| Literature DB >> 35464090 |
Qing Han1, Shuisen Zheng1, Rongxin Chen1, Huale Zhang1, Jianying Yan1.
Abstract
Objective: We aimed to develop an effective nomogram model for predicting the risk of preeclampsia in twin pregnancies.Entities:
Keywords: least absolute shrinkage and selector operator regression; nomogram; obstetrics; preeclampsia; twins
Year: 2022 PMID: 35464090 PMCID: PMC9024216 DOI: 10.3389/fphys.2022.850149
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Physiol ISSN: 1664-042X Impact factor: 4.755
FIGURE 1Flowchart of participant selection for the study cohort.
Clinical characteristics of the training and test cohort.
| Training cohort ( | Test cohort ( | ||
| Age (y) | 29.9 ± 4.41 | 30.12 ± 4.38 | 0.286 |
| Height (cm) | 160.17 ± 4.99 | 160.30 ± 5.17 | 0.565 |
| Pre-pregnancy weight (kg) | 54.46 ± 14.35 | 54.67 ± 8.56 | 0.703 |
| Pre-pregnancy BMI (kg/m2) | 27.71 ± 6.46 | 27.64 ± 3.27 | 0.774 |
| Gravidity | 2.00 [1.00, 2.00] | 2.00 [1.00, 2.00] | 0.157 |
| Parity | 0.00 [0.00, 1.00] | 0.00 [0.00, 1.00] | 0.438 |
| Primipara [ | 881 (50.6) | 393 (53.9) | 0.149 |
| Regular prenatal visits [ | 1,217 (69.9) | 537 (73.7) | 0.07 |
| IVF-ET [ | 582 (33.4) | 230 (31.6) | 0.385 |
| Chorionicity [ | 0.642 | ||
| Monochorionic | 545 (31.3) | 236 (32.4) | |
| Dichorionic | 1,195 (68.7) | 493 (67.6) | |
| GDM [ | 1,357 (78.0) | 548 (75.2) | 0.142 |
| PROM [ | 430 (24.7) | 164 (22.5) | 0.261 |
| Preeclampsia [ | 232 (13.3) | 93 (12.8) | 0.699 |
General baseline information.
| Normal pregnancy ( | Preeclampsia ( | ||
| Age (y) | 29.97 ± 4.40 | 30.09 ± 4.64 | 0.597 |
| Height (cm) | 160.18 ± 5.03 | 160.43 ± 5.15 | 0.396 |
| Pre-pregnancy weight (kg) | 54.24 ± 8.07 | 56.34 ± 28.92 | 0.006 |
| Pre-pregnancy BMI (kg/m2) | 22.94 ± 3.36 | 23.70 ± 3.65 | <0.001 |
| Gestational week | 37.25 ± 58.36 | 35.75 ± 2.06 | 0.644 |
| Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) | 121.03 ± 9.52 | 148.41 ± 15.89 | <0.001 |
| Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg) | 72.78 ± 8.48 | 89.97 ± 10.77 | <0.001 |
| Gravidity | 2.00 [1.00, 2.00] | 1.00 [1.00, 2.00] | 0.014 |
| Parity [ | 0.018 | ||
| 0 | 1,014 (47.3%) | 181 (55.7%) | |
| 1 | 1,005 (46.9%) | 127 (39.1%) | |
| ≥ 2 | 125 (5.8%) | 17 (5.2%) | |
| Primipara [ | 1,014 (47.3%) | 181 (55.7%) | 0.006 |
| Regular prenatal visits [ | 1,544 (72.0%) | 210 (64.6%) | 0.007 |
| IVF-ET [ | 690 (32.2%) | 122 (37.5%) | 0.064 |
| Chorionicity [ | 0.391 | ||
| Monochorionic | 671 (31.3%) | 110 (33.8%) | |
| Dichorionic | 1,473 (68.7%) | 215 (66.2%) | |
| GDM [ | 491 (22.9%) | 73 (22.5%) | 0.916 |
| PROM [ | 538 (25.1%) | 56 (17.2%) | 0.003 |
| PPROM [ | 459 (21.4%) | 48 (14.8%) | 0.006 |
| HDL (mmol/L) | 1.63 [1.37, 1.96] | 1.40 [1.15, 1.13] | <0.001 |
| ALT (U/L) | 11.86 [8.69, 17.68] | 12.60 [8.85, 18.95] | 0.062 |
| AST (U/L) | 18.50 [15.00, 22.70] | 22.40 [17.60, 29.60] | <0.001 |
| GGT (U/L) | 12.00 [9.00, 17.10] | 12.10 [8.55, 20.30] | 0.612 |
| APOb (g/L) | 1.24 ± 0.28 | 1.20 ± 0.33 | 0.042 |
| CHOL (mmol/L) | 6.29 ± 1.22 | 5.95 ± 1.58 | <0.001 |
| TG (mmol/L) | 4.05 ± 1.66 | 4.00 ± 1.70 | 0.598 |
| LDL (mmol/L) | 3.14 ± 0.94 | 2.96 ± 1.02 | 0.002 |
| Glu (mmol/L) | 4.88 ± 1.26 | 4.76 ± 1.12 | 0.090 |
| CREm (μmol/L) | 50.77 ± 11.65 | 61.53 ± 15.06 | <0.001 |
| LDH (U/L) | 205.70 [175.60, 255.70] | 265.50[218.75,348.90] | <0.001 |
| URIC (μmol/L) | 369.65 ± 95.17 | 462.57 ± 117.44 | <0.001 |
| PT (s) | 11.15 ± 0.91 | 11.14 ± 0.92 | 0.885 |
| FDP (mg/L) | 11.15 [7.71, 17.32] | 14.80 [9.99, 25.14] | <0.001 |
| TT (s) | 16.31 ± 1.12 | 16.75 ± 1.14 | <0.001 |
| 3.61 [2.37, 5.25] | 4.33 [2.72, 7.22] | <0.001 | |
| Fib (g/L) | 4.30 ± 0.89 | 3.85 ± 1.09 | <0.001 |
| INR | 0.95 ± 0.06 | 0.95 ± 0.07 | 0.912 |
| APTT (s) | 27.48 ± 3.78 | 28.58 ± 4.04 | <0.001 |
| PLT (× 109/L) | 197.09 ± 57.70 | 178.89 ± 56.77 | <0.001 |
| RBC (× 1012/L) | 3.78 ± 0.50 | 3.69 ± 0.52 | 0.001 |
| HCT (%) | 33.21 ± 4.32 | 32.67 ± 4.05 | 0.033 |
| PDW (fL) | 12.92 ± 2.55 | 14.02 ± 2.88 | <0.001 |
| MPV (fL) | 10.79 ± 1.02 | 11.30 ± 1.03 | <0.001 |
BMI, body mass index; IVF-ET, in vitro fertilization- embryo transfer; GDM, gestational diabetes mellitus; PROM, premature rupture of membranes; PPROM, preterm premature rupture of membranes; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; AST, aspartame aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; GGT, transglutaminase; APOb, apolipoprotein b; CHOL, cholesterol; TG, triglyceride; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; Glu, glucose; CREm, creatinine; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; URIC, uric acid; PT, prothrombin time, FDP, fibrinogen degradation products, TT, thrombin time; Fib, fibrinogen; INR, international normalized ration, aPTT, activated partial thromboplastin time; PLT, platelets; RBC, red blood cell count; Hct, hematocrit; PDW, platelet distribution weight, MPV, mean platelet volume.
FIGURE 2Tuning parameter (lambda) selection in the LASSO model used 10-fold cross-validation via 1se criteria for determining the risk of preeclampsia in twin pregnancies. LASSO, Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator.
FIGURE 3The ROC curve of the preliminary screened variables in the training set and the test set. ROC, receiver operating curve.
Multivariate logistic regression analysis of variables to identify factors predictive of preeclampsia in twin pregnancies.
| Co-variable | Odds ratio (OR) | 95% CI of OR | ||
| Lower Limit | Upper limit | |||
| Primipara | 1.343 | 1.024 | 1.762 | 0.033 |
| Regular prenatal visits | 0.626 | 0.466 | 0.842 | 0.002 |
| Pre-pregnancy BMI | 1.071 | 1.03 | 1.114 | 0.001 |
| CREm | 1.033 | 1.022 | 1.044 | <0.001 |
| URIC | 1.004 | 1.003 | 1.006 | <0.001 |
| MPV | 1.275 | 1.119 | 1.453 | <0.001 |
| HDL | 0.472 | 0.388 | 0.576 | <0.001 |
| AST | 1.006 | 0.996 | 1.017 | 0.256 |
| LDH | 1.004 | 1.002 | 1.005 | <0.001 |
| Fib | 0.794 | 0.688 | 0.916 | 0.002 |
CI, confidence intervals; BMI, body mass index; CREm, creatinine; URIC, uric acid; MPV, mean platelet volume; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; AST, aspartame aminotransferase; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; Fib, fibrinogen.
FIGURE 4Nomogram for predicting the risk of preeclampsia in twin pregnancies.
FIGURE 5Calibration curves for predicting the risk of preeclampsia in twin pregnancies—nomogram construction (bootstrap = 1 000 repetitions).