| Literature DB >> 35367681 |
Tucker Lurie1, Naomi Bonnin2, Jeffrey Rea3, Gurshawn Tuteja4, Zachary Dezman5, R Gentry Wilkerson6, Adelina Buganu7, Rose Chasm8, Daniel J Haase9, Quincy K Tran10.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 pandemic was superimposed upon an ongoing epidemic of opioid use disorder and overdose deaths. Although the trend of opioid prescription patterns (OPP) had decreased in response to public health efforts before the pandemic, little is known about the OPP from emergency department (ED) clinicians during the COVID-19 pandemic.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19 pandemic; Interrupted time series; Opioid prescriptions
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35367681 PMCID: PMC8956353 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajem.2022.03.040
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Am J Emerg Med ISSN: 0735-6757 Impact factor: 4.093
Fig. 1Patient Selection Diagram, patients' index visits, University of Maryland Medical System (UMMS) (January 01, 2019, and September 30, 2020).
Demographic and Clinical Factors of Patients' Index Visits, University of Maryland Medical System (UMMS) (January 01, 2019, and September 30, 2020).
| Total Population | Pre-pandemic | Pandemic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total, N (%)# | 361.8 | 259.2 (71.6) | 102.6 (28.4) | <0.01 |
| 47.5 | 34.8 | 12.7 | 0.50 | |
| 78.4 | 56.4 | 22.0 | 0.82 | |
| 60.6 | 42.7 | 17.8 | 0.74 | |
| 56.2 | 40.2 | 16.0 | 1.0 | |
| 55.4 | 39.6 | 15.8 | 1.0 | |
| 63.7 | 45.5 | 18.2 | 0.86 | |
| 168.4 | 124.8 | 43.6 | 0.01 | |
| 168.8 | 117.3 | 51.5 | 0.02 | |
| 24.5 | 17.2 | 7.4 | 0.59 | |
| 96.5 | 72.8 | 23.6 | 0.01 | |
| 51.6 | 38.5 | 13.0 | 0.15 | |
| 127.6 | 83.7 | 43.9 | <0.01 | |
| 86.2 | 64.2 | 22.0 | 0.07 | |
| 31.1 | 22.3 | 8.8 | 1.0 | |
| 35.9 | 26.3 | 9.6 | 0.59 | |
| 294.8 | 210.6 | 84.1 | 0.60 | |
| Prescribed Opioids, N (%) | 44.4 | 32.0 | 12.4 | 0.89 |
| 162.1 | 115.0 | 48.1 | 0.24 | |
| 74.5 | 73.9 | |||
| 331.5 | 237.5 | 93.7 | 0.92 | |
| 3 | 3 [3–4] | 3 [3–4] | <0.01 | |
| 0 | 0 | |||
#All counts are in x1000s.
Abbreviations: 95% CI – 95% confidence interval; ED, emergency department; ESI, Emergency Severity Index; IQR – Interquartile Range.
Includes Latinx, Asian, Native America, Pacific Islander, patients who identify as other, patients who identify as 2+ races, unknown, and patients who wished not to be identified.
Morphine equivalent dose per prescription across demographic groups, reported as median with interquartile range, University of Maryland Medical System (UMMS) (January 01, 2019, and September 30, 2020).
| Total population | Pre-pandemic | During pandemic | Between groups' | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total MED/Rx, Median [IQR] | 60.0 | 60.0 | 70.0 | <0.01 |
| 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | <0.01 | |
| 60.0 | 60 | 70.0 | <0.01 | |
| 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | <0.01 | |
| 60.0 | 60.0 | 75.0 | <0.01 | |
| 60.0 | 60.0 | 70 | <0.01 | |
| 60.0 | 60.0 | 75.0 | <0.01 | |
| 60.0 [54.0–90.0] | 60.0 | 70.0 | <0.01 | |
| 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | <0.01 | |
| 60.0 | 60.0 | 70.0 | <0.01 | |
| 60.0 | 60.0 | 75.0 | <0.01 | |
| 54.0 | 60 | 54 | <0.01 | |
| 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 0.15 | |
| 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | <0.01 | |
| 520.0 | 640.0 | 420.0 | 0.62 | |
| 96.0 [80.0–144.0] | 96.0 | 96.0 | 0.05 | |
| 120.0 [90.0–120.0] | 120.0 [90.0–120.0] | 120.0 [90.0–120.0] | 0.31 | |
| 90.0 [60.0–113.0] | 90.0 [60.0–113.0] | 90.0 | 0.56 | |
| 60.0 [60.0–60.0] | 60.0 | 60.0 | 0.68 | |
Abbreviations: APAP, acetaminophen; MED, Morphine equivalent dose; Rx, Prescription.
Methadone, Fentanyl, Butorphanol, Meperidine and Tapentadol were not included because they did not have sufficient prescriptions written to be able to perform Mann-Whitney U test.
Fig. 2Interrupted time series for total morphine equivalent dose prescribed per Emergency Department visit, week to week, University of Maryland Medical System (UMMS) (January 01, 2019, and September 30, 2020).
