| Literature DB >> 35420445 |
Patrick L Osewe1, Michael A Peters2.
Abstract
In the first months of the COVID-19 pandemic, there was a lack of guidance on how to channel the unprecedented amount of health financing toward the pandemic response. We employed a multistep, interactive Delphi process to reach consensus on a "menu" of priority COVID-19 response interventions. In all, 27 health security experts-representing national governments, bilateral and multilateral organizations, academia, technical agencies, and nongovernmental organizations-participated in the exercise. The experts rated 11 technical investment areas and 37 interventions on a 5-point scale in terms of their importance to COVID-19 response. Initial findings were discussed at a virtual meeting where experts suggested modifications. A group of 19 experts then rated a revised list of 11 technical areas and 39 interventions. Consensus was defined as at least 80% of experts agreeing on the importance of a technical area or intervention; stability of scores across the rounds was identified using Wilcoxon matched-pairs and unpaired signed rank tests. Between the initial and final menu, 3 technical areas and 7 interventions were slightly modified, 3 interventions were added, and 1 intervention was removed. Consensus was reached on all 11 technical areas and 35 of the final 39 interventions, and between 34 and 37 interventions were stable across rounds depending on the test used. In this exercise, the health security experts agreed that COVID-19 response financing should prioritize interventions that enhance a country's capacity to test, trace, and treat high-risk populations. Simultaneously, supportive systems (eg, risk communication, community engagement, public health infrastructure, information systems, policy and coordination, workforce capacity, other social protections) should be developed to ensure that nonpharmaceutical and medical interventions can maximize the effectiveness of these systems.Entities:
Keywords: Agenda setting; COVID-19; Delphi technique; Infectious diseases
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35420445 PMCID: PMC9081018 DOI: 10.1089/hs.2021.0142
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Health Secur ISSN: 2326-5094
Characteristics of Experts Participating in the Delphi Study
| Category | |
|---|---|
| Sex | |
| Male | 16 (59.3) |
| Female | 11 (40.7) |
| Current organization | |
| Multilateral organization | 9 (33.3) |
| Government | 7 (29.2) |
| Academia | 6 (22.2) |
| Nongovernmental organization | 5 (18.5) |
| Geographic focus | |
| Asia-Pacific | 15 (55.6) |
| Global | 12 (44.4) |
Results from Delphi Ranking Exercise
| Domain | Activity | First Delphi Round (n = 25) | Second Delphi Round (n = 19) | Stability ( | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus (>3) % | Mean Rating | Median Rating | SD | Consensus (>3) % | Mean Rating | Median Rating | SD | Unpaired ( | Paired ( | ||
| Surveillance and epidemiology[ | Strengthening systems for contact tracing[ | 96%[ | 4.72 | 5 | 0.54 | 95%[ | 4.74 | 5 | 0.56 | .86 | .77 |
| Establishing enhanced surveillance systems (event, case-based, and/or environmental)[ | 84%[ | 4.28 | 5 | 0.94 | 95%[ | 4.68 | 5 | 0.58 | .13 | .01[ | |
| Establishing national screening/referral guidelines and procedures[ | 88%[ | 4.48 | 5 | 0.71 | 84%[ | 4.21 | 4 | 0.71 | .18 | .04[ | |
| Improving surveillance systems for zoonotic diseases | 60% | 3.60 | 4 | 1 | 84%[ | 4.26 | 4 | 0.73 | .02[ | .04[ | |
| Supporting screening at ports of entry | 72% | 3.84 | 4 | 0.94 | 53% | 3.53 | 4 | 0.96 | .26 | .67 | |
| Risk communication | Developing and testing messages and materials to be used for the COVID-19 outbreak on risk and potential impact of the pandemic | 76% | 4.12 | 4 | 0.88 | 95%[ | 4.21 | 4 | 0.54 | .96 | .79 |
| Developing and implementing information, guidelines, and training for healthcare professionals[ | 100%[ | 4.48 | 4 | 0.51 | 90%[ | 4.58 | 5 | 0.51 | .53 | .77 | |
| Enhancing infrastructure to disseminate information from the national to subnational levels, and between the public and private sectors[ | 88%[ | 4.32 | 4 | 0.69 | 90%[ | 4.21 | 4 | 0.79 | .72 | .99 | |
| Policy and coordination mechanisms | Establishing/strengthening emergency operations centers or national incident management systems[ | 100%[ | 4.56 | 5 | 0.51 | 95%[ | 4.53 | 5 | 0.61 | .99 | .77 |
