| Literature DB >> 35600476 |
Liu Ye1, Haoming Shi2, Xiaowen Wang2, Qin Duan1, Ping Ge1, Yue Shao2.
Abstract
Background: Elevated blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and reduced albumin have been prominently correlated with unfavorable outcomes in patients with cardiovascular diseases. However, whether combination BUN and albumin levels could predict the adverse outcomes of cardiac surgery patients remains to be confirmed. Here, we investigated the prognostic effect of the preoperative BUN to serum albumin ratio (BAR) in cardiac surgery patients.Entities:
Keywords: cardiac surgery; intensive care unit; prognosis; serum albumin; urea nitrogen
Year: 2022 PMID: 35600476 PMCID: PMC9114352 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.888736
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Cardiovasc Med ISSN: 2297-055X
Baseline clinical characteristics of patients based on in-hospital mortality.
|
|
|
| ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |||
| Age, years | 68.7 (60.0, 77.1) | 73.9 (65.8, 79.4) | 0.005 | 68.0 (60.0, 76.0) | 71.0 (63.0, 78.0) | 0.031 |
| Male, | 1,648 (67.2%) | 49 (65.3%) | 0.829 | 2,091 (69.2%) | 66 (56.4%) | 0.005 |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 27.9 (24.6, 31.6) | 28.7 (25.3, 32.7) | 0.158 | 28.8 (25.3, 33.1) | 30.2 (24.2, 34.1) | 0.266 |
| SBP, mmHg | 115 (104, 129) | 109 (95, 127) | 0.020 | 120 (106, 138) | 116 (103, 131) | 0.122 |
| DBP, mmHg | 59.0 (52.0, 67.0) | 56.0 (46.5, 62.0) | 0.003 | 65.0 (56.0, 76.0) | 63.0 (52.5, 72.5) | 0.100 |
| Heart rate, bpm | 84.0 (77.0, 90.0) | 88.0 (78.0, 98.0) | 0.006 | 80.0 (70.0, 91.0) | 87.0 (76.3, 100.0) | <0.001 |
| Hypertension, | 1,469 (59.9%) | 26 (34.7%) | <0.001 | 628 (20.8%) | 23 (19.7%) | 0.858 |
| Diabetes, | 844 (34.4%) | 25 (33.3%) | 0.943 | 521 (17.2%) | 26 (22.2%) | 0.205 |
| CHD, | 1,986 (81.0%) | 54 (72.0%) | 0.072 | 2,205 (73.0%) | 81 (69.2%) | 0.429 |
| Valve disease, | 1,112 (45.4%) | 40 (53.3%) | 0.211 | 1,142 (37.8%) | 67 (57.3%) | <0.001 |
| Heart failure, | 916 (37.4%) | 47 (62.7%) | <0.001 | 300 (9.9%) | 27 (23.1%) | <0.001 |
| AF, | 1,152 (47.0%) | 39 (52.0%) | 0.459 | 349 (11.6%) | 27 (23.1%) | <0.001 |
| CKD, | 295 (12.0%) | 15 (20.0%) | 0.058 | 174 (5.8%) | 13 (11.1%) | 0.028 |
| BUN, mg/dl | 19.0 (14.0, 25.0) | 27.0 (19.0, 42.0) | <0.001 | 18.0 (14.0, 24.0) | 24.0 (16.0, 34.0) | <0.001 |
| Serum albumin, g/dl | 3.7 (3.2, 4.1) | 3.20 (2.6, 3.6) | <0.001 | 3.4 (2.9, 3.7) | 2.9 (2.4, 3.3) | <0.001 |
| BAR | 5.1 (3.9, 7.2) | 10.0 (5.9, 13.5) | <0.001 | 5.3 (4.0, 7.6) | 9.0 (5.4, 12.4) | <0.001 |
| WBC, k/ul | 8.4 (6.8, 11.4) | 9.8 (8.0, 13.3) | 0.007 | 9.5 (7.3, 13.8) | 10.3 (6.9, 15.3) | 0.338 |
| PLT, k/u | 210 (167, 258) | 213 (169, 263) | 0.874 | 177 (135, 224) | 152 (104, 211) | <0.001 |
| Hemoglobin, g/dl | 12.2 (10.6, 13.6) | 11.1 (9.4, 12.3) | <0.001 | 11.9 (10.2, 13.5) | 10.4 (9.2, 11.9) | <0.001 |
