than medical management in NSTEMI‐CKD.In recent years, meta‐analyses have called into question the use of contrast as a cause of AKI, inviting clinicians to rethink the use of contrast for diagnostic or therapeutic purposes in patients with CKD, because the benefits of using contrast could outweigh the risks.
,
,
A review from Mehran et al
reframed the name from contrast‐induced nephropathy to contrast‐associated nephropathy. Bhatia et al reported that patients with NSTEMI with CKD stages 3, 4, 5, or ESRD had an increased risk of bleeding requiring transfusion than patients without CKD.
However, there is limited evidence for the association of invasive management with a higher bleeding risk than medical management in NSTEMI‐CKD. We found that the invasive management was associated with an increased risk of in‐hospital AKI requiring dialysis in CKD 3 and 4, major bleeding in CKD 3 to 5, but a similar risk of postdischarge safety end points such as AKI, bleeding, vascular complication, or stroke across all CKD stages compared with medical management. Moreover, the NNH for in‐hospital AKI requiring dialysis and major bleeding was very high. Subsequently, there was no increased risk of AKI requiring dialysis in the subgroup of patients who underwent CAWR/diagnostic angiography. This might encourage physicians to subject patients more often to invasive management, following a discussion on the risk related to the procedure. Similar to these findings, Goulden et al
showed that contrast was not associated with increased risk of AKI or renal replacement therapy at 6 months using a regression discontinuity analysis in a quasiexperimental cohort study of 156 028 patients who underwent a computed tomography pulmonary embolism protocol. Alternatively, increased use of iso‐osmotic or low‐osmotic contrast in such patients may reduce the risk of AKI.CKD is associated with an increased burden of atherosclerosis, and the burden progresses with CKD progression.
Because of the higher burden of atherosclerosis in CKD, invasive management might be more beneficial than patients without CKD in NSTEMI. A meta‐analysis of 5 randomized clinical trials concluded that early invasive management reduced the risk of hospitalization and death. Although statistical significance was not achieved for death because of the low number of subjects, there was a trend in reducing the risk of death in patients with NSTEMI‐CKD.
Furthermore, Bhatia et al showed that PCI was associated with lesser odds of in‐hospital mortality in NSTEMI‐CKD irrespective of CKD stages using the National Inpatient Sample.
The Swedish web‐system for enhancement and development of evidence‐based care in heart disease evaluated according to recommended therapies (SWEDEHEART) registry demonstrated lower mortality at 1 year with the early invasive management in CKD stage 3 but no difference in advanced CKD stages (stage 4, 5, or ESRD) compared with medical management in patients with NSTEMI.
However, the SWEDEHEART study did not have enough power to detect the mortality difference in advanced CKD stages (CKD 4 sample 572, CKD 5/ESRD sample 278), and patients who underwent CA without intervention within 14 days of admission were included in the medical management group. As expected, we found that invasive management in a subgroup of patients who underwent revascularization (CAR) was associated with a significant reduction in mortality, MACE, MI, need for revascularization, and better efficacy outcomes in CKD stage 3, but also in CKD stage 4, 5, and ESRD. In contrast, the ISCHEMIA‐chronic kidney disease (ISCHEMIA‐CKD) randomized clinical trial did not find any difference for death or MI between the 2 strategies in patients with moderate to severe ischemia on stress testing.
