| Literature DB >> 35385496 |
Wasi Ul Hassan Shah1, Gang Hao2, Nan Zhu3, Rizwana Yasmeen4, Ihtsham Ul Haq Padda5, Muhammad Abdul Kamal6.
Abstract
South Asia primarily consists of developing economies with diverse financial systems. The commercial banking industry plays a crucial role in each country's financial development in the region. This research aims to evaluate commercial banking industries' efficiency and productivity growth in the South Asian (SA) region over 6 years (2013-2018). In addition, the technology gap among the banking industries of all countries is also explored. Data envelopment analysis (DEA) Meta-frontier is employed to measure the technical efficiency (TE) and technology gap ratio (TGR) among the countries. Further Malmquist productivity index (MPI) is used for productivity change estimation. Results indicate that, on average, 147 commercial banks (CBs) have a technical efficiency score of 0.6208, while CBs in Nepal are the most efficient in the region with an average score of 0.7153. The Meta frontier analysis also confirms the presence of different production technologies in CBs. Nepal's CBs group frontier is closer to meta-frontier (technology gap ratio, TGR = 0.9361) While, Bangladesh, Pakistan, India, and Sri Lanka rank second, third, fourth, and fifth, respectively. The results of productivity contend that the total factor productivity change of all 147 CBs decreases by 0.8 percent on average over the study period. CBs have enhanced their productivity growth in Sri Lanka, Nepal, and Pakistan, but declining trends have been witnessed in Indian and Bangladesh's commercial banking industries.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35385496 PMCID: PMC8986021 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0265349
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Average of returns on equity (AROE) of 147 SA CBs.
| ROAE | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2013–2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 9.4718 | 11.5791 | 11.75 | 11.4971 | 11.8035 | 10.515 | 11.1028 |
|
| 8.2339 | 8.8361 | 2.2114 | 4.5303 | -4.8792 | -2.9186 | 2.669 |
|
| 9.338 | 15.344 | 15.1007 | 16.394 | 16.0227 | 12.198 | 14.0662 |
|
| 68.6666 | 22.4829 | 29.4369 | 23.4886 | 21.3897 | 15.474 | 30.1565 |
|
| 7.9116 | 12.5489 | 14.3305 | 14.0705 | 10.2168 | 12.9495 | 12.0046 |
|
| 23.7208 | 14.1533 | 14.4515 | 13.6064 | 10.162 | 8.8282 | 14.1537 |
Note: BD stands for Bangladesh, IN for India, LK for Sri Lanka, NP for Nepal, and PK for Pakistan, respectively.
Average of returns on assets (AROA) of 147 SA CBs.
| ROAA | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2013–2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| 1.0368 | 1.125 | 1.3074 | 1.1903 | 1.0659 | 0.9038 | 1.1049 |
|
| 0.8131 | 0.8575 | 0.4692 | 0.5706 | 0.025 | 0.0725 | 0.468 |
|
| 1.0267 | 1.5087 | 1.3887 | 1.4713 | 1.5173 | 1.2473 | 1.36 |
|
| 1.8131 | 1.7457 | 1.984 | 2.0094 | 2.2563 | 1.8457 | 1.9424 |
|
| 0.9989 | 1.2679 | 1.2926 | 1.2021 | 0.8153 | 0.9947 | 1.0953 |
|
| 1.167 | 1.2739 | 1.2681 | 1.2687 | 1.1114 | 0.9765 | 1.1776 |
Note: BD stands for Bangladesh, IN for India, LK for Sri Lanka, NP for Nepal, and PK for Pakistan, respectively.
Fig 1Percentage of total assets of South Asian commercial banks (Bank focus).
Fig 2Empirical evaluation outline of South Asian commercial banks’ performance analysis.
Fig 3Efficiency analysis based on meta-frontier analysis.
Descriptive statistics of input-output variables (N = 147).
| Variables | Interest expenses | Non-interest expenses | Net interest income | Non-interest income |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max | 7333797 | 3625484 | 6974456 | 2396662 |
| Min | 240 | 157 | 245 | 80 |
| Average | 596569 | 251382 | 369409 | 155797 |
| SD | 1188127 | 493071 | 819425 | 341387 |
Note: SD shows standard deviation; Max and Min designate maximum and minimum values, respectively. All input-output variables are presented in real values of thousand US dollars.
Years-wise mean operational efficiency scores of all 147 CBs.
| Years | TE | PTE | SE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 0.6323 | 0.6864 | 0.9300 |
| 2014 | 0.5271 | 0.6492 | 0.8336 |
| 2015 | 0.6702 | 0.7282 | 0.9250 |
| 2016 | 0.6654 | 0.7392 | 0.9034 |
| 2017 | 0.6223 | 0.7036 | 0.8901 |
| 2018 | 0.6077 | 0.7068 | 0.8679 |
| Mean 2013–2018 | 0.6208 | 0.7022 | 0.8917 |
Note: TE shows technical efficiency, PTE Shows pure technical efficiency, and SE shows scale efficiency.
