| Literature DB >> 35431390 |
Athul Padmakumar1, Gopal R Patil1.
Abstract
The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted all walks of life, including the transportation sector. Fear of the contagion coupled with government regulations to restrict mobility altered the travel behavior of the public. This study proposes integrating freely accessible aggregate mobility datasets published by tech giants Apple and Google, which opens a broader avenue for mobility research in the light of difficult data collection circumstances. A comparative analysis of the changes in usage of different mobility modes during the national lockdown and unlock policy periods across 6 Indian cities (Bangalore, Chennai, Delhi, Hyderabad, Mumbai, and Pune) explain the spatio-temporal differences in mode usages. The study shows a preference for individual travel modes (walking and driving) over public transit. Comparisons with pre-pandemic mode shares present evidence of inertia in the choice of travel modes. Association investigations through generalized linear mixed-effects models identify income, vehicle registrations, and employment rates at the city level to significantly impact the community mobility trends. The methods and interpretations from this study benefit government, planners, and researchers to boost informed policymaking and implementation during a future emergency demanding mobility regulations in the high-density urban conglomerations.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Generalized linear mixed effects mode; Google and Apple mobility data; Indian cities; Travel modes
Year: 2022 PMID: 35431390 PMCID: PMC8995256 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2022.103697
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cities ISSN: 0264-2751
Highlights and timeline of national lock and unlock policy interventions in year 2020.
| Policy | Dates | Policy highlights |
|---|---|---|
| Janata curfew | 22 March | One day national lockdown of all activities except essential services |
| Lockdown 1 (L1) | 25 March–14 April | Strict curb on all travel, social gatherings, night curfews, closure of all institutions except for essentials |
| Lockdown 2 (L2) | 15 April–3 May 3 | Continuation of national lockdown with relaxations on agricultural, industrial, medical, and maintenance activities. |
| Lockdown 3 (L3) | 4 May–17 May | Classified regions into red, orange and green zones depending on COVID-19 cases to implement relaxations, reinstating public buses and trains with limited occupancy, Shramik special train services started. |
| Lockdown 4 (L4) | 18 May–31 May | Extension of national lockdown for 2 more weeks with more relaxations in green zones, Resumption of international flights (Vande Bharat Mission), Inter-state travel permitted for freight and emergencies. |
| Unlock 1 (U1) | 1 June–30 June | Lockdown limited to containment zones, reopening of hotels, shops, and economic activities with strict guidelines. |
| Unlock 2 (U2) | 1 July–31 July | States are given the freedom to frame and implement policies. Limited inter-state travel permitted. Relaxations on social gatherings, limited domestic air travel permitted. |
| Unlock 3 (U3) | 1 August–31 August | Removal of night curfews, reopening of gymnasiums, yoga centers, parks for exercises, more metro, and public transit services, relaxations on inter-state travel. |
| Unlock 4 (U4) | 1 Sept–31 Sept | More relaxations on gatherings and public events, religious, entertainment, political sports, research, and higher educational institutions allowed to function with limited attendance |
Fig. 1Graphical schema of methodology.
Fig. 2Metropolitan cities considered in the study of the mobility of different modes.
Characteristics of Apple and Google mobility reports.
| Apple reports | Google reports | |
|---|---|---|
| Base timeline | 13 January 2020 | Median value over the 5 weeks between 3 January and 6 February 2020 |
| Method of estimation | Number of navigation requests in Apple maps | Monitoring of access frequency and time spend at activity centers |
| Categories | Driving, walking, transit | Retail and recreation |
Fig. 3Mobility trends for India.
Fig. 4Correlation between Apple and Google datasets for India.
Fig. 5Standardized mobility trends in transit, driving, and walking categories along with the constructed base timeline for India.
Fig. 6Standardized mobility trends across 6 cities in India.
Fig. 7Piecewise or segmented linear trends based on national phases of policy implementation for Bangalore.
