| Literature DB >> 35373630 |
Anesu Gelfand Kuhudzai1,2, Guido Van Hal1,3, Stefan Van Dongen1,3, Muhammad Hoque1.
Abstract
Hypertension has become a major public health challenge and a crucial area of research due to its high prevalence across the world including the sub-Saharan Africa. No previous study in South Africa has investigated the impact of blood pressure risk factors on different specific conditional quantile functions of systolic and diastolic blood pressure using Bayesian quantile regression. Therefore, this study presents a comparative analysis of the classical and Bayesian inference techniques to quantile regression. Both classical and Bayesian inference techniques were demonstrated on a sample of secondary data obtained from South African National Income Dynamics Study (2017-2018). Age, BMI, gender male, cigarette consumption and exercises presented statistically significant associations with both SBP and DBP across all the upper quantiles (τ∈{0.75,0.95}). The white noise phenomenon was observed on the diagnostic tests of convergence used in the study. Results suggested that the Bayesian approach to quantile regression reveals more precise estimates than the frequentist approach due to narrower width of the 95% credible intervals than the width of the 95% confidence intervals. It is therefore suggested that Bayesian approach to quantile regression modelling to be used to estimate hypertension.Entities:
Keywords: Bayesian quantile regression; South Africa; classical quantile regression; confidence and credible intervals; hypertension
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35373630 PMCID: PMC8984843 DOI: 10.1177/00469580221082356
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Inquiry ISSN: 0046-9580 Impact factor: 1.730
Blood Pressure among South African Adults by Demographic and Life Style Characteristics.
| SBP (n = 21 180) | DBP (n = 21 180) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normal BP (<120 mmHg) | Pre-hypertension (120–139 mmHg) | Hypertension (140 mmHg and above) | Normal BP (<80 mmHg) | Pre-hypertension (80–89 mmHg) | Hypertension (90 mmHg and above) | ||
| Gender | Male | 3728 (43.3%) | 3409 (39.6%) | 1479 (17.2%) | 4749 (55.1%) | 2279 (26.5%) | 1588 (18.4%) |
| Female | 7260 (57.8%) | 3463 (27.6%) | 1841 (14.7%) | 7266 (57.8%) | 3121 (24.8%) | 2177 (17.3%) | |
| Race | African | 9295 (54.7%) | 5295 (31.1%) | 2409 (14.2%) | 10 056 (59.2%) | 4135 (24.3%) | 2808 (16.5%) |
| Coloured | 1157 (41.4%) | 1021 (36.6%) | 614 (22.0%) | 1273 (45.6%) | 814 (29.2%) | 705 (25.3%) | |
| Asian/Indian | 165 (48.8%) | 112 (33.1%) | 61 (18.0%) | 170 (50.3%) | 96 (28.4%) | 72 (21.3%) | |
| White | 371 (35.3%) | 444 (42.2%) | 236 (22.5%) | 516 (49.1%) | 355 (33.8%) | 180 (17.1%) | |
| Age | 18–29 years | 5266 (68.8%) | 2079 (27.1%) | 313 (4.1%) | 5569 (72.7%) | 1547 (20.2%) | 542 (7.1%) |
| 30–39 years | 2592 (58.5%) | 1430 (32.3%) | 412 (9.3%) | 2484 (56.0%) | 1202 (27.1%) | 748 (16.9%) | |
| 40–49 years | 1496 (46.9%) | 1164 (36.5%) | 532 (16.7%) | 1475 (46.2%) | 895 (28.0%) | 822 (25.8%) | |
| 50 years and above | 1634 (27.7%) | 2199 (37.3%) | 2063 (35.0%) | 2487 (42.2%) | 1756 (29.8%) | 1653 (28.0%) | |
| BMI | Underweight | 902 (68.8%) | 302 (23.0%) | 107 (8.2%) | 947 (72.2%) | 238 (18.2%) | 126 (9.6%) |
| Healthy | 5075 (59.0%) | 2604 (30.3%) | 929 (10.8%) | 5656 (65.7%) | 1907 (22.2%) | 1045 (12.1%) | |
| Overweight | 2488 (48.8%) | 1732 (34.0%) | 880 (17.3%) | 2727 (53.5%) | 1378 (27.0%) | 995 (19.5%) | |
