| Literature DB >> 35571914 |
Longqing Li1,2, Zhuangzhuang Li1,2, Xuanhong He1,2, Yang Wang1,2, Minxun Lu1,2, Taojun Gong1,2, Qing Chang1, Jingqi Lin1, Yi Luo1,2, Li Min1,2, Yong Zhou1,2, Chongqi Tu1,2.
Abstract
Osteosarcoma is a primary malignant bone tumor with high metastatic potential. To date, achieving long-term survival of osteosarcoma patients remains a difficult task. Metabolic reprogramming has emerged as a new hallmark of cancer. However, studies on the prognostic value of hematological markers related to nutritional and metabolism in cancer patients are limited and contradictory. In this retrospective study, we extensively collected 16 hematological markers related to nutritional and metabolism in 223 osteosarcoma patients. A nutritional metabolism related prognostic scoring system (NMRS) in patients with osteosarcoma was constructed by least absolute contraction and selection operator (LASSO) cox regression analysis. Compared with individual hematological indicators, NMRS has stronger predictive power (training set: 0.811 vs. 0.362-2.638; validation set: 0.767 vs. 0.333-0.595). It is an independent prognostic factor for the survival of patients with osteosarcoma [HR: 1.957 (1.375-2.786) training set; HR: 3.146 (1.574-6.266) validation set]. NMRS-based nomograms have good and stable predictive power. NMRS facilitates further risk stratification of patients with the same clinical characteristics.Entities:
Keywords: hematology; metabolism; nutrition; osteosarcoma; prognosis
Year: 2022 PMID: 35571914 PMCID: PMC9096723 DOI: 10.3389/fnut.2022.883308
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Nutr ISSN: 2296-861X
Differences in the distribution of all variables between the training set and the validation set and the respective coefficients of the 9 hematological markers that make up the NMRS.
| Train ( | Test ( | Coefficient | ||
|
| Not applicable | |||
| Mean (SD) | 1,030 (545) | 975 (576) | 0.524 | |
|
| Not applicable | |||
| Alive | 105 (67.3%) | 42 (62.7%) | 0.608 | |
| Died | 51 (32.7%) | 25 (37.3%) | ||
|
| Not applicable | |||
| Male | 93 (59.6%) | 38 (56.7%) | 0.799 | |
| Female | 63 (40.4%) | 29 (43.3%) | ||
|
| Not applicable | |||
| Mean (SD) | 21.3 (12.3) | 22.5 (12.4) | 0.483 | |
|
| Not applicable | |||
| No | 128 (82.1%) | 56 (83.6%) | 0.933 | |
| Yes | 28 (17.9%) | 11 (16.4%) | ||
|
| Not applicable | |||
| Extremities | 149 (95.5%) | 65 (97.0%) | 0.88 | |
| Non-extremities | 7 (4.5%) | 2 (3.0%) | ||
|
| Not applicable | |||
| No | 139 (89.1%) | 59 (88.1%) | 1 | |
| Yes | 17 (10.9%) | 8 (11.9%) | ||
|
| Excluded | |||
| High | 98 (62.8%) | 44 (65.7%) | 0.799 | |
| Low | 58 (37.2%) | 23 (34.3%) | ||
|
| −0.497 | |||
| High | 71 (45.5%) | 33 (49.3%) | 0.714 | |
| Low | 85 (54.5%) | 34 (50.7%) | ||
|
| 0.354 | |||
| High | 57 (36.5%) | 25 (37.3%) | 1 | |
| Low | 99 (63.5%) | 42 (62.7%) | ||
|
| Excluded | |||
| High | 125 (80.1%) | 53 (79.1%) | 1 | |
| Low | 31 (19.9%) | 14 (20.9%) | ||
|
| Excluded | |||
| High | 101 (64.7%) | 47 (70.1%) | 0.53 | |
| Low | 55 (35.3%) | 20 (29.9%) | ||
|
| Excluded | |||
| High | 106 (67.9%) | 48 (71.6%) | 0.697 | |
| Low | 50 (32.1%) | 19 (28.4%) | ||
|
| Excluded | |||
| High | 15 (9.6%) | 13 (19.4%) | 0.0716 | |
| Low | 141 (90.4%) | 54 (80.6%) | ||
|
| Excluded | |||
| High | 94 (60.3%) | 48 (71.6%) | 0.142 | |
| Low | 62 (39.7%) | 19 (28.4%) | ||
|
| Excluded | |||
| High | 73 (46.8%) | 41 (61.2%) | 0.0679 | |
| Low | 83 (53.2%) | 26 (38.8%) | ||
|
| −0.286 | |||
| High | 117 (75.0%) | 51 (76.1%) | 0.993 | |
| Low | 39 (25.0%) | 16 (23.9%) | ||
|
| 0.417 | |||
| High | 92 (59.0%) | 38 (56.7%) | 0.869 | |
| Low | 64 (41.0%) | 29 (43.3%) | ||
|
| 0.562 | |||
| High | 39 (25.0%) | 24 (35.8%) | 0.138 | |
| Low | 117 (75.0%) | 43 (64.2%) | ||
|
| 0.596 | |||
| High | 43 (27.6%) | 20 (29.9%) | 0.853 | |
| Low | 113 (72.4%) | 47 (70.1%) | ||
|
| −1.127 | |||
| High | 99 (63.5%) | 42 (62.7%) | 1 | |
| Low | 57 (36.5%) | 25 (37.3%) | ||
|
| −0.188 | |||
| High | 96 (61.5%) | 40 (59.7%) | 0.914 | |
| Low | 60 (38.5%) | 27 (40.3%) | ||
|
| 0.901 | |||
| High | 82 (52.6%) | 36 (53.7%) | 0.989 | |
| Low | 74 (47.4%) | 31 (46.3%) |