Statistical summary of mobility data for Bangalore.
| Policy | Transit | Driving | Walking | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | |
| L1 | −79.89 | 2.92 | 0.36 | 0.51 | −85.86 | 0.97 | −0.07 | 0.44 | −81.27 | 1.7 | −0.01 | 0.3 |
| L2 | −72.82 | 2.82 | 0.37 | −84.45 | 1.87 | 0.23 | −79.54 | 2.58 | 0.19 | |||
| L3 | −56.22 | 3.08 | 0.83 | −71.1 | 2.42 | 0.69 | −67.47 | 3.15 | 0.64 | |||
| L4 | −50.32 | 6.54 | 0.48 | −63.94 | 5.15 | 0.92 | −60.5 | 3.71 | 0.38 | |||
| U1 | −41.76 | 3.5 | −0.16 | 0.07 | −52.24 | 3.24 | 0.17 | 0.22 | −51.38 | 3.1 | 0.12 | 0.3 |
| U2 | −56.91 | 11.01 | −0.13 | −61.05 | 9.63 | −0.08 | −57.85 | 8.87 | −0.14 | |||
| U3 | −47.38 | 3.04 | 0.26 | −43.15 | 7.47 | 0.62 | −43.5 | 7.08 | 0.61 | |||
| U4 | −41.49 | 4.53 | 0.29 | −31.62 | 7.73 | 0.18 | −28.04 | 9.66 | 0.61 | |||
Statistical summary of mobility data for Chennai.
| Policy | Transit | Driving | Walking | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | |
| L1 | −87.48 | 2.02 | 0.26 | 0.27 | −87.45 | 0.97 | 0.03 | 0.30 | −82.03 | 4.28 | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| L2 | −85.60 | 3.02 | −0.08 | −85.98 | 1.78 | 0.01 | −81.65 | 2.05 | −0.10 | |||
| L3 | −79.32 | 2.85 | 0.69 | −78.42 | 2.49 | 0.65 | −73.82 | 4.79 | 0.91 | |||
| L4 | −74.66 | 1.73 | 0.23 | −70.97 | 2.54 | 0.53 | −65.82 | 4.23 | 0.19 | |||
| U1 | −77.72 | 8.82 | −0.79 | 0.05 | −73.45 | 8.28 | −0.73 | 0.24 | −66.24 | 7.64 | −0.39 | 0.33 |
| U2 | −75.07 | 7.85 | 0.48 | −66.40 | 7.68 | 0.67 | −62.41 | 7.07 | 0.48 | |||
| U3 | −68.57 | 8.29 | 0.11 | −50.32 | 8.49 | 0.69 | −50.11 | 8.03 | 0.52 | |||
| U4 | −55.41 | 3.71 | 0.40 | −29.72 | 5.83 | 0.35 | −28.77 | 9.15 | 0.71 | |||
Summary statistics of mobility data for Delhi.
| Policy | Transit | Driving | Walking | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | |
| L1 | −85.73 | 1.22 | 0.09 | 0.34 | −88.79 | 0.84 | −0.07 | 0.18 | −82.22 | 4.21 | −0.43 | 0.01 |
| L2 | −82.70 | 1.11 | 0.14 | −88.70 | 0.86 | 0.07 | −83.76 | 1.32 | 0.01 | |||
| L3 | −74.61 | 2.19 | 0.62 | −82.16 | 1.52 | 0.44 | −78.08 | 1.09 | 0.27 | |||
| L4 | −64.85 | 2.53 | 0.49 | −73.38 | 1.41 | 0.27 | −72.92 | 1.49 | 0.16 | |||
| U1 | −58.18 | 1.14 | 0.04 | 0.23 | −63.95 | 4.18 | 0.40 | 0.37 | −67.00 | 3.30 | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| U2 | −53.74 | 2.33 | 0.23 | −49.58 | 4.67 | 0.47 | −55.46 | 3.69 | 0.33 | |||
| U3 | −48.38 | 4.51 | 0.25 | −32.01 | 7.08 | 0.64 | −42.34 | 6.62 | 0.56 | |||
| U4 | −40.24 | 3.71 | 0.36 | −24.85 | 3.73 | −0.05 | −28.81 | 7.48 | 0.54 | |||
Summary statistics for mobility data for Hyderabad.
| Policy | Transit | Driving | Walking | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | |
| L1 | −87.76 | 1.60 | 0.21 | 0.36 | −86.07 | 1.86 | −0.15 | 0.38 | −80.77 | 2.21 | −0.21 | 0.35 |
| L2 | −85.56 | 1.22 | 0.03 | −85.88 | 1.35 | 0.10 | −79.65 | 2.17 | 0.15 | |||
| L3 | −79.70 | 2.00 | 0.44 | −78.40 | 2.38 | 0.57 | −74.39 | 2.59 | 0.45 | |||
| L4 | −69.45 | 3.80 | 0.77 | −66.78 | 4.48 | 1.02 | −63.70 | 4.88 | 1.02 | |||
| U1 | −59.34 | 2.23 | −0.08 | 0.13 | −53.55 | 2.92 | 0.15 | 0.29 | −50.84 | 4.11 | 0.14 | 0.41 |
| U2 | −63.15 | 2.10 | 0.08 | −53.60 | 2.70 | 0.16 | −50.96 | 3.75 | 0.21 | |||
| U3 | −60.25 | 4.47 | 0.19 | −42.80 | 5.17 | 0.40 | −41.95 | 6.58 | 0.45 | |||
| U4 | −50.10 | 3.99 | 0.35 | −25.40 | 6.63 | 0.46 | −21.09 | 9.42 | 0.83 | |||
Summary statistics for mobility data for Mumbai.
