Literature DB >> 35610405

Return to Play Prediction Accuracy of the MLG-R Classification System for Hamstring Injuries in Football Players: A Machine Learning Approach.

Xavier Valle1,2,3, Sandra Mechó4,5, Eduard Alentorn-Geli6,7,8, Tero A H Järvinen9, Lasse Lempainen10, Ricard Pruna4, Joan C Monllau11,12,13, Gil Rodas4, Jaime Isern-Kebschull14,15, Mourad Ghrairi16, Xavier Yanguas4, Ramon Balius17,18, Adrian Martinez-De la Torre19.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND
OBJECTIVE: Muscle injuries are one of the main daily problems in sports medicine, football in particular. However, we do not have a reliable means to predict the outcome, i.e. return to play from severe injury. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the capability of the MLG-R classification system to grade hamstring muscle injuries by severity, offer a prognosis for the return to play, and identify injuries with a higher risk of re-injury. Furthermore, we aimed to assess the consistency of our proposed system by investigating its intra-observer and inter-observer reliability.
METHODS: All male professional football players from FC Barcelona, senior A and B and the two U-19 teams, with injuries that occurred between February 2010 and February 2020 were reviewed. Only players with a clinical presentation of a hamstring muscle injury, with complete clinic information and magnetic resonance images, were included. Three different statistical and machine learning approaches (linear regression, random forest, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting) were used to assess the importance of each factor of the MLG-R classification system in determining the return to play, as well as to offer a prediction of the expected return to play. We used the Cohen's kappa and the intra-class correlation coefficient to assess the intra-observer and inter-observer reliability.
RESULTS: Between 2010 and 2020, 76 hamstring injuries corresponding to 42 different players were identified, of which 50 (65.8%) were grade 3r, 54 (71.1%) affected the biceps femoris long head, and 33 of the 76 (43.4%) were located at the proximal myotendinous junction. The mean return to play for grades 2, 3, and 3r injuries were 14.3, 12.4, and 37 days, respectively. Injuries affecting the proximal myotendinous junction had a mean return to play of 31.7 days while those affecting the distal part of the myotendinous junction had a mean return to play of 23.9 days. The analysis of the grade 3r biceps femoris long head injuries located at the free tendon showed a median return to play time of 56 days while the injuries located at the central tendon had a shorter return to play of 24 days (p = 0.038). The statistical analysis showed an excellent predictive power of the MLG-R classification system with a mean absolute error of 9.8 days and an R-squared of 0.48. The most important factors to determine the return to play were if the injury was at the free tendon of the biceps femoris long head or if it was a grade 3r injury. For all the items of the MLG-R classification, the intra-observer and inter-observer reliability was excellent (k > 0.93) except for fibres blurring (κ = 0.68).
CONCLUSIONS: The main determinant for a long return to play after a hamstring injury is the injury affecting the connective tissue structures of the hamstring. We developed a reliable hamstring muscle injury classification system based on magnetic resonance imaging that showed excellent results in terms of reliability, prognosis capability and objectivity. It is easy to use in clinical daily practice, and can be further adapted to future knowledge. The adoption of this system by the medical community would allow a uniform diagnosis leading to better injury management.
© 2022. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.

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Year:  2022        PMID: 35610405     DOI: 10.1007/s40279-022-01672-5

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Sports Med        ISSN: 0112-1642            Impact factor:   11.928


  43 in total

1.  Hamstring muscle injuries in professional football: the correlation of MRI findings with return to play.

Authors:  Jan Ekstrand; Jeremiah C Healy; Markus Waldén; Justin C Lee; Bryan English; Martin Hägglund
Journal:  Br J Sports Med       Date:  2011-12-05       Impact factor: 13.800

2.  Hamstring injuries have increased by 4% annually in men's professional football, since 2001: a 13-year longitudinal analysis of the UEFA Elite Club injury study.

Authors:  Jan Ekstrand; Markus Waldén; Martin Hägglund
Journal:  Br J Sports Med       Date:  2016-01-08       Impact factor: 13.800

Review 3.  Return to play following muscle strains.

Authors:  John Orchard; Thomas M Best; George M Verrall
Journal:  Clin J Sport Med       Date:  2005-11       Impact factor: 3.638

4.  Magnetic resonance imaging parameters for assessing risk of recurrent hamstring injuries in elite athletes.

Authors:  George Koulouris; David A Connell; Peter Brukner; Michal Schneider-Kolsky
Journal:  Am J Sports Med       Date:  2007-04-10       Impact factor: 6.202

Review 5.  A meta-analysis of injuries in senior men's professional Rugby Union.

Authors:  Sean Williams; Grant Trewartha; Simon Kemp; Keith Stokes
Journal:  Sports Med       Date:  2013-10       Impact factor: 11.136

6.  A four-season prospective study of muscle strain reoccurrences in a professional football club.

Authors:  Christopher Carling; Franck Le Gall; Emmanuel Orhant
Journal:  Res Sports Med       Date:  2011-04       Impact factor: 4.674

7.  The evolution of physical and technical performance parameters in the English Premier League.

Authors:  C Barnes; D T Archer; B Hogg; M Bush; P S Bradley
Journal:  Int J Sports Med       Date:  2014-07-10       Impact factor: 3.118

8.  Return-to-play criteria after hamstring injury: actual medicine practice in professional soccer teams.

Authors:  François Delvaux; Pierre Rochcongar; Olivier Bruyère; Guillaume Bourlet; Christophe Daniel; Pierre Diverse; Jean-Yves Reginster; Jean-Louis Croisier
Journal:  J Sports Sci Med       Date:  2014-09-01       Impact factor: 2.988

9.  Injuries in 13 international Athletics championships between 2007-2012.

Authors:  Nina Feddermann-Demont; Astrid Junge; Pascal Edouard; Pedro Branco; Juan-Manuel Alonso
Journal:  Br J Sports Med       Date:  2014-04       Impact factor: 13.800

10.  Epidemiology of muscle injuries in professional football (soccer).

Authors:  Jan Ekstrand; Martin Hägglund; Markus Waldén
Journal:  Am J Sports Med       Date:  2011-02-18       Impact factor: 6.202

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