| Literature DB >> 35206960 |
Guimin Huang1, Junting Liu1, Tao Li1, Dongqing Hou1, Wenqian Liu1, Yixuan Xie1, Tong Zhang1, Yijing Cheng1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Trends of asthma mortality vary widely all over the world, while the trends in China over the past 15 years are unknown. The aim of this study was to assess the trends of asthma mortality in China.Entities:
Keywords: age-period-cohort (APC) analysis; asthma; joinpoint regression analysis; mortality
Year: 2022 PMID: 35206960 PMCID: PMC8871574 DOI: 10.3390/healthcare10020346
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Healthcare (Basel) ISSN: 2227-9032
Asthma mortality (per 100,000 persons) in China from 2004 to 2019.
| Year | ASR | Crude Rate | Men | Women | Urban | Rural | Eastern | Central | Western |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 2.12 | 2.42 | 2.55 | 2.28 | 2.60 | 2.32 | 2.09 | 2.92 | 2.22 |
| 2005 | 2.16 | 2.49 | 2.60 | 2.37 | 2.74 | 2.37 | 2.07 | 3.24 | 2.12 |
| 2006 | 1.43 | 1.69 | 1.74 | 1.64 | 2.28 | 1.41 | 1.52 | 2.27 | 1.16 |
| 2007 | 1.19 | 1.45 | 1.55 | 1.35 | 2.18 | 1.07 | 1.24 | 1.87 | 1.21 |
| 2008 | 1.05 | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.14 | 1.81 | 1.07 | 1.21 | 1.52 | 1.26 |
| 2009 | 0.96 | 1.15 | 1.24 | 1.06 | 1.72 | 0.84 | 1.06 | 1.18 | 1.24 |
| 2010 | 1.02 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.09 | 1.74 | 0.86 | 1.17 | 1.09 | 1.36 |
| 2011 | 0.91 | 1.15 | 1.28 | 1.00 | 1.47 | 0.93 | 1.09 | 1.03 | 1.40 |
| 2012 | 0.76 | 1.12 | 1.23 | 1.01 | 1.37 | 0.96 | 1.07 | 1.05 | 1.30 |
| 2013 | 0.95 | 1.52 | 1.70 | 1.33 | 1.61 | 1.48 | 1.52 | 1.36 | 1.75 |
| 2014 | 1.01 | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.48 | 1.73 | 1.63 | 1.77 | 1.47 | 1.76 |
| 2015 | 1.01 | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.47 | 1.72 | 1.62 | 1.78 | 1.26 | 1.98 |
| 2016 | 0.90 | 1.62 | 1.77 | 1.45 | 1.65 | 1.60 | 1.72 | 1.27 | 1.92 |
| 2017 | 0.88 | 1.59 | 1.80 | 1.37 | 1.73 | 1.52 | 1.65 | 1.29 | 1.90 |
| 2018 | 0.82 | 1.59 | 1.78 | 1.39 | 1.66 | 1.55 | 1.65 | 1.37 | 1.78 |
| 2019 | 0.83 | 1.58 | 1.77 | 1.38 | 1.67 | 1.53 | 1.58 | 1.48 | 1.71 |
ASR: age standardized rate per 100,000 persons (using Chinese standard population in 2000).
Figure 1Joinpoint analysis of age-adjusted asthma mortality rate for males and females.
Annual percent change by gender or district.
| Annual Percent Change (APC) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cohort | Segment | Lower Endpoint | Upper Endpoint | APC | Lower CI | Upper CI | Test Statistic (t) | Prob > |t| |
| Male | 1 | 2004 | 2008 | −17.1 * | −25.7 | −7.5 | −3.8 | 0.003 |
| Male | 2 | 2008 | 2019 | −1.6 | −3.5 | 0.3 | −1.9 | 0.084 |
| Female | 1 | 2004 | 2008 | −18.9 * | −27.9 | −8.8 | −3.9 | 0.002 |
| Female | 2 | 2008 | 2019 | −2.3 * | −4.4 | −0.2 | −2.4 | 0.033 |
| Urban | 1 | 2004 | 2009 | −12.3 * | −17.9 | −6.2 | −4.3 | 0.001 |
| Urban | 2 | 2009 | 2019 | −3.4 * | −5.2 | −1.6 | −4.1 | 0.002 |
| Rural | 1 | 2004 | 2007 | −26.1 * | −42.8 | −4.5 | −2.6 | 0.025 |
| Rural | 2 | 2007 | 2019 | −1.1 | −3.7 | 1.6 | −0.9 | 0.392 |
* Indicates that the annual percent change is significantly different from zero at the alpha = 0.05 level.