However, the trial excluded very symptomatic patients, patients with heart failure or recent acute coronary syndromes, or an ejection fraction of <35%. This study included real‐world patients with non–ST‐segment–elevation acute coronary syndrome. Additionally, ischemic preconditioning might be the reason why no difference was found in the primary outcome between the 2 strategies in the ISCHEMIA‐CKD trial.Unmeasured confounders have the potential to affect the results in observational studies. However, we validated our results using falsification end point analysis and E‐value analysis. The successful falsification analysis assures a balance of unmeasured confounders between 2 groups and claims the causality between intervention and study outcomes. Additionally, a higher E‐value for various outcomes suggested a lesser likelihood for unmeasured confounders to overcome the association between study intervention and outcomes over current covariates adjustment. Thus, our results bring the evidentiary gap closer by reporting that patients with advanced stages of CKD and ESRD with NSTEMI benefit from an invasive approach compared with medical management, with a mild increase in the risk of renal outcomes.Although additional studies are needed, our results suggest that diagnostic coronary angiography was not associated with increased AKI; hence, an invasive strategy should be offered to all patients with NSTEMI‐CKD, and revascularization should be a shared decision after discussing the risks and benefits with patients. CKD is associated with an increased risk of adverse ischemic and bleeding events, and a higher risk of AKI. Nonetheless, the mortality and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events benefit of the invasive strategy outweighs the risk of adverse outcomes. Moreover, adverse renal outcomes will be even lower when adequate measures to reduce AKI risk are taken before, during, and after the procedure. Because clinical severity was not available in the current study, it would be essential to see future studies evaluating the impact of an invasive strategy on disease severity.Our study has some limitations. First, the inherent nature of a retrospective cohort study makes it very difficult to avoid selection bias that could have confounded our results. Some patients may have opted out of invasive management, given the risk of dialysis dependency. Nevertheless, by propensity‐score matching and using falsification outcome and E‐value analysis, we intended to minimize the risk of bias and ascertain more robust results. However, the possibility of selection bias remains, given the observational nature of the study. Second, we did not have information about the exact glomerular filtration rate, and the analysis was based on coding, which may include errors in characterizing CKD stages and lead to information bias. However, we suspect that there may be minimal overlap between CKD groups, and given a large number of patients in each group, the results may not be any different, as evidenced by similar results across all stages of CKD. Third, the database lacks information on the amount of contrast used, the type of contrast used, and who received crystalloids before the procedure. Fourth, the database lacks information about nephrotoxic medication use before or during admission, and information on discharge medications. Finally, we may have missed events (ie, bleeding or death) that might have occurred outside the hospital, resulting in the underrepresentation of events; however, this would be the case for both groups. Because we aimed to compare 2 groups, the ratio is a better measure of effect.
Conclusions
In patients with NSTEMI and advanced CKD stages, invasive management was associated with lower mortality, MACE, MI, need for revascularization, and better efficacy outcome along with the minimal increased risk of in‐hospital dialysis, major bleeding, and similar postdischarge safety outcome (vascular complication, major bleeding, or AKI) at 6 months compared with medical management alone. The need for postprocedure dialysis during index hospitalization increased only when revascularization was performed in the invasive group (and not for the diagnostic CA‐only group). Thus, invasive management should be offered to patients presenting with NSTEMI‐CKD, and the risk of dialysis and major bleeding should be discussed before revascularization.
Sources of Funding
This was work was supported by the makeadent.org Ram and Sanjita Kalra Aavishqaar Fund.
Disclosures
Dr Kalra is the chief executive officer and creative director of makeadent.org. Dr Mehran reports institutional research payments from Abbott, Abiomed, Alleviant Medical, AM‐Pharma, Applied Therapeutics, Arena, AstraZeneca, BAIM, Bayer, Beth Israel Deaconess, Biosensors, Biotronik, Boston Scientific, Bristol‐Myers Squibb, CardiaWave, CellAegis, CeloNova, CERC, Chiesi, Concept Medical, CSL Behring, Cytosorbents, DSI, Duke University, Element Science, Faraday, Humacyte, Idorsia, Insel Gruppe AG, Magenta, Medtronic, Novartis, OrbusNeich, Philips, RenalPro, Vivasure, and Zoll; personal fees from Cine‐Med Research and WebMD; consulting fees paid to the institution from Abbott, Janssen, Medtronic, and Novartis; Equity <1% in Applied Therapeutics, Elixir Medical, STEL, and CONTROLRAD (spouse); scientific advisory board for AMA, ACC (BOT Member), SCAI (Women in Innovations Committee Member), JAMA Associate Editor; Faculty CRF (no fee). The remaining authors have no disclosures to report.Tables S1–S3Figures S1–S4Click here for additional data file.
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