| Literature DB >> 35493126 |
Joshua L Kennedy1,2,3, J Craig Forrest4,5,6, Sean G Young7, Benjamin Amick8, Mark Williams8, Laura James1, Jessica Snowden1, Victor M Cardenas8, Danielle Boothe8, Catherine Kirkpatrick3, Zeel Modi2, Katherine Caid2, Shana Owens4, Marianne Kouassi4, Ryan Mann4, Claire Putt1, Katherine Irish-Clardy9, Michael Macechko10, Ronald K Brimberry10, Wendy N Nembhard8, Pearl A McElfish2, Ruofei Du11, Jing Jin11, Namvar Zohoori8,12, Atul Kothari2,12,13, Hoda Hagrass14, Ericka Olgaard14, Karl W Boehme4,5,6.
Abstract
Background: The aim of this study was to estimate severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection rates in the small rural state of Arkansas, using SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence as an indicator of infection.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; antibodies; health disparities; seroprevalence; temporal variation
Year: 2022 PMID: 35493126 PMCID: PMC9045955 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofac154
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Open Forum Infect Dis ISSN: 2328-8957 Impact factor: 4.423
Demographics of Sampled Populations in Arkansas Over 3 Collection Periods, August–December 2020
| Characteristic | Time Period 1 | Time Period 2 | Time Period 3 | Total | Arkansas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 1301) | (n = 2098) | (n = 2405) | (N = 5804) | (n = 2 282 191) | |
| Age group | |||||
| 18-29 y | 257 (19.8) | 406 (19.4) | 562 (23.4) | 1225 (21.1) | 471 866 (20.7) |
| 30-39 y | 244 (18.8) | 394 (18.8) | 428 (17.8) | 1066 (18.4) | 377 230 (16.5) |
| 40-49 y | 205 (15.8) | 294 (14.0) | 335 (13.9) | 834 (14.4) | 355 760 (15.6) |
| 50-59 y | 211 (16.2) | 335 (16.0) | 358 (14.9) | 904 (15.6) | 373 048 (16.3) |
| 60-69 y | 209 (16.1) | 349 (16.6) | 377 (15.7) | 935 (16.1) | 349 101 (15.3) |
| ≥70 y | 175 (13.5) | 319 (15.2) | 345 (14.4) | 839 (14.5) | 355 186 (15.6) |
| Missing | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | … |
| Sex | |||||
| Female | 898 (69.3) | 1430 (68.2) | 1661 (69.1) | 3989 (68.8) | 1 176 416 (51.5) |
| Male | 398 (30.7) | 668 (31.8) | 742 (30.9) | 1808 (31.2) | 1 105 775 (48.5) |
| Missing | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | … |
| Race/ethnicity | |||||
| White | 565 (45.7) | 937 (47.6) | 1120 (47.0) | 2622 (46.9) | 1 733 824 (76.0) |
| Black | 558 (45.2) | 831 (42.2) | 1026 (43.1) | 2415 (43.2) | 341 540 (15.0) |
| Hispanic | 74 (6.0) | 126 (6.4) | 137 (5.8) | 337 (6.0) | 144 447 (6.3) |
| Other | 39 (3.2) | 75 (3.8) | 99 (4.2) | 213 (3.8) | 62 380 (2.7) |
| Missing | 65 | 129 | 23 | 217 | … |
| Area | |||||
| Urban | 1126 (86.8) | 1838 (87.6) | 1990 (82.8) | 4954 (85.4) | 1 816 489 (60.4) |
| Rural | 171 (13.2) | 260 (12.4) | 413 (17.2) | 844 (14.6) | 1 189 468 (39.6) |
| Missing | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | … |
| Collection site | |||||
| UAMS | 981 (75.4) | 1338 (63.8) | 1485 (61.8) | 3804 (65.5) | … |
| Pine Bluff | 266 (20.5) | 403 (19.2) | 319 (13.3) | 988 (17.0) | … |
| Fort Smith | … | 206 (9.8) | 131 (5.5) | 337 (5.8) | … |
| Springdale | 54 (4.2) | 151 (7.2) | 220 (9.2) | 425 (7.3) | … |
| ADH | … | … | 250 (10.4) | 250 (4.3) | … |
| SARS-CoV-2 test performed | |||||
| Yes | 139 (11.4) | 271 (12.9) | 437 (20.3) | 847 (15.5) | … |
| No | 1078 (88.6) | 1827 (87.1) | 1717 (79.7) | 4622 (84.5) | … |
| Missing | 84 | 0 | 251 | 335 | … |
| SARS-CoV-2 test result | |||||
| Positive | 12 (9.1) | 17 (6.3) | 8 (8.3) | 37 (7.4) | … |
| Negative | 120 (90.9) | 253 (93.7) | 89 (91.8) | 462 (92.6) | … |
| Missing | 1169 | 1828 | 2308 | 5305 | … |
Data are presented as No. (%) unless otherwise indicated.
