| Literature DB >> 35422023 |
Alexander Lisinski1, Fredrik Hieronymus1,2, Staffan Nilsson3,4, Elias Eriksson5.
Abstract
Response defined as a 50% reduction in the sum score of the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS-17-sum) is often used to assess the efficacy of antidepressants. Critics have, however, argued that dichotomising ratings with a cutoff close to the median may lead to scores clustering on either side, the result being inflation of miniscule drug-placebo differences. Using pooled patient-level data sets from trials of three selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) (citalopram, paroxetine and sertraline) (n = 7909), and from similar trials of duloxetine (n = 3478), we thus assessed the impact of different cutoffs on response rates. Response criteria were based on (i) HDRS-17-sum, (ii) the sum score of the HDRS-6 subscale (HDRS-6-sum) and (iii) the depressed mood item. The separation between SSRI and placebo with respect to response rates increased when HDRS-17-sum was replaced by HDRS-6-sum or depressed mood as effect parameter and was markedly dependent on SSRI dose. With the exception of extreme cutoff values, differences in response rates were largely similar regardless of where the cutoff was placed, and also not markedly changed by the exclusion of subjects close to the selected cutoff (e.g., ±10%). The observation of similar response rate differences between active drugs and placebo for different cutoffs was corroborated by the analysis of duloxetine data. In conclusion, the suggestion that using a cutoff close to the median when defining response has markedly overestimated the separation between antidepressants and placebo may be discarded.Entities:
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Year: 2022 PMID: 35422023 PMCID: PMC9010419 DOI: 10.1038/s41398-022-01882-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Transl Psychiatry ISSN: 2158-3188 Impact factor: 7.989
Fig. 1SSRI and placebo response rates.
Cumulative proportions of SSRI- and placebo-treated patients scoring on or below each 5% fraction of baseline scores at endpoint are shown for HDRS-17-sum in a and for HDRS-6-sum in b. Cumulative proportions of SSRI- and placebo-treated patients reporting different score reductions with respect to depressed mood are shown in c. Corresponding data but for each endpoint score are displayed in d (HDRS-17-sum), e (HDRS-6) and f depressed mood. Shown is the ITT-LOCF population. n = 5424 (SSRI) and 2485 (placebo). Patients deteriorating during treatment were coded as having an endpoint fraction of 100% a–b or a change score of zero c. The share of patients deteriorating was a SSRIs 8.8%; placebo 12.4%, b SSRIs 7.4%; placebo 11.9%, c SSRIs 3.7%; placebo 7.0%. Endpoint scores were capped at 40 points (d) and 20 points (e), respectively. The share of patients scoring above these thresholds was d SSRIs 0.13%, placebo 0.04%, e SSRIs 0.02%, placebo 0.00%.
Modelled proportions of responders defined using different cutoffs in SSRI- and placebo-treated patients; n = 5424 (SSRI) and 2485 (placebo).
| Modelled proportions of responders | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDRS-17-sum: remaining proportion of symptoms | SSRI | Placebo | Difference | Odds ratio (95% Cl) | |
