| Literature DB >> 35559352 |
Lingfei Meng1, Liming Yang2, Xueyan Zhu3, Xiaoxuan Zhang4, Xinyang Li1, Siyu Cheng1, Shizheng Guo1, Xiaohua Zhuang1, Hongbin Zou1, Wenpeng Cui1.
Abstract
Aim: Peritoneal dialysis (PD)-associated peritonitis (PDAP) is a severe complication of PD. It is an important issue about whether it can be cured. At present, there is no available prediction model for peritonitis cure. Therefore, this study aimed to develop and validate a prediction model for peritonitis cure in patients with PDAP.Entities:
Keywords: ESRD – end stage renal disease; clinical decision rules; nomogram; peritoneal dialysis; peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis
Year: 2022 PMID: 35559352 PMCID: PMC9086557 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2022.875154
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Med (Lausanne) ISSN: 2296-858X
FIGURE 1Flowchart of cohort establishment.
Baseline demographic and laboratory parameters of 1011 PDAP episodes in the training and validation dataset.
| Index | Training dataset ( | Validation dataset ( |
|
|
| |||
| Age (year) | 60(48, 69) | 55 (42, 67) | 0.000 |
| Gender (male, | 370 (48.4) | 134 (54.5) | 0.096 |
| Number of PDAP episodes | 1 (1, 2) | 1 (1, 2) | 0.203 |
| PD duration (year) | 1.34 (0.51, 2.62) | 1.01 (0.36,2.25) | 0.010 |
| Antibiotics before admission (yes) | 69 (9.0) | 60 (24.4) | 0.000 |
| 24-h urine volume ≥ 500 ml (yes) | 468 (61.2) | 172 (69.9) | 0.013 |
|
| 0.177 | ||
| Glomerulonephritis | 300 (39.2) | 106 (43.1) | |
| Interstitial nephritis | 33 (4.3) | 18 (7.3) | |
| Diabetic nephropathy | 190 (24.8) | 76 (30.9) | |
| Hypertensive renal impairment | 129 (16.9) | 16 (6.5) | |
| Other | 113 (14.8) | 30 (12.2) | |
|
| 682 (89.2) | 178 (72.4) | 0.000 |
|
| 266 (34.8) | 91 (37.0) | 0.526 |
|
| 297 (38.8) | 25 (10.2) | 0.000 |
|
| |||
| WBC (1012/L) | 8.38 (6.15, 11.32) | 8.10 (6.40, 11.10) | 0.551 |
| Hemoglobin (g/L) | 99 (83, 112) | 98 (85, 110) | 0.682 |
| Albumin (g/dL) | 28.50 ± 6.25 | 30.81 ± 5.87 | 0.000 |
| Blood urea nitrogen (mmol/L) | 15.79 (12.10, 19.97) | 14.54 (10.50, 20.14) | 0.049 |
| Serum creatinine (μmol/L) | 714.73 (543.00, 904.00) | 748.81 (533.00, 976.00) | 0.085 |
| Peritoneal dialysate cell count on admission (/μL) | 2291 (800, 5760) | 1075 (370, 2560) | 0.000 |
| Peritoneal dialysate white cell count on day 5(/μL) ≥ 100/μL | 313 (40.9) | 70 (28.5) | 0.000 |
|
| 0.000 | ||
| Culture-negative | 132 (17.3) | 118 (48.0) | |
| Gram-positive | |||
|
| 34 (4.4) | 14 (5.7) | |
| CNS | 190 (24.8) | 42 (17.1) | |
| Corynebacterium | 10 (1.3) | 0 (0.0) | |
| Enterococcus | 15 (2.0) | 4 (1,6) | |
| Others | 109 (14.2) | 16 (6.5) | |
| Gram-negative | |||
| Pseudomonas aeruginosa | 11 (1.4) | 2 (0.8) | |
| Escherichia coli | 80 (10.5) | 19 (7.7) | |
| Klebsiella pneumoniae | 21 (2.7) | 0 (0) | |
| Enterobacter species | 18 (2.4) | 12 (4.9) | |
| Others | 70 (9.2) | 12 (4.9) | |
| Polymicrobial | 75 (9.8) | 7 (2.8) | |
| ESI/tunnel infection | 3 (0.4) | 2 (0.8) | 0.600 |
PD, peritoneal dialysis; WBC, white blood cell; PDAP, peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis; CNS, coagulase-negative Staphylococcus; ESI, exit-site infection.
