| Literature DB >> 35586649 |
Rui Jiao1,2, Maomao Liu1,2, Xuran Lu1,2, Junming Zhu1,3, Lizhong Sun1,3, Nan Liu1,2.
Abstract
Background: This study aimed to construct a model to predict the risk of in-hospital death in patients with acute renal injury (AKI) receiving continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) after acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) surgery.Entities:
Keywords: acute kidney injury; acute type A aortic dissection; continuous renal replacement; in-hospital death; nomogram
Year: 2022 PMID: 35586649 PMCID: PMC9108198 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.891038
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Cardiovasc Med ISSN: 2297-055X
Figure 1Study flowchart. OR, Odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; PND, permanent neurological dysfunction.
Baseline characteristics in the survival and nonsurvival groups.
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| Sex (male/female) | 73/41 | 31/12 | 0.34 |
| Age > 65 (%) | 7 (6.1) | 18 (29.5) |
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| BMI (kg/m2) | 25.1 ± 3.5 | 25.7 ± 4.2 | 0.44 |
| Hypertension (%) | 82 (71.9) | 49 (80.3) | 0.22 |
| CAD (%) | 8 (7.0) | 5 (8.2) | 0.78 |
| Diabetes (%) | 9 (7.9) | 6 (9.8) | 0.66 |
| Preoperative EF (%) | 63.9 ± 6.1 | 61.0 ± 6.9 | 0.48 |
| Creatinine (μmol/L, x ± S) | 115.8 ± 84.2 | 117.9 ± 75.6 | 0.90 |
| Urea nitrogen (mmol/L, x ± S) | 8.9 ± 5.5 | 9.7 ± 5.9 | 0.55 |
| Albumin (g/L, x ± S) | 38.8 ± 7.7 | 36.9 ± 7.3 | 0.53 |
| Myohemoglobin (μg/L, x ± S) | 329.7 ± 197.6 | 285.7 ± 190.3 | 0.41 |
| Leukocytes (109/L, x ± S) | 11.8 ± 4.4 | 12.6 ± 3.9 | 0.33 |
| Hemoglobin (g/L, x ± S) | 130.4 ± 20.6 | 131.4 ± 20.6 | 0.80 |
BMI, Body Mass Index; CAD, Coronary atherosclerotic heart disease. Bold vaue indicates P < 0.05.
Intraoperative variables in the survival and nonsurvival groups.
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| Bentall replacement (%) | 54 (47.4) | 32 (52.5) | 0.52 |
| Total aortic arch replacement (%) | 108 (94.7) | 58 (95.1) | 0.92 |
| Partial aortic arch replacement (%) | 6 (5.3) | 3 (4.9) | 0.89 |
| Combined CABG (%) | 10 (8.8) | 1 (1.6) | 0.07 |
| Operative time (min, | 406.6 ± 185.6 | 442.6 ± 237.6 | 0.32 |
| CPB time (min, | 219.6 ± 48.9 | 235.6 ± 64.8 |
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| Aortic cross-clamp time (min, | 120.6 ± 29.7 | 128.2 ± 37.6 | 0.11 |
| MHCA time (min, | 22.8 ± 9.5 | 22.9 ± 9.2 | 0.97 |
| Intraoperative infusion of RBC (u, Q1, Q3) | 4.0 (2.0, 6.0) | 4.0 (0.0, 10.0) | 0.61 |
| Intraoperative infusion of platelets (u, Q1, Q3) | 0 (0, 0) | 0 (0, 0) | 0.87 |
| Intraoperative infusion of plasma (u, Q1, Q3) | 400.0 (0, 400.0) | 400.0 (0, 800.0) | 0.08 |
CABG, Coronary artery bypass grafting; CPB, cardiopulmonary bypass; MHCA, moderate and hypothermia circulation arrest; RBC, red blood cell. Bold vaue indicates P < 0.05.
Laboratory indicators during CRRT in the survival and nonsurvival groups.
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| Albumin upon initiation of CRRT (g/L, | 31.2 ± 13.2 | 28.8 ± 7.0 | 0.27 |
| Leukocytes upon initiation of CRRT (G/L, | 24.1 ± 17.1 | 15.0 ± 6.9 | 0.28 |
| BUN upon initiation of CRRT (ummol/L, | 20.9 ± 11.4 | 20.1 ± 12.3 | 0.67 |
| Creatinine upon initiation of CRRT (mmol/L, | 289.9 ± 164.8 | 256.7 ± 123.3 | 0.23 |
| Hemoglobin upon initiation of CRRT (g/L, | 94.1 ± 20.3 | 89.7 ± 18.5 | 0.11 |
| Lactic acid upon initiation of CRRT (mmol/L, | 5.2 ± 4.7 | 6.4 ± 5.2 | 0.12 |
| Lactic acid 6 h after CRRT (mmol/L, | 3.7 ± 2.7 | 6.5 ± 4.9 |
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| Lactic acid 12 h after CRRT (mmol/L, | 3.1 ± 1.8 | 7.1 ± 5.2 |
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| Lactic acid 24 h after CRRT (mmol/L, | 2.7 ± 1.6 | 7.8 ± 5.9 |
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| Serum upon initiation of CRRT (mmol/L, | 5.6 ± 4.9 | 4.5 ± 2.7 | 0.32 |
| Bicarbonate upon initiation of CRRT (mmol/L, | 24.0 ± 5.5 | 24.7 ± 4.2 | 0.50 |
BUN, Blood urea nitrogen. Bold values indicates P <0.05.
Postoperative complications and transfusion data during the ICU stay in the survival and nonsurvival groups.
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| Liver dysfunction (%) | 7 (6.1) | 24 (39.3) |
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| PND (%) | 12 (10.5) | 27 (44.3) |
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| Paraplegia inferior (%) | 12 (10.5) | 7 (11.5) | 0.85 |
| Catheter-related bloodstream infection (%) | 2 (1.8) | 3 (4.9) | 0.23 |
| Lung infection (%) | 14 (12.3) | 14 (23.0) | 0.07 |
| Gastrointestinal bleeding (%) | 7 (6.1) | 8 (13.1) | 0.12 |
| Infusion of RBC during the ICU stay | 12.0 (6.0, 18.0) | 14.0 (5.5, 22.5) | 0.52 |
| Infusion of plasma during the ICU stay | 400.0 (0, 600.0) | 400.0 (0, 600.0) | 0.99 |
| Infusion of platelet during the ICU stay | 3.0 (1.0, 5.0) | 2.5 (0.0, 4.0) | 0.44 |
PND, permanent neurological dysfunction. Bold values indicates P < 0.05.
Figure 2Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed the independent risk factors of in-hospital death in patients with postoperative AKI undergoing CRRT after ATAAD surgery. PND, Permanent neurological dysfunction.
Figure 3Nomogram predicts in-hospital death risk in patients with postoperative AKI undergoing CRRT after ATAAD surgery. The nomogram was established to predict the risk of in-hospital death based on four independent prognostic factors. The total score can be calculated by summation of single scores. We can estimate the probability of in-hospital death by projecting the total score to the lower total point scale.
Figure 4Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for evaluating the discrimination performance of the model. The area under the ROC curve was 0.868 and C statistic was also 0.868.
Figure 5Calibration curves for the nomogram. The x-axis represents the nomogram-predicted probability, and the y-axis represents the actual probability of the nomogram. A perfect prediction would correspond to the 45° yellow dashed line. The blue dotted line represents the entire cohort (n = 175), and the red solid line is bias-corrected by bootstrapping (B = 1,000 repetitions), indicating observed nomogram performance. The mean absolute error = 0.022 (2.2%).