| Literature DB >> 35206193 |
Youlu Zhang1, Li Zhang1, Fulian Li2, Liqian Deng1, Jiaoli Cai1, Linyue Yu1.
Abstract
In the context of a rapidly aging population, improving the parents' health outcomes, especially in parents with poorer health, is essential for narrowing elderly health inequality. Using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, we took the university enrollment expansion policy as the instrumental variable and employed the two-stage least square (2SLS) and instrumental variable quantile regression (IVQR) approaches to explore the spillovers of offspring education on the elderly parents' frailty index. The results show that one additional year of offspring educational attainment was associated with a 0.017 or 4.66% decline in the parents' frailty index. These spillovers are stronger where parents are cohabiting with their children than when separating (more than 2 times higher). Moreover, there is substantial heterogeneity that is determined by the gender of parents. The spillover on mothers is greater than that on fathers. Further analysis of a cohort of parents with different frailty indexes reveals that the upward spillovers of offspring education on parents' health are non-linear and non-averaged. The spillovers may diminish as parents own health improves. These spillovers suppress the "Matthew Effect", which can lead to the further widening of health inequality.Entities:
Keywords: China; offspring education; parents’ health inequality; quantile treatment effect; spillovers; university enrollment expansion policy
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35206193 PMCID: PMC8872194 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19042006
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Figure 1The development of college education in China from 1977 to 2019.
Figure 2The jump in offspring education before and after the university enrollment expansion.
Descriptive statistics.
| Variables | Observations | Mean | Standard Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
| FI | 7118 | 0.365 | 0.187 |
| Self-rated health | 7118 | 0.762 | 0.426 |
| Functional limitations | 7118 | 2.093 | 1.892 |
| IADLs | 7118 | 0.453 | 1.004 |
| Cognitive limitations | 7118 | 3.008 | 1.627 |
| CESD 10 | 7118 | 4.622 | 2.922 |
| Happiness index | 7118 | 0.387 | 0.632 |
| Children’s education | 7118 | 10.935 | 3.707 |
| Gender | 7118 | 0.524 | 0.499 |
| Age | 7118 | 64.069 | 8.006 |
| Marriage | 7118 | 0.980 | 0.139 |
| Urban | 7118 | 0.387 | 0.487 |
| Srh15 | 7118 | 0.716 | 0.451 |
| Own education | 7118 | 5.469 | 4.079 |
| Medicare | 7118 | 0.971 | 0.167 |
| Lnincome | 7118 | 9.210 | 1.991 |
| Lnasset | 7118 | 8.775 | 1.573 |
| Environment | 7118 | 0.577 | 0.213 |
| Drink | 7118 | 0.365 | 0.481 |
| Children’s gender | 7118 | 0.428 | 0.495 |
| Children’s number | 7118 | 2.953 | 1.541 |
| Living | 7118 | 0.278 | 0.448 |
Notes: All data come from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (2013, 2015, 2018).
OLS estimation of offspring education on parents’ health.
| Variables | Whole Sample | Cohabitation | Separation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Children’s education | −0.006 *** | −0.006 *** | −0.006 *** |
| (0.000) | (0.001) | (0.001) | |
| Gender | 0.089 *** | 0.077 *** | 0.095 *** |
| (0.006) | (0.008) | (0.007) | |
| Age | 0.001 *** | 0.002 *** | 0.001 ** |
| (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
| Marriage | −0.012 | 0.016 | −0.023 |
| (0.015) | (0.031) | (0.018) | |
| Urban | −0.020 *** | −0.035 *** | −0.015 ** |
| (0.006) | (0.012) | (0.006) | |
| Srh15 | −0.032 *** | −0.023 *** | −0.035 *** |
| (0.003) | (0.007) | (0.004) | |
| Own education | −0.025 *** | −0.031 ** | −0.023 * |
| (0.008) | (0.014) | (0.013) | |
| Medicare | −0.024 * | −0.049 * | −0.011 |
| (0.013) | (0.028) | (0.014) | |
| Lnincome | −0.007 *** | −0.003 | −0.009 *** |
| (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.001) | |
| Lnasset | −0.016 *** | −0.016 *** | −0.016 *** |
| (0.001) | (0.003) | (0.001) | |
| Environment | −0.102 *** | −0.075 *** | −0.111 *** |
| (0.011) | (0.018) | (0.014) | |
| Drink | 0.002 | −0.006 | 0.006 |
| (0.006) | (0.009) | (0.008) | |
| Children’s gender | −0.013 *** | −0.005 | −0.015 ** |
| (0.004) | (0.009) | (0.006) | |
| Children’s number | 0.013 *** | 0.015 *** | 0.013 *** |
| (0.002) | (0.004) | (0.002) | |
| Living | -0.007 * | ||
| (0.004) | |||
| Constant | 0.687 *** | 0.627 *** | 0.700 *** |
| (0.023) | (0.049) | (0.025) | |
| Province FE | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 7118 | 1978 | 5140 |
| Adj-R2 | 0.259 | 0.270 | 0.255 |
Notes: Standard errors clustered at the province level. *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.1.
