| Literature DB >> 35535610 |
Pulkit Chaudhury1, Paulino Alvarez1, Madonna Michael1, Marwan Saad2, G Jay Bishop1, Mazen Hanna1, Venu Menon1, Randall C Starling1, Alex C Spyropoulos3,4, Milind Desai1, Amgad Mentias1.
Abstract
Background Readmission occurs in 1 out of 3 patients with heart failure (HF). We aimed to study the incidence and prognostic implications of rehospitalizations because of arterial thromboembolism events (ATEs) and venous thromboembolism events (VTEs) after discharge in patients with HF. Methods and Results We identified Medicare beneficiaries who were admitted with a primary diagnosis of HF from 2014 to 2019, with a hospital stay ranging between 3 and10 days, followed by discharge to home. We calculated incidence of ATEs (myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or systemic embolism) and VTEs (deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism) up to 90 days after discharge. Out of 2 953 299 patients admitted with HF during the study period, a total of 585 353 patients met the inclusion criteria, and 36.6% were readmitted within 90 days of discharge. The incidence of readmission due ATEs, VTEs, HF, and all other reasons was 3.4%, 0.5%, 13.2%, and 19.5%, respectively. Incidence of thromboembolic events was highest within 14 days after discharge. Factors associated with ATEs included prior coronary, peripheral, or cerebrovascular disease and for VTEs included malignancy and prior liver or lung disease. ATE/VTE readmission had a 30-day mortality of 19.9%. After a median follow-up period of 25.6 months, ATE and VTE readmissions were associated with higher risk of mortality (hazard ratio, 2.76 [95% CI, 2.71-2.81] and 2.17 [95% CI, 2.08-2.27], respectively; P<0.001 for both) compared with no readmission on time-dependent Cox regression. Conclusions After a HF hospitalization, 3.9% of patients were readmitted with a thromboembolic event that was associated with 2- to 3-fold greater risk of mortality in follow-up.Entities:
Keywords: arterial thromboembolism; extended thromboprophylaxis; heart failure; venous thromboembolism
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35535610 PMCID: PMC9238557 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.122.025342
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Am Heart Assoc ISSN: 2047-9980 Impact factor: 6.106
Figure 1Flowchart of the study cohort.
Flowchart diagram for creation of the study cohort with inclusion and exclusion criteria. HF indicates heart failure.
Baseline Characteristics of the Study Cohort
| Characteristic | Value |
| Average age, y | 73.4±12.2 |
| Women | 52.6% |
| Race and ethnicity | |
| White | 63.4% |
| Black | 23.1% |
| Asian | 2.2% |
| Hispanic | 9.2% |
| Comorbidities | |
| Coronary artery disease | 61.1% |
| Valve disease | 28.0% |
| Peripheral artery disease | 17.3% |
| Stroke | 5.0% |
| Paralysis | 3.2% |
| Hypothyroidism | 19.9% |
| Lymphoma | 1.4% |
| Metastatic cancer | 1.7% |
| Tumor without metastasis | 3.0% |
| Connective tissue disease | 4.8% |
| Diabetes | 56.4% |
| Hypertension | 93.1% |
| Tobacco use | 19.0% |
| Obesity | 30.8% |
| Anemia | 41.9% |
| Chronic kidney disease | 43.7% |
| Chronic lung disease | 44.8% |
| Liver disease | 4.8% |
| Median length of stay, d | 4 (IQR, 3–6) |
IQR indicates interquartile range.