Mean operational efficiency scores of each country’s CBs (2013–2018).
| South Asian CBs | TE | PTE | SE | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean 35 BD | 0.6299 | 0.6781 | 0.9330 | 2 |
| Mean 40 IN | 0.5779 | 0.7400 | 0.7925 | 3 |
| Mean 16 LK | 0.5863 | 0.6732 | 0.8747 | 4 |
| Mean 36 NP | 0.7153 | 0.7488 | 0.9586 | 1 |
| Mean 20 PK | 0.5484 | 0.6082 | 0.9108 | 5 |
Note: BD stands for Bangladesh, IN for India, LK for Sri Lanka, NP for Nepal, and PK for Pakistan, respectively.
Fig 4Technical Efficiency of CBs across the South Asian countries over time.
Technical efficiency and technology gap ratio of DEA-meta frontier in South Asian countries.
| Bank Group | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||||||
| Mean 35 BD | 0.6358 | 0.5519 | 0.6436 | 0.6477 | 0.6849 | 0.6157 | 0.6299 |
| Mean 40 IN | 0.6255 | 0.4727 | 0.6227 | 0.6138 | 0.5686 | 0.564 | 0.5779 |
| Mean 16 LK | 0.6008 | 0.5254 | 0.6492 | 0.6172 | 0.552 | 0.5732 | 0.5863 |
| Mean 36 NP | 0.7151 | 0.5897 | 0.771 | 0.7972 | 0.715 | 0.7034 | 0.7153 |
| Mean 20 PK | 0.5156 | 0.4809 | 0.6473 | 0.6007 | 0.5094 | 0.5362 | 0.5484 |
| All Countries | 0.6185 | 0.5241 | 0.6667 | 0.6553 | 0.6059 | 0.5985 | 0.6115 |
|
| |||||||
| Mean 35 BD | 0.6666 | 0.6632 | 0.715 | 0.7304 | 0.7811 | 0.7098 | 0.7110 |
| Mean 40 IN | 0.7437 | 0.7603 | 0.7151 | 0.7585 | 0.7532 | 0.7746 | 0.7509 |
| Mean 16 LK | 0.8031 | 0.8055 | 0.8609 | 0.7966 | 0.8497 | 0.8747 | 0.8317 |
| Mean 36 NP | 0.7491 | 0.7626 | 0.7995 | 0.8149 | 0.7304 | 0.7372 | 0.7656 |
| Mean 20 PK | 0.7507 | 0.5937 | 0.6873 | 0.7088 | 0.8180 | 0.7037 | 0.7104 |
| All Countries | 0.7426 | 0.717 | 0.7555 | 0.7618 | 0.7864 | 0.7600 | 0.7539 |
|
| |||||||
| Mean 35 BD | 0.9562 | 0.843 | 0.8998 | 0.8843 | 0.8853 | 0.8644 | 0.8888 |
| Mean 40 IN | 0.8441 | 0.6211 | 0.8714 | 0.8073 | 0.7513 | 0.7282 | 0.7706 |
| Mean 16 LK | 0.7456 | 0.6492 | 0.751 | 0.7724 | 0.6485 | 0.6547 | 0.7036 |
| Mean 36 NP | 0.9526 | 0.775 | 0.9679 | 0.9792 | 0.983 | 0.9589 | 0.9361 |
| Mean 20 PK | 0.6838 | 0.8321 | 0.9381 | 0.8418 | 0.6265 | 0.7577 | 0.7800 |
| All Countries | 0.8364 | 0.744 | 0.8856 | 0.857 | 0.7789 | 0.7927 | 0.8158 |
Note: BD stands for Bangladesh, IN for India, LK for Sri Lanka, NP for Nepal, and PK for Pakistan, respectively.
Malmquist Productivity Index (MPI) results over time.
| years | effch | techch | pech | sech | tfpch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013–2014 | 0.833 | 1.195 | 0.943 | 0.884 | 0.996 |
| 2014–2015 | 1.283 | 0.798 | 1.139 | 1.126 | 1.024 |
| 2015–2016 | 0.993 | 1.014 | 1.017 | 0.976 | 1.006 |
| 2016–2017 | 0.933 | 1.049 | 0.95 | 0.982 | 0.979 |
| 2017–2018 | 0.979 | 0.977 | 1.004 | 0.975 | 0.956 |
| Mean 2013–18 | 0.994 | 0.998 | 1.008 | 0.986 | 0.992 |
Note: effch Show efficiency change, techch shows technology change, pech shows pure efficiency change, sech shows scale efficiency change, and tfpch shows total factor productivity change.
Productivity change of each country’s CBs (2013–2018).
| 2013–2018 | effch | techch | pech | sech | tfpch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean All | 0.994 | 0.998 | 1.008 | 0.986 | 0.992 |
| Mean BD | 0.9948 | 0.9766 | 1.0129 | 0.982 | 0.9714 |
| Mean IN | 0.9791 | 0.9967 | 1.0078 | 0.9715 | 0.9757 |
| Mean LK | 0.9955 | 1.0183 | 1.0098 | 0.9858 | 1.0137 |
| Mean NP | 0.9983 | 1.0115 | 1.0003 | 0.998 | 1.0099 |
| Mean PK | 1.0128 | 0.9982 | 1.0152 | 0.9977 | 1.0109 |
Note: BD stands for Bangladesh, IN for India, LK for Sri Lanka, NP for Nepal, and Pk for Pakistan respectively.
Fig 5Mean productivity change in all 5 countries.