| Literature DB >> 35682204 |
Ahmed Al-Imam1,2,3, Marek A Motyka4, Zuzanna Witulska5, Manal Younus6, Michał Michalak2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Psychedelics represent a unique subset of psychoactive substances that can induce an aberrant state of consciousness principally via the neuronal 5-HT2A receptor. There is limited knowledge concerning the interest in these chemicals in Poland and how they changed during the pandemic. Nonetheless, these interests can be surveyed indirectly via the web.Entities:
Keywords: Holt–Winters exponential smoothing; clustering analysis; entheogens; hallucinogens; social anomie theory; spatiotemporal mapping; time series analysis; web analytics
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35682204 PMCID: PMC9180639 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19116619
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 4.614
Time series analysis for Poland: Holt–Winters exponential smoothing.
| Psychedelic | OPP | Df | MAE | Level | Trend | Seasonality | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | Estimate | SE | |||||||
| NBOMe | 13 | 244 | 4.629 | 0.321 | 0.056 |
| <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.9232 | 0.386 | 0.066 |
|
| Cannabis | 19 | 238 | 8.187 | 0.137 | 0.053 |
| 0.000 | 0.017 | 1.0000 | 0.179 | 0.080 |
|
| LSD | 27 | 230 | 14.989 | 0.054 | 0.027 |
| 0.005 | 0.026 | 0.8582 | 0.194 | 0.086 |
|
| Phencyclidine | 14 | 243 | 14.270 | 0.074 | 0.030 |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.8122 | 0.137 | 0.063 |
|
| Psilocybin | 49 | 208 | 17.360 | 0.003 | 0.007 | 0.6822 | 0.251 | 0.625 | 0.6881 | 0.322 | 0.127 |
|
| Ayahuasca | 52 | 205 | 23.703 | 0.054 | 0.030 | 0.0740 | 0.002 | 0.016 | 0.8957 | 0.414 | 0.113 |
|
| DOB | 24 | 233 | 22.137 | 0.053 | 0.022 |
| 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.6539 | 0.194 | 0.081 |
|
| DXM | 28 | 229 | 18.544 | 0.032 | 0.036 | 0.3800 | 0.018 | 0.021 | 0.3830 | 0.221 | 0.079 |
|
| Ergine | 14 | 243 | 17.340 | 0.032 | 0.023 | 0.1661 | 0.012 | 0.031 | 0.7096 | 0.139 | 0.060 |
|
| Salvinorin A | 10 | 247 | 16.506 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.5192 | 0.992 | 1.447 | 0.4937 | 0.108 | 0.048 |
|
| Dronabinol | 17 | 240 | 16.930 | 0.019 | 0.032 | 0.5499 | <0.001 | 0.031 | 1.0000 | 0.172 | 0.058 |
|
| AL-LAD | 24 | 233 | 9.879 | 0.016 | 0.017 | 0.3760 | 0.007 | 0.015 | 0.6222 | 0.232 | 0.066 |
|
| DMT | n/a | |||||||||||
| MDMA | ||||||||||||
| Ketamine | ||||||||||||
| Mescaline | ||||||||||||
| Methamphet. | ||||||||||||
| Ibogaine | ||||||||||||
| 2C-B-FLY | ||||||||||||
| Nabilone | ||||||||||||
Significant p-values are in bold font. Abbreviations: Df, degrees of freedom; MAE, mean absolute error; n/a, not applicable (no significant seasonality); OPP, observations-per-period (length of seasonality period); SE, standard error.
The slope difference in linear trends: Pre-pandemic versus pandemic period.
| Psychedelic Substance | Coefficient | |
|---|---|---|
| NBOMe | 0.1327 |
|
| Cannabis | −0.0053 | 0.895 |
| DMT | 0.0292 | 0.497 |
| LSD | 0.2421 |
|
| MDMA | 0.2160 |
|
| Phencyclidine | 0.1819 |
|
| Ketamine | −0.0623 | 0.420 |
| Mescaline | −0.0233 | 0.744 |
| Psilocybin | −0.1676 |
|
| Ayahuasca | 0.1273 | 0.171 |
| DOB | −0.1165 | 0.245 |
| DXM | −0.2302 |
|
| Ergine | −0.2261 |
|
| Methamphet. | 0.0338 | 0.643 |
| Salvinorin A | 0.0588 | 0.455 |
| Dronabinol | −0.0855 | 0.281 |
| Ibogaine | 0.0360 | 0.507 |
| 2C-B-FLY | 0.0128 | 0.808 |
| Nabilone | −0.0596 | 0.285 |
| AL-LAD | −0.0944 | 0.183 |
* Significant p-values are in bold fonts. Significance was calculated based on a t-test for the slope difference of two independent samples.
Figure 1Poland’s hierarchical clustering for the pre-pandemic (top) and pandemic period (bottom).
Figure 2Poland’s spatial heat map for the pre-pandemic (top) and pandemic period (bottom).