| Literature DB >> 35557494 |
Young-Jin Choi1, Kyung Suk Lee1,2, Young-Seop Lee3, Kyu Rang Kim4, Jae-Won Oh1,5.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Concerns about the spread of infectious diseases have increased due to the coronavirus disease pandemic. Knowing the factors that exacerbate or increase the contagiousness of a virus could be a key to pandemic prevention. Therefore, we investigated whether the pandemic potential of infectious diseases correlates with the concentration of atmospheric substances. We also investigated whether environmental deterioration causes an increase in viral infections.Entities:
Keywords: Respiratory viral infection; children; pollen; respiratory symptom, air pollutant
Year: 2022 PMID: 35557494 PMCID: PMC9110915 DOI: 10.4168/aair.2022.14.3.289
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Allergy Asthma Immunol Res ISSN: 2092-7355 Impact factor: 5.096
Cross-correlation coefficients between the number of infections (t) and pollen concentration (t-n)
| Variables | t-5 | t-4 | t-3 | t-2 | t-1 | t |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In spring | 0.1171 | 0.2137 | 0.301 | 0.4593 |
| 0.4512 |
| In autumn | 0.026 | 0.028 | 0.055 | 0.068 | 0.016 |
|
The pollen concentration was highest 1 week before the highest viral infection. Bold indicate highest cross-correlation coefficient.
t-n, n weeks ago; ρXY (h), cross-correlation coefficient.
A multiple linear regression analysis of the number of infections (t-1)/week (y) and the concentration of tree pollen (t-1) + air pollution (t-1) /week (x) in the spring
| Variables | Estimate ( | Standard error | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tree pollen |
|
|
|
| PM10 | −0.0143 | 0.054038 | 0.7914 |
| PM2.5 | −0.1070 | 0.123217 | 0.3874 |
| O3 | 222.4119 | 109.235583 | 0.0444 |
| NO2 | −89.0216 | 163.664777 | 0.5877 |
| CO | 3.6179 | 11.277106 | 0.749 |
| SO2 | 688.1015 | 879.551986 | 0.4359 |
The number of infection (t) = b0 + b1 × tree pollen (t-1) + b2 × PM10 (t-1) + b3 × PM2.5 (t-1) + b4 × O3 (t-1) + b5 × NO2 (t-1) + b6 × CO (t-1) + b7 × SO2 (t-1).
Bold indicate statistically significant.
PM10, particulate matter 10; PM2.5, particulate matter 2.5; O3, ozone; NO2, nitrogen dioxide; CO, carbon monoxide; SO2, sulfur dioxide.
FigureThe correlation between the concentration of tree pollens and the number of respiratory viral infections during the spring over a 5-year period, from 2015 to 2019. Pollen increased the number of respiratory viral infections within 1 week, regardless of the allergy status of the children in the study. (A) Viral infections in atopic children. (B) Viral infections in non-atopic children. The red line expresses the number of detected viruses, and the blue line expresses the amount of tree pollen.
A multiple linear regression analysis of the number of infections (t)/week (y) and the concentration of tree pollen (t) + air pollution (t) /week (x) in the spring
| Variables | Estimate ( | Standard error | Pr (>|t|) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tree pollen | 0.008 | 0.0062 | 0.1648 |
| PM10 | 0.0252 | 0.03929 | 0.5236 |
| PM2.5 | −0.1426 | 0.07836 | 0.0726 |
| O3 | 225.92 | 74.50 |
|
| NO2 | 88.14 | 103.6 | 0.3973 |
| CO | −9.2306 | 8.009 | 0.2526 |
| SO2 | 1,093 | 663.0 | 0.1033 |
The number of infection (t) = b0 + b1 × tree pollen (t) + b2 × PM10 (t) + b3 × PM2.5 (t) + b4 × O3 (t) + b5 × NO2 (t) + b6 × CO (t) + b7 × SO2 (t).
Bold indicate statistically significant.
PM10, particulate matter 10; PM2.5, particulate matter 2.5; O3, ozone; NO2, nitrogen dioxide; CO, carbon monoxide; SO2, sulfur dioxide.
A multiple linear regression analysis of the number of infections (t) /week (y) and the concentration of weed pollen (t) + air pollution (t)/week (x) in the autumn
| Variables | Estimate ( | Standard error | Pr (>|t|) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weed pollen | 0.0426 | 0.0170 |
|
| PM10 | −0.0031 | 0.1078 | 0.9773 |
| PM2.5 | −0.0822 | 0.1809 | 0.6514 |
| O3 | 86.8608 | 110.4127 | 0.4347 |
| NO2 | 32.0053 | 129.5292 | 0.8057 |
|
| 13.8352 | 5.9359 |
|
| SO2 | 27.5962 | 591.9069 | 0.9630 |
The number of infections (t) = b0 + b1 × tree pollen (t) + b2 × PM10 (t) + b3 × PM2.5 (t) + b4 × O3 (t) + b5 × NO2 (t) + b6 × CO (t) + b7 × SO2 (t).
Bold indicate statistically significant.
PM10, particulate matter 10; PM2.5, particulate matter 2.5; O3, ozone; NO2, nitrogen dioxide; CO, carbon monoxide; SO2, sulfur dioxide.