| Literature DB >> 35360729 |
Xuechao Liu1, Enyu Lin2,3, Yuqi Sun1, Xiaodong Liu1, Zequn Li1, Xuelong Jiao1, Yi Li1, Dong Guo1, Peng Zhang4, Xingyu Feng5, Tao Chen6, Zhaojian Niu1, Zhiwei Zhou7,8, Haibo Qiu7,8, Yanbing Zhou1.
Abstract
Background: Adjuvant imatinib therapy has been shown to improve overall survival (OS) of gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) significantly. Few nomograms combining the use of adjuvant imatinib and clinicopathological characteristics estimate the outcome of patients. We aimed to establish a more comprehensive nomogram for predicting OS in patients with GIST.Entities:
Keywords: diagnostic delay; gastrointestinal stromal tumor; imatinib; nomogram; prognosis
Year: 2022 PMID: 35360729 PMCID: PMC8960199 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2022.777181
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Med (Lausanne) ISSN: 2296-858X
Clinicopathologic characteristics of patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors.
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| Age (years) | 0.295 | |||
| <60 | 706 (53.9%) | 485 (52.9%) | 221 (56.1%) | |
| ≥60 | 604 (46.1%) | 431 (47.1%) | 173 (43.9%) | |
| Sex | 0.835 | |||
| Male | 684 (52.2%) | 480 (52.4%) | 204 (51.8%) | |
| Female | 626 (47.8%) | 436 (47.6%) | 190 (48.2%) | |
| Tumor size (cm) | 0.316 | |||
| ≤ 5 | 754 (57.6%) | 519 (56.7%) | 235 (59.6%) | |
| >5 | 556 (42.4%) | 397 (43.3%) | 159 (40.4%) | |
| Mitotic index (/50 HPF) | 0.025 | |||
| ≤ 5 | 949 (72.4%) | 647 (70.6%) | 302 (76.6%) | |
| >5 | 361 (27.6%) | 269 (29.4%) | 92 (23.4%) | |
| Tumor site | 0.117 | |||
| Stomach | 859 (65.6%) | 613 (66.9%) | 246 (62.4%) | |
| Non-stomach | 451 (34.4%) | 303 (33.1%) | 148 (37.6%) | |
| Histological subtype | 0.888 | |||
| Spindle type | 1,178 (89.9%) | 823 (89.8%) | 355 (90.1%) | |
| Epithelioid/mixed type | 132 (10.1%) | 93 (10.2%) | 39 (9.9%) | |
| Tumor rupture | 0.016 | |||
| No | 1,301 (99.3%) | 913 (99.7%) | 388 (98.5%) | |
| Yes | 9 (0.7%) | 3 (0.3%) | 6 (1.5%) | |
| Performance status | 0.718 | |||
| 0 | 655 (50.0%) | 455 (49.7%) | 200 (50.8%) | |
| ≥1 | 655 (50.0%) | 461 (50.3%) | 194 (49.2%) | |
| Diagnostic delay | 0.667 | |||
| No | 793 (60.5%) | 551 (60.2%) | 242 (61.4%) | |
| Yes | 517 (39.5%) | 365 (39.8%) | 152 (38.6%) | |
| Postoperative imatinib | 0.285 | |||
| No | 1,009 (77.0%) | 713 (77.8%) | 296 (75.1%) | |
| Yes | 301 (23.0%) | 203 (22.2%) | 98 (24.9%) |
Relationships between diagnostic delay with clinicopathological features.
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|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | 0.369 | ||
| Male | 422 | 262 | |
| Female | 371 | 255 | |
| Age (years) | 0.966 | ||
| <60 | 427 | 279 | |
| ≥60 | 366 | 238 | |
| Tumor size (cm) | 0.335 | ||
| ≤ 5 | 448 | 306 | |
| >5 | 345 | 211 | |
| Mitotic index (/50 HPF) | 0.572 | ||
| ≤ 5 | 570 | 379 | |
| >5 | 223 | 138 | |
| Tumor site | 0.906 | ||
| Stomach | 519 | 340 | |
| Non-stomach | 274 | 177 | |
| Histological subtype | 0.561 | ||
| Spindle type | 710 | 468 | |
| Epithelioid/mixed type | 83 | 49 | |
| Tumor rupture | 0.322 | ||
| No | 789 | 512 | |
| Yes | 4 | 5 | |
| Performance status | <0.001 | ||
| 0 | 431 | 224 | |
| ≥1 | 362 | 293 | |
| Modified NIH classification | <0.001 | ||
| Very low | 93 | 120 | |
| Low | 277 | 137 | |
| Intermediate | 130 | 65 | |
| High | 293 | 195 |
Univariate and multivariate analyses of patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors in the training set.
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| Sex | 0.558 | |
| Male | 1.00 | |
| Female | 1.189 (0.667, 2.121) | |
| Age (years) | 0.009 | 0.003 |
| <60 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ≥60 | 2.322 (1.239, 4.354) | 2.609 (1.382, 4.926) |
| Tumor size (cm) | <0.001 | 0.047 |
| ≤ 5 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| >5 | 3.723 (1.889, 7.338) | 2.121 (1.011, 4.449) |
| Mitotic index (/50 HPF) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| ≤ 5 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| >5 | 4.497 (2.486, 8.135) | 3.914 (2.083, 7.357) |
| Tumor site | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Stomach | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Non-stomach | 2.726 (1.515, 4.907) | 2.442 (1.327, 4.496) |
| Histological subtype | 0.054 | |
| Spindle type | 1.00 | |
| Epithelioid/mixed type | 1.995 (0.990, 4.023) | |
| Tumor rupture | 0.748 | |
| No | 1.00 | |
| Yes | — | |
| Performance status | 0.510 | |
| 0 | 1.00 | |
| ≥1 | 1.215 (0.681, 2.170) | |
| Diagnostic delay | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| No | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Yes | 2.389 (1.321, 4.320) | 2.566 (1.413, 4.659) |
| Postoperative imatinib | 0.146 | 0.025 |
| No | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Yes | 0.467 (0.167, 1.304) | 0.304 (0.108, 0.860) |
Figure 1Overall survival curves for patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors based on age (A), tumor site (B), tumor size (C), mitotic index (D), and diagnostic delay (E) in the training set. Overall survival curves for intermediate- and high-risk patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors based on postoperative imatinib (F) in the training set.
Figure 2Postoperative nomogram for predicting 3- and 5-year overall survival in patients undergoing curative resection for gastrointestinal stromal tumor.
Figure 3The calibration of the nomograms for 3-year and 5-year overall survival in the training set (A,B) and the validation set (C,D). The x-axis represents the nomogram-predicted survival rate, and the y-axis represents actual survival rate and 95% confidence intervals. The dotted line represents the ideal correlation between predicted and actual survival rate.
Figure 4Decision curve analysis (DCA) of the nomogram and the modified NIH risk classification. The y-axis represents the net benefit, whereas the x-axis represents the threshold probability. (A) 3-year survival benefit in the training set. (B) 5-year survival benefit in the training set. (C) 3-year survival benefit in the validation set. (D) 5-year survival benefit in the validation set.
Figure 5Comparison of the area under curves (AUCs) of the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (tROC) analysis of our nomogram and the modified NIH risk classification. tROC curves were plotted to evaluate the performance of the two prognostic models in predicting 3-year and 5-year overall survival in the training set (A,B) and the validation set (D,E) and AUC of these curves were calculated for comparison. tROC curves of the nomogram for 3- and 5-year overall survival prediction in the training set (C) and the validation set (F).