| Literature DB >> 35251016 |
Ziyuan Shen1, Yingliang Jin2, Qian Sun3, Shuo Zhang3, Xi Chen1, Lingling Hu3, Chenlu He1, Ying Wang4, Qinhua Liu5, Hao Zhang6, Xin Liu6, Ling Wang7, Jun Jiao7, Yuqing Miao8, Weiying Gu9, Fei Wang9, Chunling Wang10, Yuye Shi10, Jingjing Ye11, Taigang Zhu12, Cai Sun3, Xuguang Song3, Linyan Xu3, Dongmei Yan3, Haiying Sun3, Jiang Cao3, Depeng Li3, Zhenyu Li3, Zhao Wang13, Shuiping Huang2, Kailin Xu3, Wei Sang3.
Abstract
Hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) is an immune disorder with rapid progression and poor survival. Individual treatment strategy is restricted, due to the absence of precise stratification criteria. In this multicenter retrospective study, we aimed to develop a feasible prognostic model for adult HLH in China. A total of 270 newly diagnosed patients of adult HLH were retrieved from the Huaihai Lymphoma Working Group (HHLWG), of whom 184 from 5 medical centers served as derivation cohort, and 86 cases from 3 other centers served as validation cohort. X-Tile program and Maxstat analysis were used to identify optimal cutoff points of continuous variables; univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used for variable selection, and the Kaplan-Meier curve was used to analyze the value of variables on prognosis. The C-index, Brier Score, and calibration curve were used for model validation. Multivariate analysis showed that age, creatinine, albumin, platelet, lymphocyte ratio, and alanine aminotransferase were independent prognostic factors. By rounding up the hazard ratios from 6 significant variables, a maximum of 9 points was assigned. The final scoring model of HHLWG-HPI was identified with four risk groups: low risk (≤3 pts), low-intermediate risk (4 pts), high-intermediate risk (5-6 pts), and high risk (≥7 pts), with 5-year overall survival rates of 68.5%, 35.2%, 21.3%, and 10.8%, respectively. The C-indexes were 0.796 and 0.758 in the derivation and validation cohorts by using a bootstrap resampling program. In conclusion, the HHLWG-HPI model provides a feasible and accurate stratification system for individualized treatment strategy in adult HLH.Entities:
Keywords: adult; hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis; multicenter; prognostic model; stratification
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35251016 PMCID: PMC8894441 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.829878
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Immunol ISSN: 1664-3224 Impact factor: 7.561
Figure 1Flow chart of screening patients with HLH.
Basic clinical information of adult HLH.
| Characteristics | Derivation cohort | Validation cohort |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| n (%) | n (%) | ||
| Age | 56 (46,66) | 61 (47.75,70.00) | 0.148 |
| ALT | 72.5 (35.475,146.00) | 77.5 (38.25,168.25) | 0.736 |
| Cr | 58.8 (45.15,77.75) | 63.5 (50.00,80.00) | 0.135 |
| TG | 1.835 (1.418,2.455) | 2.235 (1.795,3.050) | <0.050 |
| Gender | 0.088 | ||
| Male | 106 (57.60) | 40 (46.51) | |
| Female | 78 (42.40) | 46 (53.49) | |
| Hb (g/L) | 0.429 | ||
| <120 | 156 (84.78) | 76 (88.37) | |
| ≥120 | 28 (15.22) | 10 (11.63) | |
| PLT (×109/L) | 0.166 | ||
| <100 | 138 (75.00) | 71 (82.56) | |
| ≥100 | 46 (25.00) | 15 (17.44) | |
| FIB (g/L) | 0.115 | ||
| <1.5 | 51 (27.72) | 32 (37.21) | |
| ≥1.5 | 133 (72.28) | 54 (62.79) | |
| Splenomegaly | 0.537 | ||
| absence | 67 (36.50) | 28 (32.56) | |
| presence | 117 (63.50) | 58 (67.44) |
Variables were presented using median and interquartile range.