Reasons for 90‐Day Readmission After a HF Hospitalization
| Diagnosis at readmission | N | % of all admissions |
% of all readmissions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall, N=585 353 | |||
| Arterial thromboembolic events | 19 767 | 3.4% | 9.2% |
| Acute myocardial infarction | 14 712 | 2.5% | 6.9% |
| Acute ischemic stroke | 4693 | 0.8% | 2.2% |
| Systemic arterial embolism | 362 | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Venous thrombotic events | 3064 | 0.5% | 1.4% |
| HF | 77 343 | 13.2% | 36.1% |
| Other reasons | 114 174 | 19.5% | 53.3% |
| Systolic HF, N=471 176 | |||
| Arterial thromboembolic events | 16 816 | 3.6% | 9.8% |
| Acute myocardial infarction | 12 632 | 2.7% | 7.3% |
| Acute ischemic stroke | 3889 | 0.8% | 2.3% |
| Systemic arterial embolism | 302 | 0.06% | 0.2% |
| Venous thrombotic events | 2397 | 0.5% | 1.4% |
| HF | 64 314 | 13.7% | 37.4% |
| Other reasons | 88 590 | 18.8% | 51.5% |
| Diastolic HF, N=114 177 | |||
| Arterial thromboembolic events | 2951 | 2.6% | 7.0% |
| Acute myocardial infarction | 2089 | 1.8% | 5.0% |
| Acute ischemic stroke | 804 | 0.7% | 1.9% |
| Systemic arterial embolism | 60 | 0.05% | 0.1% |
| Venous thrombotic events | 667 | 0.6% | 1.6% |
| HF | 13 029 | 11.4% | 30.9% |
| Other reasons | 25 584 | 22.4% | 60.6% |
Causes for readmission within 90 days of index hospital admission for heart failure. Percentages as a proportion of both all index HF hospitalizations and all readmissions are shown. HF indicates heart failure.
Figure 2Timing of study end points after hospital discharge.
Daily event and cumulative incidence of (A) arterial thromboembolism events (ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, or systemic embolism) and (B) venous thromboembolism events (deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism), after hospital discharge from index heart failure admission.
Final Multivariable Logistic Regression Model for Arterial Thromboembolic Events
| Variable | Odds ratio | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Prior coronary artery disease | 1.90 | 1.83–1.98 | <0.001 |
| Paralysis | 1.37 | 1.27–1.48 | <0.001 |
| Prior ischemic stroke | 1.40 | 1.32–1.48 | <0.001 |
| Drug abuse | 1.23 | 1.1–1.39 | <0.001 |
| Peripheral vascular disease | 1.29 | 1.24–1.34 | <0.001 |
| Diabetes | 1.16 | 1.12–1.2 | <0.001 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 1.12 | 1.08–1.16 | <0.001 |
| Hypertension | 1.13 | 1.05–1.22 | 0.001 |
| Valve disease | 1.15 | 1.11–1.19 | <0.001 |
| Anemia | 1.09 | 1.05–1.12 | <0.001 |
| Age | 1.007 | 1.005–1.009 | <0.001 |
| Female sex | 1.04 | 1.01–1.07 | 0.03 |
| Liver disease | 0.88 | 0.81–0.96 | 0.004 |
| Pulmonary hypertension | 0.78 | 0.73–0.83 | <0.001 |
| White race | Reference | ||
| Black race | 1.00 | 0.96–1.04 | 0.06 |
| Other race | 1.08 | 0.9–1.28 | 0.8 |
| Asian race | 1.22 | 1.11–1.34 | 0.003 |
| Hispanic ethnicity | 1.14 | 1.09–1.2 | 0.02 |
| Native American race | 1.06 | 0.87–1.29 | 0.9 |
| Smoking | 1.05 | 1.00–1.09 | 0.04 |
| Systolic heart failure | 1.25 | 1.21–1.32 | <0.001 |
Final multivariate logistic regression model listing ORs (reference is White race) of various risk factors associated with postdischarge acute myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and/or systemic embolism within 90 days after discharge from a heart failure hospitalization. OR indicates odds ratio.
*Multiracial or unknown/unreported.
