Raanan Meyer1,2,3, Abraham Tsur4,5, Lee Tenenbaum5, Nizan Mor5, Michal Zamir, Gabriel Levin6,7. 1. Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, 5266202, Ramat-Gan, Israel. raananmeir@gmail.com. 2. Faculty of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel. raananmeir@gmail.com. 3. The Dr. Pinchas Bornstein Talpiot Medical Leadership Program, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Ramat-Gan, Israel. raananmeir@gmail.com. 4. Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, 5266202, Ramat-Gan, Israel. 5. Faculty of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel. 6. Department of Gynecologic Oncology, Hadassah-Hebrew University Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel. 7. Faculty of Medicine, Hadassah-Hebrew University Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel.
Abstract
PURPOSE: The purpose is to study the association of the fetal sonographic head circumference (SHC) with trial of labor after cesarean (TOLAC) success rate, among women with no prior vaginal deliveries. METHODS: A retrospective case-control study including all women with no prior vaginal delivery undergoing TOLAC during 3/2011-6/2020 with a sonographic estimated fetal weight within one week from delivery. TOLAC success and failure groups were compared. RESULTS: Of 1232 included women, 948 (76.9%) delivered vaginally. The mean fetal SHC was smaller in the TOLAC success group (330 ± 10 vs. 333 ± 11 mm, p < 0.001). In a multivariate regression analysis, predelivery BMI, hypertensive disorders, gestational age at prior CD, SHC and epidural analgesia administration were independently associated with TOLAC success. A ROC analysis of the multivariable model composed of the factors found independently associated with TOLAC success, excluding SHC, yielded an area under curve of 0.659 (95% CI 0.622-0.697) compared with 0.668 (95% CI 0.630-0.705) with SHC included. CONCLUSION: Smaller SHC is independently associated with TOLAC success among women that did not deliver vaginally before, and has additive clinical value for the prediction of TOLAC success when combined with non-sonographic factors.
PURPOSE: The purpose is to study the association of the fetal sonographic head circumference (SHC) with trial of labor after cesarean (TOLAC) success rate, among women with no prior vaginal deliveries. METHODS: A retrospective case-control study including all women with no prior vaginal delivery undergoing TOLAC during 3/2011-6/2020 with a sonographic estimated fetal weight within one week from delivery. TOLAC success and failure groups were compared. RESULTS: Of 1232 included women, 948 (76.9%) delivered vaginally. The mean fetal SHC was smaller in the TOLAC success group (330 ± 10 vs. 333 ± 11 mm, p < 0.001). In a multivariate regression analysis, predelivery BMI, hypertensive disorders, gestational age at prior CD, SHC and epidural analgesia administration were independently associated with TOLAC success. A ROC analysis of the multivariable model composed of the factors found independently associated with TOLAC success, excluding SHC, yielded an area under curve of 0.659 (95% CI 0.622-0.697) compared with 0.668 (95% CI 0.630-0.705) with SHC included. CONCLUSION: Smaller SHC is independently associated with TOLAC success among women that did not deliver vaginally before, and has additive clinical value for the prediction of TOLAC success when combined with non-sonographic factors.
Authors: Mark B Landon; John C Hauth; Kenneth J Leveno; Catherine Y Spong; Sharon Leindecker; Michael W Varner; Atef H Moawad; Steve N Caritis; Margaret Harper; Ronald J Wapner; Yoram Sorokin; Menachem Miodovnik; Marshall Carpenter; Alan M Peaceman; Mary Jo O'Sullivan; Baha Sibai; Oded Langer; John M Thorp; Susan M Ramin; Brian M Mercer; Steven G Gabbe Journal: N Engl J Med Date: 2004-12-14 Impact factor: 91.245
Authors: Mohammed A Elkousy; Mary Sammel; Erika Stevens; Jeffrey F Peipert; George Macones Journal: Am J Obstet Gynecol Date: 2003-03 Impact factor: 8.661