Figure 2Joinpoint analysis of age-adjusted asthma mortality rate for urban and rural areas.
Figure 3Age-period-cohort effect of asthma mortality from 2004 to 2019 in China by gender/district.
The deaths, total population, and mortality due to asthma for each age, period, and birth cohort groups by gender.
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| Male | 0–4 | 2005–2009 | 2005–2009 | 15 | 10,302,692 | 0.15 |
| 5–9 | 2005–2009 | 2000–2004 | 0 | 11,486,538 | 0.00 | |
| 10–14 | 2005–2009 | 1995–1999 | 3 | 14,854,739 | 0.02 | |
| 15–19 | 2005–2009 | 1990–1994 | 6 | 15,167,036 | 0.04 | |
| 20–24 | 2005–2009 | 1985–1989 | 11 | 14,567,776 | 0.08 | |
| 25–29 | 2005–2009 | 1980–1984 | 20 | 15,310,241 | 0.13 | |
| 30–34 | 2005–2009 | 1975–1979 | 24 | 16,262,504 | 0.15 | |
| 35–39 | 2005–2009 | 1970–1974 | 24 | 16,455,988 | 0.15 | |
| 40–44 | 2005–2009 | 1965–1969 | 48 | 14,498,430 | 0.33 | |
| 45–49 | 2005–2009 | 1960–1964 | 68 | 12,806,412 | 0.53 | |
| 50–54 | 2005–2009 | 1955–1959 | 97 | 11,505,559 | 0.84 | |
| 55–59 | 2005–2009 | 1950–1954 | 119 | 8801332 | 1.35 | |
| 60–64 | 2005–2009 | 1945–1949 | 175 | 6,764,049 | 2.59 | |
| 65–69 | 2005–2009 | 1940–1944 | 294 | 5,411,831 | 5.43 | |
| 70–74 | 2005–2009 | 1935–1939 | 535 | 4,159,463 | 12.86 | |
| 75–79 | 2005–2009 | 1930–1934 | 644 | 2,604,952 | 24.72 | |
| 80–84 | 2005–2009 | 1925–1929 | 634 | 1,272,530 | 49.82 | |
| 85–89 | 2005–2009 | 1920–1924 | 430 | 564,682 | 76.15 | |
| 0–4 | 2010–2014 | 2010–2014 | 13 | 2,1769,046 | 0.06 | |
| 5–9 | 2010–2014 | 2005–2009 | 4 | 21589614 | 0.02 | |
| 10–14 | 2010–2014 | 2000–2004 | 8 | 18,777,194 | 0.04 | |
| 15–19 | 2010–2014 | 1995–1999 | 8 | 23,444,034 | 0.03 | |
| 20–24 | 2010–2014 | 1990–1994 | 23 | 32,385,604 | 0.07 | |
| 25–29 | 2010–2014 | 1985–1989 | 37 | 26,185,176 | 0.14 | |
| 30–34 | 2010–2014 | 1980–1984 | 32 | 22,922,084 | 0.14 | |
| 35–39 | 2010–2014 | 1975–1979 | 56 | 29,599,475 | 0.19 | |
| 40–44 | 2010–2014 | 1970–1974 | 102 | 33,096,379 | 0.31 | |
| 45–49 | 2010–2014 | 1965–1969 | 160 | 34,631,453 | 0.46 | |
| 50–54 | 2010–2014 | 1960–1964 | 188 | 22,948,378 | 0.82 | |
| 55–59 | 2010–2014 | 1955–1959 | 275 | 25,131,014 | 1.09 | |
| 60–64 | 2010–2014 | 1950–1954 | 380 | 18,330,443 | 2.07 | |
| 65–69 | 2010–2014 | 1945–1949 | 497 | 12,072,933 | 4.12 | |