Final Multivariable Logistic Regression Model for Venous Thromboembolic Events
| Variable | Odds ratio | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Metastasis | 2.48 | 1.98–3.11 | <0.0001 |
| Tumor without metastasis | 1.76 | 1.44–2.16 | <0.0001 |
| Drug use | 1.52 | 1.26–1.83 | <0.0001 |
| Weight loss | 1.36 | 1.16–1.58 | <0.0001 |
| Lymphoma | 1.35 | 1–1.84 | 0.0525 |
| Pulmonary circulatory disease | 1.26 | 1.1–1.45 | 0.0009 |
| Coagulopathy | 1.21 | 1.04–1.4 | 0.0136 |
| Chronic lung disease | 1.2 | 1.1–1.31 | <0.0001 |
| Prior coronary artery disease | 0.9 | 0.83–0.99 | 0.0251 |
| Anemia | 0.88 | 0.8–0.97 | 0.0118 |
| Valve disease | 0.88 | 0.8–0.97 | 0.0134 |
| Diabetes | 0.85 | 0.78–0.93 | 0.0004 |
| Hypertension | 0.79 | 0.68–0.91 | 0.0015 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 0.79 | 0.72–0.87 | <0.0001 |
| Female sex | 1.11 | 1.01–1.23 | 0.0438 |
| White race | Reference | ||
| Black race | 1.31 | 1.19–1.45 | <0.0001 |
| Other race | 0.92 | 0.57–1.49 | 0.9476 |
| Asian race | 0.61 | 0.41–0.9 | 0.0269 |
| Hispanic ethnicity | 0.77 | 0.65–0.92 | 0.098 |
| Native American race | 0.88 | 0.52–1.49 | 0.8738 |
| Length of hospital stay | 1.03 | 1.01–1.06 | 0.0082 |
Final multivariate logistic regression model listing odds ratios (reference is White race) of various risk factors associated with postdischarge deep vein thrombosis and/or pulmonary embolism within 90 days after discharge from a heart failure hospitalization. OR indicates odds ratio.
*Multiracial or unknown/unreported.
Cox Regression Analysis for Long‐Term Mortality in Patients Readmitted After a Heart Failure Hospitalization
| Variable | Hazard ratio | 95% CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Arterial thromboembolism | 2.76 | 2.71–2.81 | <0.001 |
| Venous thromboembolism | 2.17 | 2.08–2.27 | <0.001 |
| Heart failure readmission | 2.26 | 2.24–2.28 | <0.001 |
| Other reason readmission | 1.89 | 1.87–1.91 | <0.001 |
| Metastasis | 2.63 | 2.57–2.69 | <0.001 |
| Tumor without metastasis | 1.36 | 1.33–1.38 | <0.001 |
| Lymphoma | 1.32 | 1.29–1.36 | <0.001 |
| Weight loss | 1.35 | 1.33–1.36 | <0.001 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 1.26 | 1.25–1.27 | <0.001 |
| Coagulopathy | 1.21 | 1.19–1.22 | <0.001 |
| Liver disease | 1.2 | 1.18–1.22 | <0.001 |
| Peripheral vascular disease | 1.17 | 1.16–1.18 | <0.001 |
| Paralysis | 1.17 | 1.14–1.19 | <0.001 |
| Chronic lung disease | 1.15 | 1.14–1.15 | <0.001 |
| Pulmonary vascular disease | 1.15 | 1.14–1.17 | <0.001 |
| Anemia | 1.14 | 1.13–1.15 | <0.001 |
| Smoking | 1.09 | 1.08–1.10 | <0.001 |
| Drug abuse | 1.07 | 1.04–1.09 | <0.001 |
| Prior coronary artery disease | 1.08 | 1.07–1.09 | <0.001 |
| Diabetes | 1.06 | 1.05–1.07 | <0.001 |
| Valvular heart disease | 1.05 | 1.04–1.06 | <0.001 |
| Age | 1.03 | 1.03–1.03 | <0.001 |
| Hypertension | 0.87 | 0.86–0.89 | <0.001 |
| Male sex | 1.15 | 1.14–1.16 | <0.001 |
| White race | Reference | ||
| Black race | 0.87 | 0.87–0.88 | <0.001 |
| Asian race | 0.83 | 0.81–0.85 | <0.001 |
| Hispanic ethnicity | 0.91 | 0.90–0.92 | <0.001 |
| Native American race | 1.11 | 1.06–1.16 | <0.001 |
The above are results of Cox regression analysis for long‐term mortality in patients readmitted within 90 days post‐discharge after a heart failure hospitalization. Hazard ratios are listed for various risk factors as a time dependent covariate.
Figure 3Long‐term survival in patients who develop an arterial thromboembolism event (ATE) after discharge from index heart failure admission.
Simon‐Makuch curves for long‐term survival over time with ATEs as time‐dependent covariates. Mantel‐Byar test, P<0.001.
Figure 4Long‐term survival in patients who develop a venous thromboembolism event (VTE) after discharge from index heart failure admission.
Simon‐Makuch curves for long‐term survival over time with VTEs as time‐dependent covariates. Mantel‐Byar test, P<0.001.