| Literature DB >> 35300311 |
Andreas Kakolyris1, Juan J DelaCruz2, Christos I Giannikos3,4.
Abstract
The novel COVID-19 outbreak is a major public health challenge that quickly turned into an economic recession of great proportions. This pandemic poses a trade-off between health and the economy where social distancing, quarantines, and isolation shut down demand and supply chains across the USA. This paper analyzes the impact of COVID-19 on illness and death among older adults and communities of color with low socioeconomic status in New York City. To achieve this goal, fractional logit models are used to capture changes in the novel virus' morbidity and mortality rates at the neighborhood level. Median income, race/ethnicity, age, household crowding, and socially interactive employment explained the disproportionate exposure and fatalities across the city. We also employ a variable related to telehealth/telemedicine to sustain that technology goods along with government intervention as a provider of social goods can ameliorate existing health disparities. There is a need for evidence-based data on the economic costs and social benefits of COVID-19 relief programs.Entities:
Keywords: Blacks; COVID-19; Hispanics; Median income; Medical technologies; Older adults
Year: 2021 PMID: 35300311 PMCID: PMC8390063 DOI: 10.1007/s41996-021-00089-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Econ Race Policy ISSN: 2520-8411
Fig. 1COVID-19 cumulative cases, hospitalizations, and deaths
Fig. 2COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths by race/ethnicity
Fig. 3COVID-19 testing in NYC. Source: NYC Health (https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page). Rate per 100,000 people
COVID-19 by zip code (* = per 100,000)
| Cases (*) | Deaths (*) | Percent positive | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2702.8 | 214.0 | 9.5 |
| Standard deviation | (940.1) | (114.2) | (3.6) |
| Maximum | 4895.5 | 717.0 | 15.5 |
| Minimum | 696.56 | 0 | 2.84 |
Source: NYC Department of Health and Mental Hygiene. https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page
Fig. 4Scatter plots of morbidity rate and ethnicity. Source: US Census Bureau
COVID-19 morbidity and mortality rate model
| Variable ( | Morbidity model | OR | Mortality model | OR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Log (median income) | − 0.155** (0.074) | 0.856** (0.740, 0.990) | − 0.582*** (0.086) | 0.559*** (0.473, 0.661) |
| Minority neighborhoods | 0.302*** (0.053) | 1.353*** (1.220, 1.502) | 0.335*** (0.085) | 1.398*** (1.184, 1.651) |
| Age | 0.182*** (0.045) | 1.199*** (1.098, 1.308) | 0.418*** (0.073) | 1.519*** (1.315, 1.754) |
| Household crowding | 2.772*** (0.979) | 15.985** (2.311, 107.634) | ||
| Commuting | − 1.141*** (0.183) | 0.320*** (0.223, 0.458) | ||
| Percent workers high-risk industries | 2.772*** (0.182) | 7.950*** (3.623, 17.472) | ||
| Female | − 0.091* (0.043) | 0.913* (0.822, 1.017) | ||
| Telemedicine | − 0.109** (0.043) | 0.897* (0.824, 0.974) | ||
| Pseudo | 0.449 | 0.434 |
Significance: *** < 0.01, ** < 0.05, * < 0.10
Specification of COVID-19 morbidity and mortality rate
| Variable ( | Morbidity model | OR | Mortality model | OR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (SE) | (95%CI) | (SE) | (95%CI) | |
| Log (median income) | − 0.004 (0.080) | 0.996 (0.851, 1.165) | − 0.248** (0.113) | 0.781** (0.626, 0.974) |
| Share Hispanics | 0.007*** (0.002) | 1.007*** (1.004, 1.010) | 0.010*** (0.002) | 1.010*** (1.005, 1.012) |
| Share Blacks | 0.005*** (0.001) | 1.005*** (1.003, 1.008) | 0.009*** (0.002) | 1.009*** (1.005, 1.014) |
| Share Asians | − 0.002 (0.002) | 0.998 (0.994, 1.002) | 0.008*** (0.003) | 1.008*** (1.003, 1.013) |
Share adults Age 20–44 | − 0.011* (0.006) | 0.988* (0.098, 1.001) | − 0.028*** (0.007) | 0.972*** (0.958, 0.986) |
Share adults Age 45–64 | 0.010 (0.009) | 1.015 (0.991, 1.037) | − 0.023* (0.014) | 0.997* (0.950, 1.004) |
Share Adults Age 65 + | 0.023*** (0.007) | 1.023*** (1.001, 1.037) | 0.007*** (0.002) | 1.007*** (1.002, 1.010) |
| Share household crowding (0.5–1) | 1.178** (0.503) | 3.247** (1.123, 8.339) | ||
| Share household crowding (1–1.5) | 1.359 (1.222) | 1.323 (1.204, 145.3) | ||
| Share household crowding (> 1.5) | 1.613* (1.340) | 9.853* (0.784, 121.834) | ||
| Share workers high risk | 1.514*** (0.440) | 4.544*** (1.924, 10.771) | ||
| Share workers commuting | − 0.898*** (0.212) | 0.407*** (0.269, 0.617) | ||
| Share female population | − 0.0312*** (0.009) | 0.9*** (2.005, 11.79) | ||
| Pseudo | 0.710 | 0.559 |
Significance: *** < 0.01, ** < 0.05, * < 0.10