| Literature DB >> 35613127 |
Simone Weber1, Victoria Kehl2, Johanna Erber3,4, Karolin I Wagner1, Ana-Marija Jetzlsperger5, Teresa Burrell1, Kilian Schober6, Philipp Schommers7,8, Max Augustin7,8, Claudia S Crowell1,4, Markus Gerhard1,4, Christof Winter9, Andreas Moosmann4,10, Christoph D Spinner3,4, Ulrike Protzer5, Dieter Hoffmann5, Elvira D'Ippolito1, Dirk H Busch1,4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: COVID-19 has so far affected more than 250 million individuals worldwide, causing more than 5 million deaths. Several risk factors for severe disease have been identified, most of which coincide with advanced age. In younger individuals, severe COVID-19 often occurs in the absence of obvious comorbidities. Guided by the finding of cytomegalovirus (CMV)-specific T cells with some cross-reactivity to SARS-CoV-2 in a COVID-19 intensive care unit (ICU) patient, we decided to investigate whether CMV seropositivity is associated with severe or critical COVID-19. Herpes simplex virus (HSV) serostatus was investigated as control.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35613127 PMCID: PMC9132318 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0268530
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.752
Patient characteristics.
| Characteristic | Severity of disease | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mild disease | Hospitalization | ICU | Total | |||||
| (N = 101) | (N = 130) | (N = 80) | (N = 311) | |||||
| Age group, | ||||||||
| 18–29 | 14 | (73.7) | 4 | (21.1) | 1 | (5.3) | 19 | (100.0) |
| 30–39 | 15 | (48.4) | 14 | (45.2) | 2 | (6.5) | 31 | (100.0) |
| 40–49 | 15 | (38.5) | 18 | (46.2) | 6 | (15.4) | 39 | (100.0) |
| 50–59 | 8 | (21.1) | 20 | (52.6) | 10 | (26.3) | 38 | (100.0) |
| 60–69 | 45 | (50.6) | 33 | (37.1) | 11 | (12.4) | 89 | (100.0) |
| 70–79 | 4 | (5.9) | 28 | (41.2) | 36 | (52.9) | 68 | (100.0) |
| 80–99 | 0 | (0.0) | 13 | (48.1) | 14 | (51.9) | 27 | (100.0) |
| Male, | 43 | (42.6) | 68 | (52.3) | 54 | (67.5) | 165 | (53.1) |
| CMV-reactive, | 44 | (43.6) | 94 | (72.3) | 62 | (77.5) | 200 | (64.3) |
| HSV-reactive, | 72 | (71.3) | 120 | (93.8) | 76 | (96.2) | 268 | (87) |
| Cardio-vascular co-morbidity, | 8/100 | (8.0) | 69/130 | (53.1) | 59/80 | (73.8) | 136/310 | (43.9) |
| Respiratory co-morbidity, | 5/100 | (5.0) | 16/130 | (12.3) | 13/80 | (16.3) | 34/310 | (11.0) |
| Nephrological co-morbidity, | 0/61 | (0.0) | 21/130 | (16.2) | 16/80 | (20.0) | 37/271 | (13.7) |
| Diabetes mellitus, | 4/100 | (4.0) | 27/130 | (20.8) | 22/80 | (27.5) | 53/310 | (17.1) |
| Any comorbidity, | 21/100 | (21.0) | 89/130 | (68.5) | 71/80 | (88.8) | 181/310 | (58.4) |
Percentages are calculated using the available data over each severity of disease group (column percent), unless otherwise stated.
1 For HSV serology, serum from only 308 patients was available.
2 Percentages for age group are calculated over the age groups (row percent).
Multinomial logistic regression with dependent variable severity of disease.
| Covariates | Severity of disease | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hospitalization | ICU | |||||
| OR | (95% CI) | p | OR | (95% CI) | p | |
|
| ||||||
| CMV-reactive | 3.4 | (2.0, 5.9) | < 0.001 | 4.5 | (2.3, 8.6) | < 0.001 |
| HSV-reactive | 6.0 | (2.6, 13.9) | < 0.001 | 10.2 | (3.0, 35.0) | < 0.001 |
| Age group | 1.4 | (1.2, 1.6) | < 0.001 | 2.1 | (1.7, 2.7) | < 0.001 |
| Male | 1.5 | (0.9, 2.5) | 0.433 | 2.8 | (1.6, 5.2) | 0.001 |
| Cardio-vascular co-morbidity | 13.0 | (5.8, 29.0) | < 0.001 | 32.3 | (13.4, 77.7) | < 0.001 |
| Respiratory co-morbidity | 2.7 | (1.0, 7.5) | 0.065 | 3.7 | (1.3, 10.8) | 0.018 |
| Nephrological co-morbidity | 24.2 | (1.3, 433.4) | 0.031 | 31.5 | (1.7, 584.0) | 0.021 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 6.3 | (2.1, 18.6) | 0.001 | 9.1 | (3.0, 27.7) | < 0.001 |
| Any comorbidity | 8.2 | (4.5, 15.0) | < 0.001 | 29.7 | (12.8, 69.0) | < 0.001 |
|
| ||||||
| CMV-reactive | 3.1 | (1.7, 5.6) | < 0.001 | 5.0 | (2.4, 10.5) | < 0.001 |
| HSV-reactive | 3.6 | (1.5, 8.9) | 0.005 | 4.5 | (1.2, 17.6) | 0.029 |
| Age group | 1.3 | (1.1, 1.6) | 0.003 | 2.2 | (1.7, 2.8) | < 0.001 |
|
| ||||||
| CMV-reactive | 3.1 | (1.6, 5.9) | 0.001 | 5.2 | (2.3, 12.1) | < 0.001 |
| HSV-reactive | 4.8 | (1.8, 13.1) | 0.002 | 6.5 | (1.5, 28.2) | 0.012 |
| Age group | 1.0 | (0.8, 1.3) | 0.856 | 1.5 | (1.1, 2.0) | 0.005 |
| Any comorbidity | 8.1 | (4.0, 16.7) | < 0.001 | 22.5 | (8.4, 59.9) | < 0.001 |
The reference category is: Mild disease.
* Firth Penalized Likelihood correction in two separate binary logistic regression models due to quasi-complete separation of the data; Firth’s correction is not yet implemented for multinomial regression.
Fig 1CMV serology associates with severity of COVID-19 in young individuals.
CMV and HSV IgG titers were measured in serum collected from COVID-19 patients that either suffered from mild disease or required hospitalization (ICU and non-ICU, or hospitalized). Shown are percentages of CMV- and HSV-positive individuals according to age and disease severity. Numbers above bars indicate the absolute number of seropositive subjects on the total number of individuals per subgroup.
Fig 2CMV and HSV serostatus predicts outcome in different age groups.
Classification tree model (CHAID) using CMV serostatus, HSV serostatus and age as predictors of severity of disease. Bar plots represent percentages. Percentages for categories (mild disease, hospitalization and ICU) are calculated within the node. Percentages for the totals are calculated using the entire dataset.
Fig 3CMV serostatus remains an independent predictor of worse outcome for young patients with no comorbidities.
Classification tree model (CHAID) using CMV serostatus, HSV serostatus, comorbidities and age as predictors. Bar plots represent percentages. Percentages for categories (mild disease, hospitalization and ICU) are calculated within the node. Percentages for the totals are calculated using the entire dataset.