ALT, alanine aminotransferase; Cr, creatinine; TG, triglycerides; Hb, hemoglobin; PLT, platelet; FIB, fibrinogen.
Figure 2Kaplan–Meier analysis estimate of survival rate in adult HLH according to the underlying etiologies and therapeutic regimens.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier analysis of lymphocyte subsets.
Figure 4(A) Cut-off point of ALT defined by using maximally selected log-rank statistics. The estimated optimal cut-off point of ALT was 40 U/L; (B) X-Tile analysis of OS according to Alb. The black circles highlighted the optimal cut-off values which were presented in histograms.
Univariate and multivariate analyses in the derivation cohort.
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables |
| 95% |
|
| 95% |
| Age | <0.001 | (1.338–2.187) | 1.535 | 0.001 | (1.188–1.983) |
| Cr | <0.001 | (1.288–2.051) | 1.401 | 0.006 | (1.102–1.783) |
| ALB | <0.001 | (0.472–0.789) | 0.654 | 0.002 | (0.499–0.857) |
| PLT | 0.001 | (0.518–0.850) | 0.779 | 0.049 | (0.606–0.960) |
| LYR | 0.087 | (0.966–1.650) | 1.325 | 0.037 | (1.017–1.725) |
| ALT | 0.025 | (1.065–2.593) | 1.716 | 0.019 | (1.092–2.696) |
| Etiologies | 0.061 | (0.993–1.371) | 1.144 | 0.132 | (0.960–1.364) |
| FIB | 0.010 | (0.369–0.871) | |||
| Hb | 0.003 | (0.501–0.865) | |||
| Gender | 0.078 | (0.487–1.039) | |||
Cr, creatinine; ALB, albumin; PLT, platelet; LYR, lymphocyte ratio; Hb, hemoglobin; FIB, fibrinogen; ALT, alanine aminotransferase.
The HHLWG-HPI.
| HHLWG-HPI | Score |
|---|---|
| Age (year) | |
| <50 | 0 |
| 50–65 | 1 |
| >65 | 2 |
| ALB (g/L) | |
| >35.2 | 0 |
| 29.8–35.2 | 1 |
| <29.8 | 2 |
| Cr (μmol/L) | |
| <53 | 0 |
| 53–66 | 1 |
| >66 | 2 |
| PLT (×10^9/L) | |
| ≥72 | 0 |
| <72 | 1 |
| ALT (U/L) | |
| <40 | 0 |
| ≥40 | 1 |
| LYR (%) | |
| <45.8 | 0 |
| ≥45.8 | 1 |
Alb, albumin; Cr, creatinine; PLT, platelet; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; LYR, lymphocyte ratio.
Figure 5The predicted probability of 2-year OS by HHLWG-HPI was plotted on the x‐axis, and the actual 2-year OS was plotted on the y‐axis in internal (A) and external (B) validation.
Figure 6KM analysis of four risk groups in derivation (A) and validation (B) cohort by HHLWG-HPI.
Distribution of patients in different therapeutic regimens groups.
| Therapeutic regimens | Distinct risk groups | Total (%) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR (%) | LIR (%) | HIR (%) | HR (%) | ||
| DEP regimen | 1 (16.67) | 5 (83.33) | 6 (2.22) | ||
| CHOP/CHOP-like | 9 (40.91) | 7 (31.82) | 2 (9.09) | 4 (18.18) | 22 (8.15) |
| Steroid | 12 (24.00) | 6 (12.00) | 24 (48.00) | 8 (16.00) | 50 (18.52) |
| Antiviral | 10 (16.67) | 10 (16.67) | 29 (48.33) | 11 (18.33) | 60 (22.22) |
| HLH-2004 | 8 (30.77) | 5 (19.23) | 10 (38.46) | 3 (11.54) | 26 (9.63) |
| HLH-94 | 9 (23.08) | 6 (15.38) | 17 (43.59) | 7 (17.95) | 39 (14.45) |
| Supportive treatment | 11 (16.42) | 5 (7.46) | 25 (37.31) | 26 (38.81) | 67 (24.81) |