| Literature DB >> 35223879 |
Chunxia Wang1,2,3,4, Jianli Zheng5, Jinxia Wang3, Lin Zou3,4, Yucai Zhang1,2,4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Sepsis remains the leading cause of mortality in-hospital in the intensive care unit (ICU). Continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) is recommended as an adjuvant therapy for hemodynamics management in patients with sepsis. The aim of this study was to develop an adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) for the Cox regression model to predict the hospital mortality in patients with Sepsis-3.0 undergoing CRRT using Medical Information Martin Intensive Care (MIMIC)-III v1.4.Entities:
Keywords: CRRT; Cox regression; LASSO; MIMIC-III; Sepsis-3.0; mortality
Year: 2022 PMID: 35223879 PMCID: PMC8866187 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2021.778536
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Med (Lausanne) ISSN: 2296-858X
Figure 1Flow chart of patient selection and data extraction.
Baseline characteristics in patients with sepsis who received CRRT.
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| Gender male, | 109 (60.2) | 89 (59.3) | 20 (64.5) | 0.591 | |
| Age, year, mean (SD) | 61.9 (14.82) | 61.2 (15.11) | 65.0 (13.12) | 0.196 | |
| Ethnicity, n 0.530 | |||||
| White | 101 | 81 | 20 | 0.283 | |
| Black | 34 | 32 | 2 | 0.053 | |
| Hispanic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0.403 | |
| Others | 34 | 26 | 8 | 0.272 | |
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| SOFA | 7 (5–10) | 6 (5–9) | 11 (8–16) | <0.001 | |
| qSOFA | 2 (1–2) | 2 (1–2) | 2 (2–3) | <0.001 | |
| SIRS | 3 (2–4) | 3 (2–3) | 3 (2–4) | 0.033 | |
| LODS | 6 (5–8) | 6 (4–7) | 9 (7–13) | <0.001 | |
| First service, | 0.546 | ||||
| CMED | 24 | 18 | 6 | ||
| MED | 152 | 127 | 25 | ||
| NMED | 2 | 2 | 0 | ||
| OMED | 3 | 3 | 0 | ||
| Blood infection, | 68 | 54 | 14 | 0.338 | |
| Mechanical ventilation, | 76 (42) | 53 (35.3) | 23 (74.2) | <0.001 | |
| Length of ICU stay, days, median (IQR) | 2.9 (1.8–5.7) | 2.8 (1.8–5.7) | 3.3 (1.7–7.2) | 0.778 | |
| Length of hospital stay, days, median (IQR) | 7.7 (4.1–4.0) | 9.8 (5.1–15.6) | 3.4 (1.6–9.8) | <0.001 | |
SOFA, sequential organ failure assessment; qSOFA, Quick SOFA; SIRS, systemic inflammatory response syndrome; LODS, Logistic Organ Dysfunction System.
Laboratory indexes within 24 h after ICU admission in patients with sepsis who received CRRT.
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| Vital signs, median (IQR) if not otherwise specified | ||||
| Maximum heart rate (/min), mean (SD) | 105 (22) | 104 (22) | 109 (21) | 0.241 |
| Minimum systolic BP (mmHg) | 87 (77–103.5) | 90 (81–107) | 73 (62–80) | <0.001 |
| Systolic BP group, (mmHg) | 0.002 | |||
| Systolic BP ≥ 100, | 53 | 51 | 2 | |
| Systolic BP <100, | 128 | 99 | 29 | |
| Minimum diastolic BP (mmHg) | 40 (33–49) | 41 (35–49) | 35 (27–44) | 0.005 |
| Diastolic BP group, (mmHg) | 0.370 | |||
| Diastolic BP ≥ 60, | 20 | 18 | 2 | |
