| Literature DB >> 35454278 |
Michaela J Gibson1, Charlotte F Bolwell1, Erica K Gee1, Kylie A Legg2, Chris W Rogers1,2.
Abstract
The objective of this study was to describe the incident and non-incident reports of Thoroughbred flat racing in New Zealand. Retrospective stipendiary stewards' reports of race day events during the 2015/2016 and 2016/2017 racing season were examined. The primary injury and reporting outcomes were analysed to assess the horse- and race-level risk factors associated with the occurrence of incident and non-incident reports. The number of incident and non-incident events and binomial exact 95% confidence intervals were calculated per 1000 horse starts. Most reports were for non-incidents and examinations were requested for poor performance (10.3 per 1000 races, 95% CI = 9.5-11.1). Horses running in open-class races had greater odds of having an incident than horses in lower-rating classes. The incidence of musculoskeletal injuries (1.3 per 1000 races, 95% CI = 1.13-1.40) and fractures (0.6 per 1000 races, 95% CI = 0.39-0.74) were low and similar to previous New Zealand reports. There was a low incidence of epistaxis (0.8 per 1000 races, 95% CI = 0.69-0.92) possibly due to trainers screening susceptible horses before entering them in races, due to the regulatory consequences of an episode of epistaxis during a race.Entities:
Keywords: incident; injury; non-incident; social license; steward; stipendiary report; thoroughbred racing
Year: 2022 PMID: 35454278 PMCID: PMC9029521 DOI: 10.3390/ani12081033
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Animals (Basel) ISSN: 2076-2615 Impact factor: 2.752
Number of horses participating in the 2015/2016 and 2016/2017 New Zealand Thoroughbred racing season, by age and sex.
| Horses per Season | Sex | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 2015/16 | 2016/17 | Starts | Colts | Fillies | Geldings | Entires/ | Mares |
| 2 | 362 | 339 | 1603 | 127 | 405 | 184 | ||
| 3 | 1401 | 1213 | 11,693 | 130 | 1450 | 1073 | ||
| 4 | 1347 | 1359 | 16,098 | 1255 | 46 | 1420 | ||
| 5 | 870 | 868 | 11,651 | 896 | 18 | 838 | ||
| 6 | 592 | 491 | 7208 | 596 | 7 | 492 | ||
| 7 | 327 | 303 | 4099 | 443 | 2 | 207 | ||
| 8 | 126 | 148 | 1527 | 231 | 60 | |||
| 9 | 64 | 55 | 529 | 120 | 11 | |||
| 10 | 20 | 26 | 162 | 58 | 1 | |||
| 11 | 8 | 7 | 83 | 24 | ||||
| 12 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 12 | 1 | |||
| 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | ||||
| Total | 5120 | 4815 | 54,690 | 257 | 1855 | 4899 | 73 | 3030 |
Univariable odds ratios and 95% confidence of an incident occurring with the effects of age, distance, race class, sex and track condition.
| Odds Ratio [95% CI] | Wald | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Age category (years) | |||
| 2 | Reference | 0.401 | |
| 3 | 1.0 [0.4–2.4] | 0.949 | |
| 4+ | 0.8 [0.4–1.9] | 0.634 | |
| Distance | |||
| Under 1200 m | Reference | 0.459 | |
| 1201–1400 m | 1.0 [0.7–1.5] | 0.967 | |
| 1401–1600 m | 1.0 [0.7–1.5] | 0.880 | |
| 1601+ m | −0.3 [0.2–1.7] | 0.186 | |
| Race class | |||
| Open | (Reference) | 0.034 | |
| Maiden | 0.7 [0.5–1.0] | 0.071 | |
| Rating 60–65 | 0.6 [0.4–0.9] | 0.012 | |
| Rating 70–95 | 0.5 [0.3–0.9] | 0.029 | |
| Sex | |||
| Male (colt, gelding or stallion) | (Reference) | 0.022 | |
| Female (filly or mare) | 1.4 [1.1–1.9] | 0.022 | |
| Track condition | |||
| Dead | (Reference) | 0.004 | |
| Fast | 3.8 [0.5–27.8] | 0.187 | |
| Good | 0.7 [0.5–1.0] | 0.052 | |
| Slow | 0.4 [0.3–0.7] | 0.001 | |
| Heavy | 0.7 [0.5–1.0] | 0.038 |
Multivariable odds ratios and 95% confidence of an incident occurring with the effects of race class, sex and track condition.
| Odds Ratio [95% CI] | Wald | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Race class, Sex and Track condition | 0.001 | ||
| Race class | |||
| Open | (Reference) | 0.029 | |
| Maiden | 0.7 [0.5–1.0] | 0.048 | |
| Rating 60–65 | 0.6 [0.4–0.9] | 0.011 | |
| Rating 70–95 | 0.5 [0.3–0.9] | 0.030 | |
| Sex | |||
| Male (colt, gelding or stallion) | (Reference) | 0.030 | |
| Female (filly or mare) | 1.4 [1.0–1.9] | 0.030 | |
| Track condition | |||
| Dead | (Reference) | 0.011 | |
| Fast | 4.0 [0.5–29.2] | 0.172 | |
| Good | 0.7 [0.5–1.0] | 0.037 | |
| Slow | 0.5 [0.3–0.8] | 0.004 | |
| Heavy | 0.7 [0.5–1.0] | 0.124 | |
Frequency of clinical findings in incident (n = 179) and non-incident (n = 841) stipendiary reports over two complete Thoroughbred racing seasons. Data are reported as frequency per 1000 starts (with 95% confidence intervals) and the percentage of clinical findings within the respective report type (incident or non-incident).
| Incident Reports | Non-Incident Reports | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Description | Frequency per 1000 Starts | % | Frequency per 1000 Starts | % |
| Arrhythmia | 0.16 [−0.08–0.41] | 5.03 | 0.75 [0.62–0.88] | 4.88 |
| Cardiac failure | 0.05 [−0.20–0.31] | 1.68 | 0.02 [−0.24–0.28] | 0.12 |
| Laceration/abrasion | 0.69 [0.55–0.84] | 21.23 | 2.23 [1.94–2.52] | 14.51 |
| Lame | 0.18 [−0.06–0.42] | 5.59 | 1.15 [1.05–1.26] | 7.49 |
| MSI fracture | 0.18 [−0.06–0.42] | 5.59 | 0.38 [0.18–0.59] | 2.50 |
| Other MSI issues | 0.29 [0.07–0.52] | 8.94 | 0.97 [0.92–1.02] | 6.30 |
| No observable abnormalities detected | 1.26 [1.13–1.40] | 38.55 | 7.19 [6.53–7.85] | 46.73 |
| Poor recovery | 0.05 [−0.20–0.31] | 1.68 | 0.79 [0.66–0.91] | 5.11 |
| Respiratory issues | 0.07 [−0.18–0.33] | 2.23 | 0.62 [0.46–0.78] | 4.04 |
| Previous injury | 0.04 [−0.22–0.30] | 1.12 | 0.05 [−0.20–0.31] | 0.36 |
| Bleeders (epistaxis) | 0.20 [−0.04–0.44] | 6.15 | 0.80 [0.69–0.92] | 5.23 |
| Miscellaneous | 0.07 [−0.18–0.33] | 2.23 | 0.42 [0.22–0.62] | 2.73 |