The first stage estimation of 2SLS of offspring education on parents’ health.
| Variables | Whole Sample | Cohabitation | Separation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ref | 1.342 *** | 0.870 *** | 1.509 *** |
| (0.099) | (0.154) | (0.115) | |
| Control variables | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Province FE | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 7118 | 1978 | 5140 |
| F statistics of weak identification | 206.882 | 31.795 | 199.148 |
Notes: The control variables are shown in Table 2. Standard errors clustered at the province level. *** p < 0.01.
The second stage estimation of 2SLS of offspring education on parents’ health.
| Variables | Whole Sample | Cohabitation | Separation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Children’s education | −0.017 *** | −0.032 *** | −0.014 *** |
| (0.003) | (0.010) | (0.003) | |
| Gender | 0.089 *** | 0.081 *** | 0.094 *** |
| (0.006) | (0.010) | (0.007) | |
| Age | 0.001 *** | 0.001 *** | 0.000 ** |
| (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
| Marriage | −0.004 | 0.048 | −0.019 |
| (0.015) | (0.033) | (0.018) | |
| Urban | −0.009 | −0.007 | −0.006 |
| (0.005) | (0.012) | (0.006) | |
| Srh15 | −0.030 *** | −0.026 *** | −0.033 *** |
| (0.003) | (0.010) | (0.003) | |
| Own education | −0.008 | 0.006 | −0.011 |
| (0.009) | (0.022) | (0.013) | |
| Medicare | −0.009 | −0.009 | −0.001 |
| (0.012) | (0.032) | (0.014) | |
| Lnincome | −0.006 *** | 0.001 | −0.008 *** |
| (0.001) | (0.003) | (0.001) | |
| Lnasset | −0.013 *** | −0.008** | −0.014 *** |
| (0.001) | (0.004) | (0.002) | |
| Environment | −0.060 *** | 0.032 | −0.081 *** |
| (0.015) | (0.049) | (0.018) | |
| Drink | 0.002 | −0.000 | 0.006 |
| (0.007) | (0.011) | (0.008) | |
| Children’s gender | −0.015 *** | 0.005 | −0.018 *** |
| (0.004) | (0.010) | (0.006) | |
| Children’s number | 0.011 *** | 0.010 ** | 0.011 *** |
| (0.002) | (0.004) | (0.002) | |
| Living | −0.021 *** | ||
| (0.005) | |||
| Constant | 0.718 *** | 0.645 *** | 0.727 *** |
| (0.023) | (0.049) | (0.027) | |
| Province FE | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 7118 | 1978 | 5140 |
| Adj-R2 | 0.220 | 0.093 | 0.233 |
| 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.000 | |
| Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald F statistic | 206.882 | 31.795 | 199.148 |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| 0.003 | 0.018 | 0.033 |
Notes: Standard errors clustered at the province level. *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05.
The spillovers of offspring education on the various health variables that make up the frailty index.
| Variables | OLS | 2SLS | OLS | 2SLS | OLS | 2SLS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel A | Self-rated health | Functional limitations | IADLs | |||
| Children’s education | −0.004 ** | −0.032 *** | −0.047 *** | −0.381 *** | −0.013 *** | −0.131 *** |
| (0.001) | (0.010) | (0.005) | (0.039) | (0.004) | (0.024) | |
| Observations | 7118 | 7118 | 7118 | 7118 | 7118 | 7118 |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald F statistic of weak identification test | 206.052 | 206.052 | 206.052 | |||
| 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.013 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| Panel B | Cognitive limitations | CESD 10 | Happiness index | |||
| Children’s education | −0.079 *** | −0.106 *** | −0.040 *** | 0.112 ** | −0.002 | 0.004 |
| (0.005) | (0.029) | (0.007) | (0.048) | (0.003) | (0.011) | |
| Observations | 7118 | 7118 | 7118 | 7118 | 7118 | 7118 |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald F statistic of weak identification test | 206.052 | 206.052 | 206.052 | |||
| 0.002 | 0.036 | 0.510 | ||||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.632 | 0.006 | 0.464 | ||||
Notes: The control variables are shown in Table 2. Standard errors clustered at the province level. *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05.
Gender differences in spillovers of offspring education on the health of mothers and fathers.
| Variables | Mothers | Fathers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whole Sample | Cohabitation | Separation | Whole Sample | Cohabitation | Separation | |
| Children’s education | −0.022 *** | −0.039 *** | −0.019 *** | −0.011 *** | −0.024 ** | −0.008 * |
| (0.004) | (0.014) | (0.005) | (0.004) | (0.012) | (0.004) | |
| Control variables | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Province FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 3727 | 1076 | 2651 | 3391 | 902 | 2489 |
| 0.000 | 0.009 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.000 | |
| Kleibergen–Paap rk | 97.517 | 11.562 | 105.150 | 124.073 | 17.821 | 98.103 |
| 0.000 | 0.021 | 0.000 | 0.012 | 0.003 | 0.120 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| 0.004 | 0.061 | 0.023 | 0.269 | 0.075 | 0.845 | |
Notes: The control variables are shown in Table 2. Standard errors clustered at the province level. *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.1.
