| Literature DB >> 35645767 |
Qiangqiang Qin1, Zhanfeng Gu1, Fei Li1, Yanbing Pan1, TianXiang Zhang1, Yang Fang2, Lesha Zhang2.
Abstract
Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a common neurodegenerative disease. The major problems that exist in the diagnosis of AD include the costly examinations and the high-invasive sampling tissue. Therefore, it would be advantageous to develop blood biomarkers. Because AD's pathological process is considered tightly related to autophagy; thus, a diagnostic model for AD based on ATGs may have more predictive accuracy than other models. We obtained GSE63060 dataset from the GEO database, ATGs from the HADb and screened 64 differentially expressed autophagy-related genes (DE-ATGs). We then applied them to Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses as well as DisGeNET and PaGenBase enrichment analyses. By using the univariate analysis, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method and the multivariable logistic regression, nine DE-ATGs were identified as biomarkers, which are ATG16L2, BAK1, CAPN10, CASP1, RAB24, RGS19, RPS6KB1, ULK2, and WDFY3. We combined them with sex and age to establish a nomogram model. To evaluate the model's distinguishability, consistency, and clinical applicability, we applied the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, C-index, calibration curve, and on the validation datasets GSE63061, GSE54536, GSE22255, and GSE151371 from GEO database. The results show that our model demonstrates good prediction performance. This AD diagnosis model may benefit both clinical work and mechanistic research.Entities:
Keywords: Alzheimer’s disease (AD); DEGs; LASSO; autophagy; nomogram
Year: 2022 PMID: 35645767 PMCID: PMC9133665 DOI: 10.3389/fnagi.2022.881890
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Aging Neurosci ISSN: 1663-4365 Impact factor: 5.702
FIGURE 1Overview of the workflow.
FIGURE 2Differentially expressed ATGs. (A) The volcano plot for differentially expressed genes in GSE63060. Red represents upregulated genes, blue represents downregulated genes, and gray represents non-significant genes. (B) Venn diagram showing the 64 DE-ATGs (the intersection of the DEGs and ATGs). (C) A heatmap of DE-ATGs in GSE63060. (D) Bubble plot of GO analyses and KEGG pathway analysis of DE-ATGs using DAVID BP: biological process, CC, cellular component; MF, molecular function; KEGG, kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes.
FIGURE 3Establishment of a multipredictor nomogram and DE-ATG selection using the LASSO and logistic regression models. (A) Cross-validation to select the most suitable tuning parameter lambda (λ); a λ value of 0.014 with log(λ) being –4.233 was chosen as optimal. The first black dotted line represents those 49 features that were reduced to 22 non-zero coefficient features by LASSO. (B) The coefficients in the LASSO regression model for key DE-ATGs. (C) Predictive nomogram involving age, sex, and the expression profile of 9 DE-ATGs based on selected features.
The coefficients and odds ratio (OR) value of 9 DE-ATGs estimated by Logistics regression.
| DE-ATGs | Corresponding coefficient (β) | Odds ratio (95% confidence interval) | |
|
| −2.53 | 0.08 (0.02,0.38) | 0.002 |
|
| −2.47 | 0.08 (0.01,0.93) | 0.043 |
|
| −0.48 | 0.62 (0.42,0.90) | 0.013 |
|
| −1.39 | 0.25 (0.12,0.53) | <0.001 |
|
| 0.78 | 2.19 (1.21,3.96) | 0.010 |
|
| 1.79 | 5.97 (1.14,31.35) | 0.035 |
|
| 1.42 | 4.16 (1.85,9.33) | 0.001 |
|
| 0.62 | 1.86 (1.24,2.77) | 0.002 |
|
| 0.51 | 1.66 (1.03,2.69) | 0.038 |
FIGURE 4Model discrimination and calibration curve analysis. (A) ROC curve for the prognostic model of AD based on GSE63061. (B) ROC curve of the AD prognostic model based on GSE63060. (C) Calibration curve of the AD nomogram prediction in the GSE63061 set. (D) Calibration curve of the AD nomogram prediction in the GSE63060 set.
FIGURE 5Analysis of the net clinical benefit of the model and the expression patterns of DE-ATGs. (A) Decision curve analysis of the predictive nomogram. DCA for the risk score and the model supplemented with clinical parameters. The y-axis measures the net benefit. The x-axis is the risk threshold probability that changes from 0 to 1. The red line represents the risk score. The blue line represents the nomogram. The green line represents age + sex. The gray line represents the assumption that all patients have thresholds (4–100%), at which using the nomogram to diagnose adds more benefit than the treat-all-patients scheme or the treat-none scheme. (B) Heatmap of the DE-ATGs for the prognostic signature in the GSE63060 set. (C) Heatmap of the DE-ATGs for the prognostic signature in the GSE63061 set. Expression of the nine selected DE-ATGs in AD patients and normal people. Red represents upregulation. Blue represents downregulation.