| Literature DB >> 35309158 |
Krishna Prabha Gautam1, Kripa Elizabeth Cherian1, Nitin Kapoor1, Nihal Thomas1, Thomas Vizhalil Paul1.
Abstract
Objective: The objective of this paper was to present the results of our study of the utility of bone mineral density (BMD) measurements at various segments of distal forearm in predicting central-site osteoporosis and deteriorated trabecular microarchitecture.Entities:
Keywords: India; forearm BMD; osteoporosis; postmenopausal women; trabecular bone score
Year: 2022 PMID: 35309158 PMCID: PMC8917263 DOI: 10.1002/agm2.12191
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Aging Med (Milton) ISSN: 2475-0360
Baseline characteristics of the study population
| Variable |
Derivation cohort (N = 352) Mean (SD) |
Validation cohort (N = 360) Mean (SD) |
|---|---|---|
| Age, y | 60.7 (6.8) | 65.4 (5.1) |
| Height, cm | 152.3 (5.2) | 150.8 (6.0) |
| Weight, kg | 58.4 (12.0) | 59.6 (12.4) |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 25.1 (4.8) | 26.1 (5.1) |
|
BMD at femoral neck, g/cm2
|
0.649 (0.109) −1.8 (0.9) |
0.614 (0.112) −2.1 (1.0) |
|
BMD at lumbar spine, g/cm2
|
0.817 (0.152) −2.1 (1.3) |
0.802 (0.141) −2.2 (1.2) |
|
BMD at forearm, distal 1/3, g/cm2
|
0.576 (0.086) −1.8 (1.4) |
0.549 (0.077) −2.3 (1.3) |
|
BMD at forearm, mid‐distal, g/cm2
|
0.481 (0.077) −2.1 (1.4) |
0.451 (0.072) −2.5 (1.3) |
|
BMD at forearm, ultra‐distal, g/cm2
|
0.325 (0.067) −1.7 (1.3) |
0.298 (0.062) −2.2 (1.2) |
| Trabecular bone score | 1.238 (0.094) | 1.189 (0.086) |
Abbreviations: BMD, bone mineral density; BMI, body mass index.
FIGURE 1(A) Prevalence of osteoporosis at different forearm segments as a proportion of femoral neck osteoporosis. (B) Prevalence of osteoporosis at different forearm segments as a proportion of lumbar spine osteoporosis
Receiver operating characteristic analysis of various forearm segments predicting osteoporosis
| Forearm segment | AUC | 95% CI |
| Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central site osteoporosis | ||||||
| Distal‐third | 0.836 | 0.795–0.876 | −1.6 | 81 | 67 | <0.001 |
| Mid‐distal | 0.825 | 0.783–0.868 | −1.6 | 83 | 61 | <0.001 |
| Ultra‐distal | 0.833 | 0.791–0.874 | −1.6 | 80 | 69 | <0.001 |
| Femoral neck osteoporosis | ||||||
| Distal‐third | 0.841 | 0.797–0.886 | −1.9 | 86 | 67 | <0.001 |
| Mid‐distal | 0.847 | 0.803–0.882 | −1.9 | 88 | 61 | <0.001 |
| Ultra‐distal | 0.832 | 0.785–0.879 | −1.9 | 81 | 70 | <0.001 |
| Lumbar spine osteoporosis | ||||||
| Distal‐third | 0.806 | 0.761–0.850 | −1.7 | 80 | 66 | <0.001 |
| Mid‐distal | 0.800 | 0.754–0.846 | −1.7 | 83 | 60 | <0.001 |
| Ultra‐distal | 0.818 | 0.775–0.861 | −1.7 | 80 | 70 | <0.001 |
| Trabecular bone score | ||||||
| Distal‐third | 0.700 | 0.632–0.743 | −1.2 | 82 | 49 | <0.001 |
| Mid‐distal | 0.674 | 0.617–0.730 | −1.2 | 88 | 43 | <0.001 |
| Ultra‐distal | 0.684 | 0.628–0.640 | −1.2 | 83 | 46 | <0.001 |
Abbreviations: AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval.