| SCr, mg/dl | 1.0 (0.8, 1.3) | 1.3 (1.1, 1.8) | <0.001 | 1.00 (0.8, 1.3) | 1.34 (1.0, 2.0) | <0.001 |
| Sodium, mEq/l | 139 (137, 141) | 138 (136, 140) | 0.010 | 139 (136, 141) | 138 (135, 141) | 0.455 |
| Potassium, mEq/l | 4.10 (3.80, 4.40) | 4.20 (3.80, 4.65) | 0.204 | 4.0 (3.8, 4.4) | 4.1 (3.7, 4.6) | 0.439 |
| Glucose, mg/dl | 119 (100, 154) | 123 (105, 169) | 0.158 | 124 (103, 156) | 140 (106, 165) | 0.052 |
| Anion gap | 13.0 (12.0, 15.0) | 15.00 (13.0, 16.5) | <0.001 | 9.0 (7.0, 12.0) | 11.3 (8.4, 15.0) | <0.001 |
| Bicarbonate | 26.0 (24.0, 28.0) | 23.0 (20.0, 26.5) | <0.001 | 25.0 (23.0, 27.0) | 23.0 (21.0, 26.0) | <0.001 |
| Chloride | 104 (101, 106) | 104 (100, 107) | 0.826 | 105 (102, 108) | 105 (101, 109) | 0.412 |
| ALT | 22 (16.0, 33.0) | 29 (19.0, 72.0) | <0.001 | 22.0 (15.0, 35.0) | 36.0 (22.0, 81.8) | <0.001 |
| AST | 26.0 (20.0, 41.0) | 53.0 (23.8, 124.3) | <0.001 | 28.0 (20.0, 47.0) | 69.0 (32.0, 185.0) | <0.001 |
| SOFA score | 5.0 (3.0, 7.0) | 6.0 (3.5, 10.0) | <0.001 | 5.0 (3.0, 7.0) | 8.0 (5.0, 11.0) | <0.001 |
| Vasoactive, | 529 (21.6%) | 51 (68.0%) | <0.001 | 1,063 (35.2%) | 72 (61.5%) | <0.001 |
MIMIC, Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care; BMI, body mass index; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; CHD, coronary heart disease; AF, atrial fibrillation; CKD, chronic kidney disease; BUN, blood urea nitrogen; BAR, blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio; WBC, white blood cell count; PLT, platelets; SCr, serum creatine; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; SOFA, sequential organ failure assessment; ICU, intensive care units.
Figure 1(A) The receiver operating characteristic curve of BAR for predicting in-hospital mortality in MIMIC III. The best cut-off value was >6.41 (mg/g). Area under the curve was 0.766 and the sensitivity, specificity, 95% CI lower and 95% CI upper were 72.0, 68.5%, 0.749 and 0.783, respectively. (B) Kaplan Meier curves for 1-year mortality stratified by high and low BAR in MIMIC III dataset. BAR, blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; MIMIC, Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care.
Clinical outcomes between study cohorts.
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||
| In-hospital mortality, | 21 (1.2%) | 54 (6.5%) | <0.001 |
| ICU mortality, | 19 (1.1%) | 44 (5.3%) | <0.001 |
| 1-year mortality, | 68 (4.0%) | 170 (20.6%) | <0.001 |
| ICU stay ≥ 5 days, | 338 (19.9%) | 390 (47.2%) | <0.001 |
| Hospital stay ≥ 15 days, | 274 (16.1%) | 338 (40.9%) | <0.001 |
|
| |||
| In-hospital mortality, | 38 (1.9%) | 79 (6.8%) | <0.001 |
| ICU mortality, | 23 (1.2 %) | 62 (5.4%) | <0.001 |
| ICU stay ≥ 5 days, | 431 (21.8%) | 396 (34.2%) | <0.001 |
| Hospital stay ≥ 15 days, | 266 (13.4%) | 374 (32.3%) | <0.001 |
MIMIC, Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care; BAR, blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio; ICU, intensive care units.
