| Literature DB >> 35433583 |
Mohamed Ali Daw1, Abdallah Hussean El-Bouzedi2, Mohamed Omar Ahmed3.
Abstract
The interrelationships between HIV/AIDS and armed conflict are a complex phenomenon, and studies are rarely devoted to this area of research. Libya is the second-largest country in Africa that has been evoked with war since the NATO intervention in 2011. The country has also experienced one of the largest HIV outbreaks associated with the Bulgarian nurse's saga. The effect of the armed conflict on the dynamic spread of HIV is not yet well-known. The objectives of this study were to determine the impact of armed conflict on the epidemiological situation of HIV infection in Libya and to analyze the transmission dynamics of HIV strains during the conflict. We investigated the movement of people with HIV during the Libyan armed conflict, analyzed the HIV subtypes reported from 2011 to 2020, and followed up the infected cases all over the country. The patterns of HIV spread within the Libyan regions were traced, and the risk factors were determined during the conflict period. A total of 4,539 patients with HIV/AIDS were studied from the four regions during the Libyan conflict. Our data analysis indicated that Benghazi, the biggest city in the Eastern region, was the significant exporter of the virus to the rest of the country. The viral dissemination changes were observed within the country, particularly after 2015. A major virus flows from the Eastern region during the armed conflict associated with internally displaced people. This resulted in the dissemination of new HIV strains and accumulations of HIV cases in western and middle regions. Although, there were no significant changes in the national prevalence of HIV/AIDS. Our data highlight the factors that complicated the spread and dissemination of HIV during the armed conflict, which provide a better understanding of the interaction between them. This could be used to plan for effective preventive measures in tackling the spread of HIV in conflict and post-conflict settings.Entities:
Keywords: HIV-migration; HIV/AIDS; Libya; armed conflict; transmission dynamics
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35433583 PMCID: PMC9009867 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.779778
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Public Health ISSN: 2296-2565
Number of reportedly HIV-infected people during the Libyan armed conflict in ten years (2011-2020).
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| 2011 | 371 | 293 | 78 | 4:1 | 5.3 |
| 2012 | 486 | 385 | 101 | 4:1 | 6.9 |
| 2013 | 459 | 338 | 121 | 3:1 | 6.9 |
| 2014 | 439 | 359 | 80 | 4:1 | 6.3 |
| 2015 | 511 | 372 | 139 | 3:1 | 7.3 |
| 2016 | 309 | 212 | 97 | 2:1 | 4.4 |
| 2017 | 471 | 382 | 89 | 4:1 | 6.7 |
| 2018 | 492 | 387 | 105 | 3:1 | 7.0 |
| 2019 | 489 | 382 | 107 | 4:1 | 7.0 |
| 2020 | 512 | 399 | 113 | 4:1 | 7.3 |
| Total | 4,539 | 3,509 | 1,030 | 3:1 | 64.84 |
Number of seroincident individuals.
Demographic characteristics of HIV infected population during the Libyan armed conflict of 2011-2020.
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| 857 | 898 | 820 | 963 | 1,001 | 4,539 | |
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| East | 379 | 394 | 198 | 178 | 219 | 1,369 (30.2) |
| West | 237 | 279 | 397 | 421 | 351 | 1,685 (37.1) |
| Meddle | 129 | 126 | 131 | 262 | 289 | 937 (20.6) |
| South | 112 | 99 | 94 | 101 | 142 | 548 (12.1) |
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| Resident | 726 | 681 | 247 | 634 | 782 | 3,070 (66) |
| Displaced | 131 | 217 | 573 | 329 | 219 | 1,469 (34) |
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| <20 | 93 | 71 | 47 | 43 | 67 | 321 (7.0) |
| 20–29 | 246 | 194 | 125 | 127 | 287 | 979 (21.3) |
| 30–39 | 523 | 471 | 311 | 205 | 582 | 2,092 (45.5) |
| 40–49 | 230 | 181 | 117 | 198 | 291 | 1,017 (22.1) |
| >50 | 73 | 32 | 21 | 27 | 31 | 184 (4.0) |
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| IDUs | 421 | 379 | 357 | 428 | 491 | 2,076 (45.2) |
| Sexual activity | 209 | 228 | 231 | 287 | 301 | 1,256 (27.3) |
| Others/Unknown | 227 | 291 | 232 | 248 | 209 | 1,207 (26.3) |
| Total | 857 | 898 | 820 | 963 | 1,001 | 4,539 |
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| A | 201 | 195 | 159 | 218 | 311 | 1,084 (23.9) |
| B | 370 | 414 | 365 | 421 | 490 | 2,060 (45.4) |
| CRFo2_AG | 197 | 202 | 193 | 216 | 102 | 910 (20.1) |
| NI | 89 | 87 | 103 | 108 | 98 | 485 (10.7) |
NI.
Figure 1The migration and expansion patterns of HIV cases during the conflict time of 2011-2020. The arrows indicate the directionality of virus flow movement from the residential location.
Inter-location series of HIV-1 strains in Libya during the armed conflict of 2011-2010.
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| Tripoli | 319 | 13 | 224 | 82 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
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| Misrata | 107 | 09 | 75 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 06 | 09 |
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| Benghazi | 39 | 07 | 19 | 13 | 471 | 7 | 143 | 321 |
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| Sebha | 03 | 0 | 02 | 01 | 07 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
Figure 2The regional prevalence of HIV and geographic distribution of HIV-1 subtypes during the Libyan conflict (A) the period from 2011 to 2015; (B) period from 2016 to 2020.
Figure 3Trends of the prevalence of different HIV-1 subtypes in Libya during the armed conflict of 2011-2020.