| 0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.99 | 1.00 (0.62–1.61) |
| ≤10% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.03 | 1.34 (1.03–1.74) |
| ≤20% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 5.5% | <0.0001 | 1.65 (1.37–1.99) |
| ≤20% (excluding 15–25%) | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.0002 | 1.48 (1.20–1.82) |
| ≤20% (excluding 10–30%) | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.0006 | 1.49 (1.19–1.87) |
| ≤30% | 28.7% | 20.0% | 8.7% | <0.0001 | 1.61 (1.39–1.86) |
| ≤40% | 42.3% | 29.7% | 12.6% | <0.0001 | 1.73 (1.52–1.97) |
| ≤50% | 54.6% | 42.1% | 12.5% | <0.0001 | 1.65 (1.47–1.87) |
| ≤50% (excluding 45–55%) | 52.5% | 39.1% | 13.4% | <0.0001 | 1.72 (1.52–1.95) |
| ≤50% (excluding 40–60%) | 51.9% | 37.9% | 14.0% | <0.0001 | 1.77 (1.55–2.01) |
| ≤60% | 65.7% | 52.4% | 13.3% | <0.0001 | 1.74 (1.55–1.96) |
| ≤70% | 74.8% | 63.4% | 11.5% | <0.0001 | 1.72 (1.52–1.94) |
| ≤80% | 82.7% | 72.2% | 10.5% | <0.0001 | 1.84 (1.61–2.11) |
| ≤90% | 89.3% | 81.2% | 8.1% | <0.0001 | 1.93 (1.65–2.26) |
| ≤100% | 95.1% | 91.1% | 4.0% | <0.0001 | 1.91 (1.54–2.38) |
| 0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.003 | 1.50 (1.15–1.97) |
| ≤10% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | <0.0001 | 1.82 (1.48–2.23) |
| ≤20% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% | <0.0001 | 1.82 (1.54–2.16) |
| ≤20% (excluding 15–25%) | 15.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | <0.0001 | 1.84 (1.52–2.22) |
| ≤20% (excluding 10–30%) | 14.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | <0.0001 | 1.78 (1.46–2.17) |
| ≤30% | 30.7% | 19.2% | 11.5% | <0.0001 | 1.86 (1.61–2.15) |
| ≤40% | 43.2% | 28.9% | 14.3% | <0.0001 | 1.87 (1.65–2.13) |
| ≤50% | 58.3% | 42.1% | 16.3% | <0.0001 | 1.93 (1.71–2.18) |
| ≤50% (excluding 45–55%) | 54.5% | 38.2% | 16.3% | <0.0001 | 1.94 (1.71–2.20) |
| ≤50% (excluding 40–60%) | 54.2% | 37.3% | 16.9% | <0.0001 | 1.99 (1.75–2.26) |
| ≤60% | 66.7% | 50.4% | 16.3% | <0.0001 | 1.97 (1.75–2.22) |
| ≤70% | 74.9% | 59.0% | 15.9% | <0.0001 | 2.07 (1.83–2.34) |
| ≤80% | 82.1% | 67.4% | 14.8% | <0.0001 | 2.22 (1.95–2.54) |
| ≤90% | 88.0% | 76.5% | 11.5% | <0.0001 | 2.26 (1.95–2.61) |
| ≤100% | 96.1% | 92.5% | 3.5% | <0.0001 | 1.97 (1.56–2.49) |
| −4 | 1.6%* | 0.6%* | 1.0%* | 0.0002* | 2.72 (1.57–4.70)* |
| ≤−3 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | <0.0001 | 2.08 (1.75–2.47) |
| ≤−2 | 55.8% | 39.1% | 16.6% | <0.0001 | 1.96 (1.73–2.22) |
| ≤−1 | 82.7% | 69.1% | 13.6% | <0.001 | 2.13 (1.87–2.44) |
| ≤0 | 98.7% | 96.7% | 2.1% | <0.0001 | 2.73 (2.00–3.73) |
*Unmodelled LOCF population.
Modelled proportions of responders defined using different cutoffs with respect to endpoint scores in SSRI- and placebo-treated patients; n = 5424 (SSRI) and 2485 (placebo).
| Modelled proportions of responders | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDRS-17 endpoint score | SSRI | Placebo | Difference | Odds ratio (95% Cl) | |
| 0 p | 1.3%* | 1.3%* | 0.0%* | 0.87* | 1.04 (0.68–1.58)* |
| ≤1 p | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.25 | 1.22 (0.87–1.71) |
| ≤2 p | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.01 | 1.40 (1.07–1.82) |