| Obese | 1417 (42.9%) | 1160 (35.1%) | 727 (22.0%) | 1540 (46.6%) | 994 (30.1%) | 770 (23.3%) | |
| Very obese | 691 (40.4%) | 648 (37.9%) | 370 (21.7%) | 722 (42.2%) | 528 (30.9%) | 459 (26.9%) | |
| Morbidly obese | 415 (36.1%) | 426 (37.1%) | 307 (26.7%) | 423 (36.8%) | 355 (30.9%) | 370 (32.2%) | |
| Exercises | Never | 7513 (51.5%) | 4590 (31.4%) | 2492 (17.1%) | 8010 (54.9%) | 3734 (25.6%) | 2851 (19.5%) |
| Once or two times a week | 2057 (53.3%) | 1314 (34.0%) | 490 (12.7%) | 2317 (60.0%) | 991 (25.7%) | 553 (14.3%) | |
| Three or more times a week | 1418 (52.1%) | 968 (35.5%) | 338 (12.4%) | 1688 (62.0%) | 675 (24.8%) | 361 (13.3%) | |
| Depression | Rarely or none of the time | 6336 (52.1%) | 3952 (32.5%) | 1864 (15.3%) | 7022 (57.8%) | 3060 (25.2%) | 2070 (17.0%) |
| Some or little of the time | 3209 (51.2%) | 2044 (32.6%) | 1018 (16.2%) | 3441 (54.9%) | 1630 (26.0%) | 1200 (19.1%) | |
| Occasionally or all of the time | 1443 (52.3%) | 876 (31.8%) | 438 (15.9%) | 1552 (56.3%) | 710 (25.8%) | 495 (18.0%) | |
| Cigarette consumption | No | 9162 (53.5%) | 5358 (31.3%) | 2614 (15.3%) | 9909 (57.8%) | 4287 (25.0%) | 2938 (17.1%) |
| Yes | 1826 (45.1%) | 1514 (37.4%) | 706 (17.4%) | 2106 (52.1%) | 1113 (27.5%) | 827 (20.4%) | |
| Employment status | No | 7612 (52.8%) | 4437 (30.8%) | 2359 (16.4%) | 8420 (58.4%) | 3581 (24.9%) | 2407 (16.7%) |
| Yes | 3376 (49.9%) | 2435 (36.0%) | 961 (14.2%) | 3595 (53.1%) | 1819 (26.9%) | 1358 (20.1%) | |
Classical and Bayesian Quantile Regression Estimates for SBP’s Risk Factors.
| Classical Quantile Regression | Bayesian Quantile Regression | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| Q (.75) | Q (.95) | Q (.75) | Q (.95) |
| Age | .58 (.56,0.60) | .93 (.88,0.97) | .58 (.57,0.59) | .93 (.91,0.94) |
| BMI | .64 (.59,0.69) | .72 (.61,0.84) | .64 (.62,0.66) | .71 (.68,0.75) |
| Gender_Male | 10.86 (10.11, 11.62) | 11.02 (9.32, 12.73) | 10.86 (10.64, 11.08) | 10.97 (10.51, 11.41) |
| Race | .25 (−.20,070) | −.74 (−1.75,0.27) | .28 (.13,0.44) | −.73 (−1.04,-.44) |
| Exercises | −.15 (−.62, .33) | −1.42 (−2.49, −.35) | −.13 (−.28, .00) | −1.41 (−1.71, −1.10) |
| Cigarette consumption | 1.91 (1.03,2.79) | 2.50 (.52, 4.48) | 1.90 (1.62, 2.16) | 2.44 (1.79, 3.04) |
| Depression | .12 (−.33,0.56) | −.13 (−1.13,0.88) | .11 (−.04,0.25) | −.09 (−.38,0.22) |
| Employment status | −1.23 (−1.92, −.54) | −1.49 (−3.05, .07) | −1.23 (−1.44, −1.02) | −1.49 (−1.91, −1.04) |
Classical and Bayesian Quantile Regression Estimates for DBP’s Risk Factors.
| Classical Quantile Regression | Bayesian Quantile Regression | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| Q (.75) | Q (.95) | Q (.75) | Q (.95) |
| Age | .21 (.20,0.23) | .31 (.28,0.33) | .21 (.21,0.22) | .31 (.29,0.32) |
| BMI | .47 (.43,0.50) | .48 (.41,0.55) | .47 (.45,0.48) | .48 (.45,0.51) |
| Gender_Male | 3.64 (3.11,4.12) | 3.12 (2.11, 4.14) | 3.63 (3.44, 3.83) | 3.06 (2.66, 3.45) |
| Race | −.14 (−.45,0.18) | −.74 (−1.34,-.14) | −.14 (−.26,-.02) | −.75 (−1.00,-.47) |
| Exercises | −.86 (−1.19, −.53) | −1.47 (−2.11, −.84) | −.87 (−.99, −.75) | −1.49 (−1.74, −1.24) |
| Cigarette consumption | 2.66 (2.05,3.28) | 2.87 (1.70, 4.04) | 2.64 (2.38, 2.88) | 2.84 (2.42, 3.24) |
| Depression | .19 (−.12,0.50) | .03 (−.57,0.62) | .18 (.07,0.30) | .08 (−.17,0.32) |
| Employment status | .86 (.38, 1.35) | .76 (−.17, 1.68) | .91 (.72, 1.10) | .79 (.43, 1.16) |
Figure 1.Trace and density plots for SBP’s risk factors.
Figure 2.Trace and density plots for DBP’s risk factors.