| Literature DB >> 35342429 |
Gasthony Alobo1, Cristina Reverzani2, Laura Sarno3, Barbara Giordani2, Luigi Greco4.
Abstract
Background: Uganda is one of the countries in the Sub-Saharan Africa with a very high maternal mortality ratio estimated at 336 deaths per 100,000 live births. We aimed at exploring the main factors affecting maternal death and designing a predictive model for estimation of the risk of dying at admission at a major referral hospital in northern Uganda.Entities:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35342429 PMCID: PMC8947917 DOI: 10.1155/2022/4419722
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Obstet Gynecol Int ISSN: 1687-9597
Maternal characteristics of cases and controls.
| Maternal variable | Cases, | Controls, |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Maternal age (years) | 27.85 (SD 6.71) | 24.54 (SD 6.42) | <0.0001 |
| Parity | 3.62 (SD 2.43) | 2.70 (SD 2.06) | <0.0001 |
| Gestational age (weeks) | 31.4 (SD 7.94) | 37.6 (SD 4.01) | <0.0001 |
| Length of hospitalisation (days) | 5.43 (SD 8.10) | 3.25 (SD 3.43) | <0.0001 |
| Marital status- married | 108 (83.1%) | 306 (83.6%) | <0.0001 |
| Referred | 87 (66.9%) | 93 (25.4%) | <0.00001 |
| ANC attendance | 72 (55.8%) | 277 (76.1%) | <0.0001 |
| HIV positive | 20 (27.0%) | 31 (10.5%) | <0.001 |
| Mode of delivery: vaginal delivery, C/S, operative vaginal delivery | 47 (47.5%), 49 (49.5%), 2 (2.0%) | 226 (72.7%), 73 (23.5%), 1 (0.3%) | <0.0001 |
Age, parity, gestational age, and length of stay in the hospital by direct cause of death.
| Direct cause of death | Age (years) | Parity | Gestational age (weeks) | Length of stay in the hospital (days) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haemorrhage (excluding uterine rupture) | Median | 29 | 3 | 38 | 2 |
| Number | 30 | 29 | 19 | 30 | |
| 95% CI | 25–32 | 2–5 | 30–38 | 1.7–4 | |
| Uterine rupture | Median | 32 | 5 | 39 | 1 |
| Number | 11 | 10 | 8 | 11 | |
| 95% CI | 29–38 | 4.2–6.8 | 31–42 | 1–7 | |
| Sepsis | Median | 26.5 | 1.5 | 34 | 7.5 |
| Number | 23 | 22 | 7 | 23 | |
| 95% CI | 16–36 | 1–6 | 15–42 | 1–22 | |
| Hypertensive disorders | Median | 28 | 2 | 32 | 2 |
| Number | 18 | 17 | 14 | 18 | |
| 95% CI | 24–32 | 2–3.7 | 28–34 | 1–7.6 | |
| Others | Median | 34 | 3.5 | 36 | 1 |
| Number | 14 | 12 | 7 | 14 | |
| 95% CI | 23–39 | 1–8 | 24–43 | 1–3 | |
Direct cause of death and type of delivery.
| Type of delivery | Direct cause of death | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haemorrhage | Sepsis | Hypertensive disorders | Abortion | Others | Total | |
| Vaginal delivery | 19 (52.8%) | 7 (19.4%) | 7 (19.4%) | 1 (2.8%) | 2 (5.6%) | 36 (100,0%) |
| C/S | 18 (40.9%) | 13 (29.5%) | 7 (15.9%) | 0 | 6 (13.6%) | 44 (100.0%) |
| Vacuum extraction | 0 | 0 | 1 (50.0%) | 0 | 1 (50.0%) | 2 (100.0%) |
| Total | 37 | 20 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 82 |
| 45.1% | 24.4% | 18.3% | 1.2% | 11.0% | 100.0% | |
Logistic regression analysis and discriminant analysis.
| Variable | Risk | Case | CTRL | Or (CI) | Wilks' lambda | Variance ratio F |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | >30 years | 56.1 | 24.9 | 1.11 (1.03–1.19) | 0.835 | 30.627 | <0.001 |
| ANC | Not attended | 44.2 | 24.0 | 3.10 (1.36–7.09) | 0.809 | 24.467 | <0.001 |
| HIV serostatus | Positive | 27.0 | 10.5 | 3.12 (1.40–6.94) | 0.789 | 20.668 | <0.001 |
| Mode of delivery | Surgical | 52.5 | 27.3 | 2.22 (1.13–4.36) | 0.780 | 17.408 | <0.001 |
| Referral status | Referred | 67.4 | 25.5 | 5.57 (2.82–10.98) | 0.891 | 38.312 | <0.001 |
Variables, risk values, and Canonical Unstandardised Discriminant Coefficients.
| Variable | Risk value | Canonical Unstandardised Discriminant Coefficient |
|---|---|---|
| Age: ≤30 years | 1 | 0.766 |
| >30 years | 2 | |
| Referral status: Nonreferred | 1 | 1.581 |
| Referred | 2 | |
| ANC attendance: attended | 1 | 1.166 |
| Not attended | 2 | |
| HIV serostatus: negative | 1 | 0.988 |
| Positive | 2 | |
| Type of delivery: not surgical delivery | 1 | 0.614 |
| Surgical delivery | 2 |
Constant = −6.344.
Figure 1Probability of surviving, (a) or dying, (b) by the Discriminant Score.