| Diastolic BP <60, | 161 | 132 | 29 | |
| Minimum MAP (mmHg) | 54 (47–63) | 55.5 (48–64) | 47 (40–51) | <0.001 |
| MAP group, (mmHg) | 0.327 | |||
| MAP ≥ 70, | 28 | 25 | 3 | |
| MAP <70, | 153 | 125 | 28 | |
| Maximum respiratory rate (/min) | 28 (23–32) | 27 (23–31) | 33 (28–35) | <0.001 |
| Respiratory rate group, (/min) | 0.226 | |||
| Respiratory rate ≤ 20, | 16 | 15 | 1 | |
| Respiratory rate > 20, | 165 | 135 | 30 | |
| Maximum temperature (°C), mean (SD) | 37.4 (1.0) | 37.5 (0.9) | 37.3 (1.4) | 0.432 |
| Serum laboratory variables, median (IQR) if not otherwise specified | ||||
| Maximum lactate (μmol/L) | 2.2 (1.4–4.6) | 1.9 (1.4–3.3) | 4.8 (2–9.9) | <0.001 |
| Lactate group, (μmol/L) | 0.068 | |||
| Lactate <4, | 97 | 85 | 12 | |
| Lactate ≥ 4, | 84 | 65 | 19 | |
| Maximum creatinine (μmol/L) | 5.4 (3.7–8.2) | 5.8 (3.6–9) | 4.7 (3.8–5.7) | 0.036 |
| Maximum glucose (mg/dL) | 166 (122–243) | 161 (121–230) | 213 (132–290) | 0.062 |
| Maximum bilirubin (mg/dL) | 0.65 (0.4–1.5) | 0.5 (0.3–0.9) | 1.8 (0.6–4.1) | 0.001 |
| Bilirubin group, (mg/dL) | 0.797 | |||
| Bilirubin <4, | 119 | 98 | 21 | |
| Bilirubin ≥ 4, | 62 | 52 | 10 | |
| Minimum platelet (×109/L) | 167 (106–229) | 174.5 (111–30.5) | 121 (76–182) | 0.045 |
| Platelet group, (×109/L) | 0.038 | |||
| Platelet ≥ 100, | 142 | 122 | 20 | |
| Platelet <100, | 39 | 28 | 11 | |
| Maximum INR | 1.4 (1.2–1.9) | 1.3 (1.2–1.6) | 2 (1.4–2.7) | <0.001 |
| INR group | 0.004 | |||
| INR <1.5, | 95 | 86 | 9 | |
| INR ≥ 1.5, | 86 | 64 | 22 | |
| Maximum BUN, (mmol/L) | 52.5 (41–79) | 53 (41–79) | 49 (43–81) | 0.887 |
| Minimum WBC (×109/L) | 8.6 (5.8–13.7) | 8.3 (5.9–13.2) | 9.1 (5.4–14.6) | 0.894 |
| Maximum WBC (×109/L) | 11.8 (7.8–19.5) | 11.4 (7.8–17.9) | 14.8 (7.5–20.4) | 0.327 |
| Minimum albumin (g/dL) | 3.1 (2.6–3.8) | 3.25 (2.7–3.8) | 2.6 (2.3–3.1) | 0.001 |
| Albumin group, (g/dL) | 0.252 | |||
| Albumin ≥ 4, | 87 | 75 | 12 | |
| Albumin <4, | 94 | 75 | 19 | |
| Pulmonary parameters, median (IQR) if not otherwise specified | ||||
| SpO2 | 96 (92.5–97.5) | 96 (93–98) | 95.5 (89.5–97) | 0.184 |
| PaO2/FiO2, mmHg | 112.5 (74.5–91) | 122(80–196.7) | 90 (63–140) | 0.132 |
| Impaired pulmonary function group | <0.001 | |||
| PaO2/FiO2 ≥ 300, | 119 | 108 | 11 | |
| 300 < PaO2/FiO2 ≤ 200, | 8 | 5 | 5 | |
| 200 < PaO2/FiO2 ≤ 100, | 25 | 20 | 5 | |
| PaO2/FiO2 <100, | 29 | 17 | 12 | |
| Vasopressor | <0.001 | |||
| No, | 109 (60.2) | 104 (69.3) | 5 (16.1) | |
| Yes, | 72 (39.8) | 46 (30.7) | 26 (83.9) | |
| Vasopressor duration, hours | 44.8 (23.0–20.0) | 41.8(15.5–24.2) | 63.8 (27.6–15.7) | 0.281 |
| Respiratory support model, | <0.001 | |||
| None, | 19 (10.5) | 19 (12.7) | 0 (0) | |
| Oxygen therapy, | 82 (45.3) | 76 (50.7) | 6 (19.4) | |
| Mechanical ventilation, | 80 (44.2) | 55 (36.7) | 25 (80.6) | |
| Ventilation durations, hours | 65.6 (27.9–67.5) | 82 (30.8–89.8) | 60 (27.4–98.2) | 0.338 |
SD, standard deviation; IQR, inter quartile range; BP, blood pressure; SpO.
