| Literature DB >> 35530744 |
Belayneh Mengist1, Zelalem Animut2, Tadesse Tolossa3.
Abstract
Background: Currently, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is the leading cause of death and the rate of mortality is rapidly increasing over time. There is a paucity of information regarding the incidence and predictors of mortality among COVID-19 patients from low-income countries, particularly in Ethiopia. Objective: To assess incidence and predictors of mortality among COVID-19 patients admitted to treatment centers in North West Ethiopia.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19, Coronavirus Disease 2019; Coronavirus; DMU, Debre Markos University; Ethiopia; ICU, Intensive Care Unit; Mortality; RT-PCR, Real-Time Reverse Transcriptase-Polymerase Chain Reaction; SARS-CoV-2, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2; Survival analysis; TGH, Tibebe Ghion Hospital WHO: World Health Organization
Year: 2022 PMID: 35530744 PMCID: PMC9055687 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijans.2022.100419
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Afr Nurs Sci ISSN: 2214-1391
Socio-demographic characteristics of COVID-19 patients in North West Ethiopia, 2021.
| Variable | Category | Outcome | Total frequency (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Died (frequency) | Censored (frequency) | |||
| Age (years) | 18–44 | 2 | 367 | 369(66.9) |
| 45–64 | 12 | 129 | 141(25.5) | |
| ≥65 | 15 | 27 | 42(7.6) | |
| Sex | Male | 22 | 280 | 302(54.7) |
| Female | 7 | 243 | 250(45.3) | |
| Residence | Urban | 26 | 295 | 321(58.1) |
| Rural | 3 | 228 | 231(41.9) | |
| Marital status | Single | 4 | 180 | 184(33.3) |
| Married | 21 | 329 | 350(63.4) | |
| Widowed | 4 | 14 | 18(3.3) | |
| Occupation | Gov’t employed | 14 | 162 | 176(31.9) |
| Self-employed | 8 | 172 | 180(32.6) | |
| Farmer | 3 | 114 | 117(21.2) | |
| Student | 2 | 57 | 59(10.7) | |
| Housewife | 0 | 13 | 13(2.4) | |
| Other | 2 | 5 | 7(1.3) | |
Clinical characteristics of COVID-19 patients in North West Ethiopia, 2021.
| Variable | Category | Outcome | Total frequency (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Died (frequency) | Censored (frequency) | |||
| Admission sign | Yes | 28 | 490 | 518(93.8) |
| No | 1 | 33 | 34(6.2) | |
| Temperature (oC) | 35–37.4 | 10 | 517 | 527(95.5) |
| 37.5–38.4 | 15 | 4 | 19(3.4) | |
| ≥38.5 | 4 | 2 | 6(1.2) | |
| Heart rate | 60–100 | 14 | 451 | 465(84.2) |
| >100 | 15 | 72 | 87(15.8) | |
| Respiratory rate | 12–20 | 1 | 221 | 222(40.2) |
| ≥21 | 28 | 302 | 330(59.8) | |
| Oxygen saturation (%) | <90 | 29 | 52 | 81(14.7) |
| ≥90 | 0 | 471 | 471(85.3) | |
| Comorbidity | Yes | 24 | 22 | 46(8.3) |
| No | 5 | 501 | 506(91.7) | |
Clinical features and co-morbidities of COVID-19 patients in North West Ethiopia, 2021.
| Variable | Frequency (n = 552) | Percentage (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Signs | ||
| Headache | 430 | 77.9 |
| Respiratory distress | 82 | 14.9 |
| Fever | 298 | 54.0 |
| Cough | 372 | 67.4 |
| Chest pain | 311 | 56.3 |
| Throat pain | 119 | 21.6 |
| Runny nose | 61 | 11.1 |
| Diarrhea | 64 | 11.6 |
| Vomiting | 12 | 2.2 |
| Coma | 8 | 1.5 |
| Co-morbidities | ||
| Hypertension | 21 | 3.8 |
| Retroviral infection | 15 | 2.7 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 22 | 4.0 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 18 | 3.3 |
| Asthma | 10 | 1.8 |
| Others | 6 | 1.1 |
Others include tuberculosis and neurological disease.
Some patients had multiple features at admission.
Fig. 1Kaplan-Meier survival curve estimating the overall survival probability of COVID-19 patients in North West Ethiopia.
Fig. 2Kaplan-Meier survival curve estimating the survival probability of COVID-19 patients by age in North West Ethiopia.
Fig. 3Kaplan-Meier survival curve estimating the survival probability of COVID-19 patients by sex in North West Ethiopia.
Fig. 4Kaplan-Meier survival curve estimating the survival probability of COVID-19 patients by co-morbidity in North West Ethiopia.
Multivariable Cox regression analysis of mortality among COVID-19 patients in North West Ethiopia, 2021.
| Covariate | Category | CHR(95%CI) | AHR(95%CI) | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | <65 | 1 | ||
| ≥65 | 15.3(7.3–31.7) | 4.9(1.8–13.5) | 0.002* | |
| Sex | Male | 1 | ||
| Female | 0.32(0.13–0.77) | 0.8(0.3–2.1) | 0.6 | |
| Residence | Urban | 1 | ||
| Rural | 0.15(0.04–0.52) | 0.18(0.05–0.64) | 0.008* | |
| Fever | Yes | 4.1(1.6–9.9) | 2.3(0.74–7.3) | 0.14 |
| No | 1 | |||
| Chest pain | Yes | 1.3(0.65–2.94) | 0.6(0.22–1.57) | 0.29 |
| No | 1 | |||
| Hypertension | Yes | 11.1(5.1–24.4) | 3.04(1.18–7.8) | 0.02* |
| No | 1 | |||
| Diabetes mellitus | Yes | 35.1(16.8–73.5) | 8.1(2.9–22.4) | < 0.001* |
| No | 1 | |||
| Asthma | Yes | 10.2(3.5–29.4) | 1.8(0.48–6.95) | 0.37 |
| No | ||||
| HIV | Yes | 3.7(1.1–12.5) | 0.3(0.04–2.2) | 0.25 |
| No | 1 | |||
| Cardiovascular disease | Yes | 17.6(7.6–40.8) | 5.2(1.69–16.2) | 0.004* |
| No | 1 | |||
CHR: Crude Hazard Ratio; AHR: Adjusted Hazard Ratio.
* Statistically significant at 0.05.
Fig. 5Cox-Snell residual graph showing the overall model goodness of fit.