Alon Tiosano1,2, Meydan Ben-Ishai3,4, Eyal Fenig5,4, Guy J Ben Simon6,4, Iftach Yassur3,4. 1. Department of Ophthalmology, Rabin Medical Center - Beilinson Hospital, Petach Tikva, Israel. alon.tiosano@gmail.com. 2. Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. alon.tiosano@gmail.com. 3. Department of Ophthalmology, Rabin Medical Center - Beilinson Hospital, Petach Tikva, Israel. 4. Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. 5. Davidoff Center for Oncology, Rabin Medical Center - Beilinson Hospital, Petach Tikva, Israel. 6. Goldschleger Eye Institute, Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel.
Abstract
PURPOSE: To establish a model to predict treatment outcome of periocular locally advanced basal cell carcinoma (POLA BCC) based on initial response to treatment with vismodegib (ErivedgeTM), a sonic hedgehog inhibitor. DESIGN: Subgroup analysis of data from the STEVIE study database. METHODS: Analysis of medical history, treatment protocol, and treatment outcome of POLA BCC tumours in a STEVIE study population of 244 POLA BCC patients treated with ≥1 dose of vismodegib. RESULTS: A predictive model for complete response (CR) was established based on the initial treatment response. A cutoff value of 20% reduction in tumour size at 3 months of treatment identified the patients with a high probability (82.76%) to achieve CR. A second cutoff value of 67.7% reduction in tumour size at 6 months of treatment improved the prediction to a 95.42% probability of a CR outcome. CONCLUSIONS: A treatment model was constructed based on the prediction of a CR outcome and the initial response to vismodegib treatment at 3 and 6 months. The study result provide significant new insights can facilitate decision-making on treatment management according to tumour response in patients with POLA BCC.
PURPOSE: To establish a model to predict treatment outcome of periocular locally advanced basal cell carcinoma (POLA BCC) based on initial response to treatment with vismodegib (ErivedgeTM), a sonic hedgehog inhibitor. DESIGN: Subgroup analysis of data from the STEVIE study database. METHODS: Analysis of medical history, treatment protocol, and treatment outcome of POLA BCC tumours in a STEVIE study population of 244 POLA BCC patients treated with ≥1 dose of vismodegib. RESULTS: A predictive model for complete response (CR) was established based on the initial treatment response. A cutoff value of 20% reduction in tumour size at 3 months of treatment identified the patients with a high probability (82.76%) to achieve CR. A second cutoff value of 67.7% reduction in tumour size at 6 months of treatment improved the prediction to a 95.42% probability of a CR outcome. CONCLUSIONS: A treatment model was constructed based on the prediction of a CR outcome and the initial response to vismodegib treatment at 3 and 6 months. The study result provide significant new insights can facilitate decision-making on treatment management according to tumour response in patients with POLA BCC.