| Literature DB >> 35179188 |
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Abstract
BACKGROUND: Postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication of major gastrointestinal surgery with an impact on short- and long-term survival. No validated system for risk stratification exists for this patient group. This study aimed to validate externally a prognostic model for AKI after major gastrointestinal surgery in two multicentre cohort studies.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35179188 PMCID: PMC8855527 DOI: 10.1093/bjsopen/zrab150
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BJS Open ISSN: 2474-9842
Demographics of development and external validation cohorts
| Development cohort (OAKS) | Validation cohort (IMAGINE) | Validation cohort (Tayside) | |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||
| UK/Republic of Ireland | 5640 (100.0) | 1972 (38.6) | 719 (100.0) |
| Other | 0 (0.0) | 3134 (61.4) | 0 (0.0) |
|
| |||
| Colorectal | 4025 (71.4) | 5106 (100.0) |
|
| Upper gastrointestinal | 1121 (19.9) | 0 (0.0) |
|
| Hepatopancreatobiliary | 493 (8.7) | 0 (0.0) |
|
|
| |||
| Elective | 4394 (77.9) | 5106 (100.0) | 283 (39.3) |
| Emergency | 1246 (22.1) | 0 (0.0) | 436 (60.6) |
|
| |||
| <55 | 1586 (28.1) | 1197 (23.4) | 168 (23.4) |
| 55–64 | 1128 (20.0) | 1115 (21.8) | 166 (23.1) |
| 65–74 | 1588 (28.2) | 1624 (31.8) | 205 (28.5) |
| ≥75 | 1337 (23.7) | 1167 (22.9) | 180 (25.0) |
| Missing | — | 3 (0.1) | 0 (0.0) |
|
| |||
| Female | 2536 (45.0) | 2209 (43.3) | 327 (45.5) |
| Male | 3104 (55.0) | 2897 (56.7) | 392 (54.5) |
|
| |||
| ≥90 | 2417 (42.9) | 1910 (37.4) | 383 (53.3) |
| 60–90 | 2367 (42.0) | 1996 (39.1) | 278 (38.7) |
| 30–59 | 740 (13.1) | 493 (9.7) | 54 (7.5) |
| <30 | 75 (1.3) | 52 (1.0) | 4 (0.6) |
| Missing | — | 655 (12.8) | 0 (0.0) |
|
| |||
| Minimally invasive | 2749 (48.7) | 2949 (57.8) | 436 (60.6) |
| Open | 2878 (51.0) | 2156 (42.2) | 283 (39.4) |
| Missing | 13 (0.2) | 1 (0.0) | 0 (0.0) |
|
| |||
| I | 646 (11.5) | 547 (10.7) | 37 (5.1) |
| II | 2802 (49.7) | 2916 (57.1) | 242 (33.7) |
| III | 1476 (26.2) | 1515 (29.7) | 330 (45.9) |
| IV–V | 289 (5.1) | 121 (2.4) | 110 (15.3) |
| Missing | — | 7 (0.1) | 0 (0.0) |
|
| |||
| No | 4415 (78.3) | 3468 (67.9) | 559 (77.7) |
| Yes | 1219 (21.6) | 1174 (23.0) | 160 (22.3) |
| Missing | — | 464 (9.1) | 0 (0.0) |
Values in parentheses are percentages. eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; ACEi, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker.
Proportion of patients in each of the three risk groups for postoperative acute kidney injury in external validation cohort
| Development cohort (OAKS) | Validation cohort (IMAGINE) | Validation cohort (Tayside) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patients | AKI | Patients | AKI | Patients | AKI | |
|
| All ( | 14.2 ( | All ( | 12.9 ( | All ( | 14.7 ( |
|
| 14.6 ( | 28.5 ( | 9.2 ( | 32.3 ( | 12 ( | 35 ( |
|
| 54.9 ( | 14.4 ( | 57.0 ( | 13.8 ( | 58.0 ( | 14 ( |
|
| 30.6 ( | 7 ( | 33.8 ( | 6.2 ( | 29.8 ( | 8 ( |
Values are percentages. AKI, acute kidney injury.
Diagnostic accuracy of the OAKS prognostic model in identification of patients at high risk of acute kidney injury in the development and external validation cohorts
| Derivation cohort (OAKS) | Validation cohort (IMAGINE) | Validation cohort (Tayside) | |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| 0.293 (0.258, 0.329) | 0.323 (0.281, 0.368) | 0.352 (0.253, 0.461) |
|
| 0.879 (0.868, 0.889) | 0.890 (0.881, 0.899) | 0.881 (0.853, 0.905) |
|
| 0.285 (0.251, 0.322) | 0.230 (0.198, 0.264) | 0.292 (0.208, 0.389) |
|
| 0.882 (0.872, 0.892) | 0.928 (0.920, 0.936) | 0.907 (0.881, 0.929) |
Values in parentheses are 95 per cent confidence intervals.