| Literature DB >> 35669876 |
Pingyi Zhu1, Nimo Mohamed Hussein1, Jing Tang1, Lulu Lin1, Yu Wang1, Lan Li1, Kun Shu1, Pinfa Zou1, Yikai Xia1, Guanghui Bai1,2, Zhihan Yan1, Xinjian Ye1.
Abstract
Inflammation-based scores have been increasingly used for prognosis prediction in neurological diseases. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of inflammation-based scores combined with radiological characteristics in children with moderate or severe traumatic brain injury (MS-TBI). A total of 104 pediatric patients with MS-TBI were retrospectively enrolled and randomly divided into training and validation cohorts at a 7:3 ratio. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of prognosis in pediatric patients with MS-TBI. A prognostic nomogram was constructed, and its predictive performance was validated in both the training and validation cohorts. Sex, admission platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and basal cistern status from initial CT findings were identified as independent prognostic predictors for children with MS-TBI in multivariate logistic analysis. Based on these findings, a nomogram was then developed and its concordance index values were 0.918 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.837-0.999] in the training cohort and 0.86 (95% CI: 0.70-1.00) in the validation cohort, which significantly outperformed those of the Rotterdam, Marshall, and Helsinki CT scores. The proposed nomogram, based on routine complete blood count and initial CT scan findings, can contribute to individualized prognosis prediction and clinical decision-making in children with MS-TBI.Entities:
Keywords: early mortality; inflammation; moderate or severe traumatic brain injury; nomogram; pediatrics; radiology
Year: 2022 PMID: 35669876 PMCID: PMC9163313 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2022.865084
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Neurol ISSN: 1664-2295 Impact factor: 4.086
Figure 1Flowchart of patient enrollment and scheme for analysis.
Characteristics of the patients in the training and validation cohorts.
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| Age (year) | 6 (3.5–8) | 6 (4–8) | 5 (3–7) |
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| -male | 60 (57.7) | 45 (61.6) | 15 (48.4) |
| -female | 44 (42.3) | 28 (38.4) | 16 (51.6) |
| GCS Grade | 7 (5–9) | 7 (5–9) | 8 (5–9) |
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| -normal | 18 (17.3) | 14 (19.2) | 4 (12.9) |
| -compressed | 49 (47.1) | 34 (46.6) | 15 (48.4) |
| -absent | 37 (35.6) | 25 (34.3) | 12 (38.7) |
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| - ≤ 5 mm | 80 (76.9) | 57 (78.1) | 23 (74.2) |
| -> 5 mm | 24 (23.1) | 16 (21.9) | 8 (25.8) |
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| -absent | 33 (31.7) | 23 (31.5) | 10 (32.3) |
| -present | 71 (68.3) | 50 (68.5) | 21 (67.8) |
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| -absent | 6 (5.8) | 3 (4.1) | 3 (9.7) |
| -present | 98 (94.2) | 70 (95.9) | 28 (90.3) |
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| -absent | 55 (52.9) | 40 (54.8) | 15 (48.4) |
| -present | 49 (47.1) | 33 (45.2) | 16 (51.6) |
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| -absent | 87 (83.7) | 61 (83.6) | 26 (83.9) |
| -present | 17 (16.3) | 12 (16.4) | 5 (16.1) |
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| -absent | 33 (31.7) | 24 (32.9) | 9 (29.0) |
| -present | 71 (68.3) | 49 (67.1) | 22 (71.0) |
| -absent | 92 (88.5) | 63 (86.3) | 29 (93.6) |
| -present | 12 (11.5) | 10 (13.7) | 2 (6.5) |
| Rotterdam scores | 4 (3–5) | 4 (3–5) | 4 (3–5) |
| -II | 5 (4.8) | 4 (5.5) | 1 (3.2) |
| -III | 27 (26.0) | 19 (26.0) | 8 (25.8) |
| -IV | 38 (36.5) | 29 (39.7) | 9 (29.0) |
| -V | 23 (22.1) | 13 (17.8) | 10 (32.3) |
| -VI | 11 (10.6) | 8 (11.0) | 3 (9.7) |
| Marshall scores | 5 (2–5) | 5 (2–5) | 5 (3–5) |
| -II | 32 (30.8) | 25 (34.3) | 7 (22.6) |
| -III | 10 (9.6) | 8 (11.0) | 2 (6.5) |
| -IV | 5 (4.8) | 3 (4.1) | 2 (6.5) |
| -V | 44 (42.4) | 27 (37.0) | 17 (54.8) |
| -VI | 13 (12.5) | 10 (13.7) | 3 (9.7) |
| Helsinki CT scores | 3 (1–6) | 3 (1–6) | 3 (1–5) |
| White blood cell counts (x109/L) | 22.2 (15.1–26.8) | 19.6 (13.5–25.3) | 25.4 (21–29.3) |
| Neutrophil counts (x109/L) | 16.9 (10.1–22.2) | 15.0 (8.1–21.2) | 19.1 (12.8–25.1) |
| Lymphocyte counts (x109/L) | 2.7 (1.3–5.0) | 2.4 (1.3–4.7) | 3.1 (1.5–5.6) |
| Monocyte counts (x109/L) | 1.0 (0.7–1.4) | 1.0 (0.6–1.4) | 1.2 (0.8–1.5) |
| Hb (g/L) | 106 (92–121) | 109 (93–122) | 99 (86–120) |
| Red blood cell counts (x1012/L) | 3.9 (3.3–4.3) | 4.0 (3.4–4.3) | 3.7 (3.1–4.2) |
| HCT | 0.32 (0.27–0.36) | 0.32 (0.27–0.36) | 0.30 (0.26–0.35) |
| MCV (fl) | 82.9 (79.6–85.5) | 82.5 (79.7–85.2) | 83.3 (79.5–86.2) |
| RDW-CV (%) | 12.9 (12.4–13.4) | 13.0 (12.5–13.7) | 12.7 (12.4–13.3) |
| Platelet counts | 289.5 (211.5–249.5) | 280.0 (210.0–335.0) | 310.0 (217.0–368.0) |
| SII | 1513.2 (665.7–3405.1) | 1280.4 (614.9– 3163.0) | 1991.6 (820.9–3517.6) |
| NLR | 5.1 (2.4–11.6) | 4.5 (2.4–11.5) | 6.4 (3.0–13.6) |
| PLR | 96.7 (55.8–190.5) | 97.6 (58.3–194.0) | 88.3 (46.5–172.1) |
| LMR | 2.6 (1.5–5.7) | 2.6 (1.5–6.2) | 2.4 (1.4–5.3) |
IQR, interquartile range; GCS, Glasgow Coma Scale; EDH, epidural hematoma; SAH, subarachnoid hemorrhage; SDH, subdural hematoma; IVH, intraventricular hemorrhage; Hb, hemoglobin; HCT, Hematocrit; MCV, mean corpuscular volume; RDW-CV, red cell distribution width–coefficient of variation; SII, systemic immune-inflammation index; NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; PLR, platelet to lymphocyte ratio; LMR, lymphocyte to monocyte ratio.
Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses of the blood test-based parameters.
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| White blood cell counts (x109/L) | 0.60 (0.45–0.75) | 20 | 0.588 |
| Hb (g/L) | 0.71 (0.61–0.81) | 103 | 0.126 |
| Red blood cell counts (x1012/L) | 0.64 (0.50–0.78) | 3.89 | 0.701 |
| HCT | 0.74 (0.63–0.86) | 0.293 | 0.061 |
| RDW-CV (%) | 0.58 (0.42–0.75) | 13.4 | 0.047 |
| MCV (fl) | 0.68 (0.55–0.80) | 81.3 | 0.068 |
| SII | 0.71 (0.58–0.84) | 1,722 | 0.106 |
| NLR | 0.64 (0.50–0.79) | 3.35 | 0.202 |
| PLR | 0.73 (0.58–0.88) | 49.56 | 0.204 |
| LMR | 0.69 (0.54–0.83) | 2.375 | 0.020 |
AUC, area under the curve; Hb, hemoglobin; HCT, Hematocrit; RDW-CV, red cell distribution width–coefficient of variation; MCV, mean corpuscular volume; SII, systemic immune-inflammation index; NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; PLR, platelet to lymphocyte ratio; LMR, lymphocyte to monocyte ratio.
Univariate and multivariate analysis of early pediatric mortality in the training cohort.
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| Age | 1.00 (0.95–1.05) | 0.940 | ||
| Sex | 6.15 (1.50–25.23) | 0.012 | 8.38 (1.30–54.18) | 0.026 |
| Basal cistern | 6.84 (1.83–25.59) | 0.004 | 22.12 (2.43–201.58) | 0.006 |
| Midline shift | 0.67 (0.13–3.43) | 0.632 | ||
| EDH | 2.63 (0.53–13.10) | 0.239 | ||
| SDH | 0.90 (0.26–3.15) | 0.868 | ||
| IVH | 1.93 (0.44–8.51) | 0.387 | ||
| Intracerebral hematoma | 2.82 (0.57–14.05) | 0.206 | ||
| Hemorrhagic mass volumes greater than 25 mL | 1.54 (0.28–8.53) | 0.619 | ||
| White blood cell counts | 2.36 (0.64–8.66) | 0.197 | ||
| Hb | 0.32 (0.09–1.20) | 0.091 | ||
| Red blood cell counts | 0.53 (0.15–1.86) | 0.322 | ||
| HCT | 0.16 (0.04–0.62) | 0.008 | ||
| MCV | 0.15 (0.04–0.62) | 0.009 | ||
| RDW-CV | 3.69 (1.02–13.37) | 0.047 | ||
| SII | 0.21 (0.04–1.02) | 0.053 | ||
| NLR | 3.62 (1.01–12.99) | 0.048 | ||
| PLR | 9.17 (2.24–37.58) | 0.002 | 63.22 (4.50–888.79) | 0.002 |
| LMR | 0.18 (0.04–0.90) | 0.036 | ||
OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; EDH, epidural hematoma; SAH, subarachnoid hemorrhage; SDH, subdural hematoma; IVH, intraventricular hemorrhage; Hb, hemoglobin; HCT, Hematocrit; MCV, mean corpuscular volume; RDW-CV, red cell distribution width–coefficient of variation; SII, systemic immune-inflammation index; NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; PLR, platelet to lymphocyte ratio; LMR, lymphocyte to monocyte ratio.
Figure 2Nomogram to predict early mortality in pediatric patients with moderate or severe traumatic brain injury (MS-TBI).
Performance of the nomogram in predicting early mortality in pediatric patients with TBI comparing with current CT scoring systems.
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| AUC | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.86 | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| 95% CI low | 0.84 | 0.74 | 0.64 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| 95% CI high | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 1.00 |
| C-index | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.86 | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.72 |
TBI, traumatic brain injury; CT, computerized tomography; AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 3Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of the nomogram and current CT scoring systems in the training (A) and validation cohorts (B).