Figure 3IVQR estimation results of offspring education on parents’ health: (A) parents; (B) mothers; (C) fathers.
Sensitivity analyses of different measures of parents’ health and offspring education.
| Variables | OLS | 2SLS | OLS | 2SLS | OLS | 2SLS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subjective Life Expectancy | Least-Educated | Average Educational | ||||
| Panel A | All | |||||
| Children’s education | 0.012 *** | 0.091 *** | −0.008 *** | −0.014 *** | −0.008 *** | −0.015 *** |
| (0.002) | (0.012) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.003) | |
| Observations | 6098 | 6098 | 7118 | 7118 | 7118 | 7118 |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald F statistic | 178.187 | 161.110 | 232.759 | |||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.000 | 0.009 | 0.005 | ||||
| Panel B | Mothers | |||||
| Children’s education | 0.011 *** | 0.069 *** | −0.010 *** | −0.021 *** | −0.010 *** | −0.018 *** |
| (0.003) | (0.013) | (0.001) | (0.004) | (0.001) | (0.004) | |
| Observations | 3111 | 3111 | 3727 | 3727 | 3727 | 3727 |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald F statistic | 85.211 | 91.193 | 95.588 | |||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.000 | 0.007 | 0.012 | ||||
| Panel C | Fathers | |||||
| Children’s education | 0.014 *** | 0.118 *** | −0.005 *** | −0.006 ** | −0.006 *** | −0.009 *** |
| (0.004) | (0.017) | (0.001) | (0.003) | (0.001) | (0.004) | |
| Observations | 2987 | 2987 | 3391 | 3391 | 3391 | 3391 |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald F statistic | 120.181 | 68.245 | 105.575 | |||
| 0.000 | 0.107 | 0.012 | ||||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.000 | 0.774 | 0.272 | ||||
Notes: The control variables are shown in Table 2. Standard errors clustered at the province level. *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05.
Placebo test results based on the year the counterfactual policy took effect.
| Variables | Sample of 14–17 Years Old | Sample of 18–21 Years Old |
|---|---|---|
| The first stage estimation of 2SLS | 0.353 (0.249) | 0.013 (0.231) |
| 0.124 | 0.974 | |
| Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald | 2.164 | 0.001 |
| 0.455 | 0.551 | |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | |
| 0.351 | 0.557 | |
| The second stage estimation of 2SLS | 0.023 (0.033) | −0.258 (4.631) |
Notes: The control variables are shown in Table 2. Standard errors clustered at the province level.
Robustness to specification and bandwidths.
| Variables | OLS | 2SLS | OLS | 2SLS | OLS | 2SLS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| [−15, 15] | [−10, 10] | [50, 70] | ||||
| Panel A | All | |||||
| Children’s education | −0.006 *** | −0.016 *** | −0.006 *** | −0.019 *** | −0.005 *** | −0.012 *** |
| (0.001) | (0.003) | (0.001) | (0.004) | (0.001) | (0.003) | |
| Observations | 6727 | 6727 | 5568 | 5568 | 5307 | 5307 |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald<break/>F statistic of weak identification test | 185.793 | 105.112 | 113.890 | |||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.006 | 0.006 | 0.069 | ||||
| Panel B | Mothers | |||||
| Children’s education | −0.006 *** | −0.021 *** | −0.006 *** | −0.026 *** | −0.005 *** | −0.017 *** |
| (0.001) | (0.005) | (0.001) | (0.006) | (0.001) | (0.005) | |
| Observations | 3469 | 3469 | 2875 | 2875 | 2861 | 2861 |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald<break/>F statistic of weak identification test | 91.212 | 52.497 | 67.902 | |||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.001 | ||||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.010 | 0.011 | 0.047 | ||||
| Panel C | Fathers | |||||
| Children’s education | −0.006 *** | −0.010 *** | −0.006 *** | −0.012 ** | −0.005 *** | −0.007 * |
| (0.001) | (0.004) | (0.001) | (0.005) | (0.001) | (0.004) | |
| Observations | 3258 | 3258 | 2693 | 2693 | 2446 | 2446 |
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald<break/>F statistic of weak identification test | 125.194 | 114.196 | 84.437 | |||
| 0.018 | 0.022 | 0.197 | ||||
| 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
| 0.372 | 0.279 | 0.902 | ||||
Notes: The control variables are shown in Table 2. Standard errors clustered at the province level. *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.1.
Figure 4IVQR estimation results of robustness to specification and bandwidths: (A) parents; (B) mothers; (C) fathers.