| Literature DB >> 35387649 |
Huynh Trung Trieu1,2, Lam Phung Khanh3,4, Damien Keng Yen Ming5, Chanh Ho Quang3, Tu Qui Phan6, Vinh Chau Nguyen Van6, Ertan Deniz7, Jane Mulligan8, Bridget Ann Wills3,9, Steven Moulton8,10, Sophie Yacoub3,5.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Dengue shock syndrome (DSS) is one of the major clinical phenotypes of severe dengue. It is defined by significant plasma leak, leading to intravascular volume depletion and eventually cardiovascular collapse. The compensatory reserve Index (CRI) is a new physiological parameter, derived from feature analysis of the pulse arterial waveform that tracks real-time changes in central volume. We investigated the utility of CRI to predict recurrent shock in severe dengue patients admitted to the ICU.Entities:
Keywords: Compensatory reserve index (CRI); Dengue; Machine learning; Non-invasive monitoring; Pulse waveform; Re-shock; Shock
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35387649 PMCID: PMC8986451 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-022-02311-6
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Med ISSN: 1741-7015 Impact factor: 8.775
Characteristics of study patients at enrollment
| Characteristics at enrollment | Included group ( | Excluded group ( | Total ( |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 11 (8, 14) | 12 (8, 13) | 11 (8, 14) |
| Female | 27 (43) | 22 (55) | 49 (48) |
| Weight (kg) | 40 (30, 49) | 39 (30, 50) | 39 (30, 50) |
| Day of illness at enrolment | 6 (5, 6) | 5 (4, 5) | 5 (4, 6) |
| Heart rate | 104 (92, 119) | 100 (92, 120) | 100 (92, 120) |
| SBP | 100 (90, 100) | 100 (90, 105) | 100 (90, 100) |
| DBP | 80 (70, 80) | 80 (64,80) | 70 (65, 80) |
| Temperature (°C) | 37 (37, 37.5) | 37 (37, 37) | 37 (37, 37) |
| Respiratory rate (breaths/min) | 20 (20, 24) | 20 (20, 24) | 20 (20, 24) |
| Pulse pressure ≤ 10 mmHg | 5 (8)a | 1 (0) | 6 (0.1) |
| Hematocrit (%) | 48 (46,52) | 50 (46, 52) | 49 (46, 52) |
| Platelet at enrolment (× 1000 cells/μL) | 27 (17, 35) | 32 (19, 47) | 29 (18, 41) |
| WBC (k/μL) | 4.40 (3.14, 6.28) | 4.61 (3.07, 5.75) | 4.59 (3.11, 6.05) |
| AST (IU/L) | 196 (114, 464) | 142 (90, 251) | 165 (104, 378) |
| ALT (IU/L) | 100 (56, 189) | 68 (41,116) | 91 (44, 172) |
| Venous lactate (mmol/L) | 3.0 (2.2, 4.4) | 2.7 (2.2, 3.7) | 2.9 (2.2, 4.1) |
Statistics presented: median (IQR), n (%)
aThere were 4 cases with pulse pressure ≤ 10 mmHg and 1 case with unmeasurable blood pressure
SBP systolic blood pressure, DBP diastolic blood pressure, WBC white blood cell, AST aspartate aminotransaminase, ALT alanine transaminase
Fig. 1Dynamic changes in the compensatory reserve index (CRI), systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and pulse pressure (PP) during the first 48 h of fluid management. A The trajectories of CRI, SBP, DBP, and PP in a 9-year-old boy with DSS. B The trajectories of CRI, SBP, DBP, and PP in an 11-year-old boy with DSS and two re-shock episodes. Red line is CRI, dark grey line is SBP, light grey line is DBP, intermittent grey line is PP, and the vertical green line indicates episodes of clinical shock/re-shock
Fig. 2Pearson’s correlation coefficient between compensatory reserve index (CRI) and heart rate (HR), systolic blood pressure (SBP) or diastolic blood pressure (DBP). The three panels describe partial Pearson’s correlation coefficients between CRI and heart rate (HR) (A), systolic blood pressure (SBP) (B) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) (C) for all 63 cases included in the analysis. Solid black lines represent the estimated partial Pearson’s correlation coefficients between CRI values and the corresponding hemodynamic parameter at intervals from onset of the first shock episode, after adjusting for age, gender, and body weight. To perform these calculations, data within the first 8 h since the first shock were grouped every 30 min (for HR) or 1 h (for SBP and DBP). Vertical lines are corresponding 95% confidence intervals of the estimated partial Pearson’s correlation coefficient; repeated data was accounted for using bootstrap sampling. Number below each vertical line represents number of hemodynamic parameter measurements in each group (HR in A, SBP in B, and DBP in C). Correlations based on small numbers of observations (< 30) are unreliable and therefore they were excluded in these figures (> 9.25 h for HR, > 6.5 h for SBP and DBP)
Prediction of first episode of re-shock (or narrow pulse pressure) using CRI measurement
| Within 12 h of CRI measurement | Within 6 h of CRI measurement | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimate (95%CI) | Estimate (95%CI) | |||
| OR adjusted | 2.24 (1.34, 3.73) | 0.002 | 2.31 (1.40, 3.81) | 0.001 |
| OR unadjusted | 2.17 (1.42, 3.32) | < 0.001 | 2.25 (1.55, 3.28) | < 0.001 |
| OR adjusted | 1.24 (0.82, 1.86) | 0.306 | 1.33 (0.96, 1.84) | 0.083 |
| OR unadjusted | 0.98 (0.34, 2.77) | 0.963 | 1.43 (1.01, 2.02) | 0.045 |
For each outcome (first re-shock and narrow pulse pressure), we considered two risk periods: within 6 h from CRI measurement and within 12 h from CRI measurement
OR odds ratio of the first re-shock or narrow pulse pressure for each decrease of 0.1 in CRI. These ORs and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) and P values were estimated from logistic regression models that used cluster bootstrap with 1000 resamples of the original dataset to take into account repeated CRI measurements from the same participant
OR adjusted corresponds to OR after adjusted for time of CRI measurement, age, gender, and body weight
OR unadjusted corresponds to OR from univariate model with CRI as the only covariate
Performance of different CRI cutoffs in predicting first episode of re-shock
| Measure | Within 12 h of CRI measurement | Within 6 h of CRI measurement |
|---|---|---|
| Estimate (95%CI) | Estimate (95%CI) | |
| AUC | 0.84 (0.75, 0.93) | 0.86 (0.77, 0.94) |
| CRI cutoff 0.2 | ||
| Sensitivity | 0.19 (0.02, 0.36) | 0.22 (0.02, 0.42) |
| Specificity | 0.98 (0.97, 0.99) | 0.98 (0.97, 1.00) |
| CRI cutoff 0.4 | ||
| Sensitivity | 0.66 (0.47, 0.85) | 0.68 (0.49, 0.88) |
| Specificity | 0.86 (0.80, 0.92) | 0.86 (0.80, 0.91) |
| CRI cutoff 0.6 | ||
| Sensitivity | 0.93 (0.84, 1.00) | 0.95 (0.90, 1.00) |
| Specificity | 0.51 (0.42, 0.59) | 0.50 (0.42, 0.58) |
AUC area under the ROC curve
95%CI 95% confidence intervals were calculated using cluster bootstrap standard errors based on 1000 resamples of the original dataset
These results were based on CRI, without any adjustment and did not correct for optimism