Univariate Cox analysis of factor related to hospital mortality in patients with sepsis received CRRT.
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| Minimum systolic BP | 0.956 (0.938–0.976) | <0.001 |
| Systolic BP <100 mmHg | 5.327 (1.268–22.388) | 0.022 |
| Use of vasopressor | 6,860 (2.622–17.947) | <0.001 |
| Maximum INR | 1.231 (1.127–1.346) | <0.001 |
| INR ≥ 1.5 | 2.639 (1.208–5.767) | 0.015 |
| Minimum platelet | 0.998 (0.995–1.001) | 0.270 |
| Platelet <100 *109/L | 1.890 (0.901–3.967) | 0.092 |
| Maximum lactate | 1.140 (1.071–1.213) | <0.001 |
| Lactate ≥ 4 μmol/L | 2.017 (0.978–4.158) | 0.057 |
| Maximum creatinine | 0.873 (0.772–0.987) | 0.031 |
| PaO2/FiO2 | 0.997 (0.991–1.002) | 0.244 |
| Severity of impaired pulmonary function | 1.580 (1.203–2.076) | 0.001 |
| qSOFA | 2.523 (1.455–4.374) | 0.001 |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; BP, blood pressure; PaO.
Figure 2LASSO regression analysis for hospital mortality in patients with Sepsis-3.0 who received CRRT. VaspG (blue line): use of vasopressor; INRg (purple line): INR >1.5; Lacg (green line): lactate ≥4 μmol/L; RF (orange line): severity of impaired pulmonary function (defined as PaO2/FiO2 (PF) >300 mmHg, 200 mmHg < PF ≤ 300 mmHg, 100 mmHg < PF ≤ 200 mmHg, PF ≤ 100 mmHg); qSOFA (dark green line): qSOFA score. LASSO, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; CRRT, continuous renal replacement therapy; qSOFA, quick sequential organ failure assessment; INR, international normalized ratio.
Multivariate Cox analysis of factor related to hospital mortality based on LASSO regression in patients with sepsis received CRRT.
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| Use of vasopressor | 4.564 (1.575–13.223) | 0.005 |
| INR ≥ 1.5 | 2.475 (1.114–5.497) | 0.026 |
| Severity of impaired pulmonary function | 1.066 (0.782–1.454) | 0.685 |
| qSOFA | 2.514 (1.322–4.780) | 0.005 |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; INR, International normalized ratio; qSOFA, quick sequential organ failure assessment; Continuous renal replacement therapy.
Figure 3Top features were selected using multivariate Cox-LASSO regression analysis and the corresponding variable importance score. The X-axis indicates the importance score, which is the relative number of a variable that is used to distribute the data, the Y-axis indicates the top-weighted variables. qSOFA (orange line): quick sequential organ failure assessment; RF (green line): impaired severity of pulmonary function (defined as PaO2/FiO2 [PF]) > 300 mmHg, 200 mmHg < PF ≤ 300 mmHg, 100 mmHg < PF ≤ 200 mmHg, PF ≤ 100 mmHg). INRg (purple line): INR > 1.5; VaspG (blue line): use of vasopressor. LASSO, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; CRRT, continuous renal replacement therapy; qSOFA, quick sequential organ failure assessment; INR, international normalized ratio.
Figure 4Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis of hospital mortality in patients stratified by prognostic factors based on Cox-LASSO analysis. (A) With vs. without vasopressor; (B) INF ≤ 1.5 vs. INR >1.5; (C) PaO2/FiO2 (PF) >300 mmHg vs. 200 mmHg < PF ≤ 300 mmHg vs. 100 mmHg < PF ≤ 200 mmHg vs. PF ≤ 100 mmHg); (D) with or without mechanical ventilation support. LASSO, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; INR, international normalized ratio.