| Literature DB >> 35383200 |
Ning Sun1, Hongxiang Yan2, Mark S Wigmosta3,4, Andre M Coleman2, L Ruby Leung5, Zhangshuan Hou2.
Abstract
Despite the close linkage between extreme floods and snowmelt, particularly through rain-on-snow (ROS), hydrologic infrastructure is mostly designed based on standard precipitation Intensity-Duration-Frequency curves (PREC-IDF) that neglect snow processes in runoff generation. For snow-dominated regions, such simplification could result in substantial errors in estimating extreme events and infrastructure design risk. To address this long-standing problem, we applied the Next Generation IDF (NG-IDF) technique to estimate design basis extreme events for different durations and return periods in the conterminous United States (CONUS) to distinctly represent the contribution of rain, snowmelt, and ROS events to the amount of water reaching the land surface. A suite of datasets were developed to characterize the magnitude, trend, seasonality, and dominant mechanism of extreme events for over 200,000 locations. Infrastructure design risk associated with the use of PREC-IDF was estimated. Accuracy of the model simulations used in the analyses was confirmed by long-term snow data at over 200 Snowpack Telemetry stations. The presented spatially continuous datasets are readily usable and instrumental for supporting site-specific infrastructure design.Entities:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35383200 PMCID: PMC8983646 DOI: 10.1038/s41597-022-01221-9
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Data ISSN: 2052-4463 Impact factor: 6.444
Fig. 1Schematic view of the NG-IDF datasets.
Fig. 2Evaluation of cluster snow parameters in snow modeling. (a) Five clusters grouped by the mean winter precipitation, air temperature, and wind speed at the 1/16° resolution in the CONUS. Numbers in the parenthesis following each cluster name indicate the number of SNOTEL stations (black dots) within the cluster used for parameter development; (b) boxplots showing the model performance against SWE observations from SNOTEL stations, which was measured by NSE, PEAK.ERR and PDATE.ERR and grouped by clusters.
Cluster snow parameters developed for the CONUS.
| Cluster | Name | # SNOTEL | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1 | Alpine | 144 | 0.85 | 0.93 | 0.90 | 3.3 |
| C2 | Maritime | 14 | 0.84 | 0.93 | 0.89 | 2.4 |
| C3 | Southern | 0 | 0.84 | 0.93 | 0.89 | 2.4 |
| C4 | Northern | 14 | 0.85 | 0.98 | 0.87 | 1.3 |
| C5 | Interior | 16 | 0.84 | 0.93 | 0.84 | 2.0 |
Note: *prior range of snow parameters
Classification of the driving mechanism of W extremes.
| Driving mechanism | Classification criteria |
|---|---|
| Rainfall: | if |
| Snowmelt: | if |
| Rain-on-snow: | if |
Description of the NG-IDF datasets.
| Main Folder | Naming Convention | Data File Description* |
|---|---|---|
list.csv Description of 207,173 locations | ||
| AMF_WY/ | Annual maximum series with durations of 24 h, 48 h, and 72 h, driven by different hydrometeorological mechanisms over water years 1951‒2013 (10/1/1950-09/30/2013). The mechanisms include W, P, R, ROS, and M as defined in Table | |
[duration]/ [mechanism].csv e.g., 24 h/W.csv | ||
| AMF_CY/ | Annual maximum series with durations of 24 h, 48 h, and 72 h, driven by different mechanisms (W, P, R, ROS, and M) over calendar years 1950‒2012. | |
[duration]/ [mechanism].csv e.g., 24 h/W.csv | ||
| IDF/ | Discrete IDF values, i.e., the magnitude of extreme events with durations of 24 h, 48 h, and 72 h, driven by different hydrometeorological mechanisms (W, P, R, ROS, and M). | |
[duration]/ [mechanism].csv e.g., 24 h/W.csv | ||
| IDF_90CI/ | 90% C.I. for IDF values in the IDF/ folder described above | |
[duration]/ [mechanism]_H.csv e.g., 24 h/W_H.csv | ||
[duration]/ [mechanism]_L.csv e.g., 24 h/W_L.csv | ||
| trend/ | Sen’s slope of Mann-Kendall trend in annual maximum series associated with different hydrometeorological mechanisms (W, P, R, ROS, and M) over water years 1951‒2013 | |
[duration]/ [mechanism].csv e.g., 24 h/W.csv | ||
| Driver/ | Dominant mechanism of extreme W events with different durations and return periods | |
[duration]/ [return period].csv e.g., 24 h/50 y.csv | ||
| risk/ | Design risk associated with PREC-IDF estimated 100-year extreme events | |
[duration]_ 100 y.csv e.g., 24 h_100y.csv | ||
| SI/ | Seasonality of annual maximum W with different durations over water years 1951‒2013 | |
[duration]/ W.csv e.g., 24h/W.csv | ||
*Note: In “Data File Description”, C = column, R = Row. C[i] indicates the ith column of a data file.
Fig. 3Characteristics of extreme events over the CONUS based on the NG-IDF technique. (a) 100-year 24-h extreme events (unit: mm); (b) design risk associated with PREC-IDF indicated by the biases of PREC-IDF estimated 100-year 24-h event relative to NG-IDF (underdesign if <−25% and overdesign if >25%); (c) dominant mechanism (rain, ROS, or melt) of 24-h extreme events; (d) dominant mechanism of 72-h extreme events.
| Measurement(s) | gridded precipitation |
| Technology Type(s) | weather station |
| Sample Characteristic - Environment | flood • snowmelt • hydrological process |
| Sample Characteristic - Location | contiguous United States of America |