Predictive value of BAR for adverse endpoints.
|
|
| |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
| ||||
|
| ||||
| In-hospital mortality | 1.12 (1.09–1.15) | <0.001 | 1.07 (1.02–1.12) | 0.003 |
| ICU mortality | 1.11 (1.08–1.14) | <0.001 | 1.07 (1.02–1.13) | 0.006 |
| 1-year mortality | 1.09 (1.08–1.10) | <0.001 | 1.06 (1.03–1.08) | <0.001 |
| ICU stay ≥ 5 days | 1.15 (1.13–1.18) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.05–1.11) | <0.001 |
| Hospital stay ≥ 15 days | 1.14 (1.11–1.16) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.05–1.11) | <0.001 |
|
| ||||
| In-hospital mortality | 5.59 (3.35–9.31) | <0.001 | 2.70 (1.47–4.96) | 0.001 |
| ICU mortality | 4.97 (2.88–8.57) | <0.001 | 2.77 (1.44–5.32) | 0.002 |
| 1-year mortality | 5.61 (4.24–7.43) | <0.001 | 2.73 (1.97–3.79) | <0.001 |
| ICU stay ≥ 5 days | 3.60 (3.00–4.31) | <0.001 | 1.90 (1.50–2.41) | <0.001 |
| Hospital stay ≥ 15 days | 3.60 (2.98–4.35) | <0.001 | 2.06 (1.61–2.63) | <0.001 |
|
| ||||
|
| ||||
| In-hospital mortality | 1.10 (1.08–1.13) | <0.001 | 1.06 (1.01–1.10) | 0.013 |
| ICU mortality | 1.10 (1.08–1.13) | <0.001 | 1.06 (1.02–1.11) | 0.006 |
| ICU stay ≥ 5 days | 1.06 (1.04–1.07) | <0.001 | 1.03 (1.01–1.06) | 0.018 |
| Hospital stay ≥ 15 days | 1.13 (1.10–1.15) | <0.001 | 1.08 (1.05–1.11) | <0.001 |
|
| ||||
| In-hospital mortality | 3.74 (2.52–5.55) | <0.001 | 2.21 (1.17–4.20) | 0.015 |
| ICU mortality | 4.81 (2.97–7.81) | <0.001 | 2.42 (1.19–4.92) | 0.015 |
| ICU stay ≥ 5 days | 1.87 (1.59–2.20) | <0.001 | 1.47 (1.14–1.89) | 0.003 |
| Hospital stay ≥ 15 days | 3.07 (2.57–3.67) | <0.001 | 2.04 (1.57–2.65) | <0.001 |
The OR was examined by per 1-point increase of BAR.
The OR was examined regarding the low BAR as reference.
The baseline model includes variables that are significant in univariate logistic proportional hazard analysis in MIMIC III, including age, SBP, heart rate, hypertension, heart failure, CKD, WBC, hemoglobin, SCr, sodium, glucose, anion gap, bicarbonate, ALT, AST, SOFA score and vasoactive (details shown in .
OR, odds ratio; HR, hazard ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; MIMIC, Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care; BAR, blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio; ICU, intensive care units.
Figure 2Logistic regression analysis evaluating prognostic value of BAR in various subgroups in MIMIC III. The OR was examined regarding the low BAR as reference. BAR, blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio; OR, odds ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; MIMIC, Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care.
Figure 3Evaluation of predictive models for in-hospital mortality. (A) ROC curve evaluating predictive value of various models for in-hospital mortality in MIMIC III. (B) ROC curve evaluating predictive value of various models for in-hospital mortality in eICU. (C) C-statistics for discrimination ability of various models. ROC, receiver operator characteristic; AUC, area under the curve; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; BAR, blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio; MIMIC, Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care; ICU, intensive care units. #The baseline model includes variables that are significant in multivariate logistic proportional hazard analysis in MIMIC III, including age, SBP, hypertension, CKD, hemoglobin and vasoactive.