| Policy | Transit | Driving | Walking | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | |
| L1 | −92.18 | 1.01 | 0.02 | 0.07 | −88.24 | 1.38 | −0.18 | 0.09 | −84.96 | 2.16 | −0.22 | −0.03 |
| L2 | −90.97 | 1.23 | 0.04 | −88.36 | 1.09 | 0.10 | −84.92 | 1.58 | 0.18 | |||
| L3 | −88.46 | 1.31 | 0.11 | −82.34 | 1.57 | 0.41 | −80.63 | 1.88 | −0.05 | |||
| L4 | −87.75 | 1.56 | 0.10 | −81.94 | 1.44 | 0.02 | −82.05 | 1.50 | −0.03 | |||
| U1 | −82.20 | 2.91 | 0.18 | 0.23 | −69.96 | 5.50 | 0.50 | 0.38 | −72.63 | 5.08 | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| U2 | −78.67 | 2.66 | 0.24 | −67.69 | 4.69 | 0.45 | −69.68 | 3.76 | 0.29 | |||
| U3 | −73.87 | 4.24 | 0.26 | −50.13 | 5.81 | 0.47 | −60.19 | 4.13 | 0.28 | |||
| U4 | −66.19 | 3.97 | 0.24 | −35.29 | 3.43 | 0.11 | −44.30 | 7.39 | 0.51 | |||
Summary statistics for mobility data for Pune.
| Policy | Transit | Driving | Walking | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | Mean (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Mobility change rate (%/day) | Avg of (3) (%/day) | |
| L1 | −79.79 | 1.72 | 0.16 | 0.32 | −89.49 | 1.25 | −0.12 | 0.21 | −84.93 | 2.61 | −0.20 | 0.17 |
| L2 | −76.55 | 0.69 | 0.03 | −89.42 | 0.97 | 0.08 | −83.94 | 2.45 | 0.20 | |||
| L3 | −67.39 | 1.84 | 0.60 | −82.74 | 1.84 | 0.51 | −78.06 | 2.48 | 0.01 | |||
| L4 | −61.37 | 2.22 | 0.50 | −78.98 | 1.90 | 0.38 | −73.89 | 4.07 | 0.65 | |||
| U1 | −49.13 | 4.62 | 0.36 | 0.17 | −64.45 | 7.01 | 0.72 | 0.29 | −60.34 | 7.13 | 0.64 | 0.36 |
| U2 | −54.82 | 9.97 | −0.23 | −65.20 | 9.63 | −0.17 | −60.32 | 12.61 | −0.26 | |||
| U3 | −45.08 | 3.95 | 0.21 | −47.77 | 5.49 | 0.39 | −46.20 | 6.29 | 0.47 | |||
| U4 | −38.19 | 4.67 | 0.35 | −34.11 | 6.08 | 0.22 | −29.70 | 9.03 | 0.59 | |||
Average difference in % mobility change in U3 and U4.
| Cities | (transit – driving) | (transit – walking) |
|---|---|---|
| Bangalore | −7 | −11 |
| Chennai | - 22 | −23 |
| Delhi | −16 | −8 |
| Hyderabad | −21 | −23 |
| Mumbai | −28 | −18 |
| Pune | −1 | −4 |
Fig. 8Pre-pandemic mode shares in Indian cities (Ministry of Urban Development, 2019).
Model statistics of LME models for transit, driving, and walk category.
| Transit | Driving | Walking | |
|---|---|---|---|
| R2 | 0.833 | 0.951 | 0.953 |
| Adjusted R2 | 0.832 | 0.948 | 0.950 |
| Log-likelihood | 50.066 | 59.941 | 65.700 |
| Random effects | 0.114 | 0.190 | 0.168 |
Fig. 9Fixed effect coefficients of GLME models for transit, driving, and walking mobility modes. Marker denotes mean values while bars represent 95% confidence intervals.
Sources of data.
| Data | Source link |
|---|---|
| Google community mobility reports | |
| Apple mobility trend report | |
| Socioeconomic data | Handbook of Urban Statistics 2019 |