| Literature DB >> 35686042 |
Lanyan Guo1, Chao Gao1, Weiping Yang1, Zhiling Ma1, Mengyao Zhou2, Jianzheng Liu1, Hong Shao1, Bo Wang2, Guangyu Hu1, Hang Zhao1, Ling Zhang1, Xiong Guo1, Chong Huang1, Zhe Cui1, Dandan Song1, Fangfang Sun1, Liwen Liu2, Fuyang Zhang1, Ling Tao1.
Abstract
Background: Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a widely distributed, but clinically heterogeneous genetic heart disease, affects approximately 20 million people worldwide. Nowadays, HCM is treatable with the advancement of medical interventions. However, due to occult clinical presentations and a lack of easy, inexpensive, and widely popularized screening approaches in the general population, 80-90% HCM patients are not clinically identifiable, which brings certain safety hazards could have been prevented. The majority HCM patients showed abnormal and diverse electrocardiogram (ECG) presentations, it is unclear which ECG parameters are the most efficient for HCM screening. Objective: We aimed to develop a pragmatic prediction model based on the most common ECG features to screen for HCM.Entities:
Keywords: C-statistic; electrocardiogram (ECG); hypertrophic cardiomyopathy; left ventricular hypertrophy; screening model
Year: 2022 PMID: 35686042 PMCID: PMC9170889 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.889523
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Cardiovasc Med ISSN: 2297-055X
FIGURE 1Study flow chart. AF, atrial fibrillation; PM, pacemaker; BBB, bundle branch block; HCM, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy; LASSO, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; LR, logistic regression.
Baseline characteristics.
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| non-HCM | HCM |
| non-HCM | HCM |
| non-HCM | HCM |
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| Age, y (mean | 47 (16) | 47 (15) | 0.584 | 47 (16) | 47 (15) | 0.670 | 45 (15) | 46 (15) | 0.799 |
| Male | 191 (54.3) | 163 (69.7) | <0.001 | 137 (54.6) | 120 (69.8) | <0.001 | 54 (53.47) | 43 (69.35) | 0.045 |
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| Hypertension | 65 (18.47) | 91 (38.89) | <0.001 | 49 (19.52) | 73 (42.44) | <0.001 | 16 (15.84) | 18 (29.03) | 0.044 |
| CAD | 34 (9.66) | 40 (17.09) | 0.008 | 29 (11.55) | 38 (22.09) | 0.004 | 5 (4.95) | 2 (3.23) | 0.710 |
| CA | 36 (10.23) | 0 (0) | <0.001 | 22 (8.76) | 0 (0) | 0.008 | 14 (13.86) | 0 (0) | 0.001 |
| AS | 14 (3.98) | 0 (0) | 0.002 | 10 (3.98) | 0 (0) | <0.001 | 4 (3.96) | 0 (0) | 0.299 |
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| MWT, mm | 9 (8, 11) | 22 (18, 26) | <0.001 | 9 (8, 11) | 22 (18, 26) | <0.001 | 10 (8, 12) | 21 (18, 26) | <0.001 |
| LA, mm | 35 (33, 37) | 43 (38, 46) | <0.001 | 35 (33, 37) | 43 (38, 46) | <0.001 | 34 (32, 36) | 43 (39, 46) | <0.001 |
| LVEF,% | 60 (56, 63) | 59 (56, 62) | 0.409 | 60 (57, 63) | 59 (56, 62) | 0.458 | 59 (56, 63) | 59 (57, 61) | 0.725 |
| E/A < 1 | 119 (33.8) | 193 (82.5) | <0.001 | 75 (29.9) | 154 (89.53) | <0.001 | 44 (43.6) | 39 (62.90) | 0.016 |
| SAM sign | 0 (0) | 122 (52.14) | <0.001 | 0 (0) | 96 (55.81) | <0.001 | 0 (0) | 26 (41.94) | <0.001 |
Data are expressed as n (%) or median (IQR), unless otherwise specified.
IQR, inter-quartile range; CAD, coronary artery disease; CA, cardiac amyloidosis; AS, aortic stenosis. MWT, maximum wall thickness; LA, left atrium; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; E/A, E/A ratio, mitral peak E/A wave velocity ratio; SAM, systolic anterior motion.
FIGURE 2Calibration plots and ROC curve for the Model. Calibration plots between predicted and observed HCM in the training (A) and temporal validation (B) cohorts. The 45° blue line represents a perfect prediction, and the red line represents the predictive performance of the model. ROC curve of the model in the training (C) and temporal validation (D) cohorts.
FIGURE 3ROC curve for the model in the external validation cohort.
FIGURE 4Examples of the screen-shots of the web-based calculator. The first case was a 57-year-old male. ECG showed sinus rhythm, SV1 = 1.55 mV, and TWI in precordial leads V2 to V4. ECG showed no indications of LVH (A). A screenshot of the web-based calculator indicated a high probability of HCM and recommended a referral to a dedicated HCM center. Then the patient was diagnosed as HCM, with an MWT of 23 mm and an LVOTG of 50 mmHg at rest by Echo (B). The second case was a 35-year-female. Her ECG showed sinus rhythm with SV1 of 0.49 mV and no TWI (C). She was classified as having a low probability of HCM by the model (D). The echocardiography found no obvious abnormality, ruling out HCM.