G Brooke Anderson1, Andrea Schumacher2, James M Done3, James W Hurrell4. 1. Colorado State University, 1601 Campus Delivery, Fort Collins, CO, 80523-1601, USA. brooke.anderson@colostate.edu. 2. Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, Colorado State University, 1375 Campus Delivery, Fort Collins, CO, 80523-1375, USA. 3. National Center for Atmospheric Research, 3090 Center Green Drive, Boulder, CO, 80301, USA. 4. Colorado State University, 200 West Lake Street, 1371 Campus Delivery, Fort Collins, CO, 80523-1371, USA.
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW: There is clear evidence that the earth's climate is changing, largely from anthropogenic causes. Flooding and tropical cyclones have clear impacts on human health in the United States at present, and projections of their health impacts in the future will help inform climate policy, yet to date there have been few quantitative climate health impact projections. RECENT FINDINGS: Despite a wealth of studies characterizing health impacts of floods and tropical cyclones, many are better suited for qualitative, rather than quantitative, projections of climate change health impacts. However, a growing number have features that will facilitate their use in quantitative projections, features we highlight here. Further, while it can be difficult to project how exposures to flood and tropical cyclone hazards will change in the future, climate science continues to advance in its capabilities to capture changes in these exposures, including capturing regional variation. Developments in climate epidemiology and climate science are opening new possibilities in projecting the health impacts of floods and tropical cyclones under a changing climate.
PURPOSE OF REVIEW: There is clear evidence that the earth's climate is changing, largely from anthropogenic causes. Flooding and tropical cyclones have clear impacts on human health in the United States at present, and projections of their health impacts in the future will help inform climate policy, yet to date there have been few quantitative climate health impact projections. RECENT FINDINGS: Despite a wealth of studies characterizing health impacts of floods and tropical cyclones, many are better suited for qualitative, rather than quantitative, projections of climate change health impacts. However, a growing number have features that will facilitate their use in quantitative projections, features we highlight here. Further, while it can be difficult to project how exposures to flood and tropical cyclone hazards will change in the future, climate science continues to advance in its capabilities to capture changes in these exposures, including capturing regional variation. Developments in climate epidemiology and climate science are opening new possibilities in projecting the health impacts of floods and tropical cyclones under a changing climate.
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Authors: Antonio Gasparrini; Yuming Guo; Francesco Sera; Ana Maria Vicedo-Cabrera; Veronika Huber; Shilu Tong; Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho; Paulo Hilario Nascimento Saldiva; Eric Lavigne; Patricia Matus Correa; Nicolas Valdes Ortega; Haidong Kan; Samuel Osorio; Jan Kyselý; Aleš Urban; Jouni J K Jaakkola; Niilo R I Ryti; Mathilde Pascal; Patrick G Goodman; Ariana Zeka; Paola Michelozzi; Matteo Scortichini; Masahiro Hashizume; Yasushi Honda; Magali Hurtado-Diaz; Julio Cesar Cruz; Xerxes Seposo; Ho Kim; Aurelio Tobias; Carmen Iñiguez; Bertil Forsberg; Daniel Oudin Åström; Martina S Ragettli; Yue Leon Guo; Chang-Fu Wu; Antonella Zanobetti; Joel Schwartz; Michelle L Bell; Tran Ngoc Dang; Dung Do Van; Clare Heaviside; Sotiris Vardoulakis; Shakoor Hajat; Andy Haines; Ben Armstrong Journal: Lancet Planet Health Date: 2017-12