| Literature DB >> 35355599 |
Carmen M Labandeira1,2, Maria A Pedrosa2, Juan A Suarez-Quintanilla3, María Cortes-Ayaso4, José Luis Labandeira-García2,5, Ana I Rodríguez-Pérez2,5.
Abstract
Objective: We previously showed that angiotensin type-1 receptor and ACE2 autoantibodies (AT1-AA, ACE2-AA) are associated with COVID-19 severity. Our aim is to find correlations of these autoantibodies with routine biochemical parameters that allow an initial classification of patients.Entities:
Keywords: ACE2 autoantibodies; AT1 autoantibodies; COVID-19; angiotensin; hemoglobin; lactate dehydrogenase; procalcitonin; random forest algorithm
Year: 2022 PMID: 35355599 PMCID: PMC8959920 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2022.840662
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Med (Lausanne) ISSN: 2296-858X
Figure 1Steps of VSURF approach for variable selection: thresholding step (A,B), to eliminate irrelevant variables from the dataset; interpretation step (C) to select all variables related to the response and prediction step (D) that refines the selection by eliminating redundancy in the set of variables. Black line in (A) represents the mean variable importance in decreasing order. The red horizontal line represents the value of the threshold in which there are no more relevant variables. This thresholding step selected five variables. Black curve in (B) represents the standard deviation of variable importance of the predictions given by a fitted CART tree. The dotted horizontal red line represents the minimum value of the standard deviation, i.e., value of the threshold. (C) Mean out-of-bag (OOB) error rate of embedded random forests models, from the one with only one variable as predictor, to the one with all variables kept after the previous step. The vertical red line indicates the retained model, composed by three variables. (D) Mean OOB error rate of embedded random forests models, being that variables added to the model in a stepwise manner here. The retained model is the final one, with three variables.
Confusion matrix of the ordinal logistic regression model for differentiating mild, moderate and severe patients.
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| Mild | 12 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| Moderate | 4 | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| Severe | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
The model predicts 12 mild severity patients vs. 16 real mild severity patients; 12 moderate patients vs. 20 real and 7 severe patients vs. 14 real, showing an accuracy of 62%.
Confusion matrix of the default parameters.
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| Mild | 14 | 2 | 0 | 16 |
| Moderate | 2 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| Severe | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
Leave-one-out cross validation strategy shows that 14 mild patients were classified as mild vs. 16 real, 14 moderate patients vs. 20 real and 7 severe patients vs. 14 real, showing an accuracy of 70%.
Confusion matrix of the ordinal logistic regression model for differentiating mild from moderate or severe patients.
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| Mild | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| Moderate/severe | 6 | 28 | 34 |
The model predicts 14 mild patients vs. 16 real mild patients and 28 moderate/severe patients vs. 34 real, showing an accuracy of 84%.
Figure 2Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of the obtained ordinal logistic model for differentiating mild from moderate or severe patients (A) and for differentiating severe patients from mild or moderate patients (B).
Confusion matrix of the ordinal logistic regression model for differentiating severe patients from mild or moderate patients.
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| Mild/moderate | 34 | 2 | 36 |
| Severe | 10 | 4 | 14 |
The model predicts 34 mild/moderate patients vs. 36 real mild/moderate patients and 4 severe patients vs. 14 real, showing an accuracy of 76%.
Summary of the Spearman correlation coefficients (ρ), p-values and confidence interval (CI) for the correlations between autoantibodies and the default biochemical parameters.
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| AT1-AA/Hb | Total | −0.568 | <0.0001 | 95% CI = (−0.736, −0.333) |
| Men | −0.795 | <0.0001 | 95% CI = (−0.910, −0.568) | |
| Women | −0.254 | 0.220 | 95% CI = (−0.598, 0.169) | |
| ACE2-AA/Hb | Total | −0.702 | <0.0001 | 95% CI = (−0.823, −0.520) |
| Men | −0.782 | <0.0001 | 95% CI = (−0.903, −0.543) | |
| Women | −0.658 | 0.0003 | 95% CI = (−0.837, −0.352) | |
| AT1-AA/LDH | Total | 0.436 | 0.002 | 95% CI = (0.169, 0.644) |
| Men | 0.528 | 0.008 | 95% CI = (0.146, 0.773) | |
| Women | 0.404 | 0.045 | 95% CI = (−0.002, 0.695) | |
| ACE2-AA/LDH | Total | 0.519 | 0.0001 | 95% CI = (0.274, 0.701) |
| Men | 0.46 | 0.0237 | 95% CI = (0.057, 0.734) | |
| Women | 0.553 | 0.0034 | 95% CI = (0.200, 0.779) | |
| AT1-AA/PCT | Total | 0.149 | 0.306 | 95% CI = (−0.146, 0.420) |
| Men | 0.511 | 0.011 | 95% CI = (0.123, 0.763) | |
| Women | 0.236 | 0.257 | 95% CI = (−0.188, 0.585) | |
| ACE2-AA/PCT | Total | 0.313 | 0.027 | 95% CI = (0.029, 0.550) |
| Men | 0.409 | 0.047 | 95% CI = (−0.006, 0.704) | |
| Women | 0.0645 | 0.7543 | 95% CI = (−0.342, 0.451) |