FIGURE 1The construction process of NMRS and the comparison between NMRS and individual hematological markers in terms of predictive ability. (A) Forest plot presented the results of univariate cox regression analysis of 16 hematological markers in the overall cohort. Where the smaller the p value, the closer the color of the diamond of the marker is to white; (B,C) With the continuous inclusion of the marker with high frequency retained in LASSO regression analysis into the model, the AUC value of the model continues to rise. When the 9th marker is included in the model, the AUC value of the model reaches the highest value, and this model is NMRS; (D) ROC curves of the predictive ability of NMRS and individual hematological markers in the training set; (E) ROC curves of the predictive ability of NMRS and individual hematological markers in the validation set.
FIGURE 2NMRS has independent prognostic value in both the training and validation sets. (A) KM survival curves showing overall patient survival in the training set; (B) KM survival curves showing overall patient survival in the training set; (C) The overall cohort patient NMRS score and overall survival risk, restricted cubic splines indicated that the effect of NMRS as a continuous variable on overall survival risk was linear; (D) Results of univariate cox regression analysis of NMRS and clinical characteristics in the training set; (E) Results of multivariate cox regression analysis of NMRS and clinical characteristics in the training set; (F) Results of univariate cox regression analysis of NMRS and clinical characteristics in the validation set; (G) Results of multivariate cox regression analysis of NMRS and clinical characteristics in the validation set.
FIGURE 3Comparison of NMRS with clinical features and stability of NMRS prediction ability. (A,B) Time-dependent ROC curves for NMRS vs. clinical characteristics in terms of predictive ability (training set and validation set); (C) Forest plots showing the predictive power of NMRS in various subgroups.
FIGURE 4NMRS-based nomograms have good predictive ability and predictive stability. (A) NMRS-based nomogram, in which NMRS with tumor metastasis status is the two most important factors; (B,C) Calibration curve of NMRS nomogram for predicting 3-year vs. 5-year overall survival in patients with osteosarcoma (training set and validation set); (D) Decision curve analysis of the NMRS nomogram, which only complements BMI to clinical features yielded little clinical net benefit (clincalN). When NMRS is introduced into clinical features it yields definite clinical net benefit (Combined); (E) The introduction of BMI into clinical features produced little clinical net reduction, whereas the introduction of NMRS brought clinical net reduction with certainty.
FIGURE 5NMRS was only associated with metastatic status. (A) Violin plots showing differences in the distribution of NMRS among patients with different metastatic status; (B) Violin plots showing differences in the distribution of NMRS among patients with different pathological fracture state; (C) Violin plots showing differences in the distribution of NMRS among patients with different tumor location; (D) Violin plots showing differences in the distribution of NMRS among patients with different gender; (E) Violin plots showing differences in the distribution of NMRS among patients with different BMI.
FIGURE 6NMRS can further identify patients with different risks on the basis of clinical characteristics. (A) Two-factor KM survival curves considering the risk of NMRS and the status of tumor metastasis; (B) Two-factor KM survival curves considering the risk of NMRS and the status of pathological fracture.
FIGURE 7Prognostic value of individual hematological markers and AGR in the training and validation sets. (A) Univariate cox regression analysis results of a single hematological marker in the training set; (B) Univariate cox regression analysis results of a single hematological marker in the validation set; (C) Univariate cox regression analysis of AGR in the validation set; (D) Multivariate cox regression analysis of AGR in the validation set.