Chao Zheng1, Chao Luo2, Kai Xie3, Jiang-Shan Li4, Hai Zhou5, Li-Wen Hu6, Gao-Ming Wang7,8, Yi Shen1,2,6. 1. Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Jinling Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China. 2. Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China. 3. Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Jinling School of Clinical Medicine, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China. 4. University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing, China. 5. Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Nanjing second Hospital, Medical School of Southeast University, Nanjing, China. 6. Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China. 7. Department of Thoracic Surgery, Xuzhou Clinical School of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China. 8. Department of Thoracic Surgery, Xuzhou Central Hospital, Xuzhou, China.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Esophagectomy is the most effective treatment for oesophageal cancer, although the incidence of postoperative complications remains high. Severe major complications, such as intrathoracic anastomotic leakage, are costly and life-threatening to patients. Therefore, early identification of postoperative complications is essential. The surgical Apgar score (SAS) was introduced by Gawande and colleagues to predict major complications after oesophagectomy. Several studies were carried out with inconsistent results. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, ClinicalTrials.gov and the Cochrane Library were searched for studies regarding SAS and oesophagectomy. Forest plots were generated using a random-effects model to investigate the actual predictive value of SAS in identifying major complications after oesophagectomy. RESULTS: Nine retrospective cohort studies were finally identified from selected electronic databases. The meta-analysis demonstrated that SAS could forecast the incidence of postoperative complications (odds ratio = 1.82, 95% confidence interval: 1.43-2.33, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis validated the predictive value of SAS whether as continuous or discrete variables. In addition, a meta-analysis of 4 studies demonstrated that SAS could predict the incidence of pulmonary complications (odds ratio = 2.32, 95% confidence interval: 1.61-3.36, P < 0.001). Significant heterogeneity but no publication bias was found. CONCLUSIONS: Lower SAS scores could predict the incidence of major morbidities and pulmonary complications after oesophagectomy. Significant heterogeneity limits the reliability of the results, even if publication bias is not observed. More high-quality prospective research should be conducted to verify the findings. PROSPERO registration ID: CRD42020209004.
OBJECTIVES: Esophagectomy is the most effective treatment for oesophageal cancer, although the incidence of postoperative complications remains high. Severe major complications, such as intrathoracic anastomotic leakage, are costly and life-threatening to patients. Therefore, early identification of postoperative complications is essential. The surgical Apgar score (SAS) was introduced by Gawande and colleagues to predict major complications after oesophagectomy. Several studies were carried out with inconsistent results. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, ClinicalTrials.gov and the Cochrane Library were searched for studies regarding SAS and oesophagectomy. Forest plots were generated using a random-effects model to investigate the actual predictive value of SAS in identifying major complications after oesophagectomy. RESULTS: Nine retrospective cohort studies were finally identified from selected electronic databases. The meta-analysis demonstrated that SAS could forecast the incidence of postoperative complications (odds ratio = 1.82, 95% confidence interval: 1.43-2.33, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis validated the predictive value of SAS whether as continuous or discrete variables. In addition, a meta-analysis of 4 studies demonstrated that SAS could predict the incidence of pulmonary complications (odds ratio = 2.32, 95% confidence interval: 1.61-3.36, P < 0.001). Significant heterogeneity but no publication bias was found. CONCLUSIONS: Lower SAS scores could predict the incidence of major morbidities and pulmonary complications after oesophagectomy. Significant heterogeneity limits the reliability of the results, even if publication bias is not observed. More high-quality prospective research should be conducted to verify the findings. PROSPERO registration ID: CRD42020209004.