Abbreviations: ADH, Arkansas Department of Health; SARS-CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; UAMS, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences.
Missing data are not included in the analysis for a variable.
The Arkansas rural/urban population is total population (N = 3 005 957) rather than adults only.
Figure 1.Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) seropositivity rate. A, Age-, sex-, race-, and ethnicity-adjusted seroprevalence rates are shown for each time period. B, The percentage of samples with positive SARS-CoV-2 antibody tests is shown for each race/ethnicity group for each time period. Error bars indicate the 95% confidence interval.
Adjusted Association With Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Antibody Positivity by Time Period
| Effect | Time Period 1 (n = 1301) | Time Period 2 (n = 2098) | Time Period 3 (n = 2405) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) |
| OR (95% CI) |
| OR (95% CI) |
| |
| Age, y | .4392 | .6390 | .8960 | |||
| 18–29 vs ≥70 | 2.04 (.62–6.65) | 1.09 (.51–2.3) | 1.14 (.64–2.04) | |||
| 30–39 vs ≥70 | 1.84 (.55–6.14) | 1.66 (.8–3.42) | 1.29 (.71–2.31) | |||
| 40–49 vs ≥70 | 1.08 (.28–4.16) | 1.13 (.51–2.54) | 0.95 (.51–1.79) | |||
| 50–59 vs ≥70 | 1.4 (.38–5.14) | 1.17 (.53–2.58) | 1.19 (.65–2.17) | |||
| 60–69 vs ≥70 | 0.71 (.16–3.09) | 1.01 (.45–2.26) | 1.21 (.67–2.21) | |||
| Sex | .3658 | .9875 | .1131 | |||
| Female vs male | 1.39 (.68–2.83) | 1 (.63–1.57) | 0.77 (.56–1.06) | |||
| Race/ethnicity | <.0001 | <.0001 | <.0001 | |||
| Black vs White |
|
|
| |||
| Hispanic vs White |
|
|
| |||
| Others vs White | 0.91 (.05–15.63) | 2.55 (.98–6.65) | 1.43 (.64–3.17) | |||
| Area | .5473 | .8258 | .1481 | |||
| Urban vs rural | 0.75 (.3–1.9) | 0.93 (.47–1.81) | 0.73 (.47–1.12) | |||
| Collection site | .5701 | .4906 | <.0001 | |||
| Pine Bluff vs UAMS | 1.49 (.71–3.14) | 1.49 (.87–2.54) | 0.8 (.47–1.37) | |||
| Fort Smith vs UAMS | … | 0.85 (.41–1.79) |
| |||
| Springdale vs UAMS | 0.89 (.21–3.78) | 1.01 (.42–2.43) |
| |||
| ADH vs UAMS | … | … |
| |||
Bold text indicates a statistically significant difference in antibody positivity between the indicated groups.Abbreviations: ADH, Arkansas Department of Health; CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; UAMS, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences.
P value indicates whether the positivity differs between the category of a respective variable.
Temporal Trends of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Antibody Seroprevalence in Relationship to Race/Ethnicity
| Characteristic | Time Period 1 | Time Period 2 | Time Period 3 | Time Period 2 vs 1 | Time Period 3 vs 2 | Trend Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positivity | Positivity | Positivity | Difference | Difference |
| |
| Overall | 3.77 (2.8–4.95) | 4.91 (4.02–5.92) | 8.07 (7.01–9.23) | 1.14 (–.24 to 2.53) | 3.16 (1.73–4.59) | <.0001 |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||||
| White | 1.06 (.39–2.3) | 2.56 (1.65–3.79) | 5.54 (4.27–7.04) | 1.5 (.18–2.82) | 2.97 (1.3–4.65) | <.0001 |
| Black | 4.84 (3.21–6.96) | 5.42 (3.98–7.18) | 8.87 (7.2–10.78) | 0.58 (–1.78 to 2.93) | 3.45 (1.13–5.78) | .0009 |
| Hispanic | 17.57 (9.7–28.17) | 20.63 (13.94–28.75) | 23.36 (16.56–31.34) | 3.07 (–8.12 to 14.04) | 2.72 (–7.28 to 12.73) | .3409 |
Data are presented as percentage (95% confidence interval) unless otherwise indicated.
Figure 2.Seroprevalence in Arkansas by week. There was a gradual increase in seroprevalence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 antibodies over the course of the study with a peak in December 2020. Error bars indicate the 95% confidence interval.