Loreta A Kondili1, Lucia Craxì2, Massimo Andreoni3, Francesco S Mennini4, Homie Razavi5. 1. Center for Global Health, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy. 2. Department of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (Bi.N.D.), University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy. 3. Infectious Disease Unit, Department of System Medicine, Tor Vergata University and Hospital, Rome, Italy. 4. Economic Evaluation and HTA (EEHTA), CEIS, Faculty of Economics, University of Rome "Tor Vergata" and Institute of Leadership and Management in Health, Kingston Business School, Kingston University, London, UK. 5. Center for Disease Analysis Foundation, Lafayette, Colorado, USA.
At a time when hepatitis C virus clearance can be obtained by DAAs in almost all infected patients, global infection burden control is an objective within reach, even if achieving the WHO HCV elimination targets by 2030 may not be attainable.
The lowest cost intervention is an awareness campaign to bring in those who are recently diagnosed and those who were previously diagnosed but not treated. Only 30% of all HCV‐diagnosed patients are linked‐to‐care.
The next level of intervention is case‐finding for disease control and screening. Screening invites people who do not have symptoms to undergo testing, whereas health professionals are focused on detecting conditions as early as possible among people with symptoms to avoid late clinical presentation.
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With continuous efforts for disease control as a priority, early diagnosis in those with liver disease, but unknown HCV status, is the key intervention to avoid further disease progression and costs (Figure 1).
FIGURE 1
HCV screening for disease control and infection burden reduction
HCV screening for disease control and infection burden reductionTo achieve HCV elimination, screening programs in the general population, who are unaware of the infection status, are needed, focusing on the social and age groups most at risk for viral transmission.
Universal screening, while theoretically feasible and conceivably highly effective in identifying most HCV‐infected persons, would put major organizational and financial hurdles in countries with low‐to‐moderate prevalence.
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Hence, if appropriately conceived, focused screenings would identify a high rate of infected subjects, because of the higher infection rate related to risk factors, and simultaneously reduce onward viral transmission by allowing to clear HCV from those at higher risk of spreading the infection.
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,An important step in deciding on a mass screening program is to model the number of people with infection and their outcomes over time. The challenges in defining the HCV prevalence values have been partly covered by modelling exercises which, despite not providing the precise values, are useful to understand whether the screening is cost‐effective and affordable.
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In Italy, a cost‐effectiveness analysis, based on modelling chronic infection burden in untreated individuals, focused on persons born in the period 1948–1987, graduating the intervention in the first 2 years in key populations and younger cohort (1968–1987), to detect those persons most exposed to risk factors, specifically, prior or current drug use, tattoos and other at‐risk cosmetics or nosocomial interventions.
These individuals are asymptomatic, because of the short time of chronic infection and have a low awareness of their exposure risk and disease progression. In light of these considerations and based on HCV elimination goals, screening firstly this cohort would be the most cost‐effective strategy to reduce both the infection prevalence and incidence.
,One of the models proposed to contain the medical and non‐medical infrastructure costs and to reach the targeted population is HCV screening to be held simultaneously with SARS‐CoV‐2 testing or COVID‐19 vaccination.
Two papers published in this issue of Liver International address HCV screening during COVID‐19 vaccination in Milan (Italy) and during SARS‐CoV‐2 testing and COVID‐19 vaccination in Salerno (Italy).
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The approaches are reported as an HCV testing opportunity; however, several concerns on the expected HCV prevalence have been raised. The active infection prevalence was found to range from 0.07% to 0.1%, less than the estimated prevalence.
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These pilot studies pose a matter of debate if the screening program extension to subjects born before 1969 could lead to improved HCV screening effectiveness.Pilot testing can be an important preparatory step to scaling up the screening, but it should be representative of the average conditions of the target population in which the large‐scale screening program will function.
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The success of any screening program will be determined by its coverage, uptake, which is the proportion of people who were invited and actually get screened, and linkage to care. Both studies did not report sufficient data to evaluate the sample representativeness versus the target population within a context of a refusal rate among different settings ranging from 15 to 70%, possibly owing to poor information, disease awareness and several potential selection biases acknowledged by the authors. Data from the Naples study show the presence of anti‐HCV in seven individuals, four of them in age 30–50 years.