| 70–74 | 2010–2014 | 1940–1944 | 733 | 9,144,874 | 8.02 | |
| 75–79 | 2010–2014 | 1935–1939 | 1136 | 6,735,551 | 16.87 | |
| 80–84 | 2010–2014 | 1930–1934 | 1198 | 3660639 | 32.73 | |
| 85–89 | 2010–2014 | 1925–1929 | 1002 | 1,591,059 | 62.98 | |
| 0–4 | 2015–2019 | 2015–2019 | 13 | 41,789,374 | 0.03 | |
| 5–9 | 2015–2019 | 2010–2014 | 9 | 41,231,974 | 0.02 | |
| 10–14 | 2015–2019 | 2005–2009 | 11 | 34,958,289 | 0.03 | |
| 15–19 | 2015–2019 | 2000–2004 | 8 | 39,173,109 | 0.02 | |
| 20–24 | 2015–2019 | 1995–1999 | 21 | 55,746,884 | 0.04 | |
| 25–29 | 2015–2019 | 1990–1994 | 50 | 49,642,972 | 0.10 | |
| 30–34 | 2015–2019 | 1985–1989 | 65 | 42789762 | 0.15 | |
| 35–39 | 2015–2019 | 1980–1984 | 98 | 50,440,677 | 0.19 | |
| 40–44 | 2015–2019 | 1975–1979 | 177 | 57,366,114 | 0.31 | |
| 45–49 | 2015–2019 | 1970–1974 | 295 | 66,277,957 | 0.45 | |
| 50–54 | 2015–2019 | 1965–1969 | 432 | 45,468,678 | 0.95 | |
| 55–59 | 2015–2019 | 1960–1964 | 530 | 45,850,969 | 1.16 | |
| 60–64 | 2015–2019 | 1955–1959 | 860 | 37,262,641 | 2.31 | |
| 65–69 | 2015–2019 | 1950–1954 | 1058 | 27,472,871 | 3.85 | |
| 70–74 | 2015–2019 | 1945–1949 | 1448 | 19,714,766 | 7.34 | |
| 75–79 | 2015–2019 | 1940–1944 | 2052 | 14,562,421 | 14.09 | |
| 80–84 | 2015–2019 | 1935–1939 | 2471 | 8,651,077 | 28.56 | |
| 85–89 | 2015–2019 | 1930–1934 | 2625 | 4,051,670 | 64.79 | |
| Female | 0–4 | 2005–2009 | 2005–2009 | 3 | 9,170,664 | 0.03 |
| 5–9 | 2005–2009 | 2000–2004 | 0 | 10,301,247 | 0.00 | |
| 10–14 | 2005–2009 | 1995–1999 | 2 | 13,624,932 | 0.01 | |
| 15–19 | 2005–2009 | 1990–1994 | 8 | 14285845 | 0.06 | |
| 20–24 | 2005–2009 | 1985–1989 | 10 | 13,959,495 | 0.07 | |
| 25–29 | 2005–2009 | 1980–1984 | 12 | 14,676,580 | 0.08 | |
| 30–34 | 2005–2009 | 1975–1979 | 15 | 15,702,603 | 0.10 | |
| 35–39 | 2005–2009 | 1970–1974 | 20 | 15877449 | 0.13 | |
| 40–44 | 2005–2009 | 1965–1969 | 34 | 13858639 | 0.25 | |
| 45–49 | 2005–2009 | 1960–1964 | 56 | 12,280,360 | 0.46 | |
| 50–54 | 2005–2009 | 1955–1959 | 59 | 11,008,176 | 0.54 | |
| 55–59 | 2005–2009 | 1950–1954 | 76 | 8,426,655 | 0.90 | |
| 60–64 | 2005–2009 | 1945–1949 | 113 | 6,457,070 | 1.75 | |
| 65–69 | 2005–2009 | 1940–1944 | 156 | 5,362,863 | 2.91 | |
| 70–74 | 2005–2009 | 1935–1939 | 388 | 4,415,361 | 8.79 | |
| 75–79 | 2005–2009 | 1930–1934 | 503 | 3,034,901 | 16.57 | |