Univariate and multivariable logistic regression of cure in the training dataset.
| Univariate | Multivariable | |||||
| Variable | B | OR (95% CI) |
| B | OR (95% CI) |
|
| PD duration (every 1 year) | –0.15 | 0.86 (0.79, 0.94) | 0.001 | –0.14 | 0.87 (0.79, 0.95) | 0.003 |
| Albumin ≥ 25 g/L | 0.65 | 1.92 (1.32, 2.80) | 0.001 | 0.51 | 1.67 (1.10, 2.54) | 0.016 |
| Antibiotics before admission | –0.73 | 0.48 (0.28, 0.83) | 0.008 | –0.87 | 0.42 (0.23, 0.77) | 0.005 |
|
| ||||||
| Culture-negative | Reference | |||||
|
| –1.18 | 0.31 (0.13, 0.73) | 0.007 | –1.25 | 0.29 (0.12, 0.70) | 0.006 |
| CNS | –0.03 | 0.97 (0.52, 1.83) | 0.932 | –0.13 | 0.88 (0.46, 1.71) | 0.711 |
| Corynebacterium | 0.41 | 1.51 (0.18, 12.64) | 0.702 | 0.37 | 1.44 (0.17, 12.51) | 0.739 |
| Enterococcus | 0.86 | 2.35 (0.29, 18.96) | 0.421 | 0.82 | 2.26 (0.27, 18.87) | 0.452 |
| Other G + | 0.51 | 1.67 (0.74, 3.75) | 0.219 | 0.45 | 1.57 (0.67, 3.69) | 0.296 |
| Pseudomonas aeruginosa | –1.97 | 0.14 (0.04, 0.51) | 0.003 | –1.71 | 0.18 (0.05, 0.73) | 0.016 |
| Escherichia coli | –0.88 | 0.42 (0.21, 0.83) | 0.012 | –0.81 | 0.44 (0.21, 0.93) | 0.031 |
| Klebsiella pneumoniae | –1.09 | 0.34 (0.12, 0.94) | 0.038 | –0.81 | 0.44 (0.15, 1.32) | 0.145 |
| Enterobacter species | –0.83 | 0.44 (0.14, 1.37) | 0.155 | –0.70 | 0.50 (0.15, 1.66) | 0.256 |
| Other G- | –0.40 | 0.67 (0.31, 1.44) | 0.307 | –0.48 | 0.62 (0.28, 1.40) | 0.250 |
| Polymicrobial | –1.03 | 0.36 (0.18, 0.71) | 0.003 | –1.18 | 0.31 (0.15, 0.64) | 0.002 |
| 24-h urine volume ≥ 500 ml | 0.37 | 1,45 (1.01, 2.07) | 0.045 | |||
| Peritoneal dialysate white cell count on day 5(/μL) ≥ 100/μL | –1.29 | 0.28 (0.19, 0.40) | 0.000 | –1.15 | 0.32 (0.21, 0.47) | 0.000 |
CNS: coagulase-negative Staphylococcus.
FIGURE 2Nomogram for predicting the peritonitis-related catheter removal of peritoneal dialysis (PD)-associated peritonitis (PDAP). The nomogram provided a method to calculate the probability of peritonitis cure in patients with PDAP based on the combination of covariates in each patient. Its usage was illustrated with a 1-year history of PD, no antibiotics prior to admission, a serum albumin of 40 g/L, peritoneal dialysate white cell count on day 5 (/μl) < 100/μl, and CNS of causative organisms (vertical lines). The scores for PD duration, no antibiotics prior to admission, serum albumin, peritoneal dialysate white cell count on day 5 (/μl) < 100/μl, and bacterial infection for this patient were 5.7, 3.4, 4.1, 4.6, and 6.3 points, respectively, resulting in the total score of 24.1, which represented approximately 0.93 of cure probability. Pae, Pseudomonas aeruginosa; S. aureus, Staphylococcus; Kpn, Klebsiella pneumoniae; E. coli, Escherichia coli; CNS, coagulase-negative Staphylococcus.
FIGURE 3Internal validation of the prediction model. Discrimination was assessed by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (A), and calibration was performed by the calibration curve (B) in the entire training dataset.
FIGURE 4External validation of the prediction model. External validation was performed using the prediction model in the validation dataset. Discrimination was assessed by the ROC curve (A), and calibration was completed by the calibration curve (B).
FIGURE 5Decision curve for peritonitis-related catheter removal. Outcomes generated by the prediction model (green line) were distinct from those generated by “all” or “none” treatment strategies (blue or red lines), indicating that the use of the model might lead to improved clinical outcomes.