These opportunistic anti‐HCV testing, a marker of exposure to the virus not necessarily related to active infection, yielded a significantly higher anti‐HCV positivity prevalence among individuals screened for SARS‐Cov2 (5.9%) than in those undergoing COVID‐19 vaccination (0.2%), strongly suggesting different populations in terms of cultural background, a key factor for evaluating the presence of risk factors for acquiring HCV infection.People with high socioeconomic status and a low risk of having severe conditions tend to participate more in vaccination and screening programs than socioeconomically deprived people, who may have a higher risk of infection/disease. Social and cultural factors can influence screening participation, with it being lower among disadvantaged and underprivileged populations. This can lead to increasing health inequalities which should be addressed very carefully in a screening program. Moreover, it should be considered that, though the adherence of a population tested or vaccinated for COVID‐19 would be presumably greater (and with greater awareness of the value of prevention), for the same reasons the expected number of persons infected with HCV in the selected population could be lower than the general estimates.The low prevalence found raises questions on the screening value in younger cohorts, as a prioritized screening intervention, to reach HCV elimination targets. Could the estimated prevalence of HCV active infection in the young population be related only to infection in active drug users and inmates, addressed by the free of charge screening in Italy
? If so, a public health intervention, limiting the action only to micro‐elimination programs and harm‐reduction interventions, is obviously the better choice versus the mass screening.
The HCV infection risk factors are well defined in key populations such as drug users; however, previous drug users, inapparent nosocomial or aesthetic procedures, and other transmission routes have been reported and estimated in young asymptomatic people.
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Active screening in the 1969–1989 cohort, with an estimated overall prevalence of 0.3%–0.6%, means focusing on better containing the risk of new infections, responding to the unexpressed health needs of an age group that is at risk of infection and disease progression, focusing also on a domino effect of screening for the entire family groups of those subjects (30–50 years old) with more frequent sexual relations and females of childbearing age.
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Moreover, focusing on this age group entails strengthening and replicating the effect of micro‐elimination efforts on persons who use drugs and inmates (who on average are in the same age range), because it provides the opportunity to repeat screening also outside prisons and drug dependency centres and to perform it on their closest family and social contacts.Although free‐of‐charge screening in Italy, firstly prioritized specific key populations and the 1969–1989 cohort as the best cost‐effectiveness strategy, additional educational and organizational planning and dedicated funds are necessary to give access to screening of the 1948–1968 cohort and other vulnerable at‐risk populations.
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These efforts are indispensable to successfully perform the HCV screening program in Italy and to guarantee equity in diagnosis and treatment access.Implementing and sustaining a screening program requires extensive human resources and health system capacity. As a rule of thumb, real‐life cost evaluations are useful in adapting a screening program. In both Italian studies, owing to the low prevalence of active infection found, the cost per detection of an active infection is shown to be high.
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The data of both studies could be of help in determining the best resources allocation in the different options of screening settings. However, these estimations are not sufficient to query the cost‐effectiveness of a mass screening which requires Health Technology Assessment tools that evaluate the cost versus the long‐term efficacy of a public health intervention. With specific regard to HCV screening, it is evaluated as a cost‐effective intervention, including all screening and disease costs over time, in different countries and with particular regards in Italy, the best cost‐effectiveness profile was given by a graduated strategy.
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Each strategy was weighted for the uncertainties on the prevalence values of active infection, evaluating the short‐mid and long‐term costs and benefits to the health system in the perspective of achieving the elimination by 2030.
Because a screening program is not just a single test but rather a pathway that starts by identifying the eligible people and stops when the outcomes are reported, the further treatment costs of patients diagnosed have shown to be economically balanced by the possible expenditure on medical care in Italy.
A POCT for COVID‐19 screening or vaccination should increase the HCV screening uptake and reduce the cost of HCV screening by using the same resources for both interventions, otherwise, as it has been shown in both Italian studies, the increasing costs cannot be justified.
,In conclusion, despite the feasibility of this opportunistic approach, we strongly believe that HCV screening with COVID‐19‐related services is a chance too good to be missed, but should not be a potential generator of chance findings that could distract from the main aim of HCV elimination.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
All authors declare no conflict of interest related to the subject matter of this paper.
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