| Supporting countries to develop and implement national COVID-19 pandemic (and all hazards) prevention, preparedness, and response plansa,b | 84%[ | 4.44 | 5 | 0.87 | 95%[ | 4.37 | 4 | 0.60 | .37 | .86 | |
| Conducting epidemiologic and economic risk assessment and reduction/management plansa,b | 84%[ | 4.32 | 4 | 0.75 | 95%[ | 4.47 | 5 | 0.61 | .56 | .42 | |
| Establishing a vaccine preparedness plan[ | – | – | – | – | 95%[ | 4.47 | 5 | 0.61 | n/a | n/a | |
| Establishing/strengthening national and/or regional One Health coordinating platforms[ | 60% | 3.60 | 4 | 1 | 74% | 4.11 | 4 | 0.81 | .11 | .04[ | |
| Social protection and social services[ | Providing economic relief for those with reduced income | 76% | 4.24 | 4 | 0.83 | 100%[ | 4.74 | 5 | 0.45 | .22 | .23 |
| Ensuring a steady food supply for vulnerable populations[ | 92%[ | 4.52 | 5 | 0.65 | 100%[ | 4.68 | 5 | 0.48 | .29 | .42 | |
| Providing schooling support for those with disrupted learning | 64% | 3.88 | 4 | 0.88 | 100%[ | 4.58 | 5 | 0.51 | .17 | .41 | |
| Providing mental health and emotional support services[ | – | – | – | – | 95%[ | 4.21 | 4 | 0.71 | n/a | n/a | |
| Information systems | Sharing lessons learned[ | 92%[ | 4.44 | 5 | 0.77 | 100%[ | 4.42 | 4 | 0.51 | .56 | .99 |
| Improving health information systems[ | 80%[ | 4.16 | 4 | 0.75 | 84%[ | 4.16 | 4 | 0.69 | .97 | .99 | |
| Integrating information systems across disciplines and nations | 76% | 4.04 | 4 | 0.84 | 74% | 4.11 | 4 | 0.81 | .86 | .69 | |
| Hospital and primary healthcare capacity | Establishing guidelines for delivery of essential routine care[ | 84%[ | 4.32 | 4 | 0.75 | 95%[ | 4.53 | 5 | 0.61 | .39 | .48 |
| Upgrading existing facilities and expanding services[ | 72% | 3.92 | 4 | 0.81 | 95%[ | 4.32 | 4 | 0.58 | .10 | .15 | |
| Planning for triage facilities/nontraditional treatment sites during surges[ | 100%[ | 4.48 | 4 | 0.51 | 90%[ | 4.37 | 4 | 0.68 | .71 | .31 | |
| Health workforce | Strengthening community and clinical healthcare workforces[ | 96%[ | 4.48 | 5 | 0.59 | 90%[ | 4.53 | 5 | 0.70 | .88 | .20 |
| Enhancing response workforce capacities[ | – | – | – | – | 90%[ | 4.42 | 5 | 0.69 | n/a | n/a | |
| Training epidemiologists[ | 84%[ | 4.12 | 4 | 0.67 | 84%[ | 4.16 | 4 | 0.83 | .69 | .99 | |
| Building an animal health workforced,f | 40% | 3.28 | 3 | 1.02 | – | – | – | – | n/a | n/a | |
| Building resilient health systems[ | Supporting timely and flexible access to domestic emergency/crisis financing[ | 88%[ | 4.44 | 5 | 0.71 | 100%[ | 4.68 | 5 | 0.48 | .29 | .57 |
| Removing barriers to essential healthcare servicesa,b | 92%[ | 4.56 | 5 | 0.65 | 95%[ | 4.68 | 5 | 0.58 | .65 | .77 | |
| Removing financial barriers for COVID-19 patients[ | 72% | 4.04 | 4 | 0.97 | 95%[ | 4.68 | 5 | 0.58 | .02[ | .04[ | |
| Diagnostic and lab capacity | Expanding domestic diagnostic capacity[ | 96%[ | 4.72 | 5 | 0.54 | 100%[ | 4.79 | 5 | 0.42 | .78 | .77 |
| Establishing/strengthening laboratory networks, surge plans, and information sharing at the subnational and regional levels[ | 100%[ | 4.64 | 5 | 0.49 | 100%[ | 4.68 | 5 | 0.48 | .77 | .48 | |
| Procuring and/or producing essential diagnostic equipment and supplies[ | 96%[ | 4.72 | 5 | 0.68 | 95%[ | 4.74 | 5 | 0.56 | .95 | .99 | |
| Strengthening laboratory staff capacity[ | 96%[ | 4.64 | 5 | 0.57 | 95%[ | 4.58 | 5 | 0.61 | .74 | .77 | |
| Community engagement | Enhancing local engagement[ | 92%[ | 4.48 | 5 | 0.65 | 100%[ | 4.63 | 5 | 0.50 | .52 | .78 |
| Supporting and incorporating feedback loops to decisionmaking[ | 92%[ | 4.28 | 4 | 0.74 | 84%[ | 4.37 | 5 | 0.76 | .65 | .76 | |
| Mapping community networks and structures | 72% | 3.96 | 4 | 0.84 | 58% | 3.89 | 4 | 0.88 | .74 | .78 | |
| Case management and infection prevention and control | Training health workers on infection prevention and control[ | 100%[ | 4.84 | 5 | 0.37 | 100%[ | 4.79 | 5 | 0.42 | .68 | .42 |
| Procuring PPE, oxygen delivery equipment, therapeutics, etc.[ | 96%[ | 4.8 | 5 | 0.50 | 100%[ | 4.79 | 5 | 0.42 | .74 | .73 | |
| Adapting national treatment guidelinesa,b | 92%[ | 4.28 | 4 | 0.61 | 90%[ | 4.16 | 4 | 0.60 | .51 | .42 | |
The wording of an intervention or technical area was adjusted between Delphi rounds (see Supplementary Table 1 for details).
Interventions that achieved consensus in both rounds.
Interventions that achieved consensus in a particular round.
An intervention was dropped.
An intervention was not stable across rounds.
An intervention was not included in a particular round. Abbreviations: PPE, personal protective equipment; SD, standard deviation.