[Does the size of esophageal varices have a prognostic significance in alcoholic cirrhosis?].

This study was designed to determine whether the size of esophageal varices were of prognostic value in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis. Esophageal varices were classified into 2 groups according to whether their size was larger or smaller than 4 mm. There was a total of 99 patients; 56 had small varices and 43 had large varices. Of the clinical and biological data collected at the time of determination of the size of the esophageal varices, only the duration of cirrhosis and the prevalence of gastrointestinal bleeding were significantly greater in patients with large esophageal varices. The one- and two-year cumulative rates of patients with large esophageal varices were 63 +/- 7 p. 100 and 42 +/- 8 p. 100, respectively; these results were not significantly different from those in patients with small esophageal varices, i.e. 68 +/- 6 p. 100 and 61 p. 100 respectively (p less than 0.5 for one-year survival; p less than 0.08 for two-year survival). Serum bilirubin and albumin as well as the presence of ascite were of significant prognostic value concerning death at two years while the presence of esophageal varices did not significantly increase the prognostic value of the above-mentioned variables (using Cox's regression model). In conclusion, the results of our study suggest that large esophageal varices, in spite of their association with a high incidence of gastrointestinal bleeding, do not influence prognosis at two years for patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis.