| Literature DB >> 35454023 |
Kuang-Ming Liao1, Shian-Chin Ko2, Chung-Feng Liu3, Kuo-Chen Cheng4, Chin-Ming Chen5, Mei-I Sung2, Shu-Chen Hsing2, Chia-Jung Chen6.
Abstract
Successful weaning from prolonged mechanical ventilation (MV) is an important issue in respiratory care centers (RCCs). Delayed or premature extubation increases both the risk of adverse outcomes and healthcare costs. However, the accurate evaluation of the timing of successful weaning from MV is very challenging in RCCs. This study aims to utilize artificial intelligence algorithms to build predictive models for the successful timing of the weaning of patients from MV in RCCs and to implement a dashboard with the best model in RCC settings. A total of 670 intubated patients in the RCC in Chi Mei Medical Center were included in the study. Twenty-six feature variables were selected to build the predictive models with artificial intelligence (AI)/machine-learning (ML) algorithms. An interactive dashboard with the best model was developed and deployed. A preliminary impact analysis was then conducted. Our results showed that all seven predictive models had a high area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), which ranged from 0.792 to 0.868. The preliminary impact analysis revealed that the mean number of ventilator days required for the successful weaning of the patients was reduced by 0.5 after AI intervention. The development of an AI prediction dashboard is a promising method to assist in the prediction of the optimal timing of weaning from MV in RCC settings. However, a systematic prospective study of AI intervention is still needed.Entities:
Keywords: artificial intelligence; dashboard; impact analysis; machine learning; mechanical ventilation; prediction; respiratory care center; successful weaning; weaning timing
Year: 2022 PMID: 35454023 PMCID: PMC9030191 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics12040975
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Diagnostics (Basel) ISSN: 2075-4418
Figure 1Research Flow. RCC: respiratory care center; SMOTE: synthetic minority oversampling technique; AUC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; HIS: hospital information system.
Demographics and baseline statistical tests.
| Feature | Total Patients | Weaning Failure | Weaning Success | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N = 670 | N = 210 | N = 460 | ||
| Age, mean (SD) | 68.9 (14.1) | 70.0 (13.5) | 68.4 (14.4) | 0.161 |
| Male, n (%) | 409 (61.0) | 140 (66.7) | 269 (58.5) | 0.054 |
| APACHE II score, mean (SD) | 16.1 (5.8) | 17.9 (6.0) | 15.3 (5.5) | <0.001 |
| GCS_E, mean (SD) | 3.2 (1.0) | 3.0 (1.1) | 3.3 (0.9) | 0.005 |
| GCS_M, mean (SD) | 5.0 (1.0) | 4.8 (1.2) | 5.1 (0.9) | 0.001 |
| Diabetes, n (%) | 261 (39.0) | 93 (44.3) | 168 (36.5) | 0.068 |
| COPD, n (%) | 202 (30.1) | 80 (38.1) | 122 (26.5) | 0.003 |
| MI, n (%) | 143 (21.3) | 55 (26.2) | 88 (19.1) | 0.049 |
| Stroke, n (%) | 306 (45.7) | 84 (40.0) | 222 (48.3) | 0.056 |
| ESRD, n (%) | 86 (12.8) | 31 (14.8) | 55 (12.0) | 0.377 |
| Pneumonia, n (%) | 515 (76.9) | 180 (85.7) | 335 (72.8) | <0.001 |
| Sepsis, n (%) | 292 (43.6) | 119 (56.7) | 173 (37.6) | <0.001 |
| HR, mean (SD) | 87.4 (17.9) | 92.8 (20.9) | 85.0 (15.7) | <0.001 |
| SBP, mean (SD) | 127.9 (21.2) | 126.9 (21.5) | 128.3 (21.1) | 0.452 |
| DBP, mean (SD) | 75.2 (14.8) | 74.8 (14.5) | 75.4 (14.9) | 0.622 |
| Frequency of suction (per day), mean (SD) | 4.5 (5.7) | 4.0 (5.1) | 4.7 (5.9) | 0.100 |
| The duration of on-MV, mean (SD) | 355.2 (209.2) | 412.4 (267.2) | 329.0 (170.6) | <0.001 |
| FiO2, mean (SD) | 25.8 (2.7) | 26.8 (3.2) | 25.4 (2.3) | <0.001 |
| PEEP, mean (SD) | 5.2 (0.8) | 5.5 (1.0) | 5.1 (0.5) | <0.001 |
| RR Actual, mean (SD) | 18.2 (5.5) | 19.6 (6.0) | 17.5 (5.1) | <0.001 |
| MV Actual, mean (SD) | 7.4 (2.6) | 8.1 (2.9) | 7.0 (2.3) | <0.001 |
| mPaw, mean (SD) | 8.6 (3.7) | 9.5 (6.2) | 8.1 (1.2) | 0.002 |
| SpO2, mean (SD) | 98.4 (4.2) | 98.2 (2.0) | 98.4 (4.8) | 0.451 |
| PSL, mean (SD) | 9.5 (2.1) | 10.9 (2.7) | 8.9 (1.3) | <0.001 |
| PSL volume, mean (SD) | 417.7 (115.7) | 429.2 (126.8) | 412.5 (110.1) | 0.101 |
| T-piece trial, mean (SD) | 3.1 (4.1) | 1.9 (3.6) | 3.6 (4.2) | <0.001 |
Note1. APACHE II: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II; GCS_M, E: Glasgow Coma Scale—motor response, eye opening; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; MI: myocardial infarction; ESRD: end-stage renal disease; HR: heart rate; SBP: systolic blood pressure; DBP: diastolic blood pressure; MV: mechanical ventilation; PEEP: positive end-expiratory pressure; RR Actual: respiratory rate, actual; MV Actual: minute ventilation, actual; PSL: pressure support level. Note2. p-value was examined by chi-squared test (categorical features) or two-sample t test (numerical features); null hypotheses: there are no differences among the demographic groups (variables).
The correlation coefficient between each feature and outcome of successful weaning.
| Feature | Correlation Coefficient | Feature | Correlation Coefficient |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | −0.047 | MV Actual | −0.186 |
| Sex | −0.078 | mPaw | −0.244 |
| APACHE II score(RCC admission) | −0.208 | SpO2 | 0.074 |
| GCS_E | 0.105 | PSL | −0.410 |
| GCS_M | 0.109 | PSL volume | −0.059 |
| HR | −0.184 | T−piece trial | 0.245 |
| SBP | 0.042 | Diabetes | −0.074 |
| DBP | 0.025 | COPD | −0.117 |
| frequency of suction (per day) | 0.042 | MI | −0.080 |
| The duration of weaning | −0.140 | Stroke | 0.077 |
| FiO2 | −0.254 | ESRD | −0.039 |
| PEEP | −0.216 | Pneumonia | −0.142 |
| RR Actual | −0.160 | Sepsis | −0.178 |
Hyper-parameter range for experiments.
| Method and Hyper-Parameter | Values |
|---|---|
| KNN | |
| weights | uniform, distance |
| n_neighbors (Number of neighbors) | range(1, 25) |
| algorithm | auto, ball_tree, kd_tree, brute |
| leaf_size | range(1, 5) |
| Logistic Regression | |
| penalty | l1, l2 |
| C (Inverse of regularization strength) | 1e−3, 1e−2, 1e−1 |
| max_iter (Maximum number of iterations) | 10, 30, 50, 100, 1000 |
| SVM | |
| kernel | rbf, linear |
| gamma (Kernel coefficient) | auto, scale, 1e−2, 1e−3 |
| C (Inverse of regularization strength) | 1, 2, 5, 10 |
| shrinking | True, False |
| Random Forest | |
| n_estimators (Number of trees in the forest) | 100, 200, 500, 700, 1000 |
| max_features | auto, sqrt |
| max_depth | auto, 15, 30, 50 |
| LightGBM | |
| learning_rate | 1e−3, 1e−2, 1e−1 |
| num_iterations | 100, 200, 500, 700, 1000 |
| max_depth | 4, 12, 15, 30, 50 |
| num_leaves | 1, 5, 10 |
| feature_fraction | 1e−1, 0.2, 0.5, 0.7 |
| MLP | |
| hidden_layer_sizes | (100), (100, 55), (90, 60), (200, 150, 50),(64, 64, 32), (64, 128, 64, 32) |
| batch_size (Size of minibatches for stochastic optimizers) | 8, 16, 32 |
| learning_rate_init | 1e−3, 1e−2, 1e−1 |
| early_stopping | True, False |
| XGBoost | |
| learning_rate | 1e−4, 1e−3, 1e−2 |
| gamma (minimum loss reduction required to make a further partition on a leaf node of the tree) | 1e−2, 1e−3, 1e−4, 1e−5 |
| num_iterations | 100, 200, 500, 700, 1000 |
| max_depth | 4, 15, 30, 50 |
Note. The hyper-parameters that are not described in this table were set to the default values used in the scikit-learn library.
Testing results of the predictive models.
| Algorithm | Accuracy | Sensitivity | Specificity | AUC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KNN | 0.746 | 0.728 | 0.786 | 0.792 |
| Logistic Regression | 0.776 | 0.804 | 0.714 | 0.803 |
| SVM | 0.784 | 0.783 | 0.786 | 0.818 |
| Random Forest | 0.791 | 0.804 | 0.762 | 0.845 |
| LightGBM | 0.813 | 0.815 | 0.810 | 0.859 |
| MLP | 0.806 | 0.804 | 0.810 | 0.864 |
| XGBoost | 0.851 | 0.880 | 0.786 | 0.868 |
Figure 2The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) of the testing results.
Figure 3A screenshot of the AI prediction system (digital dashboard).
Figure 4A screenshot of a specific patient’s curve chart of successful weaning probability.
Figure 5A screenshot of a specific patient’s interactive prediction.
The Preliminary Results of Clinical Evaluation and Comparison.
| Indicators | (before AI Adoption) | (after AI Adoption) |
|---|---|---|
| RCC APACHE II score, mean | 14.6 | 16.1 |
| Intubation days of successful weaning, mean | 16.7 | 16.2 |
| 120-h successful weaning-rate | 67.1% | 70.2% |