FIGURE 3(A) Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves showing the performance of forearm segments in predicting central osteoporosis. ROC curves showing the performance of forearm segments in predicting low trabecular bone score (TBS)
Validation of T‐scores in predicting low TBS
| Category | TBS ≤ 1.238 | TBS > 1.238 | Total | Statistic | Value | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD ≤ −1.2 | 220 | 76 | 296 | Sensitivity | 87.6% | 82.9–91.4% |
| UD > −1.2 | 31 | 33 | 64 | Specificity | 30.2% | 21.8–39.8% |
| Total | 251 | 109 | 360 | Positive likelihood ratio | 1.26 | 1.10–1.43 |
| Negative likelihood ratio | 0.41 | 0.26–0.63 | ||||
| Positive predictive value | 74.3% | 71.7–76.7% | ||||
| Negative predictive value | 51.6% | 40.7–62.2% | ||||
| Accuracy | 70.3% | 65.2–74.9% | ||||
| MID ≤ −1.2 | 225 | 84 | 309 | Sensitivity | 89.6% | 85.2–93.1% |
| MID > −1.2 | 26 | 25 | 51 | Specificity | 22.9% | 15.4–31.9% |
| Total | 251 | 109 | 360 | Positive likelihood ratio | 1.16 | 1.04–1.3 |
| Negative likelihood ratio | 0.45 | 0.27–0.75 | ||||
| Positive predictive value | 72.8% | 70.6–74.9% | ||||
| Negative predictive value | 49.0% | 36.8–61.3% | ||||
| Accuracy | 69.4% | 64.4–74.2% | ||||
| FA ≤ −1.2 | 216 | 68 | 284 | Sensitivity | 86.1% | 81.1–90.1% |
| FA > −1.2 | 35 | 41 | 76 | Specificity | 37.6% | 28.5–47.4% |
| Total | 251 | 109 | 360 | Positive likelihood ratio | 1.38 | 1.18–1.61 |
| Negative likelihood ratio | 0.37 | 0.25–0.55 | ||||
| Positive predictive value | 76.1% | 73.1–78.7% | ||||
| Negative predictive value | 53.9% | 44.2–63.4% | ||||
| Accuracy | 71.4% | 66.4–76.0% |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; FA, forearm; MID, mid‐distal; TBS, trabecular bone score; US, ultra‐distal.
Validation of T‐scores in central osteoporosis
| Category | Osteoporosis | No osteoporosis | Total | Statistic | Value | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD ≤ −1.6 | 171 | 82 | 253 | Sensitivity | 83.8% | 78.0–88.6% |
| UD > −1.6 | 33 | 74 | 107 | Specificity | 47.4% | 39.4–55.6% |
| Total | 204 | 156 | 360 | Positive likelihood ratio | 1.59 | 1.36–1.87 |
| Negative likelihood ratio | 0.34 | 0.24–0.49 | ||||
| Positive predictive value | 67.6% | 63.9–71.0% | ||||
| Negative predictive value | 69.2% | 61.2–76.2% | ||||
| Accuracy | 68.1% | 62.9–72.8% | ||||
| MID ≤ −1.6 | 184 | 89 | 273 | Sensitivity | 90.2% | 85.2–93.1% |
| MID > −1.6 | 20 | 67 | 87 | Specificity | 42.9% | 35.4–51.1% |
| Total | 204 | 156 | 360 | Positive likelihood ratio | 1.58 | 1.37–1.82 |
| Negative likelihood ratio | 0.23 | 0.14–0.36 | ||||
| Positive predictive value | 67.4% | 64.2–70.5% | ||||
| Negative predictive value | 77.0% | 68.0–84.1% | ||||
| Accuracy | 69.7% | 64.1–74.4% | ||||
| FA ≤ −1.6 | 180 | 74 | 254 | Sensitivity | 88.2% | 83.0–92.3% |
| FA > −1.6 | 24 | 82 | 106 | Specificity | 52.6% | 44.4–60.6% |
| Total | 204 | 156 | 360 | Positive likelihood ratio | 1.86 | 1.57–2.21 |
| Negative likelihood ratio | 0.22 | 0.15–0.34 | ||||
| Positive predictive value | 70.9% | 67.2–74.3% | ||||
| Negative predictive value | 77.3% | 69.5–83.7% | ||||
| Accuracy | 72.8% | 67.8–77.3% |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; FA, forearm; MID, mid‐distal; US, ultra‐distal.