Multivariate logistic regression results for patients given opioid prescriptions during Emergency Department visits, University of Maryland Medical System (UMMS) (January 01, 2019, and September 30, 2020)
| Variables | Coefficient | OR | 95% CI | VIF | Coefficient | OR | 95% CI | VIF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Increased likelihood to receive opioid prescriptions | ||||||||||
| ESI | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.4–1.5 | 0.001 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.4–1.5 | 0.001 | 1.2 |
| Pain | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.13–1.14 | 0.001 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.31–1.34 | 0.001 | 1.1 |
| Number of past surgical history | 0.02 | 1.02 | 1.01–1.02 | 0.001 | 1.9 | 0.02 | 1.02 | 1.01–1.02 | 0.001 | 2 |
| Weekend | 0.05 | 1.05 | 1.02–1.07 | 0.001 | 1 | 0.08 | 1.09 | 1.03–1.13 | 0.001 | 1.1 |
| Urban | 0.8 | 2.4 | 2.3–2.5 | 0.001 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 2.04–2.4 | 0.001 | 2.8 |
| Suburban | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.4–1.6 | 0.001 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.4–1.6 | 0.001 | 1.9 |
| Gender - male | 0.04 | 1.04 | 1.01–1.07 | 0.002 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.06–1.15 | 0.001 | 1.1 |
| Race - White | 0.14 | 1.1 | 1.09–1.21 | 0.001 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.2–1.4 | 0.001 | 4.3 |
| Insurance - Worker's compensation | 0.26 | 1.3 | 1.1–1.5 | 0.001 | 1.1 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 0.8–1.3 | 0.86 | 1.5 |
| Number of medications given in ED | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.21–1.22 | 0.001 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.18–1.20 | 0.001 | 1.1 |
| Diagnosis - Any Pain from trauma cause | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.6–1.76 | 0.001 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.4–1.7 | 0.001 | 1.1 |
| Diagnosis - Any pain from non-trauma cause | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.3–1.4 | 0.001 | 1.1 | 0.08 | 1.1 | 1.01–1.2 | 0.02 | 1.1 |
| Decreased likelihood to receive opioid prescriptions | ||||||||||
| ED shift 7 am-3 pm | −0.06 | 0.94 | 0.91–0.98 | 0.02 | 1.9 | 0.05 | 1.1 | 0.9–1.1 | 0.09 | 1.9 |
| ED shift 3 pm–11 pm | −0.08 | 0.92 | 0.8–0.95 | 0.001 | 1.9 | 0.003 | 0.99 | 0.94–1.06 | 0.93 | 1.9 |
| Teaching ED | −1.6 | 0.2 | 0.19–0.21 | 0.001 | 2.1 | −1.5 | 0.2 | 0.20–0.25 | 0.001 | 2.1 |
| Age group - 18-24 | −0.8 | 0.4 | 0.42–0.48 | 0.001 | 2.1 | −0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3–0.4 | 0.001 | 1.9 |
| Age group - 25-34 | −0.3 | 0.74 | 0.70–0.78 | 0.001 | 3.1 | −0.6 | 0.56 | 0.51–0.61 | 0.001 | 2.8 |
| Age group - 35-44 | −0.1 | 0.86 | 0.82–0.91 | 0.001 | 2.7 | −0.5 | 0.63 | 0.58–0.69 | 0.001 | 2.6 |
| Age group - 45-54 | −0.07 | 0.93 | 0.88–0.98 | 0.014 | 2.5 | −0.3 | 0.75 | 0.68–0.81 | 0.001 | 2.5 |
| Age group - 55 and above | −0.04 | 0.95 | 0.90–1.001 | 0.055 | 2.3 | −0.3 | 0.76 | 0.70–0.83 | 0.001 | 2.2 |
| Number of past medical history | −0.02 | 0.98 | 0.97–0.99 | 0.001 | 2.1 | −0.02 | 0.98 | 0.97–0.98 | 0.001 | 2.1 |
| Insurance - Medicaid | −0.2 | 0.8 | 0.72–0.88 | 0.001 | 1.1 | −0.3 | 0.8 | 0.64–0.91 | 0.003 | 1.1 |
| Insurance - Medicare | −0.2 | 0.78 | 0.74–0.82 | 0.001 | 2.6 | −0.3 | 0.71 | 0.66–0.78 | 0.001 | 2.5 |
| Insurance - Self pay | −0.1 | 0.86 | 0.82–0.92 | 0.001 | 1.1 | 0.02 | 1.02 | 0.94–1.11 | 0.61 | 1.5 |
| Diagnosis - Any overdose | −1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1–0.3 | 0.001 | 1.5 | −2.2 | 0.11 | 0.3–0.46 | 0.002 | 1 |
Abbreviations: ED - Emergency Department; ESI - Emergency Severity Index.
Area Under Receiver Operating Curve = 0.76.
Area Under Receiver Operating Curve = 0.83.
Fig. 3Comparison of predictors' statistically significant coefficients associated with likelihood of opioid prescriptions before or after the onset of the 2020 coronavirus pandemic.
3A. Comparison of predictors with higher likelihood of opioid prescription (positive coefficients) before the pandemic with the same predictors' coefficient for patients who presented to EDs during the pandemic. Higher positive coefficients indicated higher likelihood.
Abbreviations: ED, emergency department; ESI, Emergency Severity Index.
3B. Comparison of predictors with lower likelihood of opioid prescription (negative coefficients) before the pandemic with the same predictors' coefficient for patients who presented to EDs during the pandemic. More negative coefficients demonstrated lower likelihood of opioid prescription. Coefficients from non-statistically significant predictors were assigned a value of zero for illustration.
#Coefficient changed from non-statistically significant before pandemic to lower likelihood of opioid prescription during the pandemic.
⁎Coefficient changed from lower likelihood for opioid prescription before the pandemic to non-statistically significant during the pandemic.
Abbreviations: ED, emergency department; ESI, Emergency Severity Index.