| ≤3 p | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.0002 | 1.53 (1.26–1.90) |
| ≤4 p | 14.6% | 10.4% | 4.2% | <0.0001 | 1.47 (1.22–1.78) |
| ≤5 p | 20.5% | 14.6% | 5.9% | <0.0001 | 1.51 (1.28–1.78) |
| ≤6 p | 26.3% | 17.6% | 8.6% | <0.0001 | 1.66 (1.43–1.94) |
| ≤7 p | 33.1% | 22.3% | 10.8% | <0.0001 | 1.72 (1.50–1.99) |
| ≤7 p (excluding 6–8 p) | 24.9% | 17.1% | 7.9% | <0.0001 | 1.61 (1.38–1.89) |
| ≤7 p (excluding 5–9 p) | 22.4% | 15.3% | 7.0% | <0.0001 | 1.59 (1.35–1.88) |
| ≤8 p | 37.8% | 25.5% | 12.2% | <0.0001 | 1.77 (1.55–2.03) |
| ≤9 p | 43.2% | 31.6% | 11.6% | <0.0001 | 1.65 (1.45–1.87) |
| ≤10 p | 48.8% | 36.6% | 12.2% | <0.0001 | 1.65 (1.46–1.87) |
| 0 p | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.003 | 1.51 (1.15–1.98) |
| ≤1 p | 14.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | <0.0001 | 1.90 (1.55–2.34) |
| ≤2 p | 19.8% | 11.8% | 8.0% | <0.0001 | 1.85 (1.56–2.19) |
| ≤3 p | 29.6% | 18.5% | 11.2% | <0.0001 | 1.86 (1.60–2.16) |
| ≤4 p | 40.0% | 26.3% | 13.8% | <0.0001 | 1.88 (1.64–2.15) |
| ≤4 p (excluding 3–5 p) | 30.8% | 18.5% | 12.3% | <0.0001 | 1.96 (1.68–2.29) |
| ≤4 p (excluding 2–6 p) | 27.4% | 16.2% | 11.3% | <0.0001 | 1.96 (1.66–2.31) |
| ≤5 p | 49.7% | 35.2% | 14.5% | <0.0001 | 1.82 (1.60–2.06) |
| ≤6 p | 59.2% | 42.4% | 16.8% | <0.0001 | 1.97 (1.74–2.23) |
| ≤7 p | 67.4% | 51.1% | 16.3% | <0.0001 | 1.98 (1.74–2.24) |
| ≤8 p | 75.3% | 60.2% | 15.0% | <0.0001 | 2.01 (1.76–2.29) |
| ≤9 p | 82.5% | 68.0% | 14.5% | <0.0001 | 2.21 (1.92–2.55) |
| ≤10 p | 87.8% | 76.2% | 11.6% | <0.0001 | 2.25 (1.92–2.63) |
| 0 p | 27.1% | 15.7% | 11.4% | <0.0001 | 2.00 (1.70–2.34) |
| ≤1 p | 66.4% | 48.4% | 18.0% | <0.0001 | 2.10 (1.86–2.39) |
| ≤2 p | 89.3% | 77.6% | 11.7% | <0.0001 | 2.41 (2.05–2.82) |
| ≤3 p | 99.6% | 99.0% | 0.6% | 0.04 | 2.27 (1.05–4.92) |
*Unmodelled LOCF population.
Effect of SSRI dose on modelled proportions of responders and remitters defined using commonly proposed cutoffs based on remaining symptoms in SSRI- and placebo-treated patients; n = 876 (suboptimal doses); n = 1299 (optimal doses); and n = 753 (placebo).
| Suboptimal doses | Optimal doses | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criterion | Placebo | SSRI | Difference | Odds ratio (95% Cl) | SSRI | Difference | Odds ratio (95% Cl) | ||
| ≤50% HDRS-17 | 43.1% | 51.0% | 7.9% | 0.02 | 1.38 (1.06–1.78) | 61.2% | 18.1% | <0.0001 | 2.08 (1.62–2.67) |
| ≤50% HDRS-6 | 43.7% | 54.2% | 10.5% | 0.001 | 1.53 (1.18–1.97) | 66.0% | 22.3% | <0.0001 | 2.50 (1.95–3.21) |
| ≤80% HDRS-17 | 11.0% | 17.0% | 6.0% | 0.007 | 1.65 (1.15–2.39) | 21.2% | 10.1% | <0.0001 | 2.17 (1.53–3.07) |
| ≤80% HDRS-6 | 11.4% | 17.1% | 5.6% | 0.006 | 1.60 (1.14–2.22) | 20.6% | 9.2% | <0.0001 | 2.01 (1.46–2.77) |
| ≤7 HDRS-17 | 24.6% | 33.1% | 8.5% | 0.005 | 1.52 (1.14–2.03) | 39.2% | 14.7% | <0.0001 | 1.98 (1.51–2.62) |
| ≤4 HDRS-6 | 27.4% | 38.5% | 11.2% | 0.0003 | 1.66 (1.26–2.19) | 45.1% | 17.8% | <0.0001 | 2.18 (1.67–2.85) |
| 0 Depressed mood | 15.4% | 26.4% | 11.0% | <0.0001 | 1.97 (1.41–2.76) | 34.3% | 18.8% | <0.0001 | 2.86 (2.07–3.94) |
Suboptimal doses defined as citalopram 10–20 mg, sertraline 50 mg, paroxetine 10 mg; optimal doses as citalopram 30–40 mg, sertraline 100–400 mg, paroxetine 20–40 mg. These data have been partly reported in a previous publication [6].