P D Gopalan1. 1. Discipline of Anaesthesiology and Critical Care, School of Clinical Medicine, Nelson R Mandela School of Medicine, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.
A year ago, I wrote a piece entitled ‘COVID-19: The greatest global
critical care challenge of our time’ in this journal. As we surge into
the third wave across the country at the time of writing, as we reflect
on all that has happened in the intervening period, and as we brace
ourselves for the challenging upcoming period, those words still ring
true. The massive challenge of COVID-19 still remains.Nowhere is the challenge of COVID-19 greater than on our streets
and our healthcare facilities. According to the expanded definition of
unemployment, the national unemployment rate reached an all-time
high of 43.2% in quarter 1 of 2021.[[1]] The paltry ZAR350 COVID-19
grant is a distant memory, the unemployment insurance fund relief
is long gone, the general public is suffering from a severe case of
pandemic fatigue, and countless hamstrung businesses have only just
begun to limp along after the last year’s devastation – only to be faced
with a terrifying third wave. The situation is equally distressing on
the health front. Facilities stretched to the limit are forced to triage
patients while a crucial fire-ravaged centre still waits to be fully
reopened, demoralising allegations of corruption continue plaguing
the health sector and high-profile individuals, and healthcare
workers have been pushed way beyond their limits to the point of
severe burnout, and now they are facing a terrifying third wave.The accompanying paper in this journal describing the
organisational response of critical care services to the COVID-19
pandemic at Groote Schuur Hospital makes for interesting reading,
and highlights the numerous challenges faced.[[2]] Over a 13-month
period spanning the first two waves, 461 patients with COVID-19
were admitted to their intensive care unit (ICU) with only 35%
surviving to hospital discharge. This high mortality among intubated
ICU patients has been a particular source of much despondency
among critical care personnel at many centres. Teamwork, flexibility,
and good communication were emphasised by the Cape Town
group, and these need to be key elements in any unit wishing to
respond effectively. The identification of a shortage of nurses as the
main limit on ICU expansion emphasises the crucial role of these
vital angels of care as the backbone of all ICUs. It is vital that we
appreciate, honour, and treasure them.COVID-19 continues impacting on the functioning of the Critical
Care Society of Southern Africa (CCSSA) by presenting many
challenges. Again, we had to decide to cancel our annual national
conference planned for July 2021, a decision borne out by the
throes of the third wave. Members have thus missed the premier
educational and social event on our society’s calendar for 2 years.
Virtual platform national refresher meetings will continue to act as
replacements but are a far cry from our vibrant face-to-face meetings
of times gone by. Many struggle with this loss of contact.Much else has happened in the intervening period. CCSSA can
be proud of its collaborative effort with the African Perioperative
Research Group (APORG) to initiate and successfully complete
the African COVID-19 Critical Care Outcome Study (ACCCOS),
recently published in the Lancet.
[[3]] The study, attempting to address
the notable African COVID-19 data gap, demonstrated a mortality
rate of 48.2% for patients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19
that needed critical care. This higher mortality in comparison with
the global mortality (31.5%) indicates an excess mortality of 11 - 23
deaths per 100 patients. Resource challenges were clear, with only one
in two patients referred to ICUs being admitted, and poor access to life-saving interventions such as dialysis, pulse oximetry and oxygen.Two other important issues emanated from the ACCCOS study.
First, despite being under-resourced overall, Africa may be surprisingly
subject to underutilisation of its limited resources. It is estimated that
at least 40% of medical equipment in Africa remains out of service,
and that 70 - 90% of equipment donated across Africa has never
been operationalised.[[4]] This needs to be addressed urgently. Second,
research challenges in Africa remain numerous and significant, ranging
from large prohibitive clinical loads, difficulty in fulfilling ethics and
regulatory requirements, limited dedicated research personnel and
restricted funding opportunities. The enthusiasm of all personnel
involved in ACCCOS across 64 hospitals in 10 countries should serve
as an impetus for establishing a sustainable critical care network across
the continent.Debates around COVID-19 vaccination-related issues continue to
rage across our land and across the world. From the challenges of
acquisition of vaccines to the delayed rollout of the vaccination programme,
from vaccine hesitancy to vaccine opposition, from questions around
degree of protection to poor uptake in many sectors, our nation is charged
by differences in opinion. The unequal distribution across societies and
across countries around the world has been stark. At the 74th World Health
Assembly, World Health Organization head Dr Tedros Ghebreyesus
launched the summit by lambasting the ‘scandalous inequity’ in the global
COVID-19 vaccine rollout.[[5]] Ten countries accounted for 75% of all
doses administered. Dr Tedros implored world leaders to ensure that at
least 10% of the population of every country is vaccinated by September,
and 30% by the end of 2021. In South Africa (SA), as of 3 July 2021, only
3 305 965 vaccinations had been administered across the country in total,
of which 479 773 were part of the Sisonke programme.[[6]] When evaluating
these numbers, one has to bear in mind that the majority of the people
have only received one of two doses of the vaccine. Overall, the proportion
of the SA population that has been vaccinated to date compares very
unfavourably with many less-resourced countries across Africa. We have
much to do in this respect.Multiple genetic variants of SARS-CoV-2 detected through genomic
surveillance programmes have been emerging and circulating around the
world throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. These variants have one or
more mutations that differentiate them from other variants in circulation.
Some of these include the beta (β), alpha (α) and delta (δ) variants,
which are variants of concern as they may be associated with increased
transmissibility, severe disease and a reduction in neutralisation by
antibodies generated during previous infection or vaccination. The recent
devastation across the Indian subcontinent as a result of infections due to
the δ variant served as an ominous harbinger for what may be in store for
SA and Africa, a reality that is fast developing with a calamitous surge in
infections in Gauteng province at the time of writing.Some 16 months ago, COVID-19 swiftly moved from the backpages of
our news to the forefront of our existence, savagely sweeping across the
world, turning it upside down, and leaving us scrambling for our survival.
As we approach 4 million deaths globally, COVID-19 has established itself
as the latest event that emphasises, exploits and exacerbates inequalities
that have a negative impact on various health and socioeconomic
outcomes. We need to safeguard against such inequalities. Additionally,
we need to reflect on our losses, remembering and honouring the many
friends, colleagues, acquaintances and loved ones who are no more. We
need to salute the many healthcare personnel who continue to dedicate
themselves to serving on the frontlines. We need to remain steadfast but
patient in our approach to restoring the rhythm of our lives. We need to
diligently apply the fundamentals of our public health response that have
not changed. Above all, we need to remember that this is also a time for
hope for things to get better.
Authors: W L Michell; I A Joubert; S Peters; D L Fredericks; M G A Miller; J L Piercy; C Arnold-Day; D A Thomson; R N van Zyl-Smit; G Calligaro; G Strathie; P L Semple; R Hofmeyr; D Peters; K Dheda Journal: South Afr J Crit Care Date: 2021-08-06