| 80–84 | 2005–2009 | 1925–1929 | 607 | 1,743,194 | 34.82 | |
| 85–89 | 2005–2009 | 1920–1924 | 574 | 942,167 | 60.92 | |
| 0–4 | 2010–2014 | 2010–2014 | 7 | 18,530,266 | 0.04 | |
| 5–9 | 2010–2014 | 2005–2009 | 1 | 19,385,234 | 0.01 | |
| 10–14 | 2010–2014 | 2000–2004 | 2 | 15,977,281 | 0.01 | |
| 15–19 | 2010–2014 | 1995–1999 | 11 | 21,167,780 | 0.05 | |
| 20–24 | 2010–2014 | 1990–1994 | 18 | 31,547,084 | 0.06 | |
| 25–29 | 2010–2014 | 1985–1989 | 22 | 25602753 | 0.09 | |
| 30–34 | 2010–2014 | 1980–1984 | 24 | 22,298,569 | 0.11 | |
| 35–39 | 2010–2014 | 1975–1979 | 46 | 28,647,133 | 0.16 | |
| 40–44 | 2010–2014 | 1970–1974 | 83 | 32,162,435 | 0.26 | |
| 45–49 | 2010–2014 | 1965–1969 | 94 | 34,083,923 | 0.28 | |
| 50–54 | 2010–2014 | 1960–1964 | 100 | 21,731,878 | 0.46 | |
| 55–59 | 2010–2014 | 1955–1959 | 137 | 24,662,801 | 0.56 | |
| 60–64 | 2010–2014 | 1950–1954 | 196 | 17,775,156 | 1.10 | |
| 65–69 | 2010–2014 | 1945–1949 | 300 | 12,108,491 | 2.48 | |
| 70–74 | 2010–2014 | 1940–1944 | 411 | 9,516,569 | 4.32 | |
| 75–79 | 2010–2014 | 1935–1939 | 761 | 7,692,556 | 9.89 | |
| 80–84 | 2010–2014 | 1930–1934 | 991 | 4,720,603 | 20.99 | |
| 85–89 | 2010–2014 | 1925–1929 | 1303 | 2,600,818 | 50.10 | |
| 0–4 | 2015–2019 | 2015–2019 | 8 | 35,444,479 | 0.02 | |
| 5–9 | 2015–2019 | 2010–2014 | 3 | 36,848,740 | 0.01 | |
| 10–14 | 2015–2019 | 2005–2009 | 10 | 29,706,564 | 0.03 | |
| 15–19 | 2015–2019 | 2000–2004 | 8 | 34,945,414 | 0.02 | |
| 20–24 | 2015–2019 | 1995–1999 | 9 | 54,116,986 | 0.02 | |
| 25–29 | 2015–2019 | 1990–1994 | 36 | 48,632,652 | 0.07 | |
| 30–34 | 2015–2019 | 1985–1989 | 58 | 42,295,897 | 0.14 | |
| 35–39 | 2015–2019 | 1980–1984 | 73 | 49,196,742 | 0.15 | |
| 40–44 | 2015–2019 | 1975–1979 | 122 | 56,122,066 | 0.22 | |
| 45–49 | 2015–2019 | 1970–1974 | 213 | 65,991,738 | 0.32 | |
| 50–54 | 2015–2019 | 1965–1969 | 230 | 43,734,168 | 0.53 | |
| 55–59 | 2015–2019 | 1960–1964 | 236 | 45,325,971 | 0.52 | |
| 60–64 | 2015–2019 | 1955–1959 | 339 | 36,356,060 | 0.93 | |
| 65–69 | 2015–2019 | 1950–1954 | 512 | 27,751,156 | 1.84 | |
| 70–74 | 2015–2019 | 1945–1949 | 791 | 20,292,172 | 3.90 | |
| 75–79 | 2015–2019 | 1940–1944 | 1297 | 16,219,613 | 8.00 | |
| 80–84 | 2015–2019 | 1935–1939 | 2129 | 10,804,065 | 19.71 | |
| 85–89 | 2015–2019 | 1930–1934 | 3249 | 6,371,222 | 50.99 |