| Literature DB >> 35609228 |
Rebecca J Lee1,2, Oskar Wysocki2,3, Cong Zhou3, Rohan Shotton1, Ann Tivey1,2, Louise Lever2, Joshua Woodcock2, Laurence Albiges4, Angelos Angelakas1, Dirk Arnold5, Theingi Aung6, Kathryn Banfill1,2, Mark Baxter7, Fabrice Barlesi4,8, Arnaud Bayle9,10, Benjamin Besse9, Talvinder Bhogal11, Hayley Boyce6, Fiona Britton1, Antonio Calles12, Luis Castelo-Branco13,14,15, Ellen Copson16, Adina E Croitoru17, Sourbha S Dani18, Elena Dickens19, Leonie Eastlake20, Paul Fitzpatrick3, Stephanie Foulon10,21, Henrik Frederiksen22, Hannah Frost3, Sarju Ganatra18, Spyridon Gennatas23, Andreas Glenthøj24, Fabio Gomes1, Donna M Graham1,2, Christina Hague1, Kevin Harrington23,25, Michelle Harrison26, Laura Horsley1, Richard Hoskins27, Prerana Huddar28, Zoe Hudson29, Lasse H Jakobsen30, Nalinie Joharatnam-Hogan31,32, Sam Khan6, Umair T Khan11,33, Khurum Khan31, Christophe Massard9, Alec Maynard6, Hayley McKenzie16, Olivier Michielin34, Anne C Mosenthal18, Berta Obispo35, Rushin Patel18, George Pentheroudakis13, Solange Peters13,36, Kimberly Rieger-Christ18, Timothy Robinson29,37, Jacobo Rogado35, Emanuela Romano38, Michael Rowe39, Marina Sekacheva40, Roseleen Sheehan6, Julie Stevenson3, Alexander Stockdale41, Anne Thomas19,42, Lance Turtle41, David Viñal43, Jamie Weaver1,2, Sophie Williams6, Caroline Wilson6, Carlo Palmieri11,33, Donal Landers3, Timothy Cooksley1, Caroline Dive3, André Freitas2,3,4, Anne C Armstrong1,2.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Patients with cancer are at increased risk of severe COVID-19 disease, but have heterogeneous presentations and outcomes. Decision-making tools for hospital admission, severity prediction, and increased monitoring for early intervention are critical. We sought to identify features of COVID-19 disease in patients with cancer predicting severe disease and build a decision support online tool, COVID-19 Risk in Oncology Evaluation Tool (CORONET).Entities:
Mesh:
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Year: 2022 PMID: 35609228 PMCID: PMC9173569 DOI: 10.1200/CCI.21.00177
Source DB: PubMed Journal: JCO Clin Cancer Inform ISSN: 2473-4276
FIG 1.CORONET modeling diagram. AUROC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; CORONET, COVID-19 Risk in Oncology Evaluation Tool; EPV, event per variable; max, maximum; min, minimum; MSE, mean squared error; RF, Random Forest; RFE, Recursive Feature Elimination; SHAP, Shapley Additive Explanation.
Characteristics of the Model Derivation Cohort
Numeric and Categorical Variables Associated With Outcomes
FIG 2.Final CORONET model characteristics: (A) predicted CORONET score for all 920 patients in the data set using leave-one-out cross-validation and Random Forest model; (B) receiver operating characteristic curves and AUC metrics for CORONET score used as admission, requirement for O2, and death determinants; (C) summary plot of feature contribution to CORONET prediction on the basis of SHAP explanation; and (D) metrics for requirement for O2 and death depending on the CORONET score. The dotted line indicates admission threshold and severe disease threshold set at the maximum of the cost functions. AUC, area under the curve; CORONET, COVID-19 Risk in Oncology Evaluation Tool; CRP, C-reactive protein; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; NEWS2, National Early Warning Score-2; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; SHAP, Shapley Additive Explanations.
FIG 3.Validation of the CORONET model on the external cohort of 282 patients: (A) predicted scores stratified by outcome and (B) receiver operating characteristic curves and AUC metrics for CORONET score used as admission, requirement for O2, and death determinants. AUC, area under the curve; CORONET, COVID-19 